Study finds Calabi-Yau models' operator spectra match random matrix theory.
problem Understanding spectra of Calabi-Yau sigma models.
method Numerical methods for Ricci-flat metrics, averaging over complex structure moduli space.
result Spectrum matches Gaussian orthogonal ensemble of random matrix theory.
HD algorithm simulates dynamics on random matrix ensembles without generating full matrices.
problem Simulating dynamics on dense random matrix ensembles with high space and time complexity.
method Householder reflectors for adaptive and recursive construction, deferring decisions.
result Significant reductions in runtime and memory footprint for practical T≪n. Extends spectral number variance convergence to random matrix ensembles for twisted Laplacians.
problem Spectral number variance convergence for twisted Laplacians and Dirac operators.
method Extends Rudnick's approach to Gaussian ensembles for twisted Laplacians and Dirac operators.
result Convergence to Gaussian ensembles for twisted Laplacians and Dirac operators.
Random matrix ensembles yield uniform distributions on manifolds.
problem Understanding distributions of vectors in random matrix ensembles.
method Analyzing eigenvalues, singular values, and Autonne-Takagi vectors of various random matrix ensembles.
result Uniform distributions on specific manifolds for different types of random matrix ensembles.
Paper solves a key problem in learning from high-dimensional covariance matrices.
problem Computing normalizing factors for Riemannian Gaussian distributions on high-dimensional covariance matrices.
method Equivalence with random matrix theory and log-normal matrix ensembles to approximate normalizing factors.
result Efficient approximation of normalizing factors with decreasing error as dimension increases.
We relate the distribution of eigenvalues of a random symmetric matrix in the Gaussian Orthogonal Ensemble to the distribution of critical values of a random linear combination of eigenfunctions of the Laplacian on a compact Riemann manifold. We then prove a central limit theorem describing what happens when the dimens…
Study smooth linear statistics on random covers of hyperbolic surfaces, showing central limit and variance results.
problem Analyzing fluctuations and energy variance of random covers of compact hyperbolic surfaces.
method Examining fluctuations in a small energy window around a fixed energy level, considering the variance of a typical surface, using a double limit where n and L go to infinity. result Distribution of fluctuations tends to a Gaussian with variance of GOE/GUE, and energy variance of a typical random n-cover is that of GOE/GUE. Random Matrix Theory explains loss surface Hessians in neural networks.
problem Understanding the loss surfaces of neural networks.
method Investigation of local spectral statistics of neural network Hessians.
result Excellent agreement with Gaussian Orthogonal Ensemble statistics.
The paper connects Riemannian Gaussian distributions to random matrix theory and diffusion kernels.
problem Analyzing Riemannian Gaussian distributions on symmetric spaces.
method Analytical computation of marginals using orthogonal and skew orthogonal polynomials, and diffusion kernels.
result Riemannian Gaussian distributions are random matrix types, and their probability density functions can be computed analytically.
LOTOS improves ensemble robustness by promoting orthogonal transformations.
problem Transferability of adversarial examples threatens robustness of classification models.
method LOTOS promotes orthogonality among sub-spaces of transformations in ensemble models.
result LOTOS increases robust accuracy of ensembles by 6 percentage points against black-box attacks.
Deep networks with orthogonal weights show stable fluctuations, improving generalization and training speed.
problem Fluctuations in deep networks with Gaussian weights can impair training, especially in networks with depth comparable to width.
method Analytical and numerical studies of fully-connected networks with orthogonal weight initialization and tanh activations.
result Rectangular networks with orthogonal weights have stable fluctuations independent of network depth, leading to better generalization and training speed.
TreeHFD algorithm explains tree ensemble models through hierarchical orthogonality.
problem Difficulty in explaining black-box tree ensemble models.
method TreeHFD algorithm using hierarchical orthogonality constraints.
result TreeHFD estimates Hoeffding decomposition from data samples.
The paper shows Gaussian fluctuations in eigenvalue statistics of random hyperbolic surfaces.
problem Understanding fluctuations in Laplace eigenvalues of random hyperbolic surfaces.
method Analyzing fluctuations of linear statistics of Laplace eigenvalues over moduli space of surfaces of large genus.
result The distribution of linear statistics tends to a Gaussian as the genus of surfaces increases.
Ens-CGP synthesizes ensemble-based inference with Gaussian processes.
problem Ensemble-based inference and Gaussian process modeling.
method Formulates Ens-CGP as a conditional Gaussian process for ensemble moments.
result Ens-CGP provides a unified probabilistic foundation for Kalman-type methods.
Orthogonal random features approximate a Bessel kernel, offering sharper bounds than random Fourier features.
problem Approximating Gaussian kernel efficiently for large datasets.
method Use of Haar orthogonal matrices to construct orthogonal random features and analyze their bias and variance.
result Orthogonal random features approximate a Bessel kernel, not the Gaussian kernel, with sharper bounds.
