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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Expert Insights

Paper connects MoE and self-attention, proposing active-attention.

problem Improving efficiency and performance of self-attention mechanisms.
method Established connection between MoE and self-attention, analyzed quadratic gating functions, proposed active-attention mechanism.
result Active-attention outperforms standard self-attention in various tasks.

Experts predict significant adoption of decentralized finance by 2034, with traditional finance adapting.

problem Adoption and integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) in financial services.
method Survey analysis using New Institutional Economics and Dynamic Capabilities Theory.
result Experts expect adoption of DeFi to rise from negligible to 43% by 2034, with traditional finance likely to embrace it.

Improves online learning with expert demonstrations, quality matters.

problem Improving online learning through offline demonstration data.
method Thompson sampling applied to a multi-armed bandit model, informed by expert demonstrations and Bayes' rule.
result Substantial empirical regret reduction with expert demonstrations, improving online performance.

Bayesian models combine experts with a flexible gating mechanism for complex data.

problem Theoretical properties of Bayesian mixture-of-experts models with softmax gating remain unexplored.
method Investigated asymptotic behavior of posterior distribution for density estimation, parameter estimation, and model selection.
result Established posterior contraction rates for density estimation and parameter estimation, providing insights for practical model design.

In mixtures-of-experts (ME) model, where a number of submodels (experts) are combined, there have been two longstanding problems: (i) how many experts should be chosen, given the size of the training data? (ii) given the total number of parameters, is it better to use a few very complex experts, or is it better to comb…

2011-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepSeekMoE improves language model efficiency with shared experts and normalized gating.

problem Improving sample efficiency in language model architectures.
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of shared experts and normalized sigmoid gating.
result Theoretical and empirical evidence of improved sample efficiency with shared experts and normalized gating.

The paper analyzes convergence rates of softmax gating in MoE models.

problem The effectiveness and scalability of machine learning models using MoE.
method Convergence analysis of parameter and expert estimation under MoE with softmax gating and its variants.
result Theoretical results show polynomially many data points are needed for strong identifiability conditions, while exponential points are required for linear experts.

A new CoVaR framework integrates expert views using entropy pooling.

problem Risk assessment and spillover effects from diverse expert views.
method Entropy pooling method to integrate expert views and compute general CoVaR.
result General CoVaR shows linear relationships with expectations and differences in expectations, and nonlinear dependencies with variance, quantiles, and correlation.

Framework uses human judgment to distinguish algorithmically indistinguishable cases.

problem Clarifying human-AI collaboration in prediction and decision tasks.
method Integrates human judgment to distinguish algorithmically indistinguishable cases.
result Improves performance of any feasible algorithmic predictor.

New insights into the top-K sparse softmax gating function for deep learning.

problem Understanding the theoretical effects of the top-K sparse softmax gating function on density and parameter estimations.
method Using a Gaussian mixture of experts, novel loss functions, and theoretical analysis.
result The convergence rates of density and parameter estimations are parametric under certain conditions, but slow under over-specified models.

New algorithm reduces performance loss in IRL with mismatched transition dynamics.

problem Performance degradation in inverse reinforcement learning due to mismatched transition dynamics.
method Proposed a robust Maximum Causal Entropy (MCE) IRL algorithm leveraging robust reinforcement learning insights.
result Empirically demonstrated stable performance improvement under transition dynamics mismatches.

The paper studies estimation rates for MoE models with a new prompt.

problem Estimating parameters in a softmax-contaminated MoE model.
method Analytic notion of distinguishability, minimax optimal estimation rates.
result Estimation rates are minimax optimal under distinguishability, but slower otherwise.

TIM framework uses LLMs and domain experts to infer DeFi user transaction intents.

problem Challenges in understanding user intent in DeFi transactions due to complex interactions and opaque logs.
method TIM framework leverages a DeFi intent taxonomy, multi-agent LLM system, and a Meta-Level Planner.
result TIM significantly outperforms existing methods in inferring user transaction intents.

The paper tackles ranking experts based on their answers to questions, considering statistical and computational challenges.

problem Ranking experts based on their answers to questions, considering isotonic constraints.
method Investigates the existence of statistically optimal and computationally efficient procedures for ranking experts under isotonic constraints.
result Disproves the existence of computational-statistical gaps for the problem.

