Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) combine the expressiveness of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) with quantified uncertainty of Gaussian Processes (GPs). Expressive power and intractable inference both result from the non-Gaussian distribution over composition functions. We propose interpretable DGP based on approximating DGP …
This paper improves speech synthesis using a DGP with SRU for naturalness.
problem Improving naturalness in synthetic speech.
method Deep Gaussian process with a recurrent architecture using SRU.
result SRU-DGP outperforms other models in naturalness of synthetic speech.
The composition of multiple Gaussian Processes as a Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) enables a deep probabilistic nonparametric approach to flexibly tackle complex machine learning problems with sound quantification of uncertainty. Existing inference approaches for DGP models have limited scalability and are notoriously cum…
The paper develops a state-space approach to deep Gaussian processes for efficient state estimation.
problem Efficient regression and state estimation for deep Gaussian processes.
method Hierarchical transformed Gaussian process priors, state-space representation, linear stochastic differential equations, sequential methods.
result The state-space approach enables efficient state estimation and regression for deep Gaussian processes.
A new method for training deep Gaussian processes using stochastic imputation.
problem Efficiently training deep Gaussian processes with varying regimes or sharp changes.
method Stochastic imputation to transform DGPs into linked GPs for efficient training.
result The method produces fast and analytically tractable predictions from DGP emulators.
Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a Bayesian non-parametric alternative to standard parametric deep learning models. A DGP is formed by stacking multiple GPs resulting in a well-regularized composition of functions. The Bayesian framework that equips the model with attractive properties, such as implicit capacity …
Conditional DGP learns effective kernels from low-fidelity data.
problem Learning effective kernels for multi-fidelity regression.
method Conditional DGP with moment matching for implicit kernel approximation.
result Effective kernels are learned from lower-fidelity data, improving multi-fidelity regression.
Develops state-space deep Gaussian processes for irregular signals.
problem Solving deep Gaussian process regression problems for irregular signals/functions.
method Represent DGPs as SDEs, solve using state-space filtering and smoothing methods.
result Rich class of priors compatible with irregular signals/functions.
We construct families of differential graded algebras R and R \boxtimes R and give an algebraic formulation of the contact category of a disk through the differential graded category DGP(R) generated by some distinguished projective differential graded R-modules. The homology category H^0(DGP(R)) is a triangulated cate…
A multi-layer deep Gaussian process (DGP) model is a hierarchical composition of GP models with a greater expressive power. Exact DGP inference is intractable, which has motivated the recent development of deterministic and stochastic approximation methods. Unfortunately, the deterministic approximation methods yield a…
DGPs improve air quality inference from sparse data.
problem Accurate air quality monitoring in unmonitored areas.
method Deep Gaussian Processes with Doubly Stochastic Variational Inference.
result DGPs outperform state-of-the-art models in AQ inference.
Enhances DGPs with adaptive RKHS Fourier features for better non-stationary pattern modeling.
problem Capturing complex non-stationary patterns in non-linear dynamical systems.
method Integrates ODE-based RKHS Fourier features into DGPs using convolution operations for adaptive amplitude and phase modulation. Uses a doubly stochastic variational inference framework.
result Improved predictive performance across various regression tasks.
Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs, but inference in these models has proved challenging. Existing approaches to infe…
Enhances DGP surrogates for efficient active learning.
problem Efficiently learning from expensive simulations with abrupt changes.
method Novel elliptical slice sampling for uncertainty quantification and active learning.
result Smaller training sets lead to effective and computationally tractable models.
DGPs with variational inference suffer from SNR issues that degrade gradient estimates, leading to unreliable training.
problem SNR issues in gradient estimates for DGPs with variational inference.
method Adapted doubly reparameterized gradient estimators for DGP training.
result Fix improves predictive performance of DGP models.
Deep kernel processes unify various models using Gram matrices and kernel functions.
problem Unified representation of various deep learning models.
method Defining deep kernel processes with progressively transformed Gram matrices and sampling from inverse Wishart distributions.
result Deep Gaussian processes, BNNs, infinite BNNs, and infinite BNNs with bottlenecks can all be written as deep kernel processes.
