Proposes a method to estimate drug sensitivity uncertainty using deep regression forests.
problem Lack of confidence intervals in deep learning models for critical tasks.
method Uses Deep Regression Forests to estimate variance and uncertainty for drug sensitivity prediction.
result Improves efficiency and coverage of uncertainty estimates for drug sensitivity predictions.
By seeking the narrowest prediction intervals (PIs) that satisfy the specified coverage probability requirements, the recently proposed quality-based PI learning principle can extract high-quality PIs that better summarize the predictive certainty in regression tasks, and has been widely applied to solve many practical…
Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of gradient boosting machines that can support both continuous and binary labels. …
Internet companies are facing the need for handling large-scale machine learning applications on a daily basis and distributed implementation of machine learning algorithms which can handle extra-large scale tasks with great performance is widely needed. Deep forest is a recently proposed deep learning framework which …
This paper improves forest pruning to balance accuracy and interpretability.
problem Limited interpretability of regression forests.
method Lasso-pruning and theoretical analysis of regression forests.
result Pruned regression forests can achieve equal or better accuracy than unpruned ones, with significant size reduction.
Quantile regression using random forest proximities improves prediction and uncertainty quantification.
problem Forecasting corporate bond volume with uncertainty quantification.
method Introduced a novel approach to compute quantile regressions from random forests using proximity metrics.
result Superior performance in approximating conditional target distributions and prediction intervals.
Many real-world regression problems demand a measure of the uncertainty associated with each prediction. Standard decision forests deliver efficient state-of-the-art predictive performance, but high-quality uncertainty estimates are lacking. Gaussian processes (GPs) deliver uncertainty estimates, but scaling GPs to lar…
Mondrian random forests improve statistical inference for regression.
problem Improving statistical inference for regression functions.
method Combining bias and variance characterizations with debiasing and variance estimation.
result Valid statistical inference methods for unknown regression functions with error bounds.
The paper uses regression trees/random forests to price Bermudan options more efficiently.
problem Pricing Bermudan options with conditional expectation estimation.
method Estimates conditional expectations using regression trees or random forests instead of traditional regression methods.
result Regression trees/random forests provide better results in high dimensions.
Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases. Based on a local adaptive representation of random forests, we develop its regre…
Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases. Based on a local adaptive representation of random forests, we develop its regre…
New random forest algorithm improves regression with missing data.
problem Regression with missing data values.
method New random forest algorithm compared to existing techniques.
result Improved performance in quadratic errors and bias compared to existing methods.
Two new methods reduce random forest latency and improve accuracy.
problem High latency and memory demands in deep random forest models.
method DiNo and RanBu convert shallow random forests into efficient predictors.
result RanBu matches or exceeds full-depth random forest accuracy with up to 95% reduction in time.
Deep forests enhance expressiveness exponentially with depth, not width or tree size.
problem Understanding the role of depth, width, and tree size in deep forest performance.
method Provided upper and lower bounds on deep forest approximation complexity.
result Depth exponentially enhances deep forest expressiveness.
Random forests with attention and self-attention improve regression performance.
problem Improving regression model performance on various datasets.
method Proposes new models using attention and self-attention mechanisms to solve regression problems.
result The models improve model performance on many datasets.
TrIM improves gradient-based dimension reduction and regression.
problem Efficiently identifying relevant feature subspace for high-dimensional regression.
method Introduced TrIM forest, an iterative approach using Mondrian forest and EGOP estimate.
result Consistency guarantees and convergence rates for EGOP matrix and random forest estimator.
A single slow-growing tree matches Random Forest's performance.
problem Matching Random Forest's performance with a single tree.
method SGT uses a learning rate to tame CART's greedy algorithm, improving on greedy ML algorithms.
result SGT and tree ensembles like Booging, BT, and RF improve performance.
New random forest method provides optimal rates and confidence bands.
problem Improving random forest regression rates and constructing confidence bands.
method Proposed Ehrenfest centered purely random forests achieve optimal rates; used Gaussian approximation for supremum of empirical processes.
result Explicit asymptotic uniform confidence bands constructed for both random forest types.
