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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,932 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Guided evolution strategy

New sampling method reduces variance in correlated high-dimensional distributions.

problem Reducing variance in Monte Carlo estimators for correlated high-dimensional distributions.
method DPPMC (Determinantal Point Processes Monte Carlo) method for structured sampling.
result DPPMCs improve state-of-the-art in various optimization and machine learning problems.

New approach uses Wasserstein distances to score and optimize policy behaviors.

problem Comparing reinforcement learning policies and guiding policy optimization.
method Dual formulation of Wasserstein distances in latent behavioral space, learning score functions, smoothed WDs, stochastic gradient descent, on-policy algorithms.
result Demonstrated improved performance over existing methods in various environments.

Macroscopic price evolution models are commonly used for investment strategies. There are first promising achievements in defining microscopic agent based models for the same purpose. Microscopic models allow a deeper understanding of mechanisms in the market than the purely phenomenological macroscopic models, and thu…

2011-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic probabilistic forecasts guide optimal decisions in uncertain processes.

problem Optimal decision making in processes influenced by uncertain random factors.
method Stochastic models for probabilistic forecast evolution, calibrated from ensemble forecasts.
result Optimal decision strategies determined using dynamic probabilistic forecasts.

NEAT algorithm optimizes stock trading with reduced risk.

problem Maximizing earnings while minimizing risk in stock trading.
method Applied NEAT algorithm to stock trading with multiple technical indicators, using progressive training data and a multi-objective fitness function.
result NEAT model achieved similar returns to Buy & Hold but with lower risk and stability.

This paper uses bandit theory and Thompson Sampling to optimize protein sequences.

problem Optimizing protein sequences using machine learning and directed evolution.
method Proposes a Thompson Sampling-guided Directed Evolution (TS-DE) framework.
result TS-DE achieves a nearly optimal Bayesian regret of order ildeO(d2MT) ilde O(d^{2}\sqrt{MT}).

ES and FD gradients converge as optimization dimension grows.

problem Understanding the relationship between Evolution Strategies and Finite Differences gradients.
method Analyzing the convergence of gradients as the optimization dimension increases.
result ES and FD gradients converge as the dimension of the vector under optimization increases.

XGL uses global explanations to guide human supervision in machine learning.

problem Improving model quality through human-machine interaction.
method XGL employs global explanations to guide human selection of informative examples.
result XGL avoids overselling the model's quality and performs comparably to other strategies.

NPENAS improves neural architecture search efficiency and accuracy.

problem Efficient and accurate neural architecture search (NAS) for minimizing search costs.
method Proposes NPENAS, a neural predictor guided evolutionary algorithm that enhances exploration ability of evolutionary algorithms.
result NPENAS-BO and NPENAS-NP outperform existing NAS algorithms on NASBench-201, NASBench-101, and DARTS.

PES method reduces bias in gradient estimation for unrolled graphs.

problem High variance and bias in gradient estimation for unrolled computation graphs.
method Divide graph into unrolls, apply ES update, accumulate correction terms.
result PES provides unbiased, low-variance gradient estimates.

New method for portfolio management learns from past wealth evolution.

problem Optimizing portfolio selection based on past performance.
method Simulated annealing clustering for asset selection, considering past wealth evolution.
result Strategy effectively learns from past performance and performs well in practice.

This tutorial introduces the CMA Evolution Strategy (ES), where CMA stands for Covariance Matrix Adaptation. The CMA-ES is a stochastic, or randomized, method for real-parameter (continuous domain) optimization of non-linear, non-convex functions. We try to motivate and derive the algorithm from intuitive concepts and …

2016-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Latest algorithms for automatic neural architecture search perform remarkable but are basically directionless in search space and computational expensive in training of every intermediate architecture. In this paper, we propose a method for efficient architecture search called EENA (Efficient Evolution of Neural Archit…

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Evolution Strategies (ES) emerged as a scalable alternative to popular Reinforcement Learning (RL) techniques, providing an almost perfect speedup when distributed across hundreds of CPU cores thanks to a reduced communication overhead. Despite providing large improvements in wall-clock time, ES is data inefficient whe…

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes how venture investment strategies have evolved over time in different sectors.

problem Understanding changes in venture investment strategies across sectors over time.
method Applied PCA and TCA to analyze a dataset of 52,000 startups and 110,000 funding rounds.
result There has been a shift in venture investment towards lower-tech sectors and a rise in accelerator investments.

