Batch Active Learning uses derivative information for Gaussian Process regression.
problem Efficiently selecting data batches in Gaussian Process regression models.
method Proposes using the predictive covariance matrix to select data batches, exploiting full correlation.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of incorporating derivative information across diverse applications.
This paper simplifies MTGP derivations for Gaussian processes.
problem Understanding the derivations of Multi-task Gaussian Process formulations and their gradients.
method Friendly derivations of Multi-task Gaussian Process formulations and their gradients.
result Simplified derivations of Multi-task Gaussian Process formulations and gradients.
Bayesian optimization sped up with scalable Gaussian processes.
problem Optimizing functions with derivative information and large datasets.
method Combines derivative acceleration and scalable Gaussian process models.
result Significant speedup in optimization convergence for large datasets.
Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach, which is well suited for OTC derivative portfolio valuation involved in CVA compu…
New method scales Gaussian processes with derivatives using variational inference.
problem Scaling Gaussian processes with derivative information for high-dimensional problems.
method Introducing inducing directional derivatives to sparsify derivative information using variational inference.
result Achieves fully scalable Gaussian process regression with derivatives.
Sharp Gaussian isoperimetry proven along Ricci flow.
problem Proving sharp Gaussian isoperimetric inequality for Ricci flow.
method Using monotonicity formula to prove inequality.
result Exact Gaussian enlargement theorem and concentration estimates.
Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure and uniform error bounds have been derived, which allow safe control based on thes…
NGD improves multivariate Gaussian inference by optimizing Fisher information.
problem Efficiently optimizing multivariate Gaussian models.
method Natural Gradient Descent applied to multivariate Gaussian parameters.
result NGD updates are more efficient for symmetric covariance matrices.
SLEIPNIR improves Gaussian process regression with derivatives, scaling up efficiently and accurately.
problem Scaling Gaussian process regression with derivatives for large datasets.
method Quadrature Fourier features for feature expansion, proving error bounds.
result Deterministic, non-asymptotic, exponentially fast decaying error bounds for approximated kernel and posterior.
DSoftKI scales GP regression with full derivative observations.
problem Efficiently fitting and predicting full derivative observations in Gaussian Processes.
method Extends SoftKI by using local temperature vectors for interpolation, enabling encoding of local directional sensitivity.
result DSoftKI achieves accurate predictions and scales to larger datasets with full derivative observations.
This paper extends explainability methods to non-Gaussian Gaussian Processes.
problem Making non-Gaussian GP models transparent and explainable.
method Proposes Integrated Gradient-based explainability for non-Gaussian GP models.
result Offers both analytical and approximate solutions for non-Gaussian GP models.
Sharp Gaussian bounds derived for Schrödinger kernel on Ricci solitons.
problem Analyzing Schrödinger heat kernel on gradient shrinking Ricci solitons.
method Deriving sharp Gaussian upper bounds for the Schrödinger heat kernel.
result Sharp upper and lower bounds for eigenvalues of the Schrödinger operator.
Study utility maximization with delayed information in continuous time Gaussian markets.
problem Maximizing utility with delayed information in continuous time Gaussian markets.
method Purely probabilistic approach based on Radon-Nikodym derivatives of Gaussian measures.
result Solution for optimal control and value in a specific Gaussian framework.
Bayesian inference for wide neural networks using Edgeworth expansion.
problem Analyzing the non-Gaussian behavior of wide neural networks in Bayesian inference.
method Proposed a non-Gaussian distribution using multivariate Edgeworth expansion for finite-width neural networks.
result Derived non-Gaussian posterior distribution in Bayesian regression tasks.
Paper shows how sparse inversion speeds up log determinant derivatives.
problem Deriving log determinant derivatives for sparse matrices.
method Sparse inversion, selected inversion, accelerates computation.
result Derivative of log determinant can be computed faster with sparse inversion.
Paper derives a simplified formula for Expected Improvement using log-transformed data.
problem Challenges in enhancing Bayesian optimization with Expected Improvement.
method Derives a closed form of Expected Improvement for Gaussian process trained on log-transformed objective.
result Provides a simplified formula for Expected Improvement.
