A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This work explores variably scaled kernels to improve non-stationary Gaussian processes.
Variable selection for Gaussian process models is often done using automatic relevance determination, which uses the inverse length-scale parameter of each input variable as a proxy for variable relevance. This implicitly determined relevance has several drawbacks that prevent the selection of optimal input variables i…
tvGP-VAE models tensor-valued latent variables with Gaussian processes for better data structure representation.
In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of graphical models known as the structural equation model with latent variables. While …
In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of graphical models known as the structural equation model with latent variables. While …
Proves new concentration inequalities for sub-gaussian and sub-exponential variables.
Many inference problems involving questions of optimality ask for the maximum or the minimum of a finite set of unknown quantities. This technical report derives the first two posterior moments of the maximum of two correlated Gaussian variables and the first two posterior moments of the two generating variables (corre…
Method identifies latent variables from high-dimensional data with piecewise affine mixing.
Andreas Maurer in the paper "A vector-contraction inequality for Rademacher complexities" extended the contraction inequality for Rademacher averages to Lipschitz functions with vector-valued domains; He did it replacing the Rademacher variables in the bounding expression by arbitrary idd symmetric and sub-gaussian var…
The paper reviews identifiability in linear and nonlinear models, from Gaussian to non-Gaussian.
The paper develops a test for independence of selected Gaussian variables after thresholding correlations.
Gradient matching with Gaussian processes is a promising tool for learning parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODE's). The essence of gradient matching is to model the prior over state variables as a Gaussian process which implies that the joint distribution given the ODE's and GP kernels is also Gaussian di…
Paper extends FOFC algorithm to work with mixed data types.
Bayesian non-linear latent variable modeling for complex data.
Graphical models are commonly used tools for modeling multivariate random variables. While there exist many convenient multivariate distributions such as Gaussian distribution for continuous data, mixed data with the presence of discrete variables or a combination of both continuous and discrete variables poses new cha…
Improves Bayesian optimisation for engineering design problems with many variables.
Given a Gaussian Markov random field, we consider the problem of selecting a subset of variables to observe which minimizes the total expected squared prediction error of the unobserved variables. We first show that finding an exact solution is NP-hard even for a restricted class of Gaussian Markov random fields, calle…
Proposes a method to combine datasets with missing values using Gaussian process latent variables.
New neural network approach for optimizing latent variable models.
We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to depend on a set of globally relevant inducing variables which factorize the model …
Develops a new method for nonlinear dimension reduction using random features.
Sharp comparison for sub-Gaussian random variables in convex order.
We introduce the truncated Gaussian graphical model (TGGM) as a novel framework for designing statistical models for nonlinear learning. A TGGM is a Gaussian graphical model (GGM) with a subset of variables truncated to be nonnegative. The truncated variables are assumed latent and integrated out to induce a marginal m…
New method for mixed data types in graphical models.
Extracts invariant features to predict Y without confounding by Z, using conditional independence and optimal transport.
Optimal asset allocation is a key topic in modern finance theory. To realize the optimal asset allocation on investor's risk aversion, various portfolio construction methods have been proposed. Recently, the applications of machine learning are rapidly growing in the area of finance. In this article, we propose the Stu…
A new method combines Gaussian graphical models for better distributed Gaussian process predictions.
New theory allows ICA without assuming non-Gaussian sources.
We consider structural equation models in which variables can be written as a function of their parents and noise terms, which are assumed to be jointly independent. Corresponding to each structural equation model, there is a directed acyclic graph describing the relationships between the variables. In Gaussian structu…
Designs efficient algorithms to maximize the expectation of Gaussian random variables.
Ising models describe the joint probability distribution of a vector of binary feature variables. Typically, not all the variables interact with each other and one is interested in learning the presumably sparse network structure of the interacting variables. However, in the presence of latent variables, the convention…
We introduce Network Maximal Correlation (NMC) as a multivariate measure of nonlinear association among random variables. NMC is defined via an optimization that infers transformations of variables by maximizing aggregate inner products between transformed variables. For finite discrete and jointly Gaussian random vari…
Bayesian method models binary response and covariates for two groups, estimating causal relationships.
New method detects causal relationships from noisy measurements.
New method speeds up sparse Gaussian processes for large datasets.
A fast and scalable method for variable selection in high-dimensional Gaussian processes.
Quantum algorithm estimates mean with sub-Gaussian error.
Recently developed techniques have made it possible to quickly learn accurate probability density functions from data in low-dimensional continuous space. In particular, mixtures of Gaussians can be fitted to data very quickly using an accelerated EM algorithm that employs multiresolution kd-trees (Moore, 1999). In thi…
Algorithm estimates common mean from Gaussian variables with unknown variances.
Study on conditioning Gaussian measures on nonlinear observations, including representer theorem and mode estimation.
The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often ill-conditioned: the observations can be noisy, not assuming the luxury of relative…
We consider the problem of learning causal models from observational data generated by linear non-Gaussian acyclic causal models with latent variables. Without considering the effect of latent variables, one usually infers wrong causal relationships among the observed variables. Under faithfulness assumption, we propos…
Enhances topology optimization with multiclass microstructures using latent variable Gaussian process.
We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference with a supervised version of the Gaussian process latent variable model. The framework overcomes the high correlations between latent variables and hyperparameters by using an unbiased pseudo estimate for the marginal likelihood that approximately integrates over the late…
A scalable GPLVM model using stochastic variational inference.
Computation of moments of transformed random variables is a problem appearing in many engineering applications. The current methods for moment transformation are mostly based on the classical quadrature rules which cannot account for the approximation errors. Our aim is to design a method for moment transformation for …
The paper analyzes uncertainty quantification in sparse Gaussian process regression with a Brownian motion prior.
LVM-GP solves PDEs with uncertainty using latent variables and Gaussian processes.