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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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67133200266 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Global Change

New algorithm for nonstationary multi-armed bandits with optimal performance.

problem Nonstationary multi-armed bandits with changing model parameters over time.
method Adaptive Resetting Bandit (ADR-bandit) algorithm using adaptive windowing techniques.
result ADR-bandit achieves nearly optimal performance in both abrupt and gradual changes.

Study explores embedding signature-changing manifolds into higher-dimensional spaces.

problem Smooth metric signature changes in spacetimes.
method Global isometric embeddings into higher-dimensional pseudo-Euclidean spaces.
result Explicit constructions of global embeddings into Minkowski and Misner spaces.

Study shows non-orientable manifolds restrict signature-changing metrics globally.

problem Global obstructions to signature-changing metrics on non-orientable manifolds.
method Explicit geometric constructions based on Möbius strip topology.
result Radical of signature-changing metrics cannot be everywhere transverse.

Many real-world networks are complex dynamical systems, where both local (e.g., changing node attributes) and global (e.g., changing network topology) processes unfold over time. Local dynamics may provoke global changes in the network, and the ability to detect such effects could have profound implications for a numbe…

2017-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel approach combines local and global brain changes for AD prediction.

problem Detecting Alzheimer's disease through local and global brain changes.
method Patch-based 3D-CNNs combined with global topological features for multi-scale brain tissue connectivity.
result Average precision score of 0.95 for classifying cognitively normal subjects and AD patients (prevalence ~55%).

Graph neural networks help assess how global changes affect plant-pollinator networks.

problem Interpreting GNN results to understand how global changes impact plant-pollinator networks.
method Simulation study and application on Spipoll dataset to assess effects of global changes on pollination networks.
result GNNs can detect interactive effects between covariates and plant genera on pollination network connectivity.

A successful response to climate change needs vast investments in low-carbon research, energy, and sustainable development. Governments can drive research, provide environmental regulation, and accelerate global development, but the necessary low-carbon investments of 2-3% GDP have yet to materialise. A new strategy to…

2018-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

TADA detects anomalies in time series using topological data analysis.

problem Detecting global changes in dependency structure between channels in multivariate time series.
method Topological Data Analysis for detecting anomalies in multivariate time series.
result The approach is more suitable for detecting global changes of correlation structures than existing methods.

We give sufficient conditions for a Cc1 C^1_c -local diffeomorphism between Fréchet spaces to be a global one. We extend the Clarke's theory of generalized gradients to the more general setting of Fréchet spaces. As a consequence, we define the Chang Palais-Smale condition for Lipschitz functions and show that a functio…

2019-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The study examines how global economic policy uncertainty affects crude oil futures volatility.

problem Predicting crude oil futures volatility using global economic policy uncertainty.
method Established single-factor and two-factor models under the GARCH-MIDAS framework, tested with rolling-window and fixed-span specifications.
result GEPU changes have stronger predictive power than the GEPU index for crude oil futures volatility.

This study examined how the correlation and network structure of 30 global indices and 145 local Korean indices belonging to the KOSPI 200 have changed during the 13-year period, 2000-2012. The correlations among the indices were calculated. The results showed that although the average correlations of the global indice…

2014-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The study explores spacetimes with changing spatial curvature, leading to topological transitions.

problem The need for a model that avoids infinite matter and energy after the Big Bang.
method Investigates spacetimes with time-dependent spatial curvature, allowing it to change sign.
result Topological transitions are possible in spacetimes with time-dependent spatial curvature.

Study analyzes Airbnb booking lead times during global crises using a new metric.

problem Disruptions in booking behaviors during global crises affect forecasting accuracy.
method Normalized L1 (Manhattan) distance to assess lead time divergences.
result Identified two-phase disruption: abrupt change at pandemic onset followed by partial recovery.

The aim of the present paper is to establish a global theory of conformal changes in Finsler geometry. Under this change, we obtain the relationships between the most important geometric objects associated to (M,L)(M,L) and the corresponding objects associated to (M,L~)(M,\tilde{L}), L~=eσ(x)L\widetilde{L}=e^{σ(x)} L being the Finsl…

2006-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We examine how the structure of the world trade network has been shaped by globalization and recessions over the last 40 years. We show that by treating the world trade network as an evolving system, theory predicts the trade network is more sensitive to evolutionary shocks and recovers more slowly from them now than i…

2010-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses AI to predict changes in international public finances based on US markets.

problem Understanding correlations between US and international public finances.
method Artificial intelligence and neural networks to model and predict changes.
result Neural network model achieved MSE of 2.79, indicating significant correlation and impact of US market volatility on international markets.

