Demand response is designed to motivate electricity customers to modify their loads at critical time periods. The accurate estimation of impact of demand response signals to customers' consumption is central to any successful program. In practice, learning these response is nontrivial because operators can only send a …
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48 results for “Demand-Response Control”
MF-PID uses interacting samples to efficiently transport probability mass.
problem Efficiently transporting probability mass in generative models.
method Introducing Mean-Field Path-Integral Diffusion (MF-PID) where samples become interacting agents.
result MF-PID achieves 19-24% reductions in control energy for demand-response control of energy systems.
Study shows visual feedback and monetary incentives reduce plugload energy consumption in commercial buildings.
problem Mitigating energy consumption in commercial buildings through occupant plugload control.
method Field experiments with visual feedback and monetary incentives in government and university buildings.
result Mean energy reduction of ~9.52% in office environments and ~21.61% in university environments with visual feedback.
In coming years residential consumers will face real-time electricity tariffs with energy prices varying day to day, and effective energy saving will require automation - a recommender system, which learns consumer's preferences from her actions. A consumer chooses a scenario of home appliance use to balance her comfor…
Paper tackles online learning for DR management with incentives.
problem Estimating baseline consumption in DR programs with consumer incentives.
method Online learning scheme using least-squares with perturbed reward prices.
result Achieves low regret of $\mathcal{O}\left((\log{T})^2
ight)$ compared to optimal.
Electricity is bought and sold in wholesale markets at prices that fluctuate significantly. Short-term forecasting of electricity prices is an important endeavor because it helps electric utilities control risk and because it influences competitive strategy for generators. As the "smart grid" grows, short-term price fo…
Price responsiveness is a major feature of end use customers (EUCs) that participate in demand response (DR) programs, and has been conventionally modeled with static demand functions, which take the electricity price as the input and the aggregate energy consumption as the output. This, however, neglects the inherent …
Paper uses tensor completion to estimate HVAC fan power baselines.
problem Estimating HVAC fan power without demand response.
method Tensor completion for multi-dimensional data analysis.
result Tensor completion outperforms existing baselining methods.
Study improves dynamic PT fleet optimization under noisy demand predictions.
problem Accurately predicting dynamic public transport demand for effective fleet management.
method Experimental case study in Copenhagen, using linear programming to optimize fleets.
result Optimized fleet performance is mainly affected by noise distribution skew and large errors.
The large thermal capacity of buildings enables heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems to be exploited as demand response (DR) resources. Optimal DR of HVAC units is challenging, particularly for multi-zone buildings, because this requires detailed physics-based models of zonal temperature variations…
Dynamic pricing aims to match power supply and demand in an energy transition.
problem Mismatch between renewable energy supply and consumer demand.
method Formalizes decision-making problem, designs forecasting models, and statistical demand response models.
result Dynamic pricing can synchronise power supply and demand effectively.
New framework estimates demand responses across multiple contexts with limited price variation.
problem Estimating heterogeneous linear price-response functions across multiple contexts with limited price variation and confounding.
method Meta-learning framework that identifies conditional mean of task-specific causal demand parameters given a subset of task-specific observables.
result Improved recovery of demand responses relative to standard transfer-learning baselines.
Due to limited metering infrastructure, distribution grids are currently challenged by observability issues. On the other hand, smart meter data, including local voltage magnitudes and power injections, are communicated to the utility operator from grid buses with renewable generation and demand-response programs. This…
The paper proposes a framework for modeling and analysis of the dynamics of supply, demand, and clearing prices in power system with real-time retail pricing and information asymmetry. Real-time retail pricing is characterized by passing on the real-time wholesale electricity prices to the end consumers, and is shown t…
Paper uses CVAE to simulate tariff impacts on electricity consumption.
problem Simulating tariff impacts on household electricity consumption.
method CVAE-based clustering and generation of consumption profiles.
result CVAE method can reproduce rebound and side effects in consumption profiles.
CROCS clusters consumer behaviour from smart meters, capturing variability and robustness.
problem Insufficient consumer segmentation in existing clustering methods.
method Two-stage clustering framework: first stage clusters daily load profiles, second stage uses WSMD for set-to-set comparison.
result CROCS captures intra-consumer variability and robustness to anomalies and missing data.
