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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Financial Risk

GNN improves financial risk detection in dynamic networks.

problem Complex, changing financial networks make traditional risk identification methods ineffective.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNN) for embedded representation learning of financial data.
result GNN enhances the detection of hidden risks and abnormal behaviors in financial networks.

This paper surveys enterprise financial risk analysis from Big Data and LLMs perspectives.

problem Predicting future financial risk of enterprises.
method Systematic literature review of enterprise financial risk analysis approaches from Big Data and LLMs perspectives.
result Offers a holistic synthesis of research methods and key insights.

GraphShield uses dynamic graph learning to detect and visualize financial risks.

problem Detecting and mitigating risks in financial networks.
method Enhanced Cross-Domain Information Learning, Advanced Risk Recognition, Risk Propagation Visualization.
result GraphShield effectively identifies and visualizes hidden financial risks.

The paper proposes a new model using financial big data to improve portfolio risk analysis.

problem Addressing potential information loss in portfolio risk measurement.
method Uses financial big data to incorporate out-of-target-portfolio information and overcomes the curse of dimensionality.
result The use of financial big data improves small portfolio risk analysis.

RiskLabs uses LLMs to predict financial risks from multimodal data.

problem Financial risk prediction using AI techniques.
method Integrates multimodal financial data (textual, vocal, time series, news) into LLMs for prediction.
result Empirical results show effectiveness in forecasting market volatility and variance.

Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.

problem New model risks from Generative AI applications in financial institutions.
method Enhanced model risk framework with additional testing and controls.
result Financial institutions need to enhance their model risk management for Generative AI applications.

Paper introduces RiskEmbed, a finetuned model for financial risk management.

problem Improving retrieval accuracy in financial question-answering systems.
method Curated dataset and finetuned BERT model for financial domain.
result RiskEmbed significantly outperforms general-purpose and financial embedding models.

Causal-NECO VaR improves financial risk assessment under market turbulence.

problem Inaccurate risk assessment in volatile markets.
method Causal Network Contagion Value at Risk (Causal-NECO VaR) using causal network framework.
result Robust and invariant predictive power in unstable financial environments.

Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.

problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.

We show that any objective risk measurement algorithm mandated by central banks for regulated financial entities will result in more risk being taken on by those financial entities than would otherwise be the case. Furthermore, the risks taken on by the regulated financial entities are far more systemically concentrate…

2010-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes a big data and ML risk monitoring system for financial markets.

problem Traditional risk monitoring methods are inadequate for modern financial markets due to data complexity and volume.
method Four-layer architecture integrating big data and advanced ML algorithms (LSTM, RF, GB).
result Significantly enhances efficiency and accuracy in risk management, especially in market crash risk detection.

Paper introduces TVaRD, a new topological risk measure for financial portfolios.

problem Traditional risk measures like VaR and CVaR are insufficient for complex market conditions.
method Topological data analysis (TDA) using cohomology groups on financial time series data.
result TVaRD reveals significant changes in financial time series during stress conditions.

This study identifies financial risk paths in digital-transformed enterprises.

problem Identifying financial risks in digital-transformed enterprises.
method DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC method.
result Political and economic environment affects enterprise's financial structure.

Financial volatility risk and its relation to a business cycle-related intrinsic time is addressed through a multiple round evolutionary quantum game equilibrium leading to turbulence and multifractal signatures in the financial returns and in the risk dynamics. The model is simulated and the results are compared with …

2011-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper discusses how financial institutions' model risk management can benefit academic research.

problem Improving academic research process and mitigating limitations.
method Adopting financial institutions' model risk management practices.
result Lessons from financial institutions can enhance academic research reliability.

Model predicts default risk based on company's financial forecasts and credit conditions.

problem Estimating the risk of a company defaulting on its financial obligations.
method Developed an equilibrium model linking interest rates to corporate performance and credit supply.
result Estimates idiosyncratic default risk and provides forward-looking probability of default (PD).

A new explainable CBR system predicts financial risks with interpretability and good performance.

problem Predicting financial risks with interpretability and good performance.
method A novel explainable case-based reasoning (CBR) approach.
result The CBR system provides a good prediction performance and interpretability.

This paper optimizes decarbonized indices for financial tracking, balancing risk and environmental impact.

problem Balancing financial performance with environmental responsibilities in the context of climate risks.
method Develops decarbonized indices using mean-VaR and mean-ES optimization methods.
result Optimized indices reduce financial risk and carbon footprint, providing a balanced investment option.

Financial market created for wellbeing indices to mitigate socioeconomic risks.

problem Risk mitigation in financial indices of socioeconomic wellbeing.
method Developed new quantitative measure, created financial market, and implemented insurance instruments.
result Optimal portfolio weights and efficient frontiers for wellbeing indices.

Study identifies key ESG variables for assessing financial risk.

problem Assessing financial risk from ESG data with many variables.
method Proposed framework for hierarchical ESG data, selecting relevant variables.
result Selected ESG variables are more relevant to financial risk than aggregated scores.

This study designs a financial risk control platform using big data and machine learning.

problem Traditional risk management models are inadequate for modern financial complexities.
method Big data mining, real-time streaming data processing, statistical analysis, and precise customer behavior mining.
result The platform effectively identifies and responds to potential risks in real-time.

The study finds significant financial sector volatility and tail risk spillovers to real economy sectors.

problem Volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors.
method New measure of tail risk spillover, empirical analysis of U.S. economy 2001-2011.
result Significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors, especially during crises.

This paper uses MIS to identify key financial institutions with minimal risk contagion.

problem Mitigating systemic risk during extreme financial events.
method Applying extreme value theory and MIS from graph theory to identify diversified portfolios.
result Identified a subset of institutions with minimal extremal dependence for diversified portfolios.

This study presents an ANWSER model (asset network systemic risk model) to quantify the risk of financial contagion which manifests itself in a financial crisis. The transmission of financial distress is governed by a heterogeneous bank credit network and an investment portfolio of banks. Bankruptcy reproductive ratio …

2012-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Model assesses how supply chain disruptions affect financial stability.

problem Systemic risk in production networks and its financial implications.
method Data-driven econo-financial stress-testing framework combining supply chain and interbank networks.
result Increase of up to 28% in financial systemic risk due to production network contagion.

The book chapter discusses tail risk analysis for financial data using extreme value statistics.

problem Serial dependence in financial time series complicates tail risk assessment.
method The approach involves unconditional and conditional quantile forecasting.
result Serial dependence impacts multivariate tail dependence.

This work reviews and tests risk allocation strategies in finance, highlighting Shapley allocation's advantages.

problem Risk allocation in financial institutions with non-additive risk measures and layered structures.
method Systematic review of risk allocation strategies, testing in simplified and realistic settings, including Basel 2.5 and FRTB.
result Shapley allocation offers the best compromise between simplicity, mathematical properties, and computational cost.