A new control chart detects shifts in binary data streams quickly and reliably.
problem Early detection of small shifts in multiple binary data streams.
method Cumulative Standardized Binomial EWMA (CSB-EWMA) chart with exact variance derivation.
result Adaptive control limits ensure robust detection across different data distributions.
KQT-EWMA monitors multivariate data streams online with flexible and practical change detection.
problem Online monitoring of multivariate data streams for detecting changes.
method Combines Kernel-QuantTree histogram and EWMA statistic for non-parametric monitoring.
result Controls Average Run Length (ARL0) while achieving comparable detection delays.
Paper proposes tensor-based method for semiconductor manufacturing process control.
problem Challenges of traditional process control methods in high-dimensional image-based overlay errors.
method Builds a high-dimensional process model, proposes tensor-on-vector regression algorithms, designs EWMA controller for tensor data.
result The method reduces overlay errors using limited control recipes and is superior especially when disturbances are not stable.
A new model adapts Hurst parameter in real-time for volatility forecasting.
problem Capturing volatility dynamics and clustering in financial markets.
method Rough Bergomi model with EWMA-driven time-dependent Hurst parameter.
result Empirical validation shows superior performance in diverse asset classes.
Framework detects shape shifts in functional profiles using Fréchet mean and shape invariant model.
problem Detecting shape shifts in functional profiles.
method Combining Fréchet mean and shape invariant model for interpretable parameterization of profile deviations.
result Potential shifts in shape deformation process distinguished by significant shifts in amplitude and/or phase.
Unified framework combines views and optimization for better portfolio management.
problem Optimizing portfolio weights with dynamic adjustment based on volatility.
method Dynamic sliding window adjusting horizon, factor estimates, BL posterior returns, and weights over time.
result Outperforms dynamic mean-variance optimization without BL views, providing stronger downside risk control.
Adaptive sampling detects local concept drift with limited labels.
problem Detecting local concept drift in dynamic environments with scarce labels.
method Combines residual-based exploration and exploitation with EWMA monitoring.
result Superior performance in label efficiency and drift detection accuracy.
Study compares GARCH, EWMA, and IV models for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP currency pairs.
problem Predicting 20-day variation in GBP/USD and EUR/GBP currency pairs.
method Applied GARCH, EWMA, and IV models to GBP/USD and EUR/GBP pairs data.
result GARCH models outperform other models in predicting volatility for EUR/GBP, while GARCH with rolling window for GBP/USD.
We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the distribution of a multi-dimensional time series, with limited computing power and memory. In this paper, we propose a new, simple method for model-free online change-point detection that relies only on fast and light recursive statistics, inspired by the classi…
Classifying streaming data requires the development of methods which are computationally efficient and able to cope with changes in the underlying distribution of the stream, a phenomenon known in the literature as concept drift. We propose a new method for detecting concept drift which uses an Exponentially Weighted M…
Detects crypto pump-and-dump schemes with a thresholding-based model.
problem Detecting genuine anomalies from minor trading fluctuations.
method Combining threshold-based criteria with EWMA and volatility measures.
result Balances high true-positive detection with minimal noise.
Generative diffusion models forecast implied vol surfaces without arbitrage issues.
problem Forecasting arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces using historical data with path-dependent dynamics.
method Generative diffusion model (DDPM) with conditional training on market variables, including EWMAs and returns. Dynamic penalty scheme based on SNR to enforce arbitrage-free surfaces.
result Superior performance in volatility forecasting compared to existing methods.
A new method for exponentially weighted moving models using approximations.
problem Efficiently updating moving averages for time series data.
method Approximates EWMM using a fixed window and quadratic term, solving non-growing problems.
result Approximation produces estimates similar to exact EWMM.
The MAXFLAT low-pass filter improves factor adjustment for better portfolio performance in China's stock market.
problem Improving factor adjustment for better portfolio performance in China's stock market.
method Using MAXFLAT low-pass volatility model to adjust factors and construct portfolios.
result Adjusted factors by MAXFLAT volatility model show better performance in both large and small cap universes.
Paper proposes a new GPR-HS framework for accurate VCV estimation in global equity indices.
problem Accurate forecasting of Volatility-Covariance Matrix (VCV) for regulatory processes.
method Hybrid Gaussian Process Regression-Historical Simulation (GPR-HS) framework.
result GPR-HS framework achieves regulatory compliance and outperforms static VaR benchmarks.
