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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Genetic Risk Factors

One primary task of population health analysis is the identification of risk factors that, for some subpopulation, have a significant association with some health condition. Examples include finding lifestyle factors associated with chronic diseases and finding genetic mutations associated with diseases in precision he…

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel method identifies proteomic risk markers for Alzheimer disease.

problem Lack of comprehensive proteomic risk markers for Alzheimer disease diagnosis.
method Deep belief network-based feature selection method using proteomic and clinical data.
result Identified an optimal subset of proteins achieving 90% accuracy in Alzheimer disease diagnosis.

ENN method uses expectile regression for genetic data analysis of complex diseases.

problem Discover additional genetic variants contributing to complex diseases.
method Developed an expectile neural network (ENN) method integrating expectile regression and neural networks.
result ENN method outperforms existing expectile regression in discovering genetic variants predisposing to sub-populations.

Sparse GFA identifies disease factors in FTD subgroups.

problem Heterogeneity in neurological disorders hinders understanding and treatment.
method Sparse Group Factor Analysis (GFA) with regularised horseshoe priors.
result Identified latent disease factors differentially expressed in FTD subgroups.

BayesMR estimates causal effects and directionality from genetic data.

problem Challenges in finding good genetic instruments and estimating causal effects.
method Bayesian Mendelian randomization approach that accounts for pleiotropy and reverse causation.
result BayesMR provides a posterior distribution over causal effects and uncertainty.

GA-MSSR optimizes forex trading rules for higher returns and reduced risk.

problem Noisy market data affects the consistency and profitability of trading algorithms.
method Optimized trading rules derived from technical indicators using a Genetic Algorithm.
result GA-MSSR achieved superior performance with significant positive returns and reduced risk factors.

This study introduces a new GAS blending ensemble model for Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Predicting Bitcoin price fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.
method Integrates advanced ensemble learning methods, feature selection algorithms, and sentiment analysis.
result The GAS model demonstrates excellent performance in daily Bitcoin trend prediction.

Enhances genetic programming for stock alpha discovery with warm start and structural constraints.

problem Overwhelming search space and computational burden in traditional genetic programming for alpha factor discovery.
method Proposes a new GP framework with warm start and structural constraints to enhance search performance and interpretability.
result Superior out-of-sample prediction results and higher portfolio returns compared to benchmarks.

New methods improve genetic studies of complex diseases.

problem Improving genetic studies of complex diseases using high-dimensional clinical data.
method Evaluation of unsupervised disentangled representation learning methods (autoencoders, VAE, beta-VAE, FactorVAE) for genetic association studies.
result FactorVAEs and beta-VAEs outperform standard VAEs and non-variational autoencoders in genetic studies of asthma and COPD.

Gradient boosting enhances existing Mendelian models for genetic disease risk prediction.

problem Improving existing Mendelian models for genetic disease risk prediction.
method Combining gradient boosting with existing Mendelian models.
result Improved model outperforms both original and gradient boosting-only models.

Lapse-supported life insurance exacerbates adverse selection risks.

problem Lapse-supported life insurance increases adverse selection costs.
method Modeling 'Term to 100' contracts and analyzing three methods of managing lapse surplus.
result Adverse selection losses can be almost unlimited under certain conditions.

A new model selects low-carbon mutual funds considering ESG criteria, risk, and investor preferences.

problem Aligning financial investments with a low-carbon economy.
method Tri-criterion portfolio selection model using a preference-based multi-objective genetic algorithm (ev-MOGA).
result The model successfully incorporates carbon risk exposure and loss-adverse attitudes into portfolio construction.

DL/FBF improves GPSR solutions by selecting compact, generalising expressions.

problem Overfitting and structural bloat in symbolic regression with genetic programming.
method Description length (DL) and fractional Bayes factor (FBF) criteria for selecting compact, generalising expressions.
result DL/FBF post-selection improves test performance compared to AIC/BIC baseline.

Metaheuristics optimize portfolios with pre-assignment and margin trading for better risk-adjusted returns.

problem Maximizing returns while minimizing risk in portfolio optimization.
method Incorporates pre-assignment constraints and margin trading strategies using Genetic Algorithms and Particle Swarm Optimization.
result Metaheuristic-based portfolio optimization yields superior risk-adjusted returns compared to traditional methods.

