A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We study the regular conditional law of mixed Gaussian Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study prediction of Gaussian Volterra processes driven by a Brownian motion in a case where the Brownian motion is not observable, but only a noisy version is observed. As an applicati…
We consider so-called regular invertible Gaussian Volterra processes and derive a formula for their prediction laws. Examples of such processes include the fractional Brownian motions and the mixed fractional Brownian motions. As an application, we consider conditional-mean hedging under transaction costs in Black-Scho…
The paper introduces a non-linear version of the process convolution formalism for building covariance functions for multi-output Gaussian processes. The non-linearity is introduced via Volterra series, one series per each output. We provide closed-form expressions for the mean function and the covariance function of t…
New financial model with sandwiched volatility for option pricing.
problem Developing a new financial model for option pricing.
method Introducing a new model with stochastic volatility driven by a Gaussian Volterra process, ensuring the solution is sandwiched between two arbitrary Hölder continuous functions.
result Developed an algorithm for pricing options with discontinuous payoffs using Malliavin calculus.
We discuss the pricing and hedging of volatility options in some rough volatility models. First, we develop efficient Monte Carlo methods and asymptotic approximations for computing option prices and hedge ratios in models where log-volatility follows a Gaussian Volterra process. While providing a good fit for European…
We study fractional stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a positive continuous function σ of a continuous Gaussian process B. Forde and Zhang established a large deviation principle for the log-price process in such a model under the assumptions that the function σ is globally…
State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are linear transformations of the nonnegative orthant.
problem Characterizing state spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes.
method Explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant.
result State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are given by explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant.
The research presented in this article provides an alternative option pricing approach for a class of rough fractional stochastic volatility models. These models are increasingly popular between academics and practitioners due to their surprising consistency with financial markets. However, they bring several challenge…
We consider stochastic partial differential equations appearing as Markovian lifts of matrix valued (affine) Volterra type processes from the point of view of the generalized Feller property (see e.g., \cite{doetei:10}). We introduce in particular Volterra Wishart processes with fractional kernels and values in the con…
We provide existence, uniqueness and stability results for affine stochastic Volterra equations with L1-kernels and jumps. Such equations arise as scaling limits of branching processes in population genetics and self-exciting Hawkes processes in mathematical finance. The strategy we adopt for the existence part is b…
We simplify Volterra process predictions by reducing dimensionality and using a tailored deep learning model.
problem Predicting the conditional law of Volterra processes with stochastic volatility is challenging due to high dimensionality and non-smoothness.
method We developed a stable dimension reduction technique onto a low-dimensional statistical manifold of non-positive curvature and introduced a sequentially deep learning model tailored to this geometry.
result Our model can approximate the conditional law of Volterra processes with approximation rates achievable only with very large networks.
The Volterra lattice is considered. New gradient interpretation for this dynamical system is proposed. This interpretation seems to be more natural than existing ones.
We establish an explicit expression for the conditional Laplace transform of the integrated Volterra Wishart process in terms of a certain resolvent of the covariance function. The core ingredient is the derivation of the conditional Laplace transform of general Gaussian processes in terms of Fredholm's determinant and…
This paper optimizes portfolio selection for multivariate affine and quadratic Volterra models with rough volatilities.
problem Optimizing portfolio selection for multivariate models with rough volatilities and stochastic correlations.
method Investigates continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance problem for multivariate affine and quadratic Volterra models using Riccati backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs).
result Derives explicit solutions for BSDEs in affine Volterra models and new analytic formulae for quadratic models.
This paper investigates Merton's portfolio problem in a rough stochastic environment described by Volterra Heston model. The model has a non-Markovian and non-semimartingale structure. By considering an auxiliary random process, we solve the portfolio optimization problem with the martingale optimality principle. Optim…