NESYM combines AI and Earth models for new climate insights.
problem Replacing traditional Earth models with AI.
method Neural Earth System Modelling (NESYM) integrating AI and climate models.
result Artificial intelligence may render traditional models obsolete.
A new method estimates time-varying parameters in earth system models using offline and online data assimilation.
problem Estimating time-varying parameters in complex earth system models.
method Hybrid Offline Online Parameter Estimation with Particle Filtering (HOOPE-PF)
result HOOPE-PF outperforms existing methods, especially with small ensemble sizes.
Efficient surrogate model reduces ESM evaluation time.
problem Reducing computational time for large-scale ESM simulations.
method SVD for dimensionality reduction followed by Bayesian optimization for neural network surrogate.
result 20 ESM simulations build a 42660-variable surrogate with 93% consistency and 2% MSE.
Challenge to separate Earth's magnetic field from vehicle's magnetic field for accurate navigation.
problem Separate Earth's magnetic field from vehicle's magnetic field for accurate magnetic navigation.
method Use machine learning (ML) and integrate physics of magnetic navigation (SciML) to remove aircraft magnetic field from total magnetic field.
result A model can be constructed to effectively remove aircraft magnetic field from the dataset.
Hybrid models combine domain knowledge and data-driven learning for Earth observation.
problem Challenges in modelling Earth observation data with either purely mechanistic or data-driven methods.
method Gaussian process convolution models, specifically latent force models (LFMs), integrating physical knowledge into multioutput GP models.
result Model automatically estimates soil moisture persistence and discovers latent forces related to precipitation.
The paper applies Gaussianization to analyze Earth data, simplifying complex multivariate distributions.
problem Challenges in accurately estimating information content in high-dimensional, heterogeneous Earth data.
method Multivariate Gaussianization for robust probability density estimation.
result Validates the method for estimating information-theoretic measures in Earth system data.
Climate projections continue to be marred by large uncertainties, which originate in processes that need to be parameterized, such as clouds, convection, and ecosystems. But rapid progress is now within reach. New computational tools and methods from data assimilation and machine learning make it possible to integrate …
Deep learning models match traditional surrogate models in accuracy and speed for satellite remote sensing.
problem Limited computational power hinders high-resolution numerical model simulations.
method Deep learning framework applied to satellite remote sensing data.
result Deep learning models can accurately and efficiently emulate numerical models.
Study shows various pixel p-norm measures do not match human perception of adversarial attacks.
problem Understanding human perception of adversarial attacks on image classification systems.
method Performed a behavioral study comparing different p-norm measures and alternative metrics.
result Human perception of adversarial attacks does not align with pixel p-norm measures and other metrics.
Generative models emulate climate model outputs for impact assessment.
problem Outdated climate model projections hinder adaptation and mitigation planning.
method Score-based diffusion on a spherical mesh, trained on monthly ESM fields.
result Generative models produce distributions closely matching ESM outputs.
Kernel methods' derivatives make complex models more interpretable.
problem Interpreting complex kernel models.
method Deriving kernel functions' derivatives and applying them to various kernel methods.
result Derivatives of kernel functions can be computed and applied to improve model interpretation.
Reservoir Computing enhances climate predictability studies.
problem Improving climate predictability using machine learning.
method Reservoir Computing applied to climate data.
result Reservoir Computing outperforms traditional LIM in predicting climate variables.
Paper predicts GNSS phase scintillations with machine learning.
problem Predicting phase scintillations due to ionosphere disturbances.
method Proposes a novel machine learning architecture and loss function.
result Achieves state-of-the-art prediction of phase scintillations 1 hour in advance.
Improved GAN for chaotic systems reduces training time and captures statistics.
problem Training GANs for chaotic dynamical systems is challenging and often fails to capture true statistics.
method Statistical constraints enforced in GANs to improve model fidelity and reduce training time.
result Statistical regularization leads to better performance in capturing physical properties and significantly reduced training time.
Study analyzes seasonal hydroclimatic features across climates and continents.
problem Lack of seasonal hydroclimatic feature analysis for Koppen-Geiger climates and continents.
method Global-scale analysis of 13,000 time series using 7 features.
result Notable differences in feature magnitudes across Koppen-Geiger climate classes and continental regions.
DecoR estimates causal effects in confounded time series data.
problem Estimating causal effects in time series with unobserved confounders.
method Robust regression in the frequency domain.
result Proves upper bounds for estimation error of DecoR, implying consistency.