Process mining is a research field focused on the analysis of event data with the aim of extracting insights in processes. Applying process mining techniques on data from smart home environments has the potential to provide valuable insights in (un)healthy habits and to contribute to ambient assisted living solutions. …

2016-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

HAD-Net forecasts glucose levels with insights into insulin and carbs diffusion.

problem Inaccurate predictions in glucose level forecasting without context understanding.
method Hybrid model combining deep learning and physiological models, using recurrent attention network.
result Achieves competitive performance in glucose level forecasting with plausible diffusion insights.

FinSphere improves stock analysis quality with AI and expert-curated data.

problem Lack of objective evaluation metrics and depth in stock analysis by FinLLMs.
method Developed AnalyScore, curated Stocksis dataset, and FinSphere AI agent.
result FinSphere outperforms general and domain-specific LLMs in generating high-quality stock analysis reports.

Gryffin optimizes categorical variables in materials design, leveraging expert knowledge.

problem Optimizing categorical variables in complex design choices like molecule selection.
method Bayesian optimization with smooth approximations to categorical distributions, incorporating expert knowledge.
result Gryffin accelerates discovery of promising molecules and materials, highlighting relevant correlations.

We consider the applications of the Frank-Wolfe (FW) algorithm for Apprenticeship Learning (AL). In this setting, we are given a Markov Decision Process (MDP) without an explicit reward function. Instead, we observe an expert that acts according to some policy, and the goal is to find a policy whose feature expectation…

2019-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Model uses LLMs to process numerical data guided by natural language descriptions.

problem Challenges in integrating prior knowledge into probabilistic models.
method Developed LLM Processes to condition numerical predictive distributions on natural language.
result Improved predictive performance and structured qualitative descriptions.

Study proposes explainable analytics for manufacturing process planning.

problem Improving data-driven decision-making in manufacturing.
method Combines process mining, machine learning, and XAI. Uses deep learning for prediction and Shapley values/ICE plots for explanations.
result Enhanced decision-making capabilities through local post-hoc explanations.

Multi-expert L2D underfits more severely, requiring new methods.

problem Underfitting in multi-expert L2D settings.
method PiCCE (Pick the Confident and Correct Expert), a surrogate-based method.
result PiCCE effectively reduces multi-expert L2D to a single-expert-like problem, resolving underfitting.

TENP prunes experts and neurons in Mixture-of-Experts models for efficient deployment.

problem Efficient deployment of large language models constrained by static parameter footprint.
method Structured Trapezoidal ExpertNeuron Pruning (TENP) identifies and retains important experts and neurons.
result DeepSeek model achieves 10% better performance on code generation tasks with 40% expert sparsity.

A method to select important experts for Gaussian processes to balance computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification.

problem Balancing computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification in Gaussian processes for big data.
method Using graphical models to select important experts and aggregate their predictions while ensuring uncertainty quantification.
result Substantially reduces computational cost of aggregating dependent experts while ensuring calibrated uncertainty quantification.

We consider the problem of contextual bandits with stochastic experts, which is a variation of the traditional stochastic contextual bandit with experts problem. In our problem setting, we assume access to a class of stochastic experts, where each expert is a conditional distribution over the arms given a context. We p…

2018-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved time series forecasting with expert loss integration.

problem Enhancing time series forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
method Adaptive Mixture-of-Experts framework with expert-specific loss integration and online learning.
result Significantly improved forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency.

NAMEx merges experts using Nash bargaining for improved performance.

problem Sparse Mixture of Experts merging strategies lack a principled weighting mechanism.
method Reinterpreting expert merging through game theory, introducing Nash Merging and complex momentum.
result NAMEx consistently outperforms competing methods across various tasks and system sizes.

PAMA learns covariate importance for better matching in observational studies.

problem Poor performance of conventional matching methods when covariates differ in relevance.
method PAMA is a semi-supervised framework that learns covariate importance from paired data and optimizes a weighted quadratic score.
result PAMA outperforms standard methods, particularly in high-dimensional settings and under model misspecification.

Meta-algorithm optimizes nonstochastic bandits with infinitely many experts.

problem Maximizing reward by choosing actions sequentially from a set of experts.
method Proposed a variant of Exp4.P for infinitely many experts and a meta-algorithm.
result Proved high-probability upper bound of ildeO(iK+KT) ilde{\mathcal{O}} \big( i^*K + \sqrt{KT} \big) on regret.

This paper provides a guide to feature importance methods for better scientific inference.

problem Limited understanding of data-generating process due to opaque ML model mechanisms.
method Comprehensive review and new proofs of global feature importance methods.
result Facilitates a thorough understanding and concrete recommendations for FI methods.