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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3056099141,218 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Generalized Bayesian Inference

Bayesian methods enhance deep learning models by improving reliability and uncertainty.

problem Improving reliability and uncertainty awareness in deep learning models.
method Approximate Bayesian inference techniques, including SG-MCMC and VI, applied to deep learning models.
result Enhanced posterior inference for deep learning models, particularly in neural networks and generative models.

UA-SABI uses surrogates to speed up Bayesian inference for expensive models.

problem Inference for computationally expensive models is slow and uncertain.
method Combines surrogate modeling with Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) to propagate uncertainties.
result Reliable, fast, and repeated Bayesian inference for expensive models is achieved.

Enhances robustness in experimental design through Generalised Bayesian inference.

problem Poor inference and estimates of information gain when statistical model is incorrectly specified.
method Generalised Bayesian (Gibbs) inference framework applied to experimental design.
result GBOED enhances robustness to outliers and incorrect assumptions about noise distribution.

SOLBP extends efficient inference to uncertain Bayesian networks.

problem Inference in uncertain Bayesian networks with second-order probabilities.
method Extends Loopy Belief Propagation to second-order Bayesian networks.
result Generates inferences consistent with sum-product networks, more efficient and scalable.

FHBI enhances generalization in Bayesian inference with iterative steps in functional spaces.

problem Improving generalization in Bayesian inference models.
method Iterative two-step procedure with adversarial and functional descent steps in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space.
result FHBI consistently outperforms nine baseline methods on the VTAB-1K benchmark.

BLISS detects and separates astronomical sources quickly and accurately.

problem Detecting and separating overlapping astronomical sources in large images.
method Bayesian Light Source Separator (BLISS) using deep generative models and variational inference.
result BLISS can process megapixel images in seconds and produce highly accurate catalogs.

Bayesian framework for encoding uncertainty and inducing sparsity.

problem Handling uncertainty and inducing sparsity in statistical models.
method General Bayesian framework with explicit encoding of uncertainty and sparsity-inducing approach.
result Effective in linear and logistic regression, and Bayesian neural networks.

This paper examines how neural architectures support amortized Bayesian inference and its performance under varying conditions.

problem Understanding and evaluating amortized inference under signal-to-noise variation and distribution shift.
method Statistical analysis of neural architectures including feedforward networks, Deep Sets, and Transformers.
result Neural architectures support amortized Bayesian inference, offering controlled generalization error and robustness under varying conditions.

The paper proposes using path signatures for better inference in time series data.

problem Simulation models with time series data often lack tractable likelihood functions.
method Approximate Bayesian Computation with path signatures to handle sequential data.
result Theoretical guarantees on the resultant posteriors for Bayesian parameter inference.

Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely feasible in practice and approximation methods are usually employed, but do such met…

2019-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We study Bayesian discriminative inference given a model family $p(c,\x, θ)$ that is assumed to contain all our prior information but still known to be incorrect. This falls in between "standard" Bayesian generative modeling and Bayesian regression, where the margin $p(\x,θ)$ is known to be uninformative about $p(c|\x,…

2008-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Two novel distributed VB algorithms improve Bayesian inference in sensor networks.

problem Efficient inference in Bayesian frameworks for sensor networks.
method Two novel distributed VB algorithms for general Bayesian inference, using stochastic natural gradient and ADMM.
result Distributed algorithms perform nearly as well as centralized ones, demonstrating excellent performance.

Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate inference improve regret bounds in stochastic linear bandits.

problem Theoretical justification for Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate inference in stochastic linear bandits.
method Proposed a theoretical framework to analyze approximate inference impact and conducted frequentist regret analysis on LinTS and LinBUCB.
result LinTS and LinBUCB preserve their original regret upper bounds with larger constant terms in approximate inference settings.

Bayesian neural networks use temperature adjustments to improve predictive performance.

problem Lack of theoretical generalization guarantees for Bayesian neural networks.
method Temperature adjustments to balance likelihood and prior regularization.
result Improved predictive performance through temperature adjustments.

Paper tackles SBI under model misspecification, presenting robust strategies.

problem Challenges in SBI under model misspecification.
method Three key strategies: robust summary statistics, generalised Bayesian inference, and error modelling.
result Empirical results show vulnerabilities of SBI and effectiveness of misspecification-robust alternatives.

Improved Bayesian inference via variational approximations of generalized rho-posteriors.

problem Robust Bayesian inference under model misspecification and data contamination.
method Introducing a modified ρρ-posterior and using PAC-Bayesian analysis with variational approximations.
result Theoretical guarantees for tractable inference with competitive robustness and computational efficiency.