PMD measures user distances using optimal transportation, improving recommendation accuracy.
problem Sparse data and lack of co-rated items in collaborative filtering.
method PMD is an Earth Mover's Distance-based user distance measure that utilizes all ratings.
result PMD achieves superior recommendation accuracy, especially in sparse data scenarios.
Machine learning predicts seasonal precipitation for East Africa.
problem Predicting seasonal precipitation for East Africa using machine learning.
method Dimension reduction via EOFs, large-scale climate variability indices as features, interpretable ML algorithm.
result The ML approach shows significant positive skill in predicting precipitation for OND season, comparable to ECMWF forecasts.
New algorithms predict causal links better than traditional methods in time series data.
problem Learning causal structure from time series data with challenges in real-world Earth sciences.
method Combination of established ideas for linear methods to identify causal links in non-linear systems, with a focus on large regression coefficients.
result Large regression coefficients can predict causal links better than small p-values in practice.
New method shows data-driven causal studies can be misleading.
problem Misattribution of causality in data-driven earth science studies.
method Subsample-based ensemble approach for robust causality analysis.
result Transfer entropy-based causal graphs can be spurious.
FaIRGP model improves climate emulation with physical interpretability.
problem Lack of physical interpretability in data-driven emulators.
method Bayesian approach to a data-driven emulator of energy balance equations.
result Demonstrates skillful emulation of global and spatial surface temperatures.
DA improves solar wind forecasts by updating model boundary conditions.
problem Improving solar wind forecasting accuracy.
method Variational Data Assimilation with solar wind model and in-situ observations.
result DA forecasts are more accurate than non-DA forecasts, especially when STEREO-B's latitude is offset from Earth.
Gaussian processes enhance EO with accurate and uncertain predictions.
problem Challenges in GP models for EO, including data-driven physics and causal inference.
method Data-driven physics-aware models respecting signal characteristics and physical laws.
result GP models need to evolve for better EO applications.
Machine learning improves prediction of complex geology ahead of drilling.
problem Predicting complex geology during drilling in real-time.
method Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) and Forward Deep Neural Network (FDNN) for real-time geological uncertainty reduction.
result Real-time estimates of complex geological uncertainty achieved.
ClimART dataset benchmarks ML emulators for atmospheric RT in climate models.
problem Lack of a comprehensive dataset and standardized practices for ML benchmarking in climate models.
method Builds ClimART, a large dataset with over 10 million samples, and presents novel baselines.
result Indicates shortcomings of prior datasets and network architectures.
A new method for faster spatial modeling on exascale computers.
problem Scalable, memory-efficient machine learning for spatially distributed data.
method Partitioned Sparse Variational Gaussian Process (PSVGP) with decentralized communication.
result Improved spatial predictions and better model fit with minimal overhead.
In this paper we form relations for the determination of the elements of the Eötvös matrix of the Earth's normal gravity field. In addition a relation between the Gauss curvature of the normal equipotential surface and the Gauss curvature of the actual equipotential surface both passing through the point P is presented…
This study analyzes satellite communication latency using a stochastic geometry model.
problem Latency analysis of LEO satellite relay communication systems.
method Stochastic geometry framework with spherical BPP models, suboptimal satellite relay selection strategy.
result Derives distance distributions and analytical expressions for transmission delays.
Proposes a new framework for uncertainty evaluation in ML classification models.
problem Uncertainty evaluation for ML classification models not addressed by existing metrological guidelines.
method Develops a metrological framework based on probability mass functions and summary statistics.
result Extends the GUM to uncertainty for nominal properties, applicable to ML classification models.
Earth observation embeddings can convert discrete biome maps into continuous representations that better capture ecological variation.
problem Biome maps impose categorical boundaries that compress continuous variation in biotic communities.
method Fit a linear classifier on Earth observation embeddings to predict biome labels.
result Continuous biome representation outperforms discrete biome labels for predicting species occurrence.
Meta-learning improves few-shot land cover classification across diverse regions.
problem Capturing diversity in land cover classification across different geographic regions.
method Model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) algorithm applied to classification and segmentation tasks.
result Few-shot model adaptation outperforms traditional methods in diverse land cover classification tasks.
Method reveals dissimilarity in alloys' Curie temperatures.
problem Tackles the dissimilarity between rare-earth transition metal binary alloys.
method Ensemble learning with Kernel ridge regression.
result Reveals meaningful relations between alloys' structure and Curie temperature.
