The abstract warns against flawed empirical research in machine learning.
problem Flawed empirical research in machine learning leading to unreliable results.
method Call for more awareness of experimental knowledge plurality and epistemic limitations.
result Current empirical machine learning research should be exploratory, not confirmatory.
Study examines challenges and applications of machine learning in finance.
problem Challenges in applying machine learning to financial research due to market idiosyncrasies and methodological differences.
method Discussion of adjustments needed to conventional machine learning methodology to account for financial market peculiarities.
result Machine learning can be unified with financial research as a robust complement to econometric methods.
Synthetic experiments are crucial for assessing causal machine learning methods.
problem Current empirical evaluations of causal machine learning methods are insufficient and unreliable.
method Propose principles for conducting rigorous empirical analyses with synthetic data.
result Rigorous synthetic experiments are essential for building trust in causal machine learning methods.
The paper argues that machine learning is a falsificationist process.
problem The role of falsification in machine learning is underexplored.
method The paper presents a falsificationist account of artificial neural networks, emphasizing empirical risk minimization and implicit regularization.
result Artificial neural networks can be seen as a falsificationist process, rejecting inadequate prediction rules.
Currently, machine learning plays an important role in the lives and individual activities of numerous people. Accordingly, it has become necessary to design machine learning algorithms to ensure that discrimination, biased views, or unfair treatment do not result from decision making or predictions made via machine le…
BERT outperforms traditional machine learning in text classification tasks.
problem Comparing BERT to traditional machine learning methods for text classification.
method Empirical testing of BERT against TF-IDF-based machine learning models in various scenarios.
result BERT demonstrates superior performance and independence from text features.
Theory and methods to mitigate omitted variable bias in causal machine learning.
problem Mitigating omitted variable bias in causal machine learning models.
method Developed a general theory and flexible statistical inference methods for bounding and testing the magnitude of omitted variable bias.
result Simple plausibility judgments can bound the magnitude of omitted variable bias in complex, nonlinear models.
HHT feature generation enhances financial time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting nonstationary financial time series.
method CEEMD and HHT for decomposition, machine learning integration.
result HHT-enhanced models outperform traditional models in forecasting.
We consider distributed convex optimization problems originated from sample average approximation of stochastic optimization, or empirical risk minimization in machine learning. We assume that each machine in the distributed computing system has access to a local empirical loss function, constructed with i.i.d. data sa…
A new method detects changes in machine learning models over time.
problem Automatic monitoring of machine learning models trained on evolving data.
method Score-based statistical hypothesis test for change detection.
result The method can detect changes in any number of model components.
Study evaluates and compares traditional and causal machine learning methods for estimating direct price effects of environmental amenities.
problem Estimating direct price effects of environmental amenities in housing markets.
method Empirical Monte Carlo simulation to compare traditional regression and causal machine learning approaches.
result Causal Machine Learning (CML) methods, particularly causal forest DID, perform comparably to generalized DID in most scenarios.
The paper develops a theory explaining how machine learning models can amplify biases.
problem Understanding and mitigating bias in machine learning models.
method Analytical theory of ridge regression with and without random projections.
result Observations and predictions align with empirical data on machine learning bias.
We explore the possibility of using machine learning to identify interesting mathematical structures by using certain quantities that serve as fingerprints. In particular, we extract features from integer sequences using two empirical laws: Benford's law and Taylor's law and experiment with various classifiers to ident…
Recently, (Blanchet, Kang, and Murhy 2016, and Blanchet, and Kang 2017) showed that several machine learning algorithms, such as square-root Lasso, Support Vector Machines, and regularized logistic regression, among many others, can be represented exactly as distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems. The dist…
Develops a measure for subjective explainability of ML predictions.
problem Ensuring transparency and trust in automated decision-making.
method Information-theoretic concepts applied to conditional entropy of predictions given user feedback.
result EERM principle balances subjective explainability and risk.
This thesis explores robust machine learning against adversarial examples.
problem How to create machine learning systems robust to adversarial examples.
method Theoretical exploration and development of new learning algorithms with robustness guarantees.
result Developed new learning algorithms with provable robustness guarantees.
