A novel framework interprets driving patterns using Action phases clustering.
problem Challenges in comprehending driving heterogeneity from underlying behavior mechanisms.
method Resampling and Downsampling Method (RDM) followed by iterative clustering calibration.
result Six driving patterns identified in real-world datasets, revealing dynamic nature of driving.
Study shows how diverse investors' learning and preferences shape financial markets.
problem Understanding how diverse investor behaviors and preferences affect market dynamics.
method Developed a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework with heterogeneous preferences and learning mechanisms.
result Diverse investors develop differentiated strategies through interaction, leading to realistic market dynamics.
Paper proposes personalized climate control for driver comfort.
problem Limited research on in-vehicle climate control and driver preferences.
method IoT platform for data collection, machine learning for driver behavior recognition, and personalized preference recommendation.
result Prototype demonstrates effective and accurate climate control for driver comfort.
New insights show Medicaid impacts on ED use vary widely, with some groups seeing significant increases.
problem Understanding the varied impacts of Medicaid on emergency department use.
method Causal machine learning methods to identify heterogeneous impacts.
result Meaningful heterogeneity in the effect of Medicaid on ED use, with a small group driving the overall effect.
We propose a heterogeneous simultaneous graphical dynamic linear model (H-SGDLM), which extends the standard SGDLM framework to incorporate a heterogeneous autoregressive realised volatility (HAR-RV) model. This novel approach creates a GPU-scalable multivariate volatility estimator, which decomposes multiple time seri…
Game-theoretic model captures investor interactions for stock price forecasting.
problem Complex market dynamics driving stock price movements.
method Game-theoretic modeling of heterogeneous investor interactions in a dynamic graph structure.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art stock price forecasting methods.
Two novel methods identify influential features in CMABs for better reward distribution.
problem Suboptimal features degrade rewards, interpretability, and efficiency in CMABs.
method Heterogeneous Incremental Effect (HIE) and Heterogeneous Distribution Divergence (HDD) methods.
result Consistent ability to identify influential HTE features, enhancing CMAB performance.
This paper optimizes cybersecurity resource allocation in networks with heterogeneous attacker and defender valuations.
problem Optimizing cybersecurity resource allocation in networks with heterogeneous attacker and defender valuations.
method Combining strategic behavior of players with contagion dynamics, a method is extended to determine optimal resource allocation based on simple network metrics weighted by risk profiles.
result The asymmetry between attacker and defender valuations drives optimal attack and defense strategies, shaping system resilience.
It is commonplace to encounter heterogeneous or nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process changes across domains or over time. Such a distribution shift feature presents both challenges and opportunities for causal discovery. In this paper, we develop a framework for causal discovery from such data…
Novel framework identifies pump-specific deterioration rates using Bayesian hierarchical hazard modeling and causal discovery.
problem Challenges in asset management due to heterogeneous deterioration rates in pump equipment.
method Bayesian hierarchical hazard modeling with causal discovery, GPU-accelerated No-U-Turn Sampling (NUTS), and DirectLiNGAM.
result Identified striking heterogeneity in deterioration rates, with negative effects 400 times larger than positive effects.
Develops a sparsity-inducing Bayesian Causal Forest for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using observational data with varying degrees of sparsity.
method Introduces a sparsity-inducing version of Bayesian Causal Forests with additional priors to adjust covariate weights.
result Improves adaptability to sparse data generating processes and uncovering moderating factors driving heterogeneity.
NFTs with diverse rare attributes sell at higher prices.
problem Understanding how rarity affects NFT market dynamics.
method Analyzed 3.7M NFT transactions across 410 collections.
result Rarer NFTs sell for higher prices and are less risky.
The well known domain shift issue causes model performance to degrade when deployed to a new target domain with different statistics to training. Domain adaptation techniques alleviate this, but need some instances from the target domain to drive adaptation. Domain generalisation is the recently topical problem of lear…
FAIR-NN finds invariant variables for causal inference across diverse environments.
problem Nonparametric invariance and causal learning in regression models with varying joint distributions.
method FAIR-NN framework using adversarial optimization and neural networks.
result FAIR-NN identifies invariant variables and quasi-causal variables under minimal conditions.