FedSpace optimizes ML training on satellites and ground stations.
problem Training machine learning models on satellites with limited bandwidth.
method Federated Learning framework that dynamically schedules model aggregation based on satellite orbits.
result Reduces training time by 1.7 days over state-of-the-art algorithms.
Positive definite kernels are an important tool in machine learning that enable efficient solutions to otherwise difficult or intractable problems by implicitly linearizing the problem geometry. In this paper we develop a set-theoretic interpretation of the Earth Mover's Distance (EMD) and propose Earth Mover's Interse…
The purpose of the New York Workshop on Computer, Earth and Space Sciences is to bring together the New York area's finest Astronomers, Statisticians, Computer Scientists, Space and Earth Scientists to explore potential synergies between their respective fields. The 2011 edition (CESS2011) was a great success, and we w…
Gaussian processes are improved to account for input noise in earth observation.
problem Accurate error assessment in earth observation models.
method Propose a GP model that propagates input noise through the pipeline.
result Improved error representation in temperature predictions from infrared data.
Deep learning improves aerosol optical depth predictions from reanalysis data.
problem Biases in reanalysis datasets like MERRA-2 against ground truth AOD measurements.
method A hybrid CNN model combining MERRA-2 reanalysis with deep learning.
result The CNN-based model provides better AOD estimates than MERRA-2 alone.
SPF uses a hierarchical approach to efficiently emulate climate changes.
problem Slow and unstable climate emulation for long horizons.
method Spatiotemporal Pyramid Flows (SPF) model data hierarchically across spatial and temporal scales.
result SPF outperforms flow matching baselines and pre-trained models on ClimateBench.
Scoping review of EO-ML methods for causal inference in poverty geography.
problem Lack of thorough documentation and best practices for EO-ML methods in causal analysis.
method Comprehensive scoping review cataloging five principal approaches.
result Detailed protocol for integrating EO data into causal analysis.
Avalanches, or Avalanche-like, events are often observed in the dynamical behaviour of many complex systems which span from solar flaring to the Earth's crust dynamics and from traffic flows to financial markets. Self-organized criticality (SOC) is one of the most popular theories able to explain this intermittent char…
Quantum Earth Mover's distance improves stability and efficiency in quantum learning.
problem Quantum learning's loss landscapes often lead to poor local minima and gradients.
method Introduced the quantum Earth Mover's (EM) distance and proposed a quantum Wasserstein generative adversarial network (qWGAN).
result The quantum EM distance makes quantum learning more stable and efficient.
Wavelet transform clusters climate data into biomes.
problem Understanding climate biomes through complex data.
method Discrete wavelet transform for coarse-graining, ensemble classification, information theory.
result Efficient consensus clustering identifies climate biomes.
Bayesian deep learning predicts satellite collisions.
problem Space debris poses planetary risk.
method Bayesian deep learning with LSTM networks.
result Predicts conjunction event evolution with uncertainties.
The study classifies tilings of the sphere by congruent quadrilaterals.
problem Classifying edge-to-edge tilings of the sphere by congruent quadrilaterals.
method Classification of tilings into three classes based on geometric data and parameters.
result Three classes of tilings are identified: 2-layer earth map tilings, quadrilateral subdivisions of the octahedron, and 3-layer earth map tilings.
Machine learning models accurately predict the state and dynamics of reactive mixing.
problem Accurate prediction of reactive mixing for Earth and environmental science applications.
method Built a high-fidelity numerical model to simulate reactive mixing scenarios. Used 20 different machine learning emulators to classify mixing state and predict three QoIs.
result Ensemble methods and MLP models accurately predict the state of reactive mixing and QoIs, significantly faster than high-fidelity simulations.
A hybrid model combines physics and machine learning to predict unknown processes in numerical models.
problem Unknown or poorly represented processes in numerical models of the Earth System.
method Combining a physical model with a neural-net trained on observations.
result The hybrid model accurately predicts unknown processes with high correlation (close to 1).
Neural Laplace Control tackles offline RL for continuous-time delayed systems with irregular observations.
problem Offline reinforcement learning problems involving continuous-time environments with delays and irregular observations.
method Combines a Neural Laplace dynamics model with a model predictive control (MPC) planner.
result Achieves near expert policy performance on continuous-time delayed environments.
Machine learning improves chaotic dynamical system simulations with empirical error correction.
problem Improving chaotic dynamical system simulations using machine learning.
method Combining machine learning with physically-derived models to correct timestep errors.
result The approach yields stable models with improved long-term statistics and single time-step tendencies.