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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3557111,0661,421 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Generative Bayesian Computation

Bayesian methods enhance deep learning models by improving reliability and uncertainty.

problem Improving reliability and uncertainty awareness in deep learning models.
method Approximate Bayesian inference techniques, including SG-MCMC and VI, applied to deep learning models.
result Enhanced posterior inference for deep learning models, particularly in neural networks and generative models.

The paper proposes using path signatures for better inference in time series data.

problem Simulation models with time series data often lack tractable likelihood functions.
method Approximate Bayesian Computation with path signatures to handle sequential data.
result Theoretical guarantees on the resultant posteriors for Bayesian parameter inference.

Bayesian Deep Learning tackles inverse problems with neural networks and approximate computations.

problem Solving inverse problems with indirect measurements and uncertainties.
method Bayesian Deep Learning, using neural networks and approximate computations.
result Effective solutions for inverse problems using Bayesian Deep Learning.

The paper connects ABC to GBI, suggesting ABC as a robustification strategy.

problem Approximate Bayesian Computation struggles with tractability in complex simulators.
method Reinterpreting ABC as an implicitly defined error model and suggesting GBI.
result ABC can be seen as a robustification strategy for approximating Bayesian posteriors.

This paper examines how neural architectures support amortized Bayesian inference and its performance under varying conditions.

problem Understanding and evaluating amortized inference under signal-to-noise variation and distribution shift.
method Statistical analysis of neural architectures including feedforward networks, Deep Sets, and Transformers.
result Neural architectures support amortized Bayesian inference, offering controlled generalization error and robustness under varying conditions.

UA-SABI uses surrogates to speed up Bayesian inference for expensive models.

problem Inference for computationally expensive models is slow and uncertain.
method Combines surrogate modeling with Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) to propagate uncertainties.
result Reliable, fast, and repeated Bayesian inference for expensive models is achieved.

This Chapter, "Overview of Approximate Bayesian Computation", is to appear as the first chapter in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). It details the main ideas and concepts behind ABC methods with many examples and illustrations.

2018-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes efficient method for evaluating Bayesian models in imaging.

problem Evaluation of Bayesian models in imaging when ground truth is unavailable.
method Novel combination of Bayesian cross-validation and data fission for unsupervised model selection and misspecification detection.
result Achieved excellent selection and detection accuracy with low computational cost.

Generative Bayesian Computation improves surrogates for expensive simulations.

problem Limitations of Gaussian process surrogates in handling complex, non-stationary data.
method Generative Bayesian Computation via Implicit Quantile Networks (IQNs).
result Generative Bayesian Computation outperforms traditional Gaussian process methods across various benchmarks.

Efficient algorithm for Bayesian networks reduces marginal probability distribution computation.

problem Exact computation of marginal probability distribution is NP-hard for categorical variables in Bayesian networks.
method Divide-and-conquer approach exploiting graphical properties of Bayesian networks.
result Novel algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art methods in classification and cancer subtype identification.

Develops a new Bayesian inference method for discrete data.

problem Computational challenges in discrete state spaces, especially intractable likelihoods.
method Uses a discrete Fisher divergence to update beliefs about model parameters, circumventing the intractable normalising constant.
result Establishes statistical properties of the generalised posterior and proposes a calibration approach.

Proposes a new method to improve Bayesian computation accuracy using flexible classification.

problem Bayesian computations accuracy check using rank-based simulation-based calibration has limitations.
method Replaces marginal rank test with a flexible classification approach that learns from data.
result Improves statistical power and provides an interpretable divergence measure of miscalibration.

GACTGAN synthesizes tabular data better with less computational overhead.

problem Synthesizing mixed tabular data while balancing risk and utility.
method Integrates Bayesian posterior approximation with Stochastic Weight Averaging-Gaussian (SWAG) in CTGAN.
result GACTGAN produces better synthetic data with reduced privacy risk.

This paper considers the computational power of constant size, dynamic Bayesian networks. Although discrete dynamic Bayesian networks are no more powerful than hidden Markov models, dynamic Bayesian networks with continuous random variables and discrete children of continuous parents are capable of performing Turing-co…

2016-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New method computes discriminative classifiers from generative models.

problem Discriminative vs generative classifiers are often seen as distinct, but this work shows they can be equivalent.
method General theoretical result showing generative classifiers can be computed discriminatively.
result Bayesian Maximum Posterior classifier from generative models matches discriminative classifier definition.

