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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Goodness-of-Fit Testing

A new kernel Stein test assesses fit for variable-length sequential data.

problem Evaluating goodness of fit for varying-dimensional data like text documents of different lengths.
method Extends kernel Stein discrepancy (KSD) to variable-dimension settings by identifying appropriate Stein operators and proposing a novel KSD goodness-of-fit test.
result The proposed test performs well on discrete sequential data benchmarks.

In quantitative finance, we often fit a parametric semimartingale model to asset prices. To ensure our model is correct, we must then perform goodness-of-fit tests. In this paper, we give a new goodness-of-fit test for volatility-like processes, which is easily applied to a variety of semimartingale models. In each cas…

2015-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a minimax optimal test for goodness-of-fit using kernel Stein discrepancy.

problem Developing a robust goodness-of-fit test for general domains.
method Kernel Stein Discrepancy (KSD) with spectral regularization and adaptive testing.
result Proposed regularized test achieves minimax optimality up to a logarithmic factor.

Sliced kernelized Stein discrepancy improves goodness-of-fit tests and model learning in high dimensions.

problem The curse-of-dimensionality in kernelized Stein discrepancy (KSD).
method Sliced Stein discrepancy and its scalable variants using optimal one-dimensional projections.
result Significantly outperforms KSD and baselines in goodness-of-fit tests and improves model learning.

A new framework improves kernel Stein discrepancy tests for validating distributions.

problem Improving goodness-of-fit testing for non-normal distributions.
method Introducing Sf-KSD, a unifying framework for studying Stein operators in KSD-based tests.
result Sf-KSD guides the development of new tests and outperforms existing methods.

Improved SSD for faster and more accurate goodness-of-fit tests and model learning.

problem Optimal slicing directions for SSD are computationally expensive and sub-optimal.
method Relaxed optimal slicing requirement, active sub-space construction, spectral decomposition.
result 14-80x speed-up in goodness-of-fit tests compared to gradient-based alternatives.

We propose a nonparametric statistical test for goodness-of-fit: given a set of samples, the test determines how likely it is that these were generated from a target density function. The measure of goodness-of-fit is a divergence constructed via Stein's method using functions from a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. O…

2016-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

GRASP tests goodness-of-fit for binary classifiers without parametric assumptions.

problem Assessing the fit of a binary classifier to the underlying conditional law of labels given features.
method Formulates a tolerance hypothesis testing problem and proposes a novel test called GRASP.
result Proposes GRASP and Model-X GRASP tests for assessing goodness-of-fit in finite sample settings.

We propose a novel adaptive test of goodness-of-fit, with computational cost linear in the number of samples. We learn the test features that best indicate the differences between observed samples and a reference model, by minimizing the false negative rate. These features are constructed via Stein's method, meaning th…

2017-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved KSD test for better detection of differences in distributions.

problem Low power of KSD test when distributions have same modes but different mixing proportions.
method Perturb the observed sample using Markov transition kernels to improve KSD test power.
result Perturbed KSD test can lead to substantially higher power than the original KSD test.

We review the main "omnibus procedures" for goodness-of-fit testing for copulas: tests based on the empirical copula process, on probability integral transformations, on Kendall's dependence function, etc, and some corresponding reductions of dimension techniques. The problems of finding asymptotic distribution-free te…

2012-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a goodness-of-fit test for self-exciting processes.

problem Quantifying how well generative models capture self-exciting point processes.
method Connects to Quasi-maximum-likelihood estimator (QMLE) theory and develops a non-parametric self-normalizing statistic, the Generalized Score (GS) statistics.
result Validates the proposed GS test's good performance through numerical simulation and real-data experiments.

RENAL test evaluates generative models for time series data.

problem Evaluating generative models for time series data is challenging.
method RENAL test uses recurrent neural networks to transform time series into conditionally independent data pairs for goodness-of-fit testing.
result RENAL test outperforms existing methods in evaluating generative models for time series data.

The paper introduces tests for missing data models based on graph assumptions.

problem Verification of assumptions in missing data models is insufficiently addressed.
method The paper explores three classes of missing data models and designs goodness-of-fit tests.
result The paper provides new insights and tests for missing data graphical models.

