The paper fits cash management models to data using stochastic and linear programming.
problem Cash flow probability distribution assumptions in cash management models are relaxed.
method Stochastic and linear programming to fit models to data.
result A small random sample of data is sufficient to fit bound-based models.
Unified method for managing dynamic power flows using convex optimization.
problem Optimizing power flows in networks over time.
method Unified method based on convex optimization, including model predictive control and handling uncertainty.
result Developed a real-time control strategy for dynamic power flows.
Paper solves trade-off between internalisation and externalisation in stochastic trade flows.
problem Managing risk in stochastic trade flows between internalisation and externalisation.
method Derives almost-closed-form solutions using Almgren-Chriss framework for quadratic execution costs. Uses numerical methods for more general cases. Proposes reinforcement learning as an alternative.
result Almost-closed-form solutions and numerical methods for optimal strategies.
Cash managers make daily decisions based on predicted monetary inflows from debtors and outflows to creditors. Usual assumptions on the statistical properties of daily net cash flow include normality, absence of correlation and stationarity. We provide a comprehensive study based on a real-world cash flow data set from…
Ensemble method for fast portfolio valuation and risk management.
problem Dynamic portfolio valuation and risk management from cash flow data.
method Regression trees for dynamic value process learning.
result Fast and accurate estimator with closed-form solution.
Overprocuring reserves can improve network efficiency by using excess reserves for congestion management.
problem Optimizing energy and reserve allocation between zones to minimize costs and ensure deliverability.
method Developed allocation models for co-allocating traded energy and reserve products, considering both deterministic and stochastic flows.
result Excess reserve supplies can be used for congestion management, leading to additional network benefits.
Study finds Indian mutual funds adjust cash holdings based on inflows, impacting stock purchases.
problem Active liquidity management by mutual funds in India.
method Examined cash holdings and stock purchases of Indian equity mutual funds.
result Funds with active liquidity choices outperform, highlighting the importance of this strategy.
One fundamental issue in managing bike sharing systems is the bike flow prediction. Due to the hardness of predicting the flow for a single station, recent research works often predict the bike flow at cluster-level. While such studies gain satisfactory prediction accuracy, they cannot directly guide some fine-grained …
Machine learning with kernels for portfolio valuation and risk management.
problem Dynamic portfolio valuation and risk management in finance.
method Machine learning with kernels to learn the dynamic value process of a portfolio from cumulative cash flow data.
result Asymptotic consistency and finite sample error bounds demonstrated for finance applications.
Cash management is concerned with optimizing the short-term funding requirements of a company. To this end, different optimization strategies have been proposed to minimize costs using daily cash flow forecasts as the main input to the models. However, the effect of the accuracy of such forecasts on cash management pol…
Study finds significant BTC co-movements with equity markets, highlighting dynamic risk management needs.
problem Understanding the impact of corporate Bitcoin holdings on equity markets.
method Dataset of 39 firms, daily returns analysis, Pearson correlations, single factor model regressions, transfer entropy.
result BTC has a significant positive beta with equity markets, with BTC as the dominant information driver.
Strategic brokers exploit private information in broker-mediated markets, affecting informed traders' performance.
problem Strategic interactions and information leakage in broker-mediated markets.
method Study of strategic trading behavior and information leakage in a broker-mediated market.
result Brokers hold a strategic advantage over informed traders due to information leakage in trading flows.
SDN optimizes flow entries to reduce control plane overhead.
problem Efficiently manage flow entries in SDN switches with limited TCAM capacity.
method Proposes reinforcement learning algorithms to optimize flow entries.
result Achieves up to 60% reduction in long-term control plane overhead.
New method combines simple forecasting techniques for river flow predictions.
problem Improving accuracy of long-term hydrological forecasts.
method Combines at least two forecasting methods using median combiner.
result Performs well in long-term forecasts, especially with multiple methods.
In this work we are concerned with valuing optionalities associated to invest or to delay investment in a project when the available information provided to the manager comes from simulated data of cash flows under historical (or subjective) measure in a possibly incomplete market. Our approach is suitable also to inco…
All the financial practitioners are working in incomplete markets full of unhedgeable risk-factors. Making the situation worse, they are only equipped with the imperfect information on the relevant processes. In addition to the market risk, fund and insurance managers have to be prepared for sudden and possibly contagi…
Algorithm improves blockchain bridge efficiency.
problem Efficient cross-chain wealth management.
method Dynamic algorithm to optimize bridge capacities.
result Optimized fund transfers across networks.