Matrix completion aims to predict missing elements in a partially observed data matrix which in typical applications, such as collaborative filtering, is large and extremely sparsely observed. A standard solution is matrix factorization, which predicts unobserved entries as linear combinations of latent variables. We g…

2019-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves Bayesian inference for parametric models, robust to misspecification.

problem Inference can be untrustworthy when parametric models are wrong.
method Adaptive nonparametric corrections for parametric Bayesian models using generalized Bayes.
result The method achieves robustness and efficiency, converging fast when the parametric model is close to true.

Bayesian optimization has emerged as a strong candidate tool for global optimization of functions with expensive evaluation costs. However, due to the dynamic nature of research in Bayesian approaches, and the evolution of computing technology, using Bayesian optimization in a parallel computing environment remains a c…

2018-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

NBF combines deep learning with classical filtering for better belief tracking.

problem Maintaining distributions over hidden states in partially observable systems.
method Trains neural networks to map beliefs to fixed-length vectors, updating them with incoming observations and dynamics.
result NBF efficiently tracks shifting, multimodal beliefs without particle impoverishment.

New method calibrates neural network uncertainty for medical images.

problem Uncalibrated probabilistic outputs from deep neural networks in medical diagnosis.
method Functional space variational inference for Bayesian neural networks.
result Better calibrated uncertainty estimates at lower computational cost.

A new method for efficient computation of Knowledge Gradient in Bayesian optimization.

problem Efficient computation of the Knowledge Gradient for Bayesian optimization.
method One-shot Hybrid KG, a new approach combining previous ideas.
result The new method is cheap to compute and preserves theoretical properties of previous methods.

A new method improves robustness and efficiency of Bayesian LOO-CV.

problem Computational expense and unreliability of classical LOO-CV in high-dimensional Bayesian models.
method Proposes a mixture estimator to compute Bayesian LOO-CV criteria with finite asymptotic variance.
result Improved robustness and efficiency in high-dimensional problems.

Explosive growth in data and availability of cheap computing resources have sparked increasing interest in Big learning, an emerging subfield that studies scalable machine learning algorithms, systems, and applications with Big Data. Bayesian methods represent one important class of statistic methods for machine learni…

2014-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces new Bayesian network classifiers for better classification accuracy.

problem Improving supervised classification accuracy using Bayesian network classifiers.
method Developed novel classes of generative classifiers based on staged tree models, extending Bayesian networks.
result Data-driven learning routines enhance the accuracy of the new classifiers.

Paper develops robust Bayesian models for linear regression under adversarial perturbations.

problem Ensuring reliable machine learning models under data perturbations.
method Formulates adversarial Bregman divergence loss, computes adversarial perturbation, introduces adversarially robust posteriors, derives generalization certificates.
result Derives first rigorous generalization certificates for adversarially robust Bayesian linear regression.

Datasets are growing not just in size but in complexity, creating a demand for rich models and quantification of uncertainty. Bayesian methods are an excellent fit for this demand, but scaling Bayesian inference is a challenge. In response to this challenge, there has been considerable recent work based on varying assu…

2016-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The classical approach to inverse problems is based on the optimization of a misfit function. Despite its computational appeal, such an approach suffers from many shortcomings, e.g., non-uniqueness of solutions, modeling prior knowledge, etc. The Bayesian formalism to inverse problems avoids most of the difficulties en…

2014-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

RCUKF combines data-driven modeling and Bayesian estimation for accurate system state estimation.

problem Challenges in obtaining reliable process models for complex systems.
method Integrates reservoir computing with unscented Kalman filtering.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on benchmark problems and real-time vehicle trajectory estimation.

The paper proposes using Autoencoders to learn summary statistics for Bayesian inference.

problem Approximating posterior distributions for models with intractable likelihood functions.
method Using Autoencoders to extract summary statistics that retain parameter information and cancel noise.
result The approach effectively learns summary statistics that improve posterior approximation.

Bayesian optimization has become a popular method for high-throughput computing, like the design of computer experiments or hyperparameter tuning of expensive models, where sample efficiency is mandatory. In these applications, distributed and scalable architectures are a necessity. However, Bayesian optimization is mo…

2019-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient-EM Bayesian meta-learning accelerates adaptation with reduced computation and improved robustness.

problem Efficient and robust adaptation to new tasks with uncertainty assessment.
method Extends Bayesian meta-learning with gradient-EM algorithm, decoupling inner-update from meta-update.
result Improves accuracy with less computation cost and enhanced robustness to uncertainty.