We give an explicit algorithm and source code for constructing risk models based on machine learning techniques. The resultant covariance matrices are not factor models. Based on empirical backtests, we compare the performance of these machine learning risk models to other constructions, including statistical risk mode…
ART improves transfer learning performance with robust theory and methods.
problem Improving performance of primary tasks using auxiliary data.
method Adaptive Robust Transfer Learning (ART) pipeline with theoretical guarantees.
result ART provides a provable theoretical guarantee for adaptive transfer and robustness.
New method improves estimation of complex models from conditional moment restrictions.
problem Estimation of complex models from conditional moment restrictions.
method Functional Generalized Empirical Likelihood (GEL) with a practical method.
result The method achieves state-of-the-art performance on two problems.
Machine learning selects the best prediction rules from noisy data.
problem Selection under uncertainty in machine learning.
method Statistical tools and inequalities to control noise in empirical estimates.
result Theoretical guarantees on selection outcomes under uncertainty.
Study quantized models' privacy against membership inference attacks.
problem Privacy risk in quantized machine learning models.
method Proposed a new MIS indicator for post-training quantization procedures, minimizing empirical loss.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of new MIS indicator in assessing and ranking privacy risk.
Paper analyzes consistency of Bayesian and machine learning methods for hierarchical parameter estimation.
problem Learning hierarchical parameters in complex and real-world problems.
method Empirical Bayes and Kernel Flow approaches.
result Consistency results for Matérn-like model on the torus, and comparison of algorithms.
Paper uses AI methods to forecast Bitcoin prices.
problem Inaccurate Bitcoin price predictions in previous studies.
method Combines EEMD and LSTM for next-day price forecast.
result Improves Bitcoin price prediction accuracy.
SONIA optimizes machine learning problems with a novel algorithm.
problem Empirical risk minimization in machine learning.
method Symmetric Blockwise Truncated Optimization (SONIA) algorithm combining second-order and steepest descent steps.
result SONIA converges to stationary points in both convex and nonconvex cases.
Machine Learning benefits from prior information and computational power for better performance and understanding.
problem Improper use of Machine Learning methods leads to lack of understanding and performance issues.
method Employing prior information and computational power to solve learning problems, emphasizing interpretability and performance.
result Combining prior information and computational power can lead to better understanding and performance in Machine Learning.
This study improves scalability of randomized smoothing for certifying classifier robustness.
problem Certifying machine learning classifiers against adversarial attacks is challenging and scalable solutions are needed.
method The study reviews and explores randomized smoothing and its derivatives, focusing on scalability.
result The study provides theoretical guarantees and discusses scalability challenges of randomized smoothing.
Paper tackles circularity issues in machine learning predictions.
problem Circularity problems in machine learning predictions.
method Not specified in the abstract.
result Not specified in the abstract.
We propose a distributed approach to train deep neural networks (DNNs), which has guaranteed convergence theoretically and great scalability empirically: close to 6 times faster on instance of ImageNet data set when run with 6 machines. The proposed scheme is close to optimally scalable in terms of number of machines, …
Study shows convergence rate for empirical minimizer of unbounded functions with fast growth.
problem Convergence rate of empirical minimizer for unbounded functions with fast growth.
method Analyzes L1-distance convergence rate of the empiric minimizer for coercive functions sampled with noise. result Convergence rate is bounded above by ann−1/q, where q is the dimension and an=o(nε) for every ε>0. The paper connects three machine learning methods to reduce generalization errors.
problem Reducing generalization errors in machine learning models.
method Distributionally robust optimization, Bayesian methods, and regularization.
result Machine learning models can be characterized using distributional uncertainty and robustness measures.
We extend the empirical results published in article "Empirical Evidence on Arbitrage by Changing the Stock Exchange" by means of machine learning and advanced econometric methodologies based on Smooth Transition Regression models and Artificial Neural Networks.
Bagging stabilizes models without distributional assumptions.
problem Stability of machine learning models without distributional assumptions.
method Derives a finite-sample guarantee on bagging stability for any model.
result Guarantee applies to many bagging variants and is optimal.
