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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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163327490653 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Flow Pattern Prediction

Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.

problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.

Paper develops models to forecast private equity fund cash flows.

problem Limited literature on illiquid alternative asset cash flow forecasting.
method Develops benchmark model and two novel approaches (direct vs. indirect) using LSTM/GRU models and macroeconomic indicators.
result Direct model performs better and aligns with actual cash flows, but indirect model's performance is less clear.

Predicts traffic flow using reinforcement learning and sensor data.

problem Accurately predict expanding and evolving long-term streaming traffic networks.
method Formulates the problem as a continuous reinforcement learning task, where the agent predicts future traffic based on sensor data.
result The approach improves accuracy in predicting traffic flow by updating the agent's state representation over time.

A new model predicts dynamic O-D matrices using graph neural networks and Kalman filters.

problem Predicting dynamic O-D demand matrices from traffic flow data.
method Combines graph neural networks and Kalman filters to recognize spatial and temporal patterns.
result The proposed model outperforms other methods in various prediction scenarios.

Survey of urban flows prediction methods using various datasets.

problem Predicting urban flows influenced by human activities, weather, events, and holidays.
method Analysis of four main factors, preparation of multi-sources spatial-temporal data, detailed comparison of five categories of prediction methods.
result Facilitates researchers to choose suitable methods and datasets for urban flows prediction.

The paper extends circle pattern flows to hyperbolic and Euclidean geometry.

problem Extending circle pattern flows to hyperbolic and Euclidean geometry.
method Proving the existence and exponential convergence of combinatorial Calabi flows for ideal circle patterns.
result The solution to combinatorial Calabi flows converges exponentially fast to a flat cone metric.

Motivated by the literature on investment flows and optimal trading, we examine intraday predictability in the cross-section of stock returns. We find a striking pattern of return continuation at half-hour intervals that are exact multiples of a trading day, and this effect lasts for at least 40 trading days. Volume, o…

2010-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies the combinatorial p-th Calabi flow for finite and infinite circle patterns.

problem Establishing convergence and long-time existence of the combinatorial p-th Calabi flow.
method Combinatorial p-th Calabi flow for finite and infinite ideal circle patterns.
result Sharp criterion for convergence in finite case and long-time existence in infinite case for p2p \geq 2.

Paper solves degenerated circle pattern metric problem in spherical geometry.

problem Existence and rigidity of (degenerated) circle pattern metrics with prescribed total geodesic curvatures.
method Defined prescribed combinatorial Ricci flows and studied their convergence.
result First degenerated result for total geodesic curvatures in spherical background geometry.

Paper proposes a neural network to improve traffic flow forecasting.

problem Forecasting future traffic flow distribution in an area.
method Position-aware convolutional neural network integrating data features and position information.
result Our approach outperforms previous methods even with fewer data sources.

Bayesian calibration improves ABMs for predicting travel patterns.

problem Calibrating ABMs for accurate travel pattern predictions.
method Gaussian Process emulator with deep learning dimensionality reduction for high-dimensional, non-stationary data.
result Improved accuracy in predicting travel patterns using traffic flow data.

The paper studies circle patterns on surfaces with specific angles and curvature maps.

problem Investigating circle patterns with obtuse angles on surfaces of finite type.
method Characterizing curvature maps and establishing combinatorial Ricci flow conditions.
result Generalizations of circle pattern theorem and a computational method to find patterns.

MIP framework improves urban flow prediction by adapting to distribution shifts.

problem Distribution shifts in urban flow data make prediction models unreliable.
method Memory-enhanced Invariant Prompt learning with learnable memory bank.
result MIP ensures robust predictions by focusing on invariant features.

DeepMPC uses neural networks to control complex fluid flows efficiently.

problem Controlling complex fluid flows in real-time is challenging due to high dimensionality and multi-scale dynamics.
method Deep learning, specifically recurrent neural networks (RNNs), embedded in model predictive control (MPC) framework.
result Significant improvements in control performance achieved through online updates to prediction accuracy.

