DisCoveR efficiently discovers declarative process models from event logs.
problem Mining declarative process models from event logs efficiently and accurately.
method DisCoveR precisely formalizes an algorithm, uses a bit vector implementation, and rigorously evaluates performance.
result DisCoveR outperforms other declarative miners in accuracy and runtime.
DCR improves interpretability of concept-based models by using neural networks to build rule structures.
problem Inability of concept-based models to provide transparent decision processes.
method DCR uses neural networks to build syntactic rule structures using concept embeddings and executes these rules on concept truth degrees.
result DCR improves interpretability by up to 25% on challenging benchmarks and discovers meaningful logic rules.
Deep learning improves conversational recommender systems.
problem Creating effective goal-oriented dialogue systems through natural language interactions.
method Apply deep learning techniques to conversational recommender systems.
result Deep learning models enhance user preference learning in CRS.
New method models covariates and responses without parametric assumptions using manifold learning.
problem Losing explanatory power for responses in standard factor models applied to covariates alone.
method Anisotropic diffusion maps for learning low-dimensional embeddings.
result Kalman filtering in diffusion-map coordinates improves joint covariate-response prediction.
MFM integrates multiple evolving populations using Wasserstein manifold flows.
problem Learning dynamics of multiple interacting populations evolving over time.
method Meta Flow Matching (MFM) integrates vector fields on Wasserstein manifold using amortized flow models and GNN embeddings.
result MFM improves prediction of individual treatment responses on multi-patient single-cell drug screen data.
Proposes active learning for meta-learning in graph node response prediction.
problem Difficulty in improving performance with meta-learning due to unbalanced observations.
method Combines graph convolutional neural networks and reinforcement learning for both prediction and node selection.
result Can predict responses and select nodes even for unseen response variables.
Develops a regression model for partially observed dynamic tensor data.
problem Characterizing the relationship between dynamic tensor data and external covariates when data is only partially observed.
method Introduces low-rank, sparsity, and fusion structures on the regression coefficient tensor, and uses a loss function projected over observed entries. Developed an efficient non-convex alternating updating algorithm.
result Derived finite-sample error bounds for the estimator.
GATs improve node regression on noisy graphs with provable advantage.
problem Improving node regression on graphs with noisy covariates and edges.
method Proposes a GAT designed for denoising proxy features in node regression.
result GAT achieves lower error in estimating regression coefficient and predicting responses.
KGRL uses reinforcement learning with knowledge graphs for better interactive recommendation.
problem Achieving responsiveness and accuracy in dynamic user-item interactions.
method KGRL combines reinforcement learning and knowledge graphs, using a local knowledge network and attention mechanism.
result KGRL outperforms state-of-the-art methods in simulated and real-world environments.
Constructs bivariate quantiles using vine copulas for multivariate analysis.
problem Need for research in multivariate quantiles, especially for bivariate responses.
method Constructs bivariate (conditional) quantiles using vine copula based bivariate regression model with a novel tree sequence graph structure.
result Avoids typical shortfalls of regression like transformations, interactions, collinearity, and quantile crossings.
GraphKKE learns fixed-length feature vectors from time-evolving graphs of human microbiome data.
problem Understanding dynamic changes in human microbiome graphs over time.
method Spectral analysis of transfer operators and graph kernels.
result GraphKKE captures temporal changes in human microbiome graphs.
Nonparametric estimation of the conditional distribution of a response given high-dimensional features is a challenging problem. It is important to allow not only the mean but also the variance and shape of the response density to change flexibly with features, which are massive-dimensional. We propose a multiscale dic…
Study examines how industrial emissions evolve over time in response to various factors.
problem Understanding how firm-level emissions change over time in response to environmental regulation, economic conditions, and organizational constraints.
method Used a time-varying mean-group estimator to link emissions data with firm characteristics and macroeconomic indicators over 1992-2023.
result Firm-level characteristics and aggregate conditions have different impacts on emissions growth at different times.
Proposes a THGNN for dynamic financial time series prediction.
problem Challenges in predicting stock market price movements.
method Temporal and heterogeneous graph neural network (THGNN) approach.
result Significantly improved prediction performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Proposes a graph neural network for traffic forecasting in WANs.
problem Traffic forecasting challenges in WANs due to dynamic and large data volumes.
method Dynamic diffusion convolutional recurrent neural networks for multistep traffic forecasting.
result Significant improvements in forecasting accuracy compared to classical methods.
Study uses multi-kernel Hawkes models to analyze high-frequency price dynamics.
problem Understanding responsive speeds of market participants in high-frequency trading.
method Multi-kernel Hawkes models with conditional Hessian analysis for optimization.
result Existence of multi-kernels (UHF, VHF, HF) in high-frequency price dynamics.