We conduct an empirical study of machine learning functionalities provided by major cloud service providers, which we call machine learning clouds. Machine learning clouds hold the promise of hiding all the sophistication of running large-scale machine learning: Instead of specifying how to run a machine learning task,…
This paper evaluates how different imputation methods affect predictive models.
problem The impact of different imputation methods on predictive models' performance.
method Systematic evaluation of various imputation methods for different data sets and machine learning algorithms.
result Recommendation of a general method for empirical benchmarking of imputation methods.
Study evaluates fairness of machine learning models on Kaggle and finds some optimization techniques can induce unfairness.
problem Ensuring fairness of machine learning models used in important decisions.
method Empirical evaluation of 40 top-rated models from Kaggle on 5 tasks, applying 7 mitigation techniques.
result Some model optimization techniques induce unfairness; mitigation in pre-processing is preferred.
The paper examines the tilted empirical risk's generalization and robustness under negative tilt.
problem The generalization error of machine learning algorithms under negative tilt.
method Uniform and information-theoretic bounds on the tilted generalization error under negative tilt.
result The tilted empirical risk's generalization error has a convergence rate of \(O(n^{-ε/(1+ε)})\).
The study introduces backward baselines to distinguish past prediction from future prediction in machine learning models.
problem Differentiating between past and future prediction in machine learning models.
method Theoretical, empirical, and normative arguments support a family of simple and efficient statistical tests called backward baselines.
result The study provides a meaningful backward baseline for auditing black-box prediction systems.
We present transductive Boltzmann machines (TBMs), which firstly achieve transductive learning of the Gibbs distribution. While exact learning of the Gibbs distribution is impossible by the family of existing Boltzmann machines due to combinatorial explosion of the sample space, TBMs overcome the problem by adaptively …
This paper provides a PAC-Bayesian bound for CVaR in machine learning.
problem Learning algorithms minimizing CVaR of empirical loss.
method Generalization bound of PAC-Bayesian type, reducing CVaR estimation to expectation estimation.
result The bound is small when empirical CVaR is small, providing concentration inequalities for CVaR.
The paper uses distance covariance to improve fairness in machine learning models.
problem Improving fairness in machine learning models.
method Using conditional and distance covariance statistics to assess independence and add a penalty for fairness.
result The method effectively reduces the fairness gap in machine learning models.
The main goal of statistical learning theory is to provide a fundamental framework for the problem of decision making and model construction based on sets of data. Here, we present a brief introduction to the fundamentals of statistical learning theory, in particular the difference between empirical and structural risk…
First DP algorithm for Wasserstein barycenters on private data.
problem Computing Wasserstein barycenters on private datasets.
method Differentially private algorithms for Wasserstein barycenters.
result High-quality private barycenters with strong accuracy-privacy tradeoffs.
Hyperparameters are critical in machine learning, as different hyperparameters often result in models with significantly different performance. Hyperparameters may be deemed confidential because of their commercial value and the confidentiality of the proprietary algorithms that the learner uses to learn them. In this …
Motivated by the problem of tuning hyperparameters in machine learning, we present a new approach for gradually and adaptively optimizing an unknown function using estimated gradients. We validate the empirical performance of the proposed idea on both low and high dimensional problems. The experimental results demonstr…
Machine Learning is proving invaluable across disciplines. However, its success is often limited by the quality and quantity of available data, while its adoption by the level of trust that models afford users. Human vs. machine performance is commonly compared empirically to decide whether a certain task should be per…
Trade-off found between privacy and robustness in machine learning models.
problem Balancing privacy and robustness in machine learning models.
method Empirical analysis of trade-offs between robust and private models.
result Privacy and robustness are not always mutually exclusive.
Paper uses machine learning for nowcasting corporate earnings from mixed-frequency data.
problem Predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with different frequency data.
method Structured machine learning regressions with sparse-group LASSO regularization for panel data.
result Machine learning models outperform traditional methods in nowcasting corporate earnings.
While the interpretability of machine learning models is often equated with their mere syntactic comprehensibility, we think that interpretability goes beyond that, and that human interpretability should also be investigated from the point of view of cognitive science. The goal of this paper is to discuss to what exten…