A new GAN loss function based on cumulant generating functions improves stability and robustness.
problem Improving the stability and performance of GANs.
method Cumulant GAN loss function based on variational R{é}nyi divergence.
result Cumulant GAN achieves linear convergence to Nash equilibrium and superior performance in image generation.
New method corrects bias in datasets using cumulative distribution functions.
problem Varying domains and biased datasets lead to differences between training and target distributions.
method Empirical cumulative distribution function estimates of the target distribution, rigorously generalized.
result Method is more robust, not reliant on parameter tuning, and performs similarly to state-of-the-art techniques.
The CSA-ES is an Evolution Strategy with Cumulative Step size Adaptation, where the step size is adapted measuring the length of a so-called cumulative path. The cumulative path is a combination of the previous steps realized by the algorithm, where the importance of each step decreases with time. This article studies …
We introduce a new type of graphical model called a "cumulative distribution network" (CDN), which expresses a joint cumulative distribution as a product of local functions. Each local function can be viewed as providing evidence about possible orderings, or rankings, of variables. Interestingly, we find that the condi…
The paper analyzes worst-case distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy under partial information.
problem Analyzing worst-case distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy with limited information.
method General distributions, partial information (mean and variance), various entropies and risk measures.
result Provides worst-case results for distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy.
Paper converts quantiles to cumulative distribution functions to simplify risk measures.
problem Technical assumptions in risk measure calculations.
method Invention of converting integrated quantiles to integrated cumulative distribution functions.
result Avoids the need for probability density function existence.
The paper introduces a new method for detecting financial data outliers.
problem Detecting outliers in multivariate financial data.
method The approach uses the Cumulant Generating Function (CGF) to maximize projections on directions.
result The CGF maximization approach can be interpreted as an extension of principal component analysis.
In this paper we study the volatility and its probability distribution function for the cumulative production based on the experience curve hypothesis. This work presents a generalization of the study of volatility in [1], which addressed the effects of normally distributed noise in the production process. Due to its w…
The study examines higher-order modern portfolio theory with complex critical points and feasible portfolio variety.
problem Understanding the complex critical points and feasible portfolio variety in higher-order modern portfolio theory.
method Established genericity conditions for utility functions with higher-order cumulants, analyzed discriminant loci, and determined the dimension and degree of the feasible portfolio variety.
result The utility function has a constant number of complex critical points under genericity conditions, and the feasible portfolio variety has a determined dimension and degree.
Exponential dispersion model is a useful framework in machine learning and statistics. Primarily, thanks to the additive structure of the model, it can be achieved without difficulty to estimate parