New approach estimates treatment effects from decentralized data.
problem Estimating treatment effects from multiple studies with limited data.
method Three classes of ATE estimators derived from Plug-in G-Formula.
result Asymptotic variance of estimators for linear models derived.
fedCI and fedCI-IOD enable federated causal discovery across diverse datasets with privacy and power enhancements.
problem Causal discovery across multiple datasets with privacy constraints and heterogeneity.
method federated conditional independence test (fedCI) and Integration of Overlapping Datasets (IOD) algorithm extension (fedCI-IOD).
result fedCI-IOD achieves comparable performance to fully pooled analyses, enhancing statistical power and privacy.
Federated framework learns causal states to predict counterfactuals without centralizing data.
problem Decentralized counterfactual reasoning in coupled industrial systems with private data.
method Federated causal representation learning in state-space systems.
result Proves convergence to centralized oracle and provides privacy guarantees.
New federated method preserves privacy and estimates treatment effects.
problem Privacy-preserving causal inference for multi-site studies.
method Multiply robust nuisance function estimation, transfer learning.
result Efficient and optimal treatment effect estimation under different scenarios.
Adaptive kernel approach learns causal effects from diverse data sources.
problem Learning causal effects from multiple, decentralized data sources in a federated setting.
method Adaptive transfer algorithm using Random Fourier Features to estimate similarities and disentangle loss function components.
result Empirically outperforms baselines on decentralized data sources with different distributions.
Proposes a new method to handle data heterogeneity in causal inference.
problem Challenges of collaborating between different data centers due to heterogeneity.
method Collaborative inverse propensity score weighting estimator to adjust for distribution shift.
result Significant improvements over traditional meta-analysis methods when dealing with increased heterogeneity.
Study creates a multimodal learning framework for CVD risk prediction.
problem Predicting cardiovascular disease risk in diverse populations.
method Combines cross modal transformers, graph neural networks, and causal representation learning.
result Model predicts personalized CVD risk with causal invariance across subpopulations.
Federated Granger causality learns reliable interactions without sharing data.
problem Uncertainty in federated Granger causality estimates.
method Closed-form covariance recursions and spectral-radius-based convergence conditions.
result Uncertainty depends only on client data statistics and is independent of model parameters.
New perspective on federated learning as posterior inference, improving optimization.
problem Optimizing global models in distributed learning settings.
method Formulated as posterior inference problem, using MCMC for approximate inference and federated averaging for refinement.
result Federated posterior averaging (FedPA) outperforms existing methods on benchmarks.
This paper develops a federated approach to learn Granger causality in interdependent industrial clients.
problem Detecting and quantifying interdependencies in large, complex industrial data.
method Linear state space system framework, federated learning, differential privacy.
result Federated Granger causality learning addresses bandwidth and computational limitations.
We use official data for all 16 federal German states to study the causal effect of a flat 1000 Euro state-dependent university tuition fee on the enrollment behavior of students during the years 2006-2014. In particular, we show how the variation in the introduction scheme across states and times can be exploited to i…
Paper improves Bayesian inference in federated learning with new algorithm VR-FALD*.
problem Bayesian inference in federated learning with communication bottlenecks and statistical heterogeneity.
method Federated Averaging Langevin Dynamics (FALD) and VR-FALD*.
result VR-FALD* corrects client drift due to statistical heterogeneity, improving convergence.
DPMM-CFL clusters clients for federated learning without fixed K, improving performance.
problem Improving federated learning performance under non-IID client heterogeneity.
method DPMM-CFL uses a Dirichlet Process Mixture Model to infer both cluster number and client assignments.
result DPMM-CFL optimizes per-cluster federated objectives and jointly infers cluster number and assignments.
New federated learning method for structured models.
problem Limited federated learning for structured probabilistic models.
method Structured variational inference adapted for federated learning.
result Effective algorithms compared to hierarchical Bayesian models.
Federated learning for Bayesian clustering of large datasets.
problem Bayesian model-based clustering of large-scale binary and categorical data.
method Federated variational inference with local merge and delete moves in parallel batches, followed by global merge moves.
result Empirical validation shows superior performance compared to existing algorithms.
Machine learning methods have gained a great deal of popularity in recent years among public administration scholars and practitioners. These techniques open the door to the analysis of text, image and other types of data that allow us to test foundational theories of public administration and to develop new theories. …
Paper explores differential privacy in high-dimensional federated learning, tackling server trustworthiness and estimation.
problem Maintaining privacy in distributed environments with high-dimensional data.
method Investigates scenarios with untrusted and trusted central servers, introduces novel federated estimation algorithms for linear regression models.
result Tight minimax rates depend on high-dimensionality even with sparsity assumptions, and novel algorithms handle slight variations among distributed models.
