Study non-Gaussian measures' concentration properties in metric spaces.
problem Concentration properties for non-linear Gaussian functionals with non-Gaussian tails.
method Prove generalised Transportation-Cost Inequalities (TCIs) for specific functionals.
result Extended TCIs for rough volatility and Parabolic Anderson Model.
Improves generative models by adding jump-diffusion noise.
problem Limited performance of diffusion models in generating samples from unknown distributions.
method Generalizes diffusion processes to include jump-diffusion noise, deriving closed-form generalized score functions.
result Jump-diffusion models outperform Gaussian models in specific parameter regimes.
Combines deep state space models with diffusion models for better forecasting and capturing latent dynamics
problem Forecasting and capturing latent dynamics in time series
method DDSSM: Diffusion-driven state space model
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art deep SSM
This work extends Tweedie's formulae to non-Gaussian processes for better diffusion model generation.
problem Limited exploration of non-Gaussian diffusion models and corresponding Tweedie's formulae.
method Extended Tweedie's formulae to geometric Brownian motion, squared Bessel, and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross processes.
result Demonstrated potential of non-Gaussian models in image and financial time series generation.
Adaptive importance sampling techniques are widely known for the Gaussian setting of Brownian driven diffusions. In this work, we want to extend them to jump processes. Our approach relies on a change of the jump intensity combined with the standard exponential tilting for the Brownian motion. The free parameters of ou…
DAPS++ improves diffusion-based image restoration by decoupling prior and likelihood.
problem Decoupling prior and likelihood in diffusion-based inverse problems.
method Introducing DAPS++, which fully decouples diffusion-based initialization from likelihood-driven refinement.
result Achieves high computational efficiency and robust reconstruction performance.
Develops a new method to discover stochastic systems with non-Gaussian noise.
problem Discovering governing laws from complex systems with non-Gaussian noise.
method Theoretical framework and numerical algorithm to extract stochastic differential equations with Gaussian and non-Gaussian noise.
result Demonstrated the efficacy and accuracy of the approach on various systems.
New method for fast inference in diffusion models.
problem Intractable probabilistic inference in diffusion models.
method Variational Gaussian Process, exponential family description, convex optimization.
result Improved fast algorithm for learning model parameters.
Data-driven framework learns coarse-scale PDEs from fine-scale observations.
problem Deriving macroscopic PDEs from microscopic observations is challenging.
method Machine learning algorithms (Gaussian Processes, Artificial Neural Networks, Diffusion Maps) to uncover macroscopic fields and their evolution.
result Identifies multiple macroscopic PDEs approximating fine-scale microscopic models.
The existence of complete Radner equilibria is established in an economy which parameters are driven by a diffusion process. Our results complement those in the literature. In particular, we work under essentially minimal regularity conditions and treat time-inhomogeneous case.
New blurring diffusion models bridge heat dissipation and denoising.
problem Developing a new generative modeling approach.
method Connecting blurring to Gaussian diffusion with non-isotropic noise.
result Proposed Blurring Diffusion Models offer the best of both Gaussian denoising and inverse heat dissipation.
WS diffusion models handle anisotropic Gaussian noise better than conventional methods.
problem Handling anisotropic Gaussian noise in imaging inverse problems.
method Whitened Score (WS) diffusion models based on stochastic differential equations.
result WS DMs outperform conventional DMs on anisotropic Gaussian noise.
DAPS++ improves diffusion-based image restoration by decoupling prior and likelihood.
problem Decoupling prior and likelihood in diffusion-based inverse problems for better performance.
method Introducing DAPS++, which separates diffusion initialization from likelihood refinement.
result DAPS++ achieves high computational efficiency and robust reconstruction performance.
Automated denoising score matching handles nonlinear diffusion processes.
problem Nonlinear diffusion processes limit generative modeling and property estimation.
method Local-DSM using local increments and Taylor expansions.
result Tractable training and score estimation for nonlinear diffusion processes.
Study optimal stopping for diffusion processes using data-driven methods.
problem Optimal stopping for diffusion processes under unknown conditions.
method Data-driven approach, deriving upper and lower bounds on simple and cumulative regret.
result Verified minimax optimality and improved convergence rates.
NDPs learn to sample from complex function distributions using neural networks and diffusion models.
problem Learning rich distributions over functions with neural networks.
method NDPs use denoising diffusion models and custom attention blocks to incorporate stochastic process properties.
result NDPs can capture functional distributions close to true Bayesian posteriors and outperform neural processes.