Algorithm improves vanilla option pricing accuracy during and before COVID-19.

problem Improving vanilla option pricing accuracy during and before the pandemic.
method Combinational Mutation Strategy of Differential Evolution (CmDE) algorithm for bi-objective optimization.
result Algorithm approximates real market vanilla option prices more accurately than Black-Scholes.

Investment strategies in financial markets can lead to instability due to market impacts.

problem Market impacts make it impossible for investors to accurately optimize their strategies.
method Built an agent-based model with technical analysis strategy agents to investigate optimization instability.
result Investment strategies' parameters never converged but continued to change, leading to unstable market price evolution.

CausalEvolve improves efficiency and discovery in open-ended scientific tasks.

problem Lack of targeted guidance and knowledge organization in evolve-based agents.
method Causal scratchpad that identifies and reasons about guiding factors for evolution.
result Effective improvement in evolutionary efficiency and better solutions.

Algorithm learns which weights to share in deep multi-task learning.

problem Difficulty in deciding which weights to share between tasks in deep learning models.
method Combines natural evolution strategy and stochastic gradient descent to learn optimal weight sharing.
result Task-specific networks achieve lower test errors than existing methods on multi-task learning datasets.

NES optimizes discrete structured VAEs effectively without gradient propagation.

problem Learning high-dimensional discrete latent spaces in generative models.
method Natural Evolution Strategies (NES) for gradient-free optimization of discrete structures.
result NES effectively optimizes discrete structured VAEs, comparable to gradient-based methods.

Investigates JM for reducing downside risk in market regimes.

problem Mitigating downside risk during market downturns.
method Statistical jump model for identifying market regimes, optimizing penalty for state transitions.
result JM-guided strategies outperform traditional models in reducing risk and enhancing returns.

GH-PID uses guided harmonic paths for efficient SOT with interpretable diagnostics.

problem Efficiently solving Stochastic Optimal Transport with hard terminal distributions and soft costs.
method Guided Harmonic Path-Integral Diffusion (GH-PID) framework with low-dimensional guidance.
result GH-PID generates geometry-aware, cost-reducing trajectories that match terminal distributions.

KG-WDRO optimizes transfer learning with external knowledge.

problem Over-pessimism in WDRO for small target samples.
method KG-WDRO incorporates multiple sources of external knowledge to construct smaller Wasserstein ambiguity sets.
result KG-WDRO improves transfer learning performance and adaptivity.

We propose a methodology for clustering financial time series of stocks' returns, and a graphical set-up to quantify and visualise the evolution of these clusters through time. The proposed graphical representation allows for the application of well known algorithms for solving classical combinatorial graph problems, w…

2011-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explores the problem of unknotting closed braids and classical knots in mathematical knot theory. We apply evolutionary computation methods to learn sequences of moves that simplify knot diagrams, and show that this can be effective both when the evolution is carried out for individual knots and when a gener…

2013-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

ITCA optimizes label combination for ambiguous outcomes in multi-class classification.

problem Ambiguous outcome labels in real-world datasets hinder accurate multi-class classification.
method Information-theoretic classification accuracy (ITCA) and search strategies (greedy, breadth-first) guide label combination.
result ITCA improves prediction accuracy and identifies ambiguous labels across diverse applications.

ES-Single uses ES to estimate gradients in unrolled graphs, reducing variance and improving performance.

problem Estimating gradients in unrolled computation graphs with low variance and stability.
method Evolution strategies (ES) applied to unrolled graphs, with a single perturbation per particle.
result ES-Single reduces variance compared to PES, leading to better performance in various tasks.

User intended actions are widely seen in many areas. Forecasting these actions and taking proactive measures to optimize business outcome is a crucial step towards sustaining the steady business growth. In this work, we focus on pre- dicting attrition, which is one of typical user intended actions. Conventional attriti…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are a powerful modeling tool, able to represent any computable probability distribution. Unfortunately, probabilistic program inference is often intractable, and existing PPLs mostly rely on expensive, approximate sampling-based methods. To alleviate this problem, one could tr…

2016-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