Estimating treatment effects in time series with hidden confounding.
problem Estimating treatment effects in time series with hidden confounding.
method A neural framework that learns individual-level counterfactuals and flexible matching procedures.
result Improves counterfactual estimation under latent bias.
Dynamic Modeling of Price Responsive Demand in Real-time Electricity Market: Empirical Analysisstat.AP
In this paper, we study the price responsiveness of electricity consumption from empirical commercial and industrial load data obtained from Texas. Employing a dynamical system perspective, we show that price responsive demand can be modeled as a hybrid of a Hammerstein model with delay following a price surge, and a l…
We propose a contextual-bandit approach for demand side management by offering price incentives. More precisely, a target mean consumption is set at each round and the mean consumption is modeled as a complex function of the distribution of prices sent and of some contextual variables such as the temperature, weather, …
Consumer Demand Response (DR) is an important research and industry problem, which seeks to categorize, predict and modify consumer's energy consumption. Unfortunately, traditional clustering methods have resulted in many hundreds of clusters, with a given consumer often associated with several clusters, making it diff…
Traditional load analysis is facing challenges with the new electricity usage patterns due to demand response as well as increasing deployment of distributed generations, including photovoltaics (PV), electric vehicles (EV), and energy storage systems (ESS). At the transmission system, despite of irregular load behavio…
This study develops an online predictive optimization framework for dynamically operating a transit service in an area of crowd movements. The proposed framework integrates demand prediction and supply optimization to periodically redesign the service routes based on recently observed demand. To predict demand for the …
Though distribution system operators have been adding more sensors to their networks, they still often lack an accurate real-time picture of the behavior of distributed energy resources such as demand responsive electric loads and residential solar generation. Such information could improve system reliability, economic…
Adaptive probabilistic load forecasting improves performance in power systems.
problem Complexity of electricity load forecasting due to changing drivers and local generation.
method Adaptive probabilistic approach using Kalman filter and online gradient descent.
result Adaptive probabilistic forecasts improve performance in both point and probabilistic forecasting.
Contemporary power grids are being challenged by rapid voltage fluctuations that are caused by large-scale deployment of renewable generation, electric vehicles, and demand response programs. In this context, monitoring the grid's operating conditions in real time becomes increasingly critical. With the emergent large …
Probabilistic Forecast-based Portfolio Optimization of Electricity Demand at Low Aggregation Levelsq-fin.RM
Paper optimizes demand aggregation for low-level electricity markets.
problem Accurate short-term load forecasting at low aggregation levels for market participants.
method Probabilistic portfolio optimization of residential households' demand using ARMA-GARCH models or KDE forecasts.
result Seasonal Residual approach outperforms others in accuracy and efficiency.
Generative model predicts daily activity sequences with duration-aware dynamics.
problem Accurately forecasting granular daily activity sequences for energy demand.
method Hierarchical semi-Markov models with duration-aware dynamics.
result Explicitly modeling activity durations improves predictive performance.
Bayesian Transformer improves probabilistic load forecasting with calibrated uncertainty estimates.
problem Overconfident point predictions from deep learning models fail under extreme weather distributional shifts.
method Integrates three uncertainty mechanisms: MC Dropout, variational layers, and stochastic attention.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance with CRPS of 0.0289 and 90% PICP across various horizons.
Modern automation systems rely on closed loop control, wherein a controller interacts with a controlled process, based on observations. These systems are increasingly complex, yet most controllers are linear Proportional-Integral-Derivative (PID) controllers. PID controllers perform well on linear and near-linear syste…
Derives optimal control conditions using calculus of variations.
problem Optimizing Markov control in stochastic control problems.
method Calculus of variations approach to derive necessary conditions.
result Solves the Merton portfolio optimization problem.
NewtonianVAE: Proportional Control and Goal Identification from Pixels via Physical Latent Spacescs.LG
Framework simplifies vision-based control and goal discovery.
problem Learning proportional control from visual data.
method Introduces NewtonianVAE for proportional control and goal discovery.
result Dramatic simplification and acceleration of vision-based controllers.
Paper studies constrained control games with a novel approximation method.
problem Games with constrained control directions.
method Approximation procedure based on -stability estimates and almost sure convergence.
result Existence of game's value and optimal strategy for the stopper.