Study shows energy levels on hyperbolic surfaces follow GOE fluctuations.
problem Understanding energy level fluctuations on hyperbolic surfaces.
method Analysis of Laplace eigenvalues on hyperbolic surfaces, using GOE random matrix theory.
result Energy variance on typical hyperbolic surfaces closely matches GOE fluctuations.
Fibonacci Ensembles use Fibonacci weights to improve ensemble learning, inspired by natural growth patterns.
problem Improving ensemble learning methods to enhance model performance and interpretability.
method Introduces Fibonacci weights and a recursive ensemble dynamic to reduce variance and enrich representational depth.
result Fibonacci weighting can match or improve upon uniform averaging in ensemble learning experiments.
Study on Gaussian ensemble of matrix products with mixed moments computed.
problem Understanding the statistical properties of matrix products of Gaussian matrices.
method Analysis of a multi-Wishart ensemble and enumeration of non-crossing pairings.
result Mixed moments of the product matrix are computed and found to be weighted by Fuss-Catalan numbers at large N. Corrected whitening restores orthogonality in high-dimensional spherical Gaussian mixtures.
problem In high-dimensional data, standard whitening fails to preserve orthogonality of mixture means.
method Derived exact limits for whitened means dot products using random matrix theory, constructed a corrected whitening matrix.
result Corrected whitening allows for improved estimation of spherical Gaussian mixtures in the large-dimensional regime.
Semi-parametric framework for nonlinear system identification
problem Nonlinear system identification
method Orthogonal Gaussian process regression
result Interpretable models from incomplete physics
Proposes FOAGP for efficient orthogonal effect decomposition of black-box computer experiments.
problem Challenges in sensitivity analysis of black-box computer experiments with complex, nonlinear functional outputs.
method Functional-output orthogonal additive Gaussian process (FOAGP) with conditional orthogonality constraint.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in orthogonal effect decomposition and variance decomposition through simulations and real-world application.
This work preserves linear invariants in ensemble filters for non-Gaussian data assimilation.
problem Maintaining critical invariants like mass, stoichiometric balance, and charge in non-Gaussian data assimilation.
method Introducing a novel class of nonlinear ensemble filters using measure transport theory.
result Recovery of a constrained Kalman filter for Gaussian settings and combination with regularization techniques.
Ensembles dynamic models using random feature approximations.
problem Online scalable Bayesian learning with dynamic models and ensembling.
method Random feature approximations and dynamic models using random walks.
result Better performance with alternative basis expansions like Hilbert space Gaussian processes.
New framework models complex spatial data with basis functions and graphical vectors.
problem Modeling highly-multivariate spatial processes with varying resolutions.
method Extends graphical lasso to multivariate Gaussian processes with independent graphical vectors at different resolutions, using an orthogonal basis and fusion penalty.
result Linear complexity and parsimonious conditional independence structure in multilevel graphical model.
DGMEs use Gaussian mixtures to quantify uncertainty in deep learning.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in complex predictive densities.
method DGMEs use a Gaussian mixture model with an EM algorithm for parameter learning.
result DGMEs outperform state-of-the-art models in uncertainty quantification.
Improved Gaussian process models for interpretable predictions.
problem Complex responses require high-dimensional interaction terms in additive Gaussian processes.
method Orthogonal additive kernel (OAK) with orthogonality constraint on additive functions.
result OAK models achieve similar or better predictive performance with fewer terms, retaining interpretability.
We use methods of random matrix theory to analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of price changes of the largest 1000 US stocks for the 2-year period 1994-95. We find that the statistics of most of the eigenvalues in the spectrum of C agree with the predictions of random matrix theory, but there are deviations for a fe…
New method combines spectral and sparse methods for Gaussian processes.
problem Efficiently fitting Gaussian processes to large datasets.
method Orthogonally decoupled variational Fourier features.
result Competitive performance on synthetic and real-world data.
GEnBP combines EnKF and GaBP for efficient high-dimensional inference.
problem Efficient inference in high-dimensional models.
method Gaussian Ensemble Belief Propagation algorithm combining EnKF and GaBP.
result GEnBP outperforms existing methods in accuracy and efficiency.
We present an intriguing discovery related to Random Fourier Features: in Gaussian kernel approximation, replacing the random Gaussian matrix by a properly scaled random orthogonal matrix significantly decreases kernel approximation error. We call this technique Orthogonal Random Features (ORF), and provide theoretical…
We propose orthogonality as a necessary condition for disentangling aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
problem Jointly estimating aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty is problematic and non-trivial.
method We propose orthogonality as a necessary condition for disentanglement and construct UDE to measure orthogonality and consistency.
result Orthogonality and consistency are necessary and sufficient criteria for disentanglement.
