Paper develops robust methods for panel data with latent groups, improving inference under group separation violations.
problem Inference in latent group panel models under group separation violations.
method Selective conditional inference approach to derive conditional distribution of coefficients given estimated group structure.
result Valid inference under violations of group separation, superior to traditional asymptotic methods.
Efficient CVI for NGFA improves GFA inference for large-scale data.
problem Inference limitations in GFA models for large-scale data.
method Collapsed variational inference for nonparametric Bayesian GFA.
result CVI algorithm effectively approximates NGFA posterior in collapsed space.
Selective inference for group lasso estimators across various distributions and covariates.
problem Developing selective inference methods for group lasso estimators.
method Randomized group-regularized optimization problem with post-selection likelihood.
result Selective point estimator and Wald-type confidence regions for regression parameters.
New method corrects selection bias in post-selective inference for Group LASSO.
problem Inference after Group LASSO selection is unreliable.
method Develops a consistent, post-selective Bayesian method to adjust for selection bias.
result Corrects bias in recovering effects of selected variables.
Using the theory of group action, we first introduce the concept of the automorphism group of an exponential family or a graphical model, thus formalizing the general notion of symmetry of a probabilistic model. This automorphism group provides a precise mathematical framework for lifted inference in the general expone…
New method corrects biased comparisons in two-group data.
problem Unreliable inferences from biased sampling.
method Developed an inference method resilient to sampling biases.
result Controls false positives under moderate bias levels.
Framework infers coordination strategies from movement data.
problem Inferring individual movement strategies from group data.
method Formalizes Coordination Strategy Inference Problem; provides methodology to infer strategies.
result Framework accurately infers strategies in simulated and real-world datasets.
New algorithm accurately infers hierarchical network clusters.
problem Statistical inference of complex network structures.
method Scalable and reliable algorithm for hierarchical stochastic block models.
result Inferred models are more accurate than other scalable methods.
SymmPI predicts unobserved values under group symmetries, improving over existing methods.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in predictions under group symmetries.
method Distributional equivariant transformations to preserve symmetries.
result SymmPI provides valid coverage and performs favorably in simulations and empirical data.
Sparse group Lasso optimizes sparse and grouped parameters in high-dimensional data.
problem Simultaneously sparse and grouped parameters in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Sparse group Lasso, debiased sparse group Lasso, statistical inference.
result Matching upper and lower bounds on sample complexity and estimation error.
Method infers multi-layer networks from gene expression data.
problem Inference of multi-level networks from gene expression data.
method Extension of latent graphical lasso method leveraging group structure.
result Efficacy in retrieving multi-layer network structure from synthetic data.
Bayesian design improves accuracy without extra cost.
problem Nested inference in complex systems limits BED accuracy and efficiency.
method Grouped geometric pooled posterior with EKI formulation.
result Improved accuracy and stable estimators at comparable cost.
MACI improves LLM factuality inference with higher retention and lower time cost.
problem Ensuring factuality in LLM responses for high-stakes domains.
method Reformulated conformal inference in a multiplicative filtering setting, leveraging ensembles for more accurate factuality scores and group-conditional calibration.
result MACI achieves higher retention and lower time cost compared to baselines, preserving validity through group-conditional calibration.
Paper proposes a new method for more accurate group testing of infected patients.
problem Identifying infected patients efficiently with reduced tests and corrected errors.
method Adaptive design of pools based on Bayesian posterior prediction using belief propagation algorithm.
result The proposed method results in more accurate identification of infected patients.
Paper proves identifiability and consistency of hub model for network inference.
problem Identifying network structure from group behavior.
method Hub model and variants, proving identifiability and consistency under mild conditions.
result Identifiability and estimation consistency of hub model and its variants proved.
C-SymmPI provides near-conditional coverage for structured data with group symmetries.
problem Establishing near-conditional coverage guarantees for structured data with group symmetries.
method Developed a framework C-SymmPI that achieves near-conditional coverage under general data structures with group symmetries.
result Near-conditional coverage guarantees for structured data with group symmetries.