Deep Gaussian Processes are reinterpreted as deep trigonometric networks for tractable inference.
problem Challenging inference in DGPs due to intractable marginalization in latent function space.
method Viewing DGPs as deep trigonometric networks with Bochner's theorem, and using the wide limit with a bottleneck to translate DGPs into deep trigonometric networks.
result The weight space view yields the same effective covariance functions as obtained in function space, and varying prior distributions over network parameters is equivalent to employing different kernels.
GPflux simplifies deep Gaussian processes for Python.
problem Challenges in implementing deep Gaussian processes.
method Python library for Bayesian deep learning with DGPs.
result Efficient, modular, and extensible library for DGPs.
Simplified DGPs training by fixing inducing inputs to subset of data.
problem Challenging training of deep Gaussian processes.
method Fixed subset of data for inducing inputs, variational sampling.
result Significant reduction in trainable parameters and computation cost without performance degradation.
DSPPs improve predictive distributions in scalable regression tasks.
problem Improving predictive distributions in scalable regression tasks.
method Inspired by DGPs, DSPPs use mini-batch training and kernel basis functions for uncertainty control.
result DSPPs provide significantly better calibrated predictive distributions than other methods.
Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric priors over functions. Fitting a GP implies computing a posterior distribution of functions consistent with the observed data. Similarly, deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) should allow us to compute a posterior distribution of compositions of multiple functions giving rise to the…
Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) can model complex marginal densities as well as complex mappings. Non-Gaussian marginals are essential for modelling real-world data, and can be generated from the DGP by incorporating uncorrelated variables to the model. Previous work on DGP models has introduced noise additively and use…
Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the great flexibility of multilayer models. In DGPs, given the inputs, the outputs …
New method DDVI improves posterior inference for deep Gaussian processes.
problem Inference of inducing points in DGPs is challenging and biased.
method DDVI uses denoising diffusion SDE and score matching for posterior approximation.
result Empirically shows DDVI outperforms baseline methods in inducing point inference.
This report provides an in-depth overview over the implications and novelty Generalized Variational Inference (GVI) (Knoblauch et al., 2019) brings to Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) (Damianou & Lawrence, 2013). Specifically, robustness to model misspecification as well as principled alternatives for uncertainty quantif…
Disease-gene prediction (DGP) refers to the computational challenge of predicting associations between genes and diseases. Effective solutions to the DGP problem have the potential to accelerate the therapeutic development pipeline at early stages via efficient prioritization of candidate genes for various diseases. In…
Inter-domain Deep Gaussian Processes improve inference for non-stationary data.
problem Inference limitations in Gaussian processes for non-stationary data.
method Combines inter-domain and deep Gaussian processes for scalable approximate inference.
result Outperforms inter-domain shallow GPs and conventional DGPs on non-stationary data.
Deep Gaussian Processes improve likelihood-free inference for complex distributions.
problem Limited flexibility of Bayesian Optimization with GPs for multimodal distributions.
method Proposes Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) as a surrogate model for likelihood-free inference.
result DGPs outperform GPs on multimodal distributions while maintaining comparable performance on unimodal cases.
Enhances multi-fidelity modeling with DGPs for different input domains.
problem Improving prediction accuracy with multi-fidelity models using different input domains.
method Extends Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) to handle different input domains for high and low-fidelity models.
result Demonstrates improved performance on real-world physical problems.
Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer hierarchical generalisations of Gaussian processes (GPs) and are formally equivalent to neural networks with multiple, infinitely wide hidden layers. DGPs are nonparametric probabilistic models and as such are arguably more flexible, have a greater capacity to generalise, …
Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer hierarchical generalisations of Gaussian processes (GPs) and are formally equivalent to neural networks with multiple, infinitely wide hidden layers. DGPs are probabilistic and non-parametric and as such are arguably more flexible, have a greater capacity to generalise, an…
AR-Sieve Bootstrap improves Random Forest time series prediction accuracy.
problem Inaccurate time series prediction due to inadequate resampling methods.
method Combines Random Forest with AR-Sieve Bootstrap for better resampling.
result AR-Sieve Bootstrap leads to more accurate predictions compared to other methods.