DGNN predicts financial margin calls under stress tests.
problem Forecasting margin calls in dynamic financial networks.
method Dynamic Graph Neural Network (DGNN) architecture.
result DGNN produces accurate forecasts up to 21 days.
This paper extends stable blanket theory to models with hidden variables and causal cycles.
problem Identifying stable predictors in models with hidden variables and causal cycles.
method Use acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs) and directed graphs (DGs) with m-separation and σ-separation to characterize and construct intervention-stable predictor sets. result Graphical characterizations of Markov blankets, stable frontiers, and stable blankets in models with hidden variables and cycles.
The vast majority of the neural network literature focuses on predicting point values for a given set of response variables, conditioned on a feature vector. In many cases we need to model the full joint conditional distribution over the response variables rather than simply making point predictions. In this paper, we …
Recent studies have revealed a number of striking dependence patterns in high frequency stock price dynamics characterizing probabilistic interrelation between two consequent price increments x (push) and y (response) as described by the bivariate probability distribution P(x,y) [1,2,3,4]. There are two properties, the…
New CGMD model predicts non-equilibrium processes better than existing methods.
problem Inconsistency in conditional distribution of unresolved variables.
method Time-lagged independent component analysis to minimize entropy contribution of unresolved variables.
result The model's generalization ability for non-equilibrium processes is significantly improved.
Estimation of response functions is an important task in dynamic medical imaging. This task arises for example in dynamic renal scintigraphy, where impulse response or retention functions are estimated, or in functional magnetic resonance imaging where hemodynamic response functions are required. These functions can no…
The paper predicts responses on out-of-sample nodes using latent positions on unknown curves.
problem Predicting responses on out-of-sample nodes with latent positions on unknown curves.
method Manifold learning and graph embedding technique using latent positions.
result Convergence guarantees for predicting responses on out-of-sample nodes.
Novel framework predicts cell responses to perturbations using GRNs.
problem Predicting cellular responses to perturbations for drug discovery and personalized therapeutics.
method Graph variational Bayesian causal inference framework with refined GRNs and robust estimator.
result Enhanced model performance and robust estimation of perturbation effects.
Most of real-world graphs are dynamic, i.e., they change over time by a sequence of update operations. While the regression problem has been studied for static graphs and temporal graphs, it is not investigated for general dynamic graphs. In this paper, we study regression over dynamic graphs. First, we present the not…
Improved accuracy in dynamic response variation analysis using multi-fidelity data fusion.
problem Inefficient characterization of dynamic response variation due to limited high-fidelity data.
method Composite Neural Network fusion approach for multi-level, heterogeneous datasets.
result Improved accuracy in frequency response variation characterization.
Enhances machine learning for dynamic, interconnected entities.
problem Lack of systematic feature engineering for dynamic, interconnected entities.
method Augments current graph machine learning with comprehensive feature engineering in space and time.
result Improves supervised learning on heterogeneous, attributed entities interacting over time.
New metric compares noisy neural trajectories using optimal transport.
problem Existing metrics fail to capture differences in noisy, dynamic neural responses.
method Proposed an optimal transport distance metric for Gaussian processes.
result Metric effectively compares neural dynamics in different systems.
Paper introduces a novel method for dynamic covariance estimation with random forests.
problem Estimating high-dimensional dynamic covariance matrices with multiple covariates.
method Nonparametric approach using random forests.
result Uniform consistency theory and error rates established for high-dimensional scenarios.
Stable topological summary captures evolving dependency structure in dynamic Bayesian networks.
problem Missing larger-scale patterns in evolving dependency structures in dynamic Bayesian networks.
method Topological approach using Dynamic Bayesian Graphs and persistent homology.
result Stable topological summary (barcodes) captures evolving dependency structure in DBNs.
Estimates personalized treatment response curves using covariates.
problem Flexible estimation of personalized treatment response curves.
method Sieve based nonparametric estimator of smoothed regimen-response curve function.
result Asymptotic linearity and undersmoothing criteria for efficient estimation.
VTIRT speeds up IRT inference for dynamic learner proficiency.
problem Expensive and slow inference algorithms for dynamic IRT models.
method Variational Temporal IRT (VTIRT) for fast, accurate inference.
result Orders of magnitude speedup in inference runtime with accurate results.
Proposes an offline active learning method for graphs.
problem Active learning on graphs where labeling is expensive.
method Two-stage biased sampling strategy considering informativeness and representativeness.
result Establishes a theoretical relationship between generalization error and number of nodes selected.