We present a general probabilistic perspective on Gaussian filtering and smoothing. This allows us to show that common approaches to Gaussian filtering/smoothing can be distinguished solely by their methods of computing/approximating the means and covariances of joint probabilities. This implies that novel filters and …
Optimal algorithms learn Gaussian trees and polytrees from data.
problem Learning undirected Gaussian trees and polytrees from data.
method Two approaches: Chow-Liu algorithm for tree structure and modified PC algorithm for polytree structure.
result Explicit finite-sample guarantees and matching lower bounds for both approaches.
Paper studies Gaussian approximation in linear regression with rates derived.
problem Gaussian approximation in online linear regression.
method Derives rates for constant learning rate settings, analyzes dependence on d d d and design matrix. result Rate of normal approximation is log n / n \sqrt{\log{n}/n} log n / n for large n n n . Gaussian and bootstrap methods improve ATE estimator accuracy.
problem Improving the accuracy of Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimators.
method Gaussian approximation and bootstrap procedures.
result Precise bounds on ATE estimator accuracy quantifying key parameters.
In this paper we investigate a link between state- space models and Gaussian Processes (GP) for time series modeling and forecasting. In particular, several widely used state- space models are transformed into continuous time form and corresponding Gaussian Process kernels are derived. Experimen- tal results demonstrat…
Using integration by parts on Gaussian space we construct a Stein Unbiased Risk Estimator (SURE) for the drift of Gaussian processes using their local and occupation times. By almost-sure minimization of the SURE risk of shrinkage estimators we derive an estimation and de-noising procedure for an input signal perturbed…
TERA method speeds up derivative Gaussian processes in high dimensions.
problem High-dimensional function evaluations and gradient computations are computationally expensive.
method TERA uses exact gradient reduction to decouple n n n and d d d from the computational cost. result TERA achieves state-of-the-art predictive accuracy with orders of magnitude faster computation.
The recent financial crisis has led to so-called multi-curve models for the term structure. Here we study a multi-curve extension of short rate models where, in addition to the short rate itself, we introduce short rate spreads. In particular, we consider a Gaussian factor model where the short rate and the spreads are…
A new model for complex cells accounts for insensitivity to image shifts.
problem Complex cells' response to image shifts.
method Linear combination of Gaussian derivatives at a single position.
result Maximum response insensitive to small shifts of the image.
New non-separable covariance kernels for spatiotemporal data derived from harmonic oscillator physics.
problem Capturing complex spatiotemporal dependencies in Gaussian processes.
method Hybrid spectral method based on the harmonic oscillator, deriving explicit covariance kernels.
result Explicit non-separable covariance kernels with space-time interactions.
Study on manifolds with kinks and Gaussian kernel behavior.
problem Understanding the asymptotic behavior of graph Laplacian on manifolds with singularities.
method Introduced manifolds with kinks, derived asymptotic behavior of Graph Laplacian with Gaussian kernel, and validated results numerically.
result Asymptotic behavior of the Graph Laplacian is determined by the inward sector of the tangent space.
Researchers derive an analytic expression for Gaussian stochastic volatility models.
problem Analyzing rich autocorrelation structures and persistence in financial markets.
method Two different analytic derivations of the joint characteristic function.
result First analytic formulae for option pricing in rough volatility models.
Improved Gaussian Process regression using TQFF over RFF and Gaussian QFF.
problem Limited performance of Quadrature Fourier Features (QFF) in approximating highly oscillatory functions.
method Developed Trigonometric Quadrature Fourier Features (TQFF) using a novel non-Gaussian quadrature rule.
result TQFF provides better approximation accuracy and fewer features compared to RFF and Gaussian QFF.
Derives RL framework for systems without velocity or acceleration measurements.
problem Learning control for systems with limited sensor data.
method Gaussian Process Regression with a novel derivative-free kernel.
result Improved estimation performance and data-efficiency compared to traditional methods.
Study on surfaces with conical singularities and geodesic boundaries, deriving existence results.
problem Existence of conformal metrics with prescribed Gaussian curvature on surfaces with conical singularities and geodesic boundaries.
method Variational argument to derive existence results for surfaces with at least two boundary components.
result First result in this setting for surfaces with conical singularities of both positive and negative orders.
