HIV RNA viral load (VL) is an important outcome variable in studies of HIV infected persons. There exists only a handful of methods which classify patients by viral load patterns. Most methods place limits on the use of viral load measurements, are often specific to a particular study design, and do not account for com…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “HIV load prediction”
New framework quantifies variable importance across all good models and is stable across data distribution.
problem Conflicting variable importance conclusions from different models trained on the same data.
method Proposes a new variable importance framework that considers all good models and is stable across data distribution.
result Framework accurately estimates true variable importance and recovers rankings for complex setups.
System predicts HIV patients at risk of dropping out of care.
problem High non-adherence and dropout rates among HIV patients.
method Predictive machine learning model based on resource constraints, stability, and fairness.
result Model performs 3x better than baseline for clinical use and 2.3x better for city-wide use.
New algorithms improve MPBART for HIV patient data.
problem Improving inference for multinomial outcomes in HIV patient data.
method Introduced two new algorithms for fitting MPBART.
result Better performance in MCMC convergence and predictive accuracy.
The paper develops a causal machine learning framework to optimize aid allocation.
problem Optimizing aid allocation to reduce new HIV infections in poor countries.
method The framework uses a balancing autoencoder, counterfactual generator, and inference model to predict heterogeneous treatment effects.
result The framework predicts a reduction of up to 3.3% in new HIV infections, saving 50,000 lives.
Motivation: HIV is difficult to treat because its virus mutates at a high rate and mutated viruses easily develop resistance to existing drugs. If the relationships between mutations and drug resistances can be determined from historical data, patients can be provided personalized treatment according to their own mutat…
New method predicts heat load in thermal grids using latent variables.
problem Predicting heat load in district energy systems.
method Combines nominal model for outdoor temperature with latent variable model for residual heat load.
result Proposed method achieves better prediction accuracy than artificial neural networks.
Binary classification rules based on covariates typically depend on simple loss functions such as zero-one misclassification. Some cases may require more complex loss functions. For example, individual-level monitoring of HIV-infected individuals on antiretroviral therapy (ART) requires periodic assessment of treatment…
BSFP method reveals latent patterns in multi-omic data for predicting lung function in HIV-associated OLD.
problem Limited understanding of multi-omic molecular phenomena and clinical outcomes in obstructive lung disease.
method Bayesian Simultaneous Factorization and Prediction (BSFP) method for multi-omic data, accommodating imputation and full posterior inference.
result BSFP reveals distinct clusters of patients with OLD and multi-omic patterns related to lung function decline.
Enhances load forecasting for multiple entities with dynamic similarities.
problem Inaccurate probabilistic load predictions due to uncertainties and dynamic changes.
method Online multi-task learning for probabilistic load forecasting.
result Significantly enhances load forecasting accuracy across various scenarios.
Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is essential for the reliable and economic operation of power systems. Though many STLF methods were proposed over the past decades, most of them focused on loads at high aggregation levels only. Thus, low-aggregation load forecast still requires further research and development. Comp…
Active learning reduces smart meter data needs for better electric load predictions.
problem Inaccurate and costly electric load predictions due to insufficient data.
method Active learning to collect more informative data subsets.
result Electric load predictions can be made with about half the data using active learning.
To investigate whether training load monitoring data could be used to predict injuries in elite Australian football players, data were collected from elite athletes over 3 seasons at an Australian football club. Loads were quantified using GPS devices, accelerometers and player perceived exertion ratings. Absolute and …
Model identifies key problems in HIV patients' records.
problem Complex and time-consuming task of identifying patient problems from electronic health records.
method Unsupervised phenotyping approach that jointly learns phenotypes from structured and unstructured data.
result Learned phenotypes and their relatedness are clinically valid and surpass existing methods.
New method combines regional HIV prevention trial data without sharing individual patient info.
problem Regional differences in HIV prevention efficacy, privacy concerns, and data sharing limitations.
method Federated learning approach that combines site-specific estimators via L1-regularization.
result Improved precision in estimating region-specific survival curves.
Model uses GAMs to forecast hourly electricity load weeks to one year ahead.
problem Accurate mid-term hourly load forecasting for power plant operation and energy management.
method Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) with P-splines and autoregressive post-processing.
result Significantly enhanced forecasting accuracy compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Machine learning reconstructs aerodynamic forces from noisy data.
problem Accurately modeling aerodynamic forces with limited or noisy data.
method Physics-informed Gaussian processes trained on noisy structural responses.
result Strong agreement between true and predicted aerodynamic loads.