This paper extends a Kyle model to include price-responsive traders, revealing new dynamics and equilibria.
problem Real-world market dynamics involve price-responsive traders, affecting market equilibrium and insider profits.
method Developed a continuous-time Kyle model with two types of price-responsive traders (momentum and contrarian), leading to a forward-backward Riccati system for equilibrium.
result The model shows that feedback effects can lead to multiple equilibria and amplify price informativeness.
We introduce Graph Neural Processes (GNP), inspired by the recent work in conditional and latent neural processes. A Graph Neural Process is defined as a Conditional Neural Process that operates on arbitrary graph data. It takes features of sparsely observed context points as input, and outputs a distribution over targ…
In this paper, we introduce a novel method to interpret recurrent neural networks (RNNs), particularly long short-term memory networks (LSTMs) at the cellular level. We propose a systematic pipeline for interpreting individual hidden state dynamics within the network using response characterization methods. The ranked …
In this paper, we study the price responsiveness of electricity consumption from empirical commercial and industrial load data obtained from Texas. Employing a dynamical system perspective, we show that price responsive demand can be modeled as a hybrid of a Hammerstein model with delay following a price surge, and a l…
One of the cornerstones of the field of signal processing on graphs are graph filters, direct analogues of classical filters, but intended for signals defined on graphs. This work brings forth new insights on the distributed graph filtering problem. We design a family of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) recursions,…
A blindfolded LLM trading framework validates market signals without ticker memorization.
problem Ensuring LLMs trade based on genuine market understanding, not memorized data.
method Anonymize tickers and company names, verify signals through reasoning embeddings, and use PPO-DSR policy.
result Achieved Sharpe ratio of 1.40 +/- 0.22 across 20 seeds, robust in volatile markets.
Study best-response learning dynamics in zero-sum polymatrix games under full and minimal information settings.
problem Learning dynamics in zero-sum polymatrix games under different information settings.
method Two-timescale learning dynamics combining smoothed best-response updates and TD-learning for estimating local payoff functions.
result Polynomial-time finite-sample guarantees for convergence to an ε-Nash equilibrium in the minimal information case.
Modeling price dynamics in response to order flow imbalance in Chinese futures markets.
problem Understanding price dynamics in markets with order flow imbalance.
method Modeling order flow imbalance as an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with memory and mean-reverting characteristics.
result Horizon-dependent heterogeneity in conventional metrics' interaction with order flow imbalance.
Study analyzes crude oil futures markets using visibility graphs to understand their structure and dynamics.
problem Understanding the structure and dynamics of crude oil futures markets during global challenges.
method Visibility graph analysis of daily and high-frequency data.
result Crude oil futures markets exhibit small-world properties and assortative mixing, with unique sensitivities to global disruptions.
New mathematical foundations for stable RKHSs improve system identification.
problem Improving stability tests and modeling of impulse responses.
method Providing new structural properties and stability conditions for stable RKHSs.
result Any stable kernel admits feature maps induced by orthogonal eigenvectors in l2.
Bayesian inference of discrete component states in civil infrastructures using PGMs and GNNs.
problem Inferring discrete states of civil infrastructure components from measurable responses is an ill-posed inverse problem.
method The study proposes a novel Bayesian inversion paradigm based on Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). PGMs are used to model the problem, with parameters learned from data and structural topology prior. Inference is accomplished by GNNs, and a graph property-based training strategy is developed.
result The proposed framework effectively solves the challenges of inferring the posterior PDF for discrete variables in high-dimensional problems.
MixCIT tests conditional independence for mixed data types efficiently and reliably.
problem Testing conditional independence for mixed data types, especially when at least one is continuous.
method Graph-based test statistic comparing kernel similarities, debiased local-polynomial approach for continuous variables.
result Unified, efficient, and statistically guaranteed solution across heterogeneous data types.
The monitoring of large dynamic networks is a major chal- lenge for a wide range of application. The complexity stems from properties of the underlying graphs, in which slight local changes can lead to sizable variations of global prop- erties, e.g., under certain conditions, a single link cut that may be overlooked du…
A new measure of dependence for various data types.
problem Measuring dependence in multivariate, functional, and structured data.
method Combines local normalization with RKHS flexibility.
result Validates the measure's properties and competitive performance.
Graph Neural Networks improve volatility prediction in financial markets.
problem Traditional models struggle with complex, non-linear interdependencies in financial markets.
method Temporal Graph Attention Network (Temporal GAT) combines GCNs and GATs to capture dynamic graph structures.
result Temporal GAT outperforms traditional GARCH models in volatility forecasting, especially for short- to mid-term predictions.