This paper proposes a continuous timing strategy for growth vs. defensive style allocation.
problem Dynamic allocation of growth and defensive ETF baskets using macro-market timing signals.
method Continuous smooth score combining multiple factors, mapped to G/D weights, smoothed with EWMA.
result Continuous style timing strategy outperforms static benchmarks in risk-adjusted returns.
Modern automation systems rely on closed loop control, wherein a controller interacts with a controlled process, based on observations. These systems are increasingly complex, yet most controllers are linear Proportional-Integral-Derivative (PID) controllers. PID controllers perform well on linear and near-linear syste…
Derives optimal control conditions using calculus of variations.
problem Optimizing Markov control in stochastic control problems.
method Calculus of variations approach to derive necessary conditions.
result Solves the Merton portfolio optimization problem.
Framework simplifies vision-based control and goal discovery.
problem Learning proportional control from visual data.
method Introduces NewtonianVAE for proportional control and goal discovery.
result Dramatic simplification and acceleration of vision-based controllers.
Paper studies constrained control games with a novel approximation method.
problem Games with constrained control directions.
method Approximation procedure based on L1-stability estimates and almost sure convergence. result Existence of game's value and optimal strategy for the stopper.
This work tackles force control for contact-rich manipulation tasks with rigid robots using RL.
problem Challenges in working with real robotic hardware, especially position-controlled robots.
method Combines RL with traditional force control techniques, implementing parallel position/force control and admittance control.
result Validated methods on both simulation and real robot (UR3 e-series) for force control.
RL applied to TCLs for power consumption control.
problem Optimizing power consumption using TCLs with RL.
method Modelica-based reinforcement learning (Q-learning) for stochastic TCLs.
result Q-learning parameters affect controller performance.
A framework integrates machine learning with robust control for safer, more reliable systems.
problem Combining machine learning with robust control for systems with stringent safety and reliability requirements.
method Integrates Gaussian Process Regression and state-of-the-art robust controller synthesis within a framework that provides rigorous guarantees.
result Demonstrated improved performance with more data while maintaining rigorous guarantees.
Paper uses deep reinforcement learning for better control of rocket engines during start-up phases.
problem Lack of optimal control during transient phases of liquid rocket engines.
method Deep reinforcement learning approach for optimal control of a gas-generator engine's continuous start-up phase.
result Deep reinforcement learning controller achieves highest performance and minimal computational effort.
Neural ODEs control graph dynamics with low energy feedback.
problem Controlling complex dynamical systems on graphs.
method Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Control (NODEC) framework.
result NODEC learns low-energy control signals for graph dynamical systems.
Just as an explicit parameterisation of system dynamics by state, i.e., a choice of coordinates, can impede the identification of general structure, so it is too with an explicit parameterisation of system dynamics by control. However, such explicit and fixed parameterisation by control is commonplace in control theory…
Unified control theory and machine learning for safety in uncertain systems.
problem Safety guarantees for systems with measurement model uncertainty.
method Measurement-Robust Control Barrier Functions (MR-CBFs) for control synthesis.
result MR-CBFs ensure safety in perception systems with measurement model uncertainty.
Paper studies optimal control for a specific geometric problem.
problem Optimal control problem associated with the Paneitz obstacle problem.
method Existence and regularity results for optimal controls.
result Existence of optimal controls and their properties.
Hybrid systems are characterized by having an interaction between continuous dynamics and discrete events. The contribution of this paper is to provide hybrid systems with a novel geometric formulation so that controls can be added. Using this framework we describe some new global controllability tests for hybrid contr…
Optimizes dividend policies in a Brownian model with controlled rates.
problem Realistic optimal dividend policies in a stochastic control problem.
method Delayed linear control strategies for refracted diffusion processes.
result Optimality of delayed linear control strategies for dividend payments.
Paper proposes a new method to optimize robot body structure and control policy.
problem Optimizing robot body structure and control policy in a coupled manner.
method Revisits co-design problem as a Stackelberg game, incorporating control adaptation dynamics.
result Stackelberg PPO outperforms standard PPO in stability and performance.