Given two candidate models, and a set of target observations, we address the problem of measuring the relative goodness of fit of the two models. We propose two new statistical tests which are nonparametric, computationally efficient (runtime complexity is linear in the sample size), and interpretable. As a unique adva…

2018-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Computable Stein discrepancies have been deployed for a variety of applications, ranging from sampler selection in posterior inference to approximate Bayesian inference to goodness-of-fit testing. Existing convergence-determining Stein discrepancies admit strong theoretical guarantees but suffer from a computational co…

2018-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Fourier representation improves KSD for infinite-dimensional data.

problem Applying KSD to infinite-dimensional data.
method Combining measure equations with kernel methods for a Fourier representation of KSD.
result KSD can separate measures in infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces.

Software package assesses spherical data distributions and clusters.

problem Assessing and clustering spherical data distributions.
method Innovative goodness-of-fit tests and clustering algorithms using kernel-based quadratic distances.
result Efficient and mathematically sound goodness-of-fit tests for spherical data.

The reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) embedding of distributions offers a general and flexible framework for testing problems in arbitrary domains and has attracted considerable amount of attention in recent years. To gain insights into their operating characteristics, we study here the statistical performance of…

2017-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified score and distance-based GoF tests for model adequacy.

problem Difficulty in extending score-based GoF tests to nonparametric alternatives.
method Introducing semiparametric kernelized Stein discrepancy (SKSD) test.
result SKSD test is computationally efficient and universally consistent.

Proposes a semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator for MMD in GOF tests and GANs.

problem Challenges in goodness-of-fit testing for intractable models.
method Semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator of MMD.
result Outperforms frequentist MMD-based methods in false rejection and acceptance rates.

New deep learning methods improve estimation and GOF assessment for large-scale IFA.

problem Estimating and assessing goodness-of-fit for large-scale confirmatory IFA models.
method Extended deep learning algorithm for parameter estimation and simulation-based tests for GOF assessment.
result Proposed methods provide comparable estimates and detect latent dimensionality misspecification.

A goodness-of-fit test for DCSBM improves scalability and power for large sparse networks.

problem Testing goodness-of-fit for degree-corrected stochastic block models (DCSBM) in large sparse networks.
method Proposes an adjusted chi-square test statistic for multinomial distributions, adjusted for degree-corrected networks, and applies it to compressed adjacency matrices.
result The test statistic converges in distribution under null, and is consistent in recovering the number of communities.

Paper proposes kernelized Stein tests for time-to-event data with censoring.

problem Testing goodness-of-fit for time-to-event data with censoring.
method Combining Stein's method and kernelized discrepancies for non-parametric testing.
result Proposed kernelized Stein discrepancy tests perform better than existing methods.

Improving scalability and stability of Stein discrepancies for scalable goodness-of-fit testing

problem Improving scalability and stability of Stein discrepancies for scalable goodness-of-fit testing
method Reformulating Stein discrepancy construction as an explicit SNR^2 maximisation problem
result Avoiding exponential SNR^2 collapse and achieving stable SNR^2

Latent block models are used for probabilistic biclustering, which is shown to be an effective method for analyzing various relational data sets. However, there has been no statistical test method for determining the row and column cluster numbers of latent block models. Recent studies have constructed statistical-test…

2019-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses reinforcement learning to sample from complex data structures efficiently.

problem Constructing reliable samples from high-dimensional polytopes for goodness-of-fit tests.
method Markov decision process and reinforcement learning for sampling.
result Demonstrated scalable tools from linear algebra for theoretical guarantees in non-linear algebra context.

We revisit the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramér-von Mises goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests and propose a generalisation to identically distributed, but dependent univariate random variables. We show that the dependence leads to a reduction of the "effective" number of independent observations. The generalised GoF tests are not…

2011-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

CSD improves goodness-of-fit testing for higher-order dependence.

problem Insensitivity of standard KSDs to higher-order dependence features like tail dependence.
method Introduces Copula-Stein Discrepancy (CSD) that targets dependence geometry directly on copula density.
result CSD is sensitive to differences in tail dependence coefficients and metrizes weak convergence of copula distributions.

Optimal testing for densities under local differential privacy constraints.

problem Testing goodness-of-fit for densities under privacy constraints.
method Estimation of quadratic distance and minimax separation rates.
result First minimax optimal test under local differential privacy constraints.

The paper advances U-statistics in dependent settings, improving spectral estimation and goodness-of-fit tests.

problem Non-asymptotic analysis of U-statistics in dependent Markov chain settings.
method Proved new concentration and exponential inequalities for U-statistics, applied to spectral estimation, online algorithms, and goodness-of-fit tests.
result Established new results for spectral estimation, online algorithms, and goodness-of-fit tests in Markov chain settings.