This paper proposes a DGP approach with UCBs for point target tracking over WSNs.
problem Uncertainty quantification in distributed machine learning-based tracking over WSNs.
method Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) approach with upper confidence bounds (UCBs).
result UCBs provide 88% and 42% higher probability of encompassing true target states in X and Y coordinates, respectively.
Amortized VI for DGPs learns efficient inference.
problem Expressive limitations in GP approximations.
method Amortized variational inference for DGPs.
result Improved expressive prior and posterior for DGPs.
We define the Hopf superalgebra U_T sl(1,1), which is a variant of the quantum supergroup U_q sl(1,1), and its tensor product representations V_1^{\otimes n} for n>0. We construct families of DG algebras A, B and R_n, and consider the DG categories DGP(A), DGP(B) and DGP(R_n), which are full DG subcategories of the cat…
This paper provides a guide to feature importance methods for better scientific inference.
problem Limited understanding of data-generating process due to opaque ML model mechanisms.
method Comprehensive review and new proofs of global feature importance methods.
result Facilitates a thorough understanding and concrete recommendations for FI methods.
Efficiently trains deep Gaussian processes with sparse approximations.
problem High computational complexity in training and inference for DGP models.
method Tensor Markov Gaussian Processes (TMGP) and hierarchical expansion to create DTMGP model.
result DTMGP model achieves superior computational efficiency compared to existing DGP models.
A new model combines deep learning and Gaussian Processes with hyperdata learning.
problem Combining deep learning and Gaussian Processes for expressive and robust learning.
method Conditional Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) with hyperdata learning and approximate inference.
result Conditional DGP offers better expressiveness and robustness compared to existing methods.
New method improves model explainability.
problem Improper model explanations fail to reflect true data-generating process.
method Shapley Marginal Surplus for Strong Models
result Significant outperformance in inferential capabilities.
Hybrid model combines physics and data to handle incomplete systems.
problem Incomplete physics models with missing terms.
method Combines deep grey-box models with Optimal Transport.
result Enhances incomplete physics models with superior performance.
New analysis explains pathology of deep Gaussian processes.
problem Pathology of deep Gaussian processes reduces learning capacities with increased layers.
method Study nonlinear dynamic systems corresponding to DGPs, derive recurrence relations.
result Provide tighter bounds and rate of convergence for dynamic systems.
Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes that combine well calibrated uncertainty estimates with the high flexibility of multilayer models. One of the biggest challenges with these models is that exact inference is intractable. The current state-of-the-art inference method, …
New method optimises worst-case risk under model uncertainty.
problem Minimizing expected risk under posterior beliefs leads to sub-optimal decisions due to model uncertainty.
method Distributionally Robust Optimisation with Bayesian Ambiguity Sets (DRO-BAS)
result Improved out-of-sample robustness in the Newsvendor problem.
NOVI improves deep Gaussian process inference with neural generators and regularized Stein discrepancy.
problem Intractable exact inference in deep Gaussian processes.
method NOVI uses a neural generator to approximate the posterior distribution and minimizes Regularized Stein Discrepancy.
result NOVI achieves 93.56% classification accuracy on CIFAR10, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
Study uses RL to hedge financial derivatives, showing robust strategies outperform non-robust ones.
problem Risk mitigation and gain-seeking in hedging path-dependent financial derivatives.
method Robust risk-aware reinforcement learning (RL) with policy gradient approach.
result Robust hedging strategies outperform non-robust ones under varying data generating processes.
Survey on Gaussian processes and their deep variants.
problem Limitations of Gaussian processes and their derivatives.
method Comprehensive review of existing methods and research themes.
result Advancements in Deep Gaussian Processes over the past decade.
Mixture-of-experts (MoE) models are a powerful paradigm for modeling of data arising from complex data generating processes (DGPs). In this article, we demonstrate how different MoE models can be constructed to approximate the underlying DGPs of arbitrary types of data. Due to the probabilistic nature of MoE models, we…
Paper introduces RVNP to improve SBI in misspecified models.
problem Misspecification in simulation-based inference leads to unreliable posterior estimation.
method RVNP uses variational inference and error modeling to bridge the simulation-to-reality gap.
result RVNP can recover robust posterior inference without hyperparameters or priors.