A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New scaling framework for MoE architectures ensures stability and optimal performance at scale.
problem Lack of principled understanding of how hyperparameters should scale in MoE architectures.
method Developed a novel Dynamical Mean Field Theory (DMFT) for three scaling regimes of MoE architectures.
result Derived Maximally Scale-Stable Parameterization (MSSP) for SGD and Adam, providing robust learning rate transfer and monotonic improvement with scale.
New learning dynamics achieve fast convergence in games without needing to know utility scales.
problem Fast convergence guarantees in learning games require prior knowledge of utility scales.
method Developed scale-free and scale-invariant learning dynamics using optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader with adaptive learning rates and clipping techniques.
result Achieved fast convergence rates to Nash and correlated equilibria without prior utility scale knowledge.
Share price returns on different time scales can be well modelled by a superstatistical dynamics. Here we provide an investigation which type of superstatistics is most suitable to properly describe share price dynamics on various time scales. It is shown that while chi-square superstatistics works well on a time scale…
A machine learning model captures non-Newtonian fluid dynamics from molecular details.
problem Creating accurate non-Newtonian fluid models from molecular data.
method Developed a machine learning framework that maps micro-scale polymer configurations to macro-scale fluid dynamics, preserving molecular fidelity.
result The deep non-Newtonian model (DeePN2) accurately predicts fluid behavior without empirical closures.
Scaling feature values is an important step in numerous machine learning tasks. Different features can have different value ranges and some form of a feature scaling is often required in order to learn an accurate classifier. However, feature scaling is conducted as a preprocessing task prior to learning. This is probl…
In this paper we derive a scaling limit for an infinite dimensional limit order book model driven by Hawkes random measures. The dynamics of the incoming order flow is allowed to depend on the current market price as well as on a volume indicator. With our choice of scaling the dynamics converges to a coupled SDE-ODE s…
While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical interest is computationally infeasible or impractical. In complex systems, with lim…
This paper investigates the hedging effectiveness of a dynamic moving window OLS hedging model, formed using wavelet decomposed time-series. The wavelet transform is applied to calculate the appropriate dynamic minimum-variance hedge ratio for various hedging horizons for a number of assets. The effectiveness of the dy…
How can we effectively encode evolving information over dynamic graphs into low-dimensional representations? In this paper, we propose DyRep, an inductive deep representation learning framework that learns a set of functions to efficiently produce low-dimensional node embeddings that evolves over time. The learned embe…
For many externally driven complex systems neither the noisy driving force, nor the internal dynamics are a priori known. Here we focus on systems for which the time dependent activity of a large number of components can be monitored, allowing us to separate each signal into a component attributed to the external drivi…
We investigate the large-volatility dynamics in financial markets, based on the minute-to-minute and daily data of the Chinese Indices and German DAX. The dynamic relaxation both before and after large volatilities is characterized by a power law, and the exponents p± usually vary with the strength of the large vo…
We propose a nonparametric approach to link prediction in large-scale dynamic networks. Our model uses graph-based features of pairs of nodes as well as those of their local neighborhoods to predict whether those nodes will be linked at each time step. The model allows for different types of evolution in different part…
The cross correlation matrix between equities comprises multiple interactions between traders with varying strategies and time horizons. In this paper, we use the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform to calculate correlation matrices over different timescales and then explore the eigenvalue spectrum over sliding …
This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a possible explanation for the complex dynamics of markets' returns. Scaling and m…
Dynamic topic models (DTMs) are very effective in discovering topics and capturing their evolution trends in time series data. To do posterior inference of DTMs, existing methods are all batch algorithms that scan the full dataset before each update of the model and make inexact variational approximations with mean-fie…