RL applied to TCLs for power consumption control.
problem Optimizing power consumption using TCLs with RL.
method Modelica-based reinforcement learning (Q-learning) for stochastic TCLs.
result Q-learning parameters affect controller performance.
A framework integrates machine learning with robust control for safer, more reliable systems.
problem Combining machine learning with robust control for systems with stringent safety and reliability requirements.
method Integrates Gaussian Process Regression and state-of-the-art robust controller synthesis within a framework that provides rigorous guarantees.
result Demonstrated improved performance with more data while maintaining rigorous guarantees.
Paper uses deep reinforcement learning for better control of rocket engines during start-up phases.
problem Lack of optimal control during transient phases of liquid rocket engines.
method Deep reinforcement learning approach for optimal control of a gas-generator engine's continuous start-up phase.
result Deep reinforcement learning controller achieves highest performance and minimal computational effort.
Neural ODEs control graph dynamics with low energy feedback.
problem Controlling complex dynamical systems on graphs.
method Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Control (NODEC) framework.
result NODEC learns low-energy control signals for graph dynamical systems.
Just as an explicit parameterisation of system dynamics by state, i.e., a choice of coordinates, can impede the identification of general structure, so it is too with an explicit parameterisation of system dynamics by control. However, such explicit and fixed parameterisation by control is commonplace in control theory…
Guaranteeing Safety of Learned Perception Modules via Measurement-Robust Control Barrier Functionseess.SY
Unified control theory and machine learning for safety in uncertain systems.
problem Safety guarantees for systems with measurement model uncertainty.
method Measurement-Robust Control Barrier Functions (MR-CBFs) for control synthesis.
result MR-CBFs ensure safety in perception systems with measurement model uncertainty.
Paper studies optimal control for a specific geometric problem.
problem Optimal control problem associated with the Paneitz obstacle problem.
method Existence and regularity results for optimal controls.
result Existence of optimal controls and their properties.
Hybrid systems are characterized by having an interaction between continuous dynamics and discrete events. The contribution of this paper is to provide hybrid systems with a novel geometric formulation so that controls can be added. Using this framework we describe some new global controllability tests for hybrid contr…
Optimizes dividend policies in a Brownian model with controlled rates.
problem Realistic optimal dividend policies in a stochastic control problem.
method Delayed linear control strategies for refracted diffusion processes.
result Optimality of delayed linear control strategies for dividend payments.
Paper proposes a new method to optimize robot body structure and control policy.
problem Optimizing robot body structure and control policy in a coupled manner.
method Revisits co-design problem as a Stackelberg game, incorporating control adaptation dynamics.
result Stackelberg PPO outperforms standard PPO in stability and performance.
Non-bilinear observations make optimal control harder, showing non-convex costs and non-affine optimal controllers.
problem Optimal control from bilinear observations in linear systems is challenging.
method Analytical and numerical methods to study the non-convex cost-to-go and non-affine optimal controllers.
result The Separation Principle does not hold for bilinear observations, leading to non-convex costs and non-affine optimal controllers.
Defense strategy improves controller robustness against adversarial attacks.
problem Adversarial attacks on learning-enabled controllers in CPS.
method Two-stage defense strategy treating controller and environment as black-boxes with unknown dynamics.
result Defense strategy effectively improves controller robustness in realistic control domains.
This paper considers control systems defined on Lie algebroids. After deriving basic controllability tests for general control systems, we specialize our discussion to the class of mechanical control systems on Lie algebroids. This class of systems includes mechanical systems subject to holonomic and nonholonomic const…
Survey of theoretical foundations for policy optimization in control.
problem Understanding the theoretical properties of gradient-based methods in control and reinforcement learning.
method Interdisciplinary review of optimization landscape, convergence, and sample complexity for various control problems.
result Recent theoretical results on stability and robustness in learning-based control.
Learning Force Control for Contact-rich Manipulation Tasks with Rigid Position-controlled Robotscs.LG
Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods have been proven successful in solving manipulation tasks autonomously. However, RL is still not widely adopted on real robotic systems because working with real hardware entails additional challenges, especially when using rigid position-controlled manipulators. These challenges inc…
Survey combines FL and control for better adaptability and privacy.
problem Combining FL and control for better adaptability and privacy.
method Combining Federated Learning (FL) and control methods.
result Combining FL and control enhances adaptability, scalability, generalization, and privacy.