Develops DSD for analyzing multiscale biological networks.
problem Analyzing multiscale structure in biological networks.
method Data-driven diffusion process with multitemporal analysis.
result Parameter-free inference of intrinsic data structure.
We describe general multilevel Monte Carlo methods that estimate the price of an Asian option monitored at m fixed dates. Our approach yields unbiased estimators with standard deviation O(ε) in O(m+(1/ε)2) expected time for a variety of processes including the Black-Scholes model, Merton's jump-diffusion mod…
LOBDIF predicts limit order book events using a diffusion model.
problem Predicting the timing and type of events in a dynamic market system.
method LOBDIF uses a diffusion model to learn the complex time-event distribution in limit order book streams.
result LOBDIF significantly outperforms existing methods in real-world data experiments.
New method DDVI improves posterior inference for deep Gaussian processes.
problem Inference of inducing points in DGPs is challenging and biased.
method DDVI uses denoising diffusion SDE and score matching for posterior approximation.
result Empirically shows DDVI outperforms baseline methods in inducing point inference.
Investor-driven information diffusion affects excess comovement in China and the U.S. markets.
problem Investor-driven information diffusion and its impact on excess comovement.
method Cross-sectional analysis of 4,533 Chinese and 4,517 U.S. stocks from 2010 to 2022.
result Retail-driven information diffusion significantly drives excess comovement in China, while institution-driven diffusion is the primary driver in the U.S.
This work extends diffusion models to function space for better generative modeling.
problem Limited applicability of diffusion models to functional data domains.
method Introduces Denoising Diffusion Operators (DDOs) for training diffusion models in function space.
result Demonstrates accurate function-valued generation at fixed cost.
Diffusion Transformer captures spatial-temporal dependencies in sequential data.
problem Capturing rich spatial and temporal dependencies in sequential data.
method Established theoretical guarantees for diffusion transformers learning Gaussian process data.
result Spatial-temporal dependencies are captured within attention layers of diffusion transformers.
Formula for European option pricing under jump diffusion model.
problem Option pricing under complex stochastic processes.
method Infinite series of Black-Scholes terms for Levy-driven processes.
result Series solution converges with a radius of convergence.
The paper develops a new model for order book dynamics using Hawkes processes.
problem Capturing the dynamics of order flow and liquidity migration in financial markets.
method Develops a mesoscopic model using Hawkes processes to describe interactions between order arrivals, cancellations, and liquidity movement.
result Derives a diffusive limit for the order book dynamics, providing a unified framework for market microstructure.
DDPMs are robust to noisy score estimates and achieve optimal convergence rates in Wasserstein-2 distance.
problem Evaluating the quality of DDPMs in Wasserstein distance with noisy score estimates.
method Established finite-sample guarantees in Wasserstein-2 distance for DDPMs, considering noisy score estimates.
result Optimal convergence rates in Wasserstein-2 distance for DDPMs, matching Gaussian case.
We propose to use Gaussian process regression to accurately estimate the diffusion MRI signal at arbitrary locations in q-space. By estimating the signal on a grid, we can do synthetic diffusion spectrum imaging: reconstructing the ensemble averaged propagator (EAP) by an inverse Fourier transform. We also propose an a…
Extends neural diffusion processes for multi-task regression.
problem Limited to single-task inference, existing formulations cannot capture dependencies across related tasks.
method Introduces a task encoder to condition diffusion model on low-dimensional representations of context observations.
result Improves predictive performance and uncertainty calibration across related functions.
In this paper we consider two semimartingales driven by diffusions and jumps. We allow both for finite activity and for infinite activity jump components. Given discrete observations we disentangle the {\it integrated covariation} (the covariation between the two diffusion parts, indicated by IC) from the co-jumps. Thi…
This work extracts stochastic dynamical systems with α-stable Lévy noise.
problem Extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems with non-Gaussian noise.
method End-to-end deep learning approach for learning drift and diffusion coefficients for α-stable Lévy noise. result Effectiveness of the method confirmed by numerical experiments.
Unified approach for data-driven control of stochastic processes.
problem Developing practical strategies for stochastic control problems with unknown dynamics.
method Reduction to rate-optimal estimators of invariant distribution risk.
result Data-driven strategies can achieve better performance than known methods.
Paper proposes a fast data-driven AC-OPF method using sparse hybrid Gaussian processes.
problem Optimizing electricity generation and delivery under generation uncertainty in modern power grids.
method Data-driven approach using sparse hybrid Gaussian processes to model power flow equations.
result Shows up to two times faster and more accurate solutions compared to state-of-the-art methods.