Solla discusses neural processing using statistical physics and Bayesian methods.

problem Understanding neural information processing through statistical physics.
method Bayesian inference, Gibbs description, Generalized Linear Models, dimensionality reduction.
result Connection between neural processing and statistical physics.

PClean automates Bayesian data cleaning for specific datasets.

problem Bayesian inference for diverse and complex data cleaning.
method Domain-specific probabilistic programming language with custom models and inference.
result PClean programs outperform general-purpose PPLs in accuracy and runtime.

Bayesian inference with deep, weakly nonlinear networks is solved rigorously.

problem Bayesian inference with neural networks of specific structure.
method Perturbative analysis of fully connected neural networks with a shaped nonlinearity.
result Neural network Bayesian inference can be equivalent to kernel methods under certain conditions.

New method improves Bayesian inference for parametric models, robust to misspecification.

problem Inference can be untrustworthy when parametric models are wrong.
method Adaptive nonparametric corrections for parametric Bayesian models using generalized Bayes.
result The method achieves robustness and efficiency, converging fast when the parametric model is close to true.

Study analyzes EU in variational inference for Bayesian deep learning.

problem Analyzing epistemic uncertainty in variational inference for Bayesian deep learning.
method Theoretical analysis and derivation of relations between generalization error and EU measurements. Proposing a new objective function for VI.
result Proposed new objective function significantly improves EU evaluation over existing VI methods.

New diagnostic tool for assessing approximate Bayesian inference.

problem Assessing the trustworthiness of approximate Bayesian inference.
method Reframe the problem in terms of incompatible conditional distributions and use Gibbs priors.
result The diagnostic tool can discover the inductive bias in various Bayesian models and approximations.

Exact Bayesian inference for discrete models using probability generating functions.

problem Discrete statistical models with infinite support and continuous priors.
method Probabilistic programming language with automatic differentiation and probability generating functions.
result Genfer tool provides exact solutions for a wide range of inference problems.

Enhances multi-modular models by directing information flow between components.

problem Improving predictive performance in multi-modular models with misspecification.
method Introduces Semi-Modular Inference (SMI) with an influence parameter to control information flow between modules.
result SMI allows for tunable and directed information flow, improving prediction in some settings.

Generative Bayesian Filtering improves inference in complex models without explicit density evaluations.

problem Performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models.
method Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) extends GBC to dynamic settings using deep neural networks for recursive posterior inference. Generative-Gibbs sampler bypasses density evaluations for parameter learning.
result GBF significantly outperforms likelihood-free approaches in accuracy and robustness for intractable state-space models.

Stacking improves inference for multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions.

problem Difficulty of MCMC in moving between modes and underestimation of posterior uncertainty.
method Parallel runs of MCMC, variational, or mode-based inference, combined using Bayesian stacking.
result Stacking efficiently samples from multimodal posterior distributions and represents uncertainty better than variational inference.

MsIGN tackles high-dimensional Bayesian inference using multiscale structure.

problem High-dimensional Bayesian inference challenges due to the curse of dimensionality.
method MsIGN generates samples from coarse to fine scale, minimizing Jeffreys divergence.
result MsIGN outperforms previous approaches in posterior approximation and mode capture.

The paper connects ABC to GBI, suggesting ABC as a robustification strategy.

problem Approximate Bayesian Computation struggles with tractability in complex simulators.
method Reinterpreting ABC as an implicitly defined error model and suggesting GBI.
result ABC can be seen as a robustification strategy for approximating Bayesian posteriors.

This paper improves Bayesian inference for predictive models with limited data.

problem Effective uncertainty quantification for training predictive models with limited data.
method Entropy-regularized gradient estimators to approximate the Bayesian posterior.
result The method generates diverse samples from the posterior distribution efficiently.

Unified framework for arbitrary conditional inference using AI and Bayesian methods.

problem Limited flexibility in existing conditional inference methods.
method Bayesian generative modeling with stochastic iterative algorithm.
result Single learned model for universal conditional prediction with uncertainty quantification.

Bayesian Deep Learning tackles inverse problems with neural networks and approximate computations.

problem Solving inverse problems with indirect measurements and uncertainties.
method Bayesian Deep Learning, using neural networks and approximate computations.
result Effective solutions for inverse problems using Bayesian Deep Learning.

ALINE optimizes Bayesian inference and data acquisition by strategically querying informative data.

problem Strategic acquisition of informative data for Bayesian inference in challenging tasks.
method Unified framework combining amortized Bayesian inference and active data acquisition using a transformer architecture trained via reinforcement learning.
result ALINE delivers both instant and accurate inference along with efficient selection of informative points.