A predictor improves power grid frequency forecasts up to one hour.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Model-based reinforcement learning has been empirically demonstrated as a successful strategy to improve sample efficiency. In particular, Dyna is an elegant model-based architecture integrating learning and planning that provides huge flexibility of using a model. One of the most important components in Dyna is called…
Deep neural network learns optimal trading controls for high-frequency finance.
VAEs analyzed using harmonic analysis, showing how variance controls frequency content and robustness.
The choice of the control frequency of a system has a relevant impact on the ability of reinforcement learning algorithms to learn a highly performing policy. In this paper, we introduce the notion of action persistence that consists in the repetition of an action for a fixed number of decision steps, having the effect…
We consider the exploration-exploitation tradeoff in linear quadratic (LQ) control problems, where the state dynamics is linear and the cost function is quadratic in states and controls. We analyze the regret of Thompson sampling (TS) (a.k.a. posterior-sampling for reinforcement learning) in the frequentist setting, i.…
Paper proposes a DRL-based controller for networked AP systems that reduces communication frequency.
Game theory model for optimal trading with end-of-day constraints.
AI traders learn to exploit meta-orders from slower traders, increasing their profits.
We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market orders or limit orders, which are represented respectively by impulse controls and regular con…
Addressing the ongoing examination of high-frequency trading practices in financial markets, we report the results of an extensive empirical study estimating the maximum possible profitability of the most aggressive such practices, and arrive at figures that are surprisingly modest. By "aggressive" we mean any trading …
LGAC enhances heat transfer in turbulent boundary layers using slot jets.
Study shows neural networks learn low frequencies first, proposing solutions.
Analyzes branch points of area-minimizing currents with non-2 planar frequency.
Paper shows geometric frequency and Lagrange derivative equivalence for electric and fluid systems.
In this paper, motivated by the celebrated work of Kelly, we consider the problem of portfolio weight selection to maximize expected logarithmic growth. Going beyond existing literature, our focal point here is the rebalancing frequency which we include as an additional parameter in our analysis. The problem is first s…
Carefully crafted, often imperceptible, adversarial perturbations have been shown to cause state-of-the-art models to yield extremely inaccurate outputs, rendering them unsuitable for safety-critical application domains. In addition, recent work has shown that constraining the attack space to a low frequency regime is …
Local convolutions bias neural networks towards high-frequency adversarial examples.
The convolutional layers are core building blocks of neural network architectures. In general, a convolutional filter applies to the entire frequency spectrum of the input data. We explore artificially constraining the frequency spectra of these filters and data, called band-limiting, during training. The frequency dom…
DRL agents perform poorly at high decision frequencies, but a new algorithm improves performance.
We investigated publicly reported security breaches of internal controls in corporate systems to determine whether SOX assessments are information bearing with respect to breaches which can lead to materially significant losses and misstatements. SOX Section 404 adverse decisions on effectiveness of controls occurred i…
Support Vector Data Description (SVDD) is a machine learning technique used for single class classification and outlier detection. SVDD based K-chart was first introduced by Sun and Tsung for monitoring multivariate processes when underlying distribution of process parameters or quality characteristics depart from Norm…
Study optimal liquidation strategies under partial information in high-frequency trading.
We study a an optimal high frequency trading problem within a market microstructure model designed to be a good compromise between accuracy and tractability. The stock price is driven by a Markov Renewal Process (MRP), while market orders arrive in the limit order book via a point process correlated with the stock pric…
Since they were authorized by the U.S. Security and Exchange Commission in 1998, electronic exchanges have boomed, and by 2010 high frequency trading accounted for over 70% of equity trades in the US. Such markets are thought to increase liquidity because of the presence of market makers, who are willing to trade as co…
To meet the Basel II regulatory requirements for the Advanced Measurement Approaches in operational risk, the bank's internal model should make use of the internal data, relevant external data, scenario analysis and factors reflecting the business environment and internal control systems. One of the unresolved challeng…
Study analyzes data breach reporting patterns and frequency across U.S. states, finding increasing trends after 2020.
High-dimensional inference for sparse spectral precision matrices
Bayesian method suppresses low-frequency pulses in audio recordings.
SDM Policy accelerates inference for robotic tasks while maintaining high action quality.
Paper proposes a risk index combining frequency and severity of abnormal driving patterns.
A pairs trading model with time-varying volatility using stochastic control.
This paper emphasizes model transparency and interpretation in insurance.
In this paper, we provide non-parametric statistical tools to test stationarity of microstructure noise in general hidden Ito semimartingales, and discuss how to measure liquidity risk using high frequency financial data. In particular, we investigate the impact of non-stationary microstructure noise on some volatility…
Pixel intensity is a widely used feature for clustering and segmentation algorithms, the resulting segmentation using only intensity values might suffer from noises and lack of spatial context information. Wavelet transform is often used for image denoising and classification. We proposed a novel method to incorporate …
The paper explores how to measure and optimize ad reach while maintaining user privacy.
Estimates stationary mass and frequency from non-i.i.d. data.
This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of high-frequency asset returns both in ordinary clock time and in trade time. We show that wh…
Paper proposes DigMA to generate controllable financial market orders.
Study tests how U.S. equity prices align with global asset frequencies using financial variables.
Log-normal continuous random cascades form a class of multifractal processes that has already been successfully used in various fields. Several statistical issues related to this model are studied. We first make a quick but extensive review of their main properties and show that most of these properties can be analytic…
This paper tackles the reduction of redundant repeating generation that is often observed in RNN-based encoder-decoder models. Our basic idea is to jointly estimate the upper-bound frequency of each target vocabulary in the encoder and control the output words based on the estimation in the decoder. Our method shows si…
Study reveals optimal price prediction through volume imbalance analysis.
Paper introduces a new method for risk-sensitive investment management using RL.
A two-layer classifier improves smartphone transportation mode recognition.
WaveLSFormer learns profitable trading policies from financial time series data.
In this paper we extend the market-making models with inventory constraints of Avellaneda and Stoikov ("High-frequency trading in a limit-order book", Quantitative Finance Vol.8 No.3 2008) and Gueant, Lehalle and Fernandez-Tapia ("Dealing with inventory risk", Preprint 2011) to the case of a rather general class of mid…
In this paper we complete and extend our previous work on stochastic control applied to high frequency market-making with inventory constraints and directional bets. Our new model admits several state variables (e.g. market spread, stochastic volatility and intensities of market orders) provided the full system is Mark…