As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore, improving the accuracy of power load forecasting has always been the pursuing goals…
Airlines optimize fuel loading with better flight time predictions.
problem Flight time uncertainties and their impact on fuel consumption.
method Developed a spatial weighted recurrent neural network model.
result The model provides more accurate flight time predictions, reducing fuel consumption.
TIP-Search optimizes market prediction accuracy and timeliness under uncertain load.
problem Real-time market prediction requires accurate predictions before a deadline.
method Filters feasible models, dispatches workers, trades accuracy for deadline risk.
result Optimized pool achieves 0.991 timely accuracy and 0.994 raw accuracy.
The study improves load forecasting for electricity consumers using advanced machine learning models.
problem Improving short-term load forecasting for effective scheduling and decision-making.
method Proposes and evaluates statistical nonlinear models, including LSTM and GRU, for 15-min frequency electricity load forecasting.
result Advanced models outperform other models in out-of-sample forecasting accuracy, as shown by the Diebold-Mariano test.
Personalized models explain TB treatment outcomes considering patient context.
problem Heterogeneity in TB treatment outcomes due to co-morbidities.
method Multi-task learning approach encoding patient context into personalized models.
result Identifies anemia, age of onset, and HIV as influential for treatment efficacy.
The lack of interpretability remains a key barrier to the adoption of deep models in many applications. In this work, we explicitly regularize deep models so human users might step through the process behind their predictions in little time. Specifically, we train deep time-series models so their class-probability pred…
Forecasting Short-term load using Econometrics time series model with T-student Distributionq-fin.ST
Paper uses econometrics time series model with T-student Distribution for short-term load forecasting.
problem Accurate short-term load forecasting for optimizing electrical sources and protecting energy.
method Uses SARIMA-GARCH model with T-student Distribution to forecast electric load.
result The proposed model outperforms the ARIMA model with Normal Distribution.
High-Resolution Peak Demand Estimation Using Generalized Additive Models and Deep Neural Networkscs.LG
Paper proposes combining GAM and DNN for accurate peak demand estimation from lower-resolution data.
problem Predicting high-resolution peak demand from limited lower-resolution data.
method Combines generalized additive models (GAM) and deep neural networks (DNN) for half-hourly load forecasting.
result Proposed method reduces out-of-sample RMSE by 57.4% compared to benchmark.
Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent stochasticity. At the aggregate levels, such as monthly load at a grid, the uncerta…
Paper presents a method for probabilistic load forecasting using adaptive online learning.
problem Inability to assess intrinsic uncertainties and capture dynamic changes in consumption patterns.
method Adaptive online learning of hidden Markov models for recursive parameter updates and sequential prediction.
result Significant improvement in performance compared to existing techniques across various scenarios.
Develops algorithm to find subgroups with different treatment effects in HIV patients.
problem Estimating treatment effects in EHR data with challenges like time-varying confounding.
method SDLD algorithm combining generalized interaction tree and longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimation.
result Identifies subgroups of HIV patients at higher risk of weight gain with dolutegravir-containing ARTs.
Predictions of Electromotive Force of Magnetic Shape Memory Alloy (MSMA) Using Constitutive Model and Generalized Regression Neural Networkcond-mat.mtrl-sci
Model predicts EMF of Ni-Mn-Ga MSMA, improved with GRNN.
problem Predicting the electromotive force (EMF) of Ni-Mn-Ga MSMA under various conditions.
method Developed a new constitutive model for Ni-Mn-Ga single crystals, incorporating magnetic easy axis offset. Used GRNN to enhance model predictions.
result GRNN improves model predictions of EMF, capturing more experimental features.
Paper derives policy rules from observational data for hepatitis C treatment.
problem Improving treatment guidelines for HIV/HCV co-infected patients.
method Weighted K-means algorithm for estimating CATEs, decision tree implementation.
result Identifies a subgroup with high spontaneous HCV clearance rate.
Short-Term Density Forecasting of Low-Voltage Load using Bernstein-Polynomial Normalizing Flowscs.LG
The paper proposes a new method for probabilistic load forecasting using Bernstein-Polynomial Normalizing Flows.
problem High variability in short-term load forecasting at the low-voltage level due to fluctuating demand and increasing electrification.
method Flexible conditional density forecasting based on Bernstein polynomial normalizing flows with neural network control.
result Density predictions outperform traditional methods for 24h-ahead load forecasting.