A new method for privacy-preserving Bayesian learning in federated learning.
problem Privacy-preserving learning of models from distributed sensitive data.
method Differentially private partitioned variational inference (DPVI) for federated learning.
result First general framework for federated Bayesian learning with differential privacy.
In many real-world applications of machine learning, data are distributed across many clients and cannot leave the devices they are stored on. Furthermore, each client's data, computational resources and communication constraints may be very different. This setting is known as federated learning, in which privacy is a …
PVI combines federated learning and variational inference for probabilistic model training.
problem Federated learning's lack of probabilistic model uncertainty estimation.
method Partitioned variational inference (PVI) framework for federated probabilistic model training.
result PVI unifies fragmented literature and demonstrates effectiveness in various federated settings.
This paper analyzes Local SGD for federated learning, achieving both statistical and communication efficiency.
problem Statistical estimation and inference in federated learning with decentralized data.
method Local SGD, a multi-round estimation procedure using intermittent communication.
result Local SGD achieves both statistical efficiency and communication efficiency.
Bayesian Federated Inference improves statistical model estimation from multicenter data.
problem Combining data from different medical centers is challenging due to regulatory and logistic issues.
method Bayesian Federated Inference (BFI) framework for multicenter data.
result BFI framework infers additional features of the posterior parameter distribution, capturing more information than Federated Learning.
New method combines regional HIV prevention trial data without sharing individual patient info.
problem Regional differences in HIV prevention efficacy, privacy concerns, and data sharing limitations.
method Federated learning approach that combines site-specific estimators via L1-regularization.
result Improved precision in estimating region-specific survival curves.
In-network learning outperforms Federated and Split learning in wireless networks.
problem Efficiently using distributed features for inference in wireless networks.
method Proposes 'in-network learning' architecture, uses neural networks for optimization, compares with Federated and Split learning.
result In-network learning offers better accuracy and bandwidth savings.
This paper develops efficient federated learning and unlearning methods in Bayesian models.
problem Managing epistemic uncertainty and legal right to be forgotten in decentralized networks.
method Develops federated variational inference solutions based on decentralized local free energy minimization.
result Demonstrates efficient unlearning mechanisms in federated learning and unlearning.
Federated learning leaks participant dataset quality even with secure aggregation.
problem Leakage of participant dataset quality in federated learning with secure aggregation.
method Image recognition experiments to infer and attribute dataset quality.
result Relative quality ordering of participants can be inferred and used for various purposes.
FedGVI improves FL robustness to model misspecification.
problem Limited robustness in FL approaches to model misspecification.
method Probabilistic Federated Learning framework that generalizes previous methods.
result FedGVI provides robust and calibrated predictions under model misspecification.
New method prevents invalid inference after causal discovery.
problem Invalid inference after causal discovery.
method Developed tools for valid post-causal-discovery inference.
result Our method provides reliable coverage while achieving more accurate causal discovery.
Paper proposes a federated learning method for quantile inference with local differential privacy.
problem Federated learning of quantile inference under local differential privacy constraints.
method Local stochastic gradient descent with randomized mechanism for privacy and efficiency.
result Asymptotic normality and functional central limit theorem for the proposed estimator.
Probabilistic models can handle causal inference without special tools.
problem Confusion over necessary tools for causal inference.
method Demonstrated through concrete examples that causal questions can be answered using standard probabilistic models.
result Causal questions can be addressed using standard probabilistic modelling and inference.
Proposes a Bayesian federated learning method for diverse tasks.
problem Current federated learning approaches focus on homogeneous tasks, ignoring task diversity.
method Integrates multi-task learning with MOGP at the local level and federated learning at the global level.
result Demonstrates superior predictive performance and uncertainty calibration on diverse tasks.
FedLog reduces communication in federated learning by sharing data summaries.
problem Significant communication overhead in federated learning with large model parameters.
method Shares minimal sufficient statistics via Bayesian inference and differential privacy.
result High learning accuracy with low communication overhead.
Study uses ML to analyze how interest rates affect fund returns, finding gradient boosting is effective.
problem Understanding how interest rate changes impact fund returns.
method Combines Machine Learning and causal inference, using Double Machine Learning framework.
result Gradient boosting is useful for predicting fund returns, showing a significant negative effect of interest rate increases.