Model uses Navier-Stokes equations to assess liquidity and systemic risk.
problem Traditional models fail to capture real market fluctuations and extreme events.
method Develops and validates a mathematical model based on Navier-Stokes equations, incorporating 13 macroeconomic and financial parameters.
result Model effectively describes liquidity dynamics, systemic risk, and extreme scenarios.
AI enhances bank credit risk management through deep learning and data analysis.
problem Inaccurate credit decisions and potential risks in bank credit risk management.
method Innovative application of AI technology, including deep learning and big data analysis.
result AI provides more accurate and comprehensive credit decision support, reducing risks and losses.
This paper deals with an optimal position management problem for a market maker who has to face uncertain customer order flows in an illiquid market, where the market maker's continuous trading incurs a stochastic linear price impact. Although the execution timing is uncertain, the market maker can also ask its OTC cou…
Real-time traffic flow prediction can not only provide travelers with reliable traffic information so that it can save people's time, but also assist the traffic management agency to manage traffic system. It can greatly improve the efficiency of the transportation system. Traditional traffic flow prediction approaches…
A new RL method using SSD compares action uncertainties to manage aleatoric uncertainty.
problem Managing aleatoric uncertainty in RL environments.
method Distributional RL based on SSD, mapping to Wasserstein gradient flow.
result Optimal particle-based algorithm for SSD policy demonstrates better uncertainty balancing.
Paper introduces reinforcement learning for managing power grids.
problem Balancing power flows and maintaining grid stability in real-time.
method Reinforcement Learning applied to power network operations.
result Demonstrates feasibility of machine learning in power grid management.
In this paper, we consider the asset-liability management under the mean-variance criterion. The financial market consists of a risk-free bond and a stock whose price process is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion. The liability of the investor is uncontrollable and is modeled by another geometric Brownian motion. W…
New method optimizes multiple objectives using particle dynamics and gradient flow.
problem Optimizing multiple conflicting objectives in complex scenarios.
method Interacting particle method combining Langevin and birth-death dynamics with a dominance potential.
result Method effectively relocates dominated particles, improving Pareto optimality.
Paper assesses financial potential for enterprise development.
problem Determining financial potential for enterprise development.
method Stages of financial potential assessment based on literature analysis.
result Proposes a mechanism for managing enterprise financial potential.
AI advances impact asset management, offering new decision-making capabilities.
problem AI's impact on asset management and potential disruption.
method Analyzing how AI capabilities (reading, reasoning, decision-making) can be applied to asset management.
result AI can revolutionize asset management, but risks vary by fund type.
The paper tackles safe reinforcement learning with convex regularization.
problem Safe reinforcement learning in complex, high-dimensional settings with safety constraints.
method Doubly-regularized RL framework combining reward and parameter regularization, formulated as a convex regularized objective with parametrized policies on an infinite-dimensional statistical manifold.
result Exponential convergence guarantees under sufficient regularization, robust theoretical insights and guarantees for safe RL.
Traffic flow prediction is crucial for urban traffic management and public safety. Its key challenges lie in how to adaptively integrate the various factors that affect the flow changes. In this paper, we propose a unified neural network module to address this problem, called Attentive Crowd Flow Machine~(ACFM), which …
Study cash-flow forecasting for derivatives, aligning with replication strategy and addressing timing frictions.
problem Inconsistencies in cash-flow forecasting under different measures and stochastic payment times.
method Use discounting sensitivities (funding-curve hedge ratios) for replication and propose a liquidity valuation adjustment.
result Aligns forecasting with replication strategy and avoids measure-mixing issues.
Model election dynamics and disinformation impact using information flow.
problem Understanding the unpredictable evolution of election polls and disinformation effects.
method Model election dynamics by specifying the flow of relevant information, deriving poll statistics as outputs.
result Derived outputs (poll statistics) reveal insights into prediction, disinformation impact, and optimal information management strategies.