The paper models financial markets and real economy interactions using a large agent framework.
problem Understanding capital allocation and accumulation in financial markets and real economy interactions.
method Developed a field-formalism model to analyze interactions between financial markets and real economy with a large number of heterogeneous agents.
result The number of firms in each sector depends on the aggregate financial capital invested and expected long-term returns.
This paper aims to analyse adolescents' road accidents in Tuscany. The analysis is based on the Database Edit of Osservatorio di Epidemiologia della Toscana. Complexity and heterogeneity of Edit's data represet an interesting scope to apply Machine Learning methods. In particular, in this paper is proposed an analysis …
There are clear benefits associated with a particular consumer choice for many current markets. For example, as we consider here, some products might carry environmental or `green' benefits. Some consumers might value these benefits while others do not. However, as evidenced by myriad failed attempts of environmental p…
The notion that economies should normally be in equilibrium is by now well-established; equally well-established is that economies are almost never precisely in equilibrium. Using a very general formulation, we show that under dynamics that are second-order in time a price system can remain away from equilibrium with p…
While the investors' responses to price changes and their price forecasts are well accepted major factors contributing to large price fluctuations in financial markets, our study shows that investors' heterogeneous and dynamic risk aversion (DRA) preferences may play a more critical role in the dynamics of asset price …
This paper deals with a stochastic order-driven market model with waiting costs, for order books with heterogenous traders. Offer and demand of liquidity drives price formation and traders anticipate future evolutions of the order book. The natural framework we use is mean field game theory, a class of stochastic diffe…
In a mixed-traffic scenario where both autonomous vehicles and human-driving vehicles exist, a timely prediction of driving intentions of nearby human-driving vehicles is essential for the safe and efficient driving of an autonomous vehicle. In this paper, a driving intention prediction method based on Hidden Markov Mo…
Deep RL mimics human driving for collision avoidance in self-driving cars.
problem Developing human-like driving policies for autonomous vehicles in mixed traffic environments.
method Model-free, deep reinforcement learning approach using a combination of rule-based and expert-driven data.
result Demonstrated human-like driving policies through Gaussian process modeling of track position and speed distributions.
Semantically understanding complex drivers' encountering behavior, wherein two or multiple vehicles are spatially close to each other, does potentially benefit autonomous car's decision-making design. This paper presents a framework of analyzing various encountering behaviors through decomposing driving encounter data …
XPER methodology decomposes credit scoring model performance.
problem Monitoring and understanding the key drivers of credit scoring model performance.
method XPER methodology based on Shapley values, decomposing performance metrics into feature contributions.
result A small number of features explain a large part of model performance.
Service-induced congestion in memory-constrained LLM serving
problem Service-induced congestion in memory-constrained large language model (LLM) serving
method Developing a discrete-time dynamical model of memory-constrained LLM inference
result The system converges to a unique worst-case limit cycle that is asymptotically stable outside a Lebesgue-measure-zero exact-capture set, with throughput losses as large as 50%.
The paper introduces a new insurance pricing model based on driving mileage.
problem Weak link between insurance premiums and mileage, leading to overdriving and accidents.
method Developed a Pay-As-You-Drive insurance pricing model using a counting process and non-homogeneous Poisson distribution.
result The model provides theoretical results for better insurance pricing based on driving behavior.
We present and analyze a model for the evolution of the wealth distribution within a heterogeneous economic environment. The model considers a system of rational agents interacting in a game theoretical framework, through fairly general assumptions on the cost function. This evolution drives the dynamic of the agents i…
As automobiles become intelligent, automobile theft methods are evolving intelligently. Therefore automobile theft detection has become a major research challenge. Data-mining, biometrics, and additional authentication methods have been proposed to address automobile theft, in previous studies. Among these methods, dat…
New method reduces state redundancy in HSMM for driving patterns.
problem Overestimation of states in HSMM models.
method Robust HDP-HSMM (rHDP-HSMM) method to reduce redundant states.
result Improved consistency and accurate inference of driving maneuvers.
This paper presents a novel approach for automatic rule learning applicable to an autonomous driving system using real driving data.
Study limits of circadian synchronization under different light signals.
problem Disruption of circadian rhythms due to misalignment with external light signals.
method Matrix-free approach for locating periodic steady states, numerical continuation, bifurcation diagrams, unsupervised learning.
result Limits of circadian synchronization to external light signals of different frequency and duty cycle.