Non-bilinear observations make optimal control harder, showing non-convex costs and non-affine optimal controllers.
problem Optimal control from bilinear observations in linear systems is challenging.
method Analytical and numerical methods to study the non-convex cost-to-go and non-affine optimal controllers.
result The Separation Principle does not hold for bilinear observations, leading to non-convex costs and non-affine optimal controllers.
Defense strategy improves controller robustness against adversarial attacks.
problem Adversarial attacks on learning-enabled controllers in CPS.
method Two-stage defense strategy treating controller and environment as black-boxes with unknown dynamics.
result Defense strategy effectively improves controller robustness in realistic control domains.
This paper considers control systems defined on Lie algebroids. After deriving basic controllability tests for general control systems, we specialize our discussion to the class of mechanical control systems on Lie algebroids. This class of systems includes mechanical systems subject to holonomic and nonholonomic const…
Survey of theoretical foundations for policy optimization in control.
problem Understanding the theoretical properties of gradient-based methods in control and reinforcement learning.
method Interdisciplinary review of optimization landscape, convergence, and sample complexity for various control problems.
result Recent theoretical results on stability and robustness in learning-based control.
Survey combines FL and control for better adaptability and privacy.
problem Combining FL and control for better adaptability and privacy.
method Combining Federated Learning (FL) and control methods.
result Combining FL and control enhances adaptability, scalability, generalization, and privacy.
New method for handling multi-dimensional singular controls with jump costs in mean-field problems.
problem Handling jump costs in multi-dimensional singular controls.
method Introducing two-layer parametrisations to interpolate jumps on both distributional and pathwise levels.
result Derivation of a DPP and characterisation of the value function as a minimal super-solution to a quasi-variational inequality.
Researchers develop a method to control nonlinear systems with Koopman operator regression.
problem Controlling nonlinear systems with finite action spaces.
method Koopman operator regression for dynamics estimation and model predictive control for control.
result The method yields a linear switching predictive model for control.
Anticipatory model generates music with control over events.
problem Controlling symbolic music generation.
method Interleaving event and control sequences to predict future events.
result Anticipatory model matches autoregressive models in performance and can infill control tasks.
New algorithm achieves logarithmic regret for adversarial online control.
problem Online linear-quadratic control in systems with adversarial disturbances.
method Characterization of optimal offline control law, reduced to online learning with approximate advantage functions.
result First algorithm with logarithmic regret for arbitrary adversarial disturbance sequences.
Meta-learning control algorithm with finite-time guarantees for unknown systems.
problem Online control of unknown linear systems with constraints.
method Provable regret guarantees for an iterative control algorithm.
result Regret bounds of O(T3/4) for controller cost and constraint violation. Designs adaptive controller for networked control systems with wireless data transmission.
problem Adaptive control in networked systems with unreliable wireless channels.
method Upper Confidence Bounds for Networked Control Systems (UCB-NCS) learning rule.
result Non-asymptotic performance guarantees with a regret bound of O(C√T).
New robust control method for uncertain systems using bootstrapped noise.
problem Designing controllers robust to model uncertainties in finite data.
method Least-squares model estimator, bootstrap resampling, multiplicative noise LQR.
result Significantly outperforms certainty equivalent controllers in numerical tests.
Since governments give stimulus to firms and expect the spillover effect by fiscal policies, it is important to know the effectiveness that they can control the economy. To clarify the controllability of the economy, we investigate a firm production network observed exhaustively in Japan and what firms should be direct…
Motivated by the ubiquity of control-affine systems in optimal control theory, we investigate the geometry of point-affine control systems with metric structures in dimensions two and three. We compute local isometric invariants for point-affine distributions of constant type with metric structures for systems with 2 s…
New neural methods for stable control with provable guarantees.
problem Designing stable control policies for nonlinear systems.
method Neural network Lyapunov functions and a falsifier to guide learning.
result Provable stability of controlled nonlinear systems.
In this paper a neural network heuristic dynamic programing (HDP) is used for optimal control of the virtual inertia based control of grid connected three phase inverters. It is shown that the conventional virtual inertia controllers are not suited for non inductive grids. A neural network based controller is proposed …
Paper proposes a new model for better engine control.
problem Optimal control problems are non-convex and hard to solve online.
method Combines Hammerstein-Wiener model with input convex neural networks.
result Optimal control problems are effectively solvable due to convexity and partial linearity.