Proposes a new random forest weighted local Fréchet regression method.
problem Complex metric space valued responses and curse of dimensionality in Fréchet regression.
method Locally adaptive kernel generated by random forests for local average and local linear Fréchet regression.
result Significantly improves existing Fréchet regression methods with theoretical guarantees.
We analyze the consistency of decision trees and random forests in regression.
problem Consistency of decision trees and random forests in regression.
method Elementary proofs following classical arguments for smoothing methods.
result Establish weak and almost sure convergence of honest trees and forest averages to the true regression function.
Online BSP-Forest improves space partitioning for large-scale classification and regression.
problem Efficient space partitioning for large-scale classification and regression problems.
method Developed an online BSP-Forest framework that expands space coverage and refines partition structure in real-time.
result Guaranteed universal consistency for both classification and regression problems.
Random forests are a powerful method for non-parametric regression, but are limited in their ability to fit smooth signals, and can show poor predictive performance in the presence of strong, smooth effects. Taking the perspective of random forests as an adaptive kernel method, we pair the forest kernel with a local li…
Deep neural networks enforce non-crossing quantile regression curves.
problem Estimating quantile regression curves without crossing.
method Penalized deep ReQU neural networks with a non-crossing penalty.
result Established non-asymptotic risk and error bounds for the estimated QRP.
Improved random forest proximities capture data geometry.
problem Inaccurate random forest proximities do not reflect learned data geometry.
method Introduce RF-GAP: Geometry- and Accuracy-Preserving proximities.
result RF-GAP improves geometric representation in tasks like data imputation.
Paper introduces a medoid-based approach for efficient Fréchet regression.
problem Regression in metric spaces with random objects.
method Adapted random forest algorithm with medoid-based splitting rule.
result Asymptotic equivalence and consistency of the regression estimator.
Ability for accurate hospital case cost modelling and prediction is critical for efficient health care financial management and budgetary planning. A variety of regression machine learning algorithms are known to be effective for health care cost predictions. The purpose of this experiment was to build an Azure Machine…
We improve random forest consistency and performance with DMRF, a new variant.
problem Improving the consistency and performance of random forest models.
method Developed DMRF, a data-driven multinomial random forest, by modifying proof methods and improving data utilization.
result DMRF achieves strong consistency with probability 1, surpassing previous models in classification tasks.
Random forest (RF) methodology is one of the most popular machine learning techniques for prediction problems. In this article, we discuss some cases where random forests may suffer and propose a novel generalized RF method, namely regression-enhanced random forests (RERFs), that can improve on RFs by borrowing the str…
Random Forests [Breiman:2001] (RF) are a fully non-parametric statistical method requiring no distributional assumptions on covariate relation to the response. RF are a robust, nonlinear technique that optimizes predictive accuracy by fitting an ensemble of trees to stabilize model estimates. The randomForestSRC packag…
Time series quantile regression using GRF for more accurate volatility estimation.
problem Estimating conditional quantiles for time series data accurately.
method Generalized Random Forests (GRF) for quantile regression on time series data.
result The tsQRF estimator is consistent under time series data assumptions.
Study models forest transitions with deep learning for parameter estimation.
problem Complex dynamics of forest, agricultural, and abandoned lands.
method Developed a stochastic differential equation model and used deep learning for parameter estimation.
result Deep learning approach estimates model parameters from time-series data.
Paper proposes real-time VaR estimation using quantile regression forest with conformal calibration.
problem Real-time estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) in rapidly changing markets.
method Quantile regression forest trained offline, real-time VaR estimates via observed risk factors, conformalized estimator for reliability.
result The proposed method provides reliable real-time VaR estimates.
Develops new algorithms for QRF to handle mixed-frequency and longitudinal data.
problem Handling mixed-frequency and longitudinal data in quantile regression.
method Mixed-Frequency Quantile Regression Forest (MIDAS-QRF) and Finite Mixture Quantile Regression Forest (FM-QRF).
result Valid and flexible models for complex empirical settings in financial risk management and climate-change impact evaluation.
