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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Geographical Scales

condLSTM-Q predicts COVID-19 deaths at county level with quantile forecasts.

problem Predicting COVID-19 mortality at fine geographical scales.
method Conditional Long Short-Term Memory networks with quantile output.
result Fine-scale quantile predictions inform about death toll distribution.

The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.

problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.

Study improves motor insurance claim prediction using geographic data.

problem Limited location identifiers in public actuarial datasets.
method Zone-level modeling framework with environmental and orthoimagery data.
result Geographic information improves MTPL claim prediction accuracy.

Study uses trajectory embedding to measure place function similarity at fine spatial granularity.

problem Measuring place function similarity at fine spatial granularity.
method Trajectory embedding to reduce dimensions and measure similarity of place functions.
result Embedding similarity can be a metric proxy for place functions at fine spatial granularity.

This paper maps the large-scale variation of the Spanish language by employing a corpus based on geographically tagged Twitter messages. Lexical dialects are extracted from an analysis of variants of tens of concepts. The resulting maps show linguistic variation on an unprecedented scale across the globe. We discuss th…

2015-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

For the purpose of elucidating the correlation among currencies, we analyze daily and high-resolution data of foreign exchange rates. There is strong correlation for pairs of currencies of geographically near countries. We show that there is a time delay of order less than a minute between two currency markets having a…

2003-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study analyzes seasonal hydroclimatic features across climates and continents.

problem Lack of seasonal hydroclimatic feature analysis for Koppen-Geiger climates and continents.
method Global-scale analysis of 13,000 time series using 7 features.
result Notable differences in feature magnitudes across Koppen-Geiger climate classes and continental regions.

GWRBoost improves GWR for better spatial relationship quantification.

problem Underfitting in GWR for complex data and lack of explainable quantification.
method Geographically weighted gradient boosting model using localized additive model and gradient boosting optimization.
result Significant improvement in RMSE and AICc compared to classic GWR.

Study analyzes fintech terms in news and blogs, revealing specialized attributes of fintech companies.

problem Understanding specialized attributes of fintech companies through term analysis.
method Large scale analysis of fintech terms in news and blogs, using complex networks and statistically validated networks.
result Companies with fintech terms have over-expressions of specific attributes related to geography and economy.

STICC clusters geographic objects considering both spatial contiguity and attributes.

problem Discovering repeated geographic patterns with spatial contiguity.
method Spatial Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering (STICC) method.
result STICC significantly outperforms baseline methods in adjusted rand index and macro-F1 score.

Interpretable ML models predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.

problem Improving recidivism prediction models for fairness and interpretability.
method Trained interpretable ML models on two recidivism datasets, compared to existing methods, and analyzed fairness.
result Interpretable ML models can predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.

Algorithm selects variables and bandwidths for geographically weighted regression.

problem Estimating variable subsets and bandwidths for geographically weighted regression.
method Mathematical programming-based approach integrating variable selection and bandwidth estimation.
result Proposed algorithm provides stable spatially varying patterns with competitive explanatory power.

SXL embeds spatial autocorrelation into neural networks for better geographic data learning.

problem Difficulties in learning spatial effects for neural networks in geographic data.
method SXL uses auxiliary tasks and autoregressive embeddings to learn spatial autocorrelation.
result SXL improves neural network training in unsupervised and supervised learning tasks.

Study reveals centralization in Bitcoin transactions involving retail users.

problem Centralization and bias in Bitcoin transaction data.
method Heuristic classification of Bitcoin users, weekly activity pattern analysis.
result Most real transactions involve Frequent Receivers, centralizing the ecosystem.

New method generates geolocated synthetic populations from real data.

problem Generating synthetic populations with explicit geographic coordinates.
method Mapping coordinates into a latent space using Normalizing Flows (NF), then combining with other features in a Variational Autoencoder (VAE).
result NF+VAE architecture outperforms existing methods in generating geolocated synthetic populations.

The objective of this paper is to fill a gap in the literature on internationalization, in relation to the absence of objective and measurable performance indicators on the process of how firms sequentially enter external markets. To that end, this research develops a quantitative tool that can be used as a performance…

2017-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes FSM-IRL to learn invariant network representations considering feature and structural shifts.

problem Spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics lead to OOD generalization issues in geographic networks.
method Introduces FSM-IRL model that accounts for feature and structural distribution shifts using causal attention and reweighting.
result Demonstrates strong learning capabilities on geographic and social network datasets in OOD scenarios.

TradeFM learns market microstructure from trade events, improving financial model accuracy.

problem Lack of generalizable models for market microstructure.
method Generative Transformer model trained on billions of trade events, using scale-invariant features and universal tokenization.
result TradeFM generates rollouts that match key stylized facts of financial returns and outperforms existing models.

2020 Census uses more noise to protect privacy than needed, improving data accuracy.

problem Ensuring privacy in census data while maintaining accuracy for policy decisions.
method Applied ff-differential privacy to track and reduce noise across geographical levels.
result The 2020 Census provides stronger privacy protections than its nominal guarantees suggest.

Spatial machine learning improves poverty targeting in Indonesia.

problem Conventional PMT methods have high exclusion and inclusion errors due to spatial dependencies and regional heterogeneity.
method Integrates spatial contiguity matrices into SML models to identify and compare poverty clusters.
result SML reduces exclusion errors from 28% to 20% compared to standard machine learning models.

Study evaluates methods for improving model robustness to various real-world distribution shifts.

problem Improving model robustness to real-world distribution shifts like geographic changes.
method Introduced new datasets and evaluated existing methods on four types of shifts (style, blurriness, location, camera operation).
result Data augmentations and larger models can improve robustness on real-world distribution shifts, contrary to prior claims.