DDS samples from noisy data by reversing diffusion, providing theoretical guarantees.
problem Sampling from unnormalized densities.
method Denoising diffusion process, score matching, optimal control, Schrödinger bridges.
result DDS provides theoretical guarantees for sampling.
Proposes a method for approximating transition densities of SDEs driven by gamma processes.
problem Calculating transition densities for SDEs driven by gamma processes.
method Taylor-type approximation and conditional expectation of multiple stochastic integrals.
result Efficiency of the proposed method demonstrated through numerical tests.
New method uses diffusion models for Bayesian inverse problems.
problem Solving Bayesian inverse problems with linear-Gaussian models.
method Decoupled Diffusion Sequential Monte Carlo (DDSMC) method.
result Asymptotically exact solution demonstrated on various data types.
We study valuation of swing options on commodity markets when the commodity prices are driven by multiple factors. The factors are modeled as diffusion processes driven by a multidimensional Lévy process. We set up a valuation model in terms of a dynamic programming problem where the option can be exercised continuousl…
Study parameter sensitivities in bond pricing models with jumps.
problem Analyzing the impact of parameters on bond pricing models with jumps.
method Theoretical analysis and MATLAB simulations of a Brownian motion and compound Poisson process.
result Explicit call price formula and verification of sensitivities.
AdaPID optimizes diffusion-based samplers by dynamically adjusting schedules.
problem Optimizing the intermediate-time dynamics in diffusion-based samplers.
method Develops a time-varying stiffness schedule using Piece-Wise-Constant (PWC) parametrizations and a hierarchical refinement approach.
result QoS-driven PWC schedules consistently improve sampling fidelity and accuracy.
A new method quantifies uncertainty in brain injury simulations.
problem High computational cost and high-dimensional inputs/outputs limit traditional UQ methods for biofidelic head models.
method Two-stage, data-driven manifold learning framework using Gaussian kernel-density estimation, diffusion maps, and Grassmannian diffusion maps.
result Surrogate models reduce computational cost while providing highly accurate approximations of the computational model.
New framework for diffusion geometry simplifies complex calculations.
problem Challenges in applying calculus and geometry to real data.
method Reformulates calculus and geometry via diffusion processes.
result Improves precision, robustness, and computational efficiency.
Proposes sampling from reverse diffusion posteriors for contextual bandits.
problem Complex distributions in contextual bandits.
method Approximate posterior sampling with a diffusion model prior using Laplace approximation.
result Empirically consistent and efficient approximations for contextual bandits.
We consider a Markov process X, which is the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a Lévy process Z and an independent Wiener process W. Under some regularity conditions, including non-degeneracy of the diffusive and jump components of the process as well as smoothness of the Lévy density of $Z…
Paper adapts diffusion sampler training for faster convergence and better sampling.
problem Training limitations in diffusion samplers.
method Decouples generation and destruction variances, learns both as unconstrained Gaussians.
result Training both processes leads to faster convergence and improved sampling quality.
Gaussian processes are conditioned on various types of data.
problem Exact inference in Gaussian processes is limited to linear-Gaussian settings.
method Established an equivalence between GPs and linear diffusion models, allowing for approximate inference in non-linear settings.
result A general-purpose GP inference scheme that handles various conditioning statements, including non-linear physics and natural language.
We propose different schemes for option hedging when asset returns are modeled using a general class of GARCH models. More specifically, we implement local risk minimization and a minimum variance hedge approximation based on an extended Girsanov principle that generalizes Duan's (1995) delta hedge. Since the minimal m…
CGD improves diffusion models' out-of-distribution generalization.
problem Reliable sampling from high-value regions beyond training data.
method Context-guided diffusion (CGD) using unlabeled data and smoothness constraints.
result Substantial performance gains across various diffusion processes.
New method extracts stochastic laws from data, including Lévy noise.
problem Extracting stochastic laws from data with non-Gaussian noise.
method Using normalizing flows to estimate transition density, then applying nonlocal Kramers-Moyal formulas.
result Can learn stochastic differential equations with Lévy motion.
A new method embeds data using Gaussian processes based on the heat kernel.
problem Embedding high-dimensional data in a low-dimensional space.
method Computing embeddings based on the Karhunen-Loève expansion of the heat kernel.
result The embedding approximates diffusion distances and is robust to outliers.