CovRegRF estimates covariance matrix from covariates using random forests.
problem Estimating conditional covariances or correlations among multivariate responses.
method Random forest trees with a custom splitting rule to maximize covariance difference.
result Accurate covariance matrix estimates and controlled Type-1 error.
GeFs use deep generative models to enhance prediction robustness and uncertainty.
problem Lack of principled methods to manipulate uncertainty in decision trees and random forests.
method Exploits Generative Forests (GeFs), a deep probabilistic model that extends Random Forests to represent full joint distributions.
result GeFs are uncertainty-aware classifiers capable of measuring robustness and detecting out-of-distribution samples.
SDF adapts Deep Forest for evolving data streams with active learning.
problem Adapting Deep Forest for evolving data streams.
method Streaming Deep Forest (SDF) with Augmented Variable Uncertainty (AVU) active learning.
result SDF with AVU outperforms other methods trained with all instances by 70% labeling budget.
Random forest models systematically bias predictions; a numerical transform corrects this.
problem Systematic bias in random forest regression predictions.
method Defined a numerical transformation using training data to correct bias.
result Improved predictions across real-world and synthetic datasets.
Random Planted Forest interprets tree-based models by keeping some splits, leading to more interpretable predictions.
problem Estimating the unknown regression function from lower-order interaction terms.
method Modifying the random forest algorithm by keeping certain leaves instead of deleting them, resulting in non-binary trees called planted trees.
result The random planted forest achieves asymptotically optimal convergence rates up to a logarithmic factor when the interaction bound is low.
This paper presents a basic property of region dividing of ReLU (rectified linear unit) deep learning when new layers are successively added, by which two new perspectives of interpreting deep learning are given. The first is related to decision trees and forests; we construct a deep learning structure equivalent to a …
Paper proposes a new method combining random forests and Lasso selection.
problem Improving random forest performance by applying Lasso regression.
method Adaptive Lasso weighting applied to random forest predictions.
result Unified framework strictly outperforms other methods in simulations and real-world datasets.
E2Tree explains random forest models in regression tasks.
problem Lack of transparency in random forest models.
method E2Tree extends random forest to regression by explaining model predictions through graphical representation and dissimilarity measures.
result E2Tree provides a transparent explanation of random forest models in regression tasks.
Random forests is a common non-parametric regression technique which performs well for mixed-type data and irrelevant covariates, while being robust to monotonic variable transformations. Existing random forest implementations target regression or classification. We introduce the RFCDE package for fitting random forest…
We characterize and study variable importance (VIMP) and pairwise variable associations in binary regression trees. A key component involves the node mean squared error for a quantity we refer to as a maximal subtree. The theory naturally extends from single trees to ensembles of trees and applies to methods like rando…
New method learns representations for decision forests using input perturbation.
problem Decision forests struggle with raw structured data and lack effective representations.
method Approximate decision forest gradients through input perturbation.
result Effective representation learning for decision forests without structural changes.
Paper studies ensemble probabilistic regression trees for smooth approximations.
problem Smooth approximations of regression functions.
method Ensemble versions of probabilistic regression trees.
result Ensemble probabilistic regression trees are consistent and perform well.
RLF uses Riemann-Lebesgue cutting for better regression.
problem Improving regression accuracy through novel tree splitting.
method Develops Riemann-Lebesgue Tree (RLT) for partitioning response intervals.
result RLF achieves larger variance reduction compared to CART.
ABRF uses attention weights to improve RF performance.
problem Improving the performance of random forest models.
method Attention mechanism applied to random forest with optimization and gradient-based methods.
result The proposed ABRF models outperform standard RF models on various datasets.
The Binary Space Partitioning~(BSP)-Tree process is proposed to produce flexible 2-D partition structures which are originally used as a Bayesian nonparametric prior for relational modelling. It can hardly be applied to other learning tasks such as regression trees because extending the BSP-Tree process to a higher dim…