A new algorithm improves Bayesian federated learning by reducing communication overhead.
problem Bayesian federated learning constraints, including privacy, data ownership, and communication overhead.
method Proposes Quantised Langevin Stochastic Dynamics (QLSD) for Bayesian federated learning, using gradient compression and variance reduction techniques.
result Non-asymptotic and asymptotic convergence guarantees for QLSD and its improved versions.
Paper tackles scalable VFL with data augmentation and amortized inference.
problem Collaborative model estimation across multiple clients with distinct covariates.
method Data augmentation, amortized variational approximation, factorized likelihoods.
result Scalable Bayesian VFL framework for various models.
This paper tackles federated learning for automatic latent variable selection in multi-output Gaussian processes.
problem Challenges in determining the adequate number of latent processes and relying on centralized learning for privacy and computational issues.
method Proposes a hierarchical model with spike-and-slab priors for automatic latent process selection and variational inference-based federated learning algorithm.
result Demonstrates the advantageous features of the proposed federated approach through simulations and real-world data.
DSVGD improves federated learning with fewer communication rounds.
problem Federated learning scalability and trustworthiness.
method Distributed Stein Variational Gradient Descent (DSVGD) for non-parametric Bayesian inference.
result DSVGD achieves comparable accuracy and scalability to other methods, with well-calibrated predictions.
Bayesian Federated Inference combines local data analyses to estimate regression models.
problem Estimating accurate parameters with limited data from different centers.
method Bayesian Federated Inference (BFI) for pooling local data analyses.
result Excellent performance of BFI methodology shown in real-life examples.
Federated learning is viewed as a hierarchical latent variable model for new algorithm development.
problem Training models privately across multiple clients while maintaining privacy and efficiency.
method Viewing federated learning as a hierarchical latent variable model and applying Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm.
result Proposes FedSparse, a federated learning algorithm that promotes sparsity and reduces communication and inference costs.
A federated model learns shared archetypes from heterogeneous clients in continual learning.
problem Federated learning struggles with client heterogeneity and streaming distribution shifts.
method Clients encode their data as low-rank Hebbian operators, which are sent to a central server for aggregation and factorization into global archetypes.
result Improved global archetype reconstruction and associative retrieval in heterogeneous clients, drift, and novelty settings.
Deep learning aids causal inference in complex settings.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in non-linear, time-varying, and encoded confounders.
method Intuitive introduction to deep learning and causal inference, focusing on observational data.
result Maximizes accessibility to causal inference through deep learning.
Bayesian Federated Inference improves survival model analysis without merging data.
problem Accurately estimating survival model parameters requires sufficient data and events, which is often lacking in practice.
method Bayesian Federated Inference (BFI) for survival models, where local centers perform analyses and combine results.
result Results from BFI are similar to those from merged data analyses, demonstrating excellent performance.
Book introduces ML and AI for causal inference.
problem Uncertainty in causal relationships.
method Structural equation models, DAGs, SCMs, and Double/Debiased Machine Learning.
result Improved inference in causal models using predictive tools.
Causal inference deals with identifying which random variables "cause" or control other random variables. Recent advances on the topic of causal inference based on tools from statistical estimation and machine learning have resulted in practical algorithms for causal inference. Causal inference has the potential to hav…
A new method speeds up DPMM inference for federated learning.
problem Slow inference for large datasets in DPMMs.
method Distributed collapsed Gibbs sampler (DisCGS) for DPMMs.
result Significant reduction in execution time (200x faster) for large datasets.
In federated learning, a central server coordinates the training of a single model on a massively distributed network of devices. This setting can be naturally extended to a multi-task learning framework, to handle real-world federated datasets that typically show strong statistical heterogeneity among devices. Despite…
Two environments are enough to infer causal graphs and counterfactuals.
problem Inferring causal relations from multiple environments, especially for nonlinear mechanisms.
method Using structural causal models and the invariance principle, the study shows that only two auxiliary environments are sufficient for causal graph inference and counterfactual inference.
result Two auxiliary environments are sufficient for identifying causal graphs and counterfactuals.
ABCI infers causal models and queries simultaneously using Bayesian active learning.
problem Inference of causal models and effects in a two-stage process is inefficient and unnatural.
method Active Bayesian Causal Inference (ABCI) using Gaussian processes for sequentially designing experiments.
result ABCI is more data-efficient and accurate in learning causal queries from fewer samples.