Develops a SAS approach for high-dimensional risk prediction using unlabeled data.

problem Challenges in risk modeling with EHR data due to lack of direct disease outcomes and high dimensionality.
method Surrogate Assisted Semi-supervised Learning (SAS) approach leveraging unlabeled and labeled data.
result Valid inference for predicted risk even when underlying model is dense and mis-specified.

Progress in probabilistic generative models has accelerated, developing richer models with neural architectures, implicit densities, and with scalable algorithms for their Bayesian inference. However, there has been limited progress in models that capture causal relationships, for example, how individual genetic factor…

2017-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Method controls extrapolation in prediction profiles for statistical and machine learning models.

problem Avoiding invalid predictions due to extrapolation in prediction profiles.
method Genetic algorithm optimization over constrained factor regions.
result Optimal factor settings without constraint are often invalid and extrapolated.

Optimizes stock portfolios with profit, risk, and sustainability.

problem Balancing profit, risk, and sustainability in stock portfolio management.
method Developed a novel utility function combining Sharpe ratio and ESG scores; used genetic algorithm for optimization.
result System outperforms traditional reinforcement learning methods and improves on risk and sustainability metrics.

In this paper, we solve portfolio rebalancing problem when security returns are represented by uncertain variables considering transaction costs. The performance of the proposed model is studied using constant-proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI) as rebalancing strategy. Numerical results showed that uncertain paramet…

2018-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

With the emergence of the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services on October 1, 2012, forecasting unplanned patient readmission risk became crucial to the healthcare domain. There are tangible works in the literature emphasizing on developing readmission risk prediction m…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Linear Mixed Models (LMMs) are important tools in statistical genetics. When used for feature selection, they allow to find a sparse set of genetic traits that best predict a continuous phenotype of interest, while simultaneously correcting for various confounding factors such as age, ethnicity and population structure…

2015-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural networks improve cancer risk prediction from family history data.

problem Improving cancer risk prediction from family history data using machine learning.
method Developed and trained neural network models on large pedigrees to predict hereditary cancers.
result Neural networks can achieve nearly optimal prediction performance and outperform traditional models in misreported data.

Proposes a two-stage method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using gradient boosting trees.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in randomized clinical trials with high-dimensional predictive markers.
method Two-stage statistical learning procedure using gradient boosting trees (XGBoost) to estimate main effects and HTE.
result Improves efficiency in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects through nonparametric function estimation.

Advances of modern sensing and sequencing technologies generate a deluge of high dimensional space-temporal physiological and next-generation sequencing (NGS) data. Physiological traits are observed either as continuous random functions, or on a dense grid and referred to as function-valued traits. Both physiological a…

2014-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Genetic programming (GP) is the state-of-the-art in financial automated feature construction task. It employs reverse polish expression to represent features and then conducts the evolution process. However, with the development of deep learning, more powerful feature extraction tools are available. This paper proposes…

2019-12-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Software development effort estimation is considered a fundamental task for software development life cycle as well as for managing project cost, time and quality. Therefore, accurate estimation is a substantial factor in projects success and reducing the risks. In recent years, software effort estimation has received …

2019-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

BoGA combines evolutionary search with Bayesian optimization for efficient protein design.

problem Designing novel proteins with specific characteristics is challenging due to sequence space complexity.
method BoGA integrates a genetic algorithm with Bayesian optimization to efficiently explore sequence space.
result BoGA accelerates discovery of high-confidence binders for diverse protein design objectives.

Efficiently infers graph edges from genetic similarity data in landscape genetics.

problem Inferring unknown graph edges from genetic similarity data in a heterogeneous landscape.
method Developed an efficient first-order optimization method to solve the inverse landscape genetics problem.
result Our method provides fast and reliable convergence, significantly outperforming existing heuristics.

Paper uses machine learning to analyze stock market anomalies, predicting drift direction and portfolio performance.

problem Capturing dynamics of Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift (PEAD) using machine learning.
method Uses Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) with genetic algorithm optimization to analyze PEAD dynamics.
result Demonstrates how PEAD dynamics are influenced by different factors across sectors and quarters.

This study examines the evolving causal structure of equity risk factors.

problem Redundancy and risk contagion in multi-factor strategies during financial crises.
method Causal structure learning methods applied to US equity market data over 29 years.
result Statistically significant sparsifying trend of causal structure during normal times, but densification during financial stress.

We propose a Bayesian regression method that accounts for multi-way interactions of arbitrary orders among the predictor variables. Our model makes use of a factorization mechanism for representing the regression coefficients of interactions among the predictors, while the interaction selection is guided by a prior dis…

2017-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