Survey of urban flows prediction methods using various datasets.
problem Predicting urban flows influenced by human activities, weather, events, and holidays.
method Analysis of four main factors, preparation of multi-sources spatial-temporal data, detailed comparison of five categories of prediction methods.
result Facilitates researchers to choose suitable methods and datasets for urban flows prediction.
This paper examines the risk-adjusted performance and differential fund flows for socially responsible mutual funds (SRMF). The results show that SRMF rated high on ESG, perform better than lower rated ESG funds during the period of economic crisis. The findings also show that low ESG rated SRMF had higher differential…
We present an approach to market-consistent multi-period valuation of insurance liability cash flows based on a two-stage valuation procedure. First, a portfolio of traded financial instrument aimed at replicating the liability cash flow is fixed. Then the residual cash flow is managed by repeated one-period replicatio…
Investors target specific regions of payoff distributions for portfolio optimization.
problem Optimizing portfolio performance across different return distribution regions.
method Developed a dynamic portfolio-choice framework targeting downside or upside quantiles.
result Policies focused on downside regions provide stronger left-tail protection and higher Sharpe ratios.
This paper tackles AI model governance challenges in financial services.
problem Challenges in current AI model governance practices in financial services.
method Proposes a system-level framework for increased self-regulation.
result Enhanced model governance and risk management capabilities.
Investigates optimal strategies for market makers using internal liquidity.
problem Optimizing strategies for market makers with internal liquidity.
method Investigates optimal multi-objective strategy for market makers with internal liquidity.
result Draws important qualitative insights for real-world trading.
The paper challenges the assumption of a unique global time in financial markets, highlighting market incompleteness.
problem The assumption of a unique global time in financial markets is challenged.
method The paper contrasts event-time, renewal, point-process, and order-flow descriptions of financial markets.
result Non-uniqueness of time leads to a more foundational form of market incompleteness.
Paper defines the payback period for nonconventional cash flows using axioms.
problem Defining the payback period for nonconventional cash flows is challenging.
method Used axiomatic approach to define the payback period.
result The last break-even point of the project balance is the only definition consistent with axioms.
Model predicts passenger origin-destination for online taxi-hailing systems.
problem Predicting passenger origin-destination for efficient transportation planning.
method K-means clustering, non-negative matrix factorization, stacked recurrent neural network.
result Proposed model reduces MAPE by 5-7% for 1-hour windows and 14% for 30-minute windows.
Study optimizes insurance liability cash flows with regulatory capital requirements.
problem Valuation of insurance liabilities under regulatory capital constraints.
method Multiple-prior optimal stopping theory applied to insurance liabilities, considering hypothetical transfer and repeated capital requirements.
result Proposes a valuation functional for non-replicable cash flows, incorporating a margin for regulatory capital considerations.
Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.
problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.
High-fee pools attract more liquidity but execute less volume; low-fee pools have more stable LPs.
problem Optimal liquidity supply and execution on decentralized exchanges with fixed gas costs.
method Analysis of Uniswap data to compare high- and low-fee pools.
result Fragmented liquidity leads to more LPs and competition, improving overall market efficiency.
SNPLA uses normalizing flows for efficient inference in implicit models.
problem Efficient inference in implicit models with complex likelihood and posterior learning.
method Sequential Neural Posterior and Likelihood Approximation (SNPLA) algorithm using normalizing flows.
result SNPLA achieves competitive performance with faster posterior draws compared to MCMC methods.
Enhances crowd safety through AI and data-driven models.
problem Improving crowd safety during events.
method Innovative data collection, AI, and machine learning.
result Accurate multi-day forecasts for event planning.
We analyze a proprietary dataset of trades by a single asset manager, comparing their price impact with that of the trades of the rest of the market. In the context of a linear propagator model we find no significant difference between the two, suggesting that both the magnitude and time dependence of impact are univer…
Study evaluates valuation models for UK companies using case studies.
problem Determining how accounting numbers affect business value.
method Comprehensive review of three valuation models: FCFVM, REVM, AEGM.
result Accounting numbers through valuation models can affect business value.
Machine learning improves ice flow tracking in satellite images.
problem Improving accuracy of ice flow tracking in multi-spectral satellite images.
method Adversarial learning method to predict future ice flow.
result Adversarial learning improves ice flow tracking accuracy.