On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3 results for “EFM”

Probabilistic Weather Forecasting with Hierarchical Graph Neural Networkscs.LG

Graph-EFM models weather uncertainty with graph-based ensembles.

problem Accurately capturing forecast uncertainty in chaotic weather.

method Flexible latent-variable formulation with hierarchical graph construction.

result Graph-EFM ensembles achieve equivalent or lower errors than deterministic models.

weather forecasting graph neural networks probabilistic modeling chaotic systems ensemble methods

2024-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The Exponentially Weighted Signaturestat.ML

Introduces Exponentially Weighted Signature for better path representation.

problem Uniform treatment of historical information in signatures.

method Generalizes EFM signature to bounded linear operators, enabling contextualised temporal weighting.

result EWS is the unique solution to a linear controlled differential equation and generalizes state-space models.

signature Exponentially Weighted Signature EFM linear operators temporal weighting

2026-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

An Exponential Factorization Machine with Percentage Error Minimization to Retail Sales Forecastingcs.LG

New model predicts sales of new products with short life cycles.

problem Forecasting sales of new products with short lead times and life cycles.

method Developed an exponential factorization machine (EFM) to consider attributes and pairwise interactions.

result EFM model outperforms existing models in terms of MAPE and MAE.

sales forecasting short lead time short life cycle exponential factorization machine percentage error minimization

2020-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