Adaptive probabilistic load forecasting improves performance in power systems.
problem Complexity of electricity load forecasting due to changing drivers and local generation.
method Adaptive probabilistic approach using Kalman filter and online gradient descent.
result Adaptive probabilistic forecasts improve performance in both point and probabilistic forecasting.
New methods improve electricity load forecasting using hierarchical transfer learning.
problem Improving electricity load forecasts at national scale using smart meter data.
method Developed two hierarchical transfer learning methods based on stacking and aggregation of experts.
result Significant improvement in predictions compared to benchmark algorithms.
Paper proposes a network framework for prosumers to manage peak loads in Iran.
problem Balancing renewable prosumers' self-sufficiency with grid integration under uncertainty.
method Distributed contextual stochastic optimization (DCSO) framework with consensus-based sharing.
result Integration of prediction and optimization reduces peak loads and costs.
Prediction of Physical Load Level by Machine Learning Analysis of Heart Activity after Exercisescs.LG
The assessment of energy expenditure in real life is of great importance for monitoring the current physical state of people, especially in work, sport, elderly care, health care, and everyday life even. This work reports about application of some machine learning methods (linear regression, linear discriminant analysi…
Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in the machine learning field achieving impressive performance in a vast range of …
Bayesian Transformer improves probabilistic load forecasting with calibrated uncertainty estimates.
problem Overconfident point predictions from deep learning models fail under extreme weather distributional shifts.
method Integrates three uncertainty mechanisms: MC Dropout, variational layers, and stochastic attention.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance with CRPS of 0.0289 and 90% PICP across various horizons.
Deep model integrates MRI and DTI for autism severity prediction.
problem Predicting spectrum-level deficits in autism using multimodal brain imaging.
method Generative deep-learning framework combining rs-fMRI and DTI data.
result Hybrid model outperforms existing methods in predicting autism severity.
Many post-disaster and -conflict regions do not have sufficient data on their transportation infrastructure assets, hindering both mobility and reconstruction. In particular, as the number of aging and deteriorating bridges increase, it is necessary to quantify their load characteristics in order to inform maintenance …
The study predicts Kronecker coefficients using interpretable machine learning models.
problem Predicting Kronecker coefficients of the symmetric group.
method Employed interpretable machine learning models with input features of triples of partitions and b-loadings.
result Achieved an accuracy of approximately 83% and over 99% with transformer-based models.
Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday system constraints. We propose deep spatio-temporal models and extreme value theo…
Paper benchmarks and customizes energy forecasting methods.
problem Energy forecasting challenges and differences from traditional time series.
method Collected large-scale load datasets and renewable energy datasets. Developed feature engineering and customized loss functions.
result Comprehensive evaluation of 21 forecasting methods in energy datasets.
Super learner uses diverse screeners to improve prediction performance.
problem Performance issues with lasso screening in super learner.
method Used a diverse set of candidate screeners within the super learner ensemble.
result Diverse screeners protect against poor performance of any one screener.
In aircraft industry, market needs evolve quickly in a high competitiveness context. This requires adapting a given aircraft model in minimum time considering for example an increase of range or the number of passengers (cf A330 NEO family). The computation of loads and stress to resize the airframe is on the critical …
Traditional load analysis is facing challenges with the new electricity usage patterns due to demand response as well as increasing deployment of distributed generations, including photovoltaics (PV), electric vehicles (EV), and energy storage systems (ESS). At the transmission system, despite of irregular load behavio…
Proposes a machine learning framework for more efficient economic dispatch.
problem Temporal and spatial correlations between system cost and load prediction errors.
method End-to-end machine learning approach with task-specific learning criteria and an efficient optimization kernel.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed learning framework.
Framework integrates brain connectivity data for clinical predictions.
problem Predicting clinical outcomes from brain connectivity data.
method Structurally-regularized Dynamic Dictionary Learning (sr-DDL) and LSTM-ANN block.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in clinical outcome prediction.
We propose a new forecasting method for predicting load demand and generation scheduling. Accurate week-long forecasting of load demand and optimal power generation is critical for efficient operation of power grid systems. In this work, we use a synthetic data set describing a power grid with 700 buses and 134 generat…