Agent-based modeling is a powerful simulation technique to understand the collective behavior and microscopic interaction in complex financial systems. Recently, the concept for determining the key parameters of the agent-based models from empirical data instead of setting them artificially was suggested. We first revi…
The paper explores new risk models for autonomous driving.
problem Risk management and actuarial modeling for autonomous vehicles.
method Examines technical difficulties and proposes a novel risk model.
result The new model better reflects real-world driving safety.
We present a financial market model, characterized by self-organized criticality, that is able to generate endogenously a realistic price dynamics and to reproduce well-known stylized facts. We consider a community of heterogeneous traders, composed by chartists and fundamentalists, and focus on the role of informative…
Automated vehicles learn to predict upcoming maneuvers with high accuracy.
problem Making self-driving cars feel safer by anticipating future actions.
method Machine learning techniques applied to a large dataset of real-world driving.
result Automated vehicles can predict maneuvers up to 5 seconds in advance with high accuracy.
The paper analyzes how market prices respond to information processing and non-linear dynamics.
problem Understanding how market prices change in response to information.
method Logistic Continuous Wavelet Transformation method applied to SP 500 market data.
result Identifies patterns in market dynamics and describes them using a new theory of reflexive communication.
Study improves self-driving safety in dynamic environments.
problem Safe self-driving in non-stationary urban settings.
method Neurosymbolic Meta-Reinforcement Lookahead Learning (NUMERLA).
result Self-driving agents can adapt safely in real-time.
ApolloRL offers a platform for RL research in autonomous driving.
problem Improving reinforcement learning for autonomous driving.
method Open platform with training, simulation, and evaluation components.
result Baseline agents perform well in the ApolloRL environment.
The study improves deep learning models for safer autonomous vehicles.
problem Robustness of deep neural network models in autonomous driving.
method Analyzes and proposes solutions for deep learning model robustness.
result Enhanced deep learning models for safer autonomous vehicles.
Bayesian model identifies three types of travelers adapting to feedback.
problem Capturing adaptive, feedback-driven travel behavior in heterogeneous individuals.
method Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model with Variational Bayes estimation.
result Three distinct traveler classes identified: context-dependent, persistent exploitative, and exploratory.
H-ReIL learns to drive safely in near-accident scenarios.
problem Driving safely in high-risk near-accident situations.
method Hierarchical RL and IL approach.
result High-level policy switches between low-level policies for safe driving.
Deep RL for multi-agent autonomous driving in dynamic environments.
problem Adapting to dynamic, multi-agent driving environments.
method Formulated Partially Observable Markov Games (POSG) for multi-agent learning.
result Demonstrated successful training of multi-agent control policies.
Learning to drive faithfully in highly stochastic urban settings remains an open problem. To that end, we propose a Multi-task Learning from Demonstration (MT-LfD) framework which uses supervised auxiliary task prediction to guide the main task of predicting the driving commands. Our framework involves an end-to-end tr…
Predict steering angles of self-driving cars from images.
problem Predicting steering angles for self-driving cars using image data.
method Used deep learning techniques like Transfer Learning, 3D CNN, LSTM, and ResNet to predict steering angles.
result Both models placed in the top ten of Udacity's challenge.
Real-time semantic segmentation for autonomous vehicles on FPGA reduces latency and power consumption.
problem Efficient real-time semantic segmentation for autonomous vehicles.
method Compressed ENet architecture, FPGA deployment, batch processing, filter reduction, quantization-aware training.
result Reduced latency to 3 ms per image with batch size of ten and 40% resource utilization.
Autonomous systems can substantially enhance a human's efficiency and effectiveness in complex environments. Machines, however, are often unable to observe the preferences of the humans that they serve. Despite the fact that the human's and machine's objectives are aligned, asymmetric information, along with heterogene…
Deep Recurrent Q-Network improves autonomous driving in urban areas with pedestrians.
problem Challenges in urban autonomous driving due to complex road structures and unpredictable pedestrian behavior.
method Combines Deep Q-Network with LSTM for long-term memory, designed a 3-D state representation, and uses a reward function.
result The proposed DRQN-based approach outperforms rule-based methods in dense urban scenarios.
Novel RL method handles urban driving tasks including traffic lights.
problem Difficulties in reinforcement learning for complex urban driving tasks.
method Implicit affordances for model-free RL.
result Successfully handles urban driving tasks including traffic lights.