Sharp risk bounds for early-stopping in Gaussian linear regression are derived.
problem Minimizing in-sample mean squared error in high-dimensional Gaussian linear regression.
method Early-stopped mirror descent (ESMD) with local Gaussian width bounds.
result Sharp risk bounds extend to early-stopped mirror descent for least squares estimator (LSE).
This paper improves Gaussian process predictions by integrating prior knowledge.
problem Gaussian processes lack predictive power when prior information is ignored.
method Derive mean and covariance functions from previous data using weighted sums of basis functions.
result Integrating prior knowledge significantly increases look-ahead time and accuracy.
We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a G…
We provide a correction to the expression for scoring Gaussian directed acyclic graphical models derived in Geiger and Heckerman [Ann. Statist. 30 (2002) 1414-1440] and discuss how to evaluate the score efficiently.
In this we paper we recast the Cox--Ingersoll--Ross model of interest rates into the chaotic representation recently introduced by Hughston and Rafailidis. Beginning with the ``squared Gaussian representation'' of the CIR model, we find a simple expression for the fundamental random variable X. By use of techniques fro…
Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes improve probabilistic model inference for large datasets.
problem Efficient inference for large-scale time series data.
method Combining inducing variables with Kalman filter-like recursions for linear scaling.
result General site-based approach for approximating non-Gaussian likelihoods.
Improved estimator for least squares using random projections achieves smaller error.
problem Improving the accuracy of least squares solutions for large-scale problems.
method James-Stein estimator applied to Gaussian sketching of least squares problems.
result Upper and lower bounds match when SNR is small and data matrix is well-conditioned.
Extends Stein's lemma to exponential-family mixtures for gradient computation.
problem Computing gradients for complex distributions with weak assumptions.
method Generalizes Stein's lemma to exponential-family mixtures and applies it to reparameterization trick.
result Derives new gradient identities for various distributions.
Directly proves Brioschi formula for Gaussian curvature.
problem Express Gaussian curvature in terms of local coordinates.
method Elementary proof without Christoffel symbols.
result Directly derived Brioschi formula for Gaussian curvature.
Method estimates noise variance in Gaussian process regression.
problem Estimating noise variance in Gaussian process regression models.
method Reduces hyperparameter space, uses marginal likelihood function, derives bounds and asymptotes.
result Computational advantages and robustness compared to traditional methods.
Optimal classifiers derived from GMMs are approximated by deep neural networks.
problem Binary classification of high-dimensional overlapping Gaussian mixtures.
method Closed-form expressions for Bayes optimal decision boundaries derived from GMMs' eigenstructure. Empirical validation through synthetic and real-world data.
result Deep neural networks approximate optimal classifiers for GMMs, with decision thresholds related to covariance eigenvectors.
Defines a new short rate model and convexity adjustment formulae.
problem Interest rate convexity in a Gaussian framework.
method Defines a short rate model driven by a Gaussian Volterra process and derives convexity adjustment formulae.
result Explicit formulae for convexity adjustment derived.
We derive Gaussian approximations for random forest predictions using region-based stabilization.
problem Improving the accuracy of random forest predictions for Poisson process data.
method Region-based stabilization and Malliavin-Stein method for multivariate Gaussian approximation.
result Established Gaussian approximation bounds for random forest predictions under Poisson process.
We study active learning (AL) based on Gaussian Processes (GPs) for efficiently enumerating all of the local minimum solutions of a black-box function. This problem is challenging due to the fact that local solutions are characterized by their zero gradient and positive-definite Hessian properties, but those derivative…
Paper analyzes GP derivatives for error propagation in geoscience.
problem Error estimation in Gaussian Process models for geoscience applications.
method Derivative of GP model for error propagation analysis.
result Analytical error propagation formula derived from GP derivatives.
Fractional porous media equations yield q-Gaussian solutions for stock price returns.
problem Modeling stock price returns using fractional porous media equations.
method Analyzed three types of fractional extensions of the porous media equation.
result Local and non-local fractional extensions fit S&P 500 data better than classical models.
Study provides bounds for estimating intrinsic dimension using Gaussian kernels.
problem Estimating intrinsic dimension from data.
method Finite-sample concentration and anti-concentration bounds for Gaussian kernel sums.
result Explicit dependence on sample size, bandwidth, and geometric parameters.