Paper solves long-standing problem of infinite ideal polyhedra in hyperbolic space.

problem Characterize infinite ideal polyhedra in hyperbolic 3-space.
method Introduced combinatorial Ricci flow for infinite ideal circle patterns.
result Proved characterization of infinite ideal circle patterns under specific conditions.

New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.

problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.

In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain how we model main traffic flow patterns by a mixture of 2d Gaussian distribution…

2016-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework predicts arterial blood pressure from MRI data using physics-informed neural networks.

problem Clinical applicability of predictive cardiovascular flow models is hindered by computational cost and tedious pre-processing.
method Physics-informed neural networks constrained by conservation of mass and momentum principles.
result Deep neural networks provide physically consistent predictions for arterial blood pressure without conventional simulators.

Hybrid model combines VAR and neural network for OFI prediction.

problem Accurate prediction of Order Flow Imbalance (OFI) in high frequency trading.
method Combines Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and a simple feedforward neural network (FNN).
result Hybrid model achieves superior predictive accuracy compared to standalone models.

Physics-guided deep learning improves CFD for bubbly flow simulations.

problem Accurate CFD prediction of two-phase bubbly flow with high computational efficiency.
method Developed a multi-scale framework with Feature Similarity Measurement (FSM) for error estimation and a physics-guided deep feedforward neural network (DFNN) surrogate model.
result Physics-guided deep learning achieves comparable accuracy to fine-mesh simulations with fast-running feature.

Study infinite combinatorial Ricci flow on spherical surfaces.

problem Investigate infinite combinatorial Ricci flow with spherical background.
method Establish existence and convergence of solution for infinite cellular decompositions.
result Existence and convergence of solution for infinite combinatorial Ricci flow in spherical geometry.

RestoreAI predicts landmine risk from patterns, improving clearance efficiency.

problem Predicting landmine risk from spatial patterns to enhance clearance efficiency.
method RestoreAI uses landmine patterns for risk prediction, implementing three deminers: linear, curved, and Bayesian.
result RestoreAI significantly boosts clearance efficiency, achieving a 14.37 percentage point increase in cleared landmines per timestep.

Model predicts Bitcoin's future movements using multimodal pattern matching.

problem Challenges in predicting Bitcoin's volatile future movements.
method Ranking similar past chart patterns given current chart information.
result Improves directional prediction of Bitcoin's future movements.

A deep neural network for spatial time series forecasting.

problem Challenges in forecasting spatial time series with specific patterns and curse of dimensionality.
method Spatial-temporal decomposition, fuzzy clustering, multi-kernel convolution, convolution-LSTM, denoising autoencoder.
result Model outperforms baseline and state-of-the-art models in traffic flow prediction.

Cryptocurrency patterns stable across market caps, validated by microstructure theory.

problem Stable patterns in cryptocurrency microstructure across different market caps.
method Unified CatBoost modeling pipeline with time-series cross validation, validated by backtests.
result Feature rankings and partial effects are stable across assets despite heterogeneous liquidity and volatility.

Benford's law states that in data sets from different phenomena leading digits tend to be distributed logarithmically such that the numbers beginning with smaller digits occur more often than those with larger ones. Particularly, the law is known to hold for different types of financial data. The Illicit Financial Flow…

2012-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Predict genetic inheritance patterns using hypergraphs and latent models.

problem Diagnosing inherited diseases requires identifying family genetic patterns.
method Represent family trees as hypergraphs, use latent state space models for causal inference.
result Allows for explainable predictions of patient genotypes based on relatives' phenotypes.

This work evaluates machine learning-based hotspot detectors on synthesized layout patterns.

problem Evaluating model robustness and generality of machine learning-based hotspot detectors.
method Developed an automatic layout generation tool to synthesize various layout patterns and tested machine learning-based detectors on these synthesized layouts.
result Machine learning-based detectors need continuous study for robustness and generality in DFM flows.