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such information flow. It is now an established fact that a stock market crash in one co…

2019-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The abstract introduces golden Finsler structures and explores their local and global properties.

problem Investigating geometric properties of golden Finsler structures.
method Local and global analysis of golden Finsler structures, including explicit computations and transformations.
result Proved that golden Finsler structures cannot be projectively related.

Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humanity, and we, as machine learning experts, may wonder how we can help. Here we describe how machine learning can be a powerful tool in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and helping society adapt to a changing climate. From smart grids to disaster management, w…

2019-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider online detection strategies for identifying a change point in a stream of quantum particles allegedly prepared in identical states. We show that the identification of the change point can be done without error via sequential local measurements while attaining the optimal performance bound set by quantum mec…

2018-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The stability analysis of socioeconomic systems has been centered on answering whether small perturbations when a system is in a given quantitative state will push the system permanently to a different quantitative state. However, typically the quantitative state of socioeconomic systems is subject to constant change. …

2014-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Let M be an oriented compact 3-manifold and let T be a (loose) triangulation of M, with ideal vertices at the components of the boundary of M and possibly internal vertices. We show that any spin structure s on M can be encoded by extra combinatorial structures on T. We then analyze how to change these extra structures…

2013-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The study examines cross-border lending behavior from G7 countries, showing changes in driving factors after the 2008 financial crisis.

problem Understanding the factors affecting cross-border lending behavior among G7 countries.
method Employed a gravity model to analyze bilateral and global factors influencing cross-border lending.
result Driving factors for cross-border lending have changed since the 2008 financial crisis, with continent variable becoming more significant.

A trivial projective change of a Finsler metric FF is the Finsler metric F+dfF + df. I explain when it is possible to make a given Finsler metric both forward and backward complete by a trivial projective change. The problem actually came from lorentz geometry and mathematical relativity: it was observed that it is poss…

2011-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals trade dynamics in dry bulk shipping networks, highlighting their randomness and periodic changes.

problem Understanding the randomness and periodic changes in dry bulk shipping networks.
method Analysis of micro-level trade flow data from 2015 to 2023, focusing on grain, coal, and iron ore networks.
result Dry bulk shipping networks exhibit small-world phenomena and periodic life cycles, influenced by importing ports and global events.

Study analyzes market co-movements in critical mineral investments using change point detection and cross-sectional analysis.

problem Market dynamics in critical mineral investments during significant global events.
method Combines change-point detection (PELT algorithm) with cross-sectional analysis on ESG-ranked ETFs.
result Investors herded during market downturns and shifted to anti-herding after positive news and geopolitical shocks.

Develops MENT for interpreting and detecting changes in network trajectories.

problem Distortion of network geometry and invalidation of temporal comparisons in dynamic network analysis.
method Develops Multiscale Euclidean Network Trajectories (MENT) framework based on second-moment geometry.
result Validates and interprets network trajectories through isotropic normalization and orthogonal transformations.

Gradient descent proves global convergence for 4-layer matrix factorization.

problem Global convergence of gradient descent on four-layer matrix factorization under random initialization.
method New techniques to show saddle-avoidance properties and extend eigenvalue theories.
result Polynomial-time global convergence guarantee for randomly initialized gradient descent on four-layer matrix factorization.

Study uses APT and QR to identify risk factors affecting crude oil returns.

problem Determining the risk factors impacting crude oil returns.
method Employed Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Quantile Regression.
result Identified key risk factors: industrial production, inflation, energy prices, yield curve shape, and economic policy uncertainty.

Though machine learning has achieved notable success in modeling sequential and spatial data for speech recognition and in computer vision, applications to remote sensing and climate science problems are seldom considered. In this paper, we demonstrate techniques from unsupervised learning of future video frame predict…

2019-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling climate change costs with stochastic interest rates shows inequality, but funding abatement can reduce this.

problem Evaluating the costs and benefits of climate change mitigation with uncertain discount rates.
method Amended DICE model with stochastic interest rates and funding abatement costs.
result Introducing funding abatement can reduce intergenerational inequality in climate change costs.

Framework LiLY recovers latent causal variables from time-series data under distribution shifts.

problem Learning and correcting models under unknown distribution shifts in time-series data.
method LiLY framework that recovers latent causal variables and identifies their relations from temporal data under different distribution shifts.
result The framework reliably identifies time-delayed latent causal influences from observed variables under different distribution changes.

Deep models generate geometric objects with global properties.

problem Comparing neural models' global properties from generated samples.
method Training on datasets of reflexive polytopes, comparing different representations.
result Models learn non-trivial global properties of geometric objects.

Globally irreducible nodes (i.e. nodes whose branches belong to the same irreducible component) have mild effects on the most common topological invariants of an algebraic curve. In other words, adding a globally irreducible node (simple nodal degeneration) to a curve should not change them a lot. In this paper we stud…

2004-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