New method improves grouped convolutions on edge devices.
problem Efficiently implementing grouped convolutions on edge devices.
method Grouped Spatial Pack Convolutions (GSPC) in TVM.
result GSPC outperforms existing implementations by 3.4x, 8x, and 4x on average.
New method for inferring time series graph from sparse-group log-sum penalty.
problem Inferring conditional independence graph from high-dimensional stationary multivariate Gaussian time series.
method Sparse-group log-sum penalty (LSP) and alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) for iterative optimization.
result Local convergence of inverse PSD estimators to the true value with rate of convergence.
Develops geometric causal models for causal inference from dependent data.
problem Causal inference from structured, dependent data (e.g., spatial, network, molecular).
method Geometric causal models (GCMs) exploiting symmetries of data generating process, combining group theory, ergodic theory, and Bayesian inference.
result Establishes identification and estimation of causal effects from dependent data.
Structured sparsity has recently emerged in statistics, machine learning and signal processing as a promising paradigm for learning in high-dimensional settings. All existing methods for learning under the assumption of structured sparsity rely on prior knowledge on how to weight (or how to penalize) individual subsets…
Develops a method to estimate uncertainty for group-level recommendations in matrix completion.
problem Uncertainty estimation for group-level recommendations in matrix completion.
method Structured conformal inference method combining any matrix completion algorithm.
result Stronger group-level guarantees through structured calibration.
New theorem for generalized group sparsity improves consistency and convergence rates.
problem Improving statistical inference in high-dimensional data with element-wise and group-wise sparsity.
method Developed a generalized version of Sparse-Group Lasso and proved a universal theorem for consistency and convergence rates.
result Obtained results on consistency and convergence rates for different forms of double sparsity regularization.
Bayesian methods improve group testing for identifying infected patients.
problem Identifying infected patients from group testing results with false positives.
method Bayesian inference and belief propagation algorithm, combined with expectation-maximization method.
result True-positive rate improved by considering credible intervals.
Bayesian framework uses unlabeled data to improve fairness assessment.
problem Reliable fairness assessment with limited labeled data.
method Hierarchical latent variable model with Bayesian inference.
result Significant reduction in estimation error for fairness metrics.
Proposes selective inference for testing differences in means between clusters.
problem Inflated type I error rate when testing differences in means between clusters.
method Selective inference approach to control selective type I error rate.
result Controls selective type I error rate by accounting for data-driven cluster definition.
GNPE improves inference for astrophysical systems.
problem Efficiently incorporating geometric properties like equivariances in neural density estimation.
method GNPE integrates equivariances into neural posterior estimation, standardizing data pose while estimating parameters.
result GNPE achieves state-of-the-art accuracy in astrophysical binary black hole inference, reducing inference times by 3 orders of magnitude.
Recently it has become popular to learn sparse Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) by imposing l1 or group l1,2 penalties on the elements of the precision matrix. Thispenalized likelihood approach results in a tractable convex optimization problem. In this paper, we reinterpret these results as performing MAP estimation u…
A new method estimates treatment effects in mixed groups, improving accuracy.
problem Estimating treatment effects in mixed groups with heterogeneous responses.
method PCM (pre-cluster and merge) approach for nonparametric estimation.
result Asymptotic consistency and significant improvement in accuracy over existing methods.
New group testing method uses Belief Propagation for accurate screening.
problem Efficiently identifying infected samples in large groups with minimal tests.
method Belief Propagation algorithm for inference in group testing schemes.
result Significantly increased accuracy of infection identification with fewer tests.
PCI combines perception and control using Bayesian inference with object-based representations.
problem Separate perception and control in reinforcement learning.
method Joint Perception and Control as Inference (PCI) framework with Object-based Perception Control (OPC).
result OPC achieves good perceptual grouping quality and outperforms baselines in accumulated rewards.
Fairness in machine learning increases privacy risks, especially for underrepresented groups.
problem Privacy risks in fair machine learning models, particularly for underrepresented groups.
method Membership inference attacks to measure information leakage and analyze fairness vs. privacy trade-offs.
result Achieving fairness in machine learning models increases privacy risks, especially for underrepresented groups.