Enhances Gaussian processes with spherical features for better scalability and flexibility.
problem Lack of representation learning in Gaussian processes compared to deep neural networks.
method Introduces spherical inter-domain features to improve GP approximation and scalability.
result The method alleviates limitations and improves scalability compared to alternative strategies.
A new method steers Gaussian distributions with minimal effort.
problem Steering high-dimensional Gaussian distributions efficiently.
method Sliced feedback controller using one-dimensional projections and averaging.
result The method steers Gaussian distributions to targets efficiently.
EnKF's update is shown to be similar to Matheron's method in Gaussian process regression.
problem Data assimilation in high-dimensional systems.
method Empirical Matheron update applied to EnKF.
result Ensemble Kalman Filter's update is equivalent to an empirical Matheron update.
Unified framework for ensemble transport-based smoothing of non-Gaussian time series.
problem Bayesian time series re-analysis with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Measure transport approach to derive consistent prior-to-posterior transformations.
result General ensemble framework for transport-based smoothing of state-space models.
A new method for uncertainty estimation in neural networks using Gaussian-softmax integration.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in neural network predictions.
method Proposes a single-model approach integrating Gaussian distribution with softmax outputs, using mean-field approximation.
result Competitive performance on uncertainty estimation tasks and outperforms many methods on out-of-distribution detection.
Decentralized Gaussian processes for multi-agent systems.
problem Scalable and flexible learning solutions for multi-agent systems.
method Asymptotically exact decentralized solution to Gaussian processes, with online Bayesian model averaging for hyperparameter selection.
result Asymptotically exact decentralized Gaussian process approximation and online Bayesian model averaging.
In this work a novel method to quantify spectral ergodicity for random matrices is presented. The new methodology combines approaches rooted in the metrics of Thirumalai-Mountain (TM) and Kullbach-Leibler (KL) divergence. The method is applied to a general study of deep and recurrent neural networks via the analysis of…
New scalable GP approximation using Fourier series decomposition.
problem Scalability and accuracy in Gaussian process approximations.
method Harmonic kernel decomposition (HKD) to decompose kernels orthogonally.
result Significantly outperforms standard variational methods in scalability and accuracy.
A generalized bridge is the law of a stochastic process that is conditioned on N linear functionals of its path. We consider two types of representations of such bridges: orthogonal and canonical. The orthogonal representation is constructed from the entire path of the underlying process. Thus, future knowledge of the …
EigenVI uses orthogonal function expansions for efficient variational inference.
problem Efficiently approximate complex distributions in variational inference.
method EigenVI constructs variational approximations using orthogonal function expansions, minimizing Fisher divergence.
result EigenVI provides more accurate approximations than existing methods for Gaussian BBVI.
A new gradient boosting method improves interpretability of probabilistic models.
problem Learning interpretable yet accurate probabilistic models with limited rule complexity.
method A new objective function that measures the angle between risk gradient and condition output vector projection.
result Significantly improves comprehensibility/accuracy trade-off of fitted ensemble.
GPR ensemble method predicts stock returns efficiently.
problem Predicting stock returns using machine learning.
method Ensemble Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for online learning.
result Method outperforms existing models in R-squared and Sharpe ratio. We consider the problem of sampling from posterior distributions for Bayesian models where some parameters are restricted to be orthogonal matrices. Such matrices are sometimes used in neural networks models for reasons of regularization and stabilization of training procedures, and also can parameterize matrices of bo…
A new method detects outliers using ensembles of Dirichlet process mixtures.
problem Challenges in unsupervised outlier detection using Dirichlet process mixtures.
method Ensembles of Dirichlet process Gaussian mixtures with random subspace and subsampling.
result Empirically outperforms existing approaches in unsupervised outlier detection.
A new ensemble of Gaussian processes improves active learning efficiency.
problem Efficiently labeling data in high-cost domains like medical imaging.
method Adaptive weighted ensemble of Gaussian processes (EGP) for active learning.
result EGP-based approaches outperform single GP-based active learning methods.
Compact Gaussian model approximates deep ensemble predictions.
problem Efficiently approximating deep ensemble models for image prediction.
method Sparse-structured multivariate Gaussian with Cholesky parameterization trained to match pre-trained ensemble outputs.
result Compact representation captures uncertainty and structured correlations explicitly.
Graph alignment problem solved with convex relaxations for correlated matrices.
problem Recovering hidden vertex permutations from correlated Gaussian matrices.
method Convex relaxations of the quadratic assignment problem over doubly stochastic matrices.
result The solution of the convex relaxation concentrates around the ground-truth permutation matrix for certain correlation parameters.