Scalable multi-task regression via sparse Gaussian process priors.
problem Efficiently modeling and predicting multiple related tasks.
method Direct Cholesky factorization for sparse parameterization of Gaussian process priors.
result Sparse parameterization improves scalability and accuracy in multi-task regression.
sGPO optimizes RLVR training by balancing inference FLOPs and training efficiency.
problem RLVR training allocates rollout budget without considering query difficulty.
method sGPO trades inference FLOPs for reduced training FLOPs.
result sGPO matches or exceeds baseline performance while reducing training compute by a factor of three.
Framework for inferring latent structure from sparse, imperfectly detected bipartite networks.
problem Recovering latent structure from sparse, imperfectly detected bipartite networks in ecology.
method Structured sparse nonnegative low-rank factorization with detection probability estimation and ADMM-based algorithm.
result Improved recovery of latent factors and structure compared to existing methods.
SIMPLE-RC method tests group membership profiles in large networks with weak signals.
problem Testing group membership profiles in large networks with weak signals.
method Random coupling technique to construct maximum SIMPLE tests for subsampled node pairs.
result Asymptotic distributions of SIMPLE-RC test are derived, enabling delicate analysis.
Paper proposes robust method to detect risk heterogeneity across ethnic groups.
problem Detecting risk heterogeneity across ethnic groups in ICU studies.
method Proposes a robust framework using Neyman orthogonality for inference.
result Demonstrates improved inferential stability and reduced bias compared to standard methods.
New method estimates treatment effects from treated and unlabeled units.
problem Estimating ATEs with missing data and weak supervision.
method Develops semiparametric efficient estimators for ATE in PU learning.
result Constructs estimators that achieve semiparametric efficiency bounds.
Develops statistical inference for ML-discovered heterogeneous treatment effects.
problem ML algorithms may fail to accurately ascertain heterogeneous treatment effects in practical settings.
method Neyman's repeated sampling framework, dividing sample into groups, estimating average treatment effects, constructing confidence intervals.
result Valid methodology for estimating and testing heterogeneous treatment effects without relying on ML algorithm properties.
One of the most popular copulas for modeling dependence structures is t-copula. Recently the grouped t-copula was generalized to allow each group to have one member only, so that a priori grouping is not required and the dependence modeling is more flexible. This paper describes a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method…
Extends causal discovery to group variables, improving performance in real-world applications.
problem Inferring cause-effect relationships from grouped data.
method Two-step approach: infer causal order and select models.
result Strong performance in simulations and real-world assembly line data.
Improves model robustness to shifts in subpopulations.
problem Poor performance of ML models under data distribution shifts.
method Develops group-aware priors (GAP) over neural network parameters.
result Training with GAP yields state-of-the-art performance.
Approximate inference via information projection has been recently introduced as a general-purpose approach for efficient probabilistic inference given sparse variables. This manuscript goes beyond classical sparsity by proposing efficient algorithms for approximate inference via information projection that are applica…
In this publication, we combine two Bayesian non-parametric models: the Gaussian Process (GP) and the Dirichlet Process (DP). Our innovation in the GP model is to introduce a variation on the GP prior which enables us to model structured time-series data, i.e. data containing groups where we wish to model inter- and in…
Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not propagate the uncertainty in observations due to sampling variability in the gr…
Extends ESGVI for UWB localization with skewed noise, improving state estimation accuracy.
problem Improving state estimation accuracy in UWB localization with skewed noise.
method Generalizes ESGVI to matrix Lie groups and introduces non-Gaussian factors.
result Improved accuracy in UWB localization with NLOS and multipath effects.
Method debiases alternative data for fair credit underwriting.
problem Bias in alternative data affecting credit underwriting fairness.
method Causal inference applied to machine learning models.
result Improves model accuracy across racial groups without discrimination.
Flexible Bayesian inference for complex dynamical systems.
problem Bayesian inference for nonlinear, hierarchical dynamical systems.
method Stochastic optimisation of a variational autoencoder for ODE dynamics.
result Efficient scaling to large datasets and interpretability.
Generative model separates mixed signals on multiple graphs.
problem Inference methods often assume all data fits a single graph.
method Heat diffusion process on multiple graphs, EM algorithm.
result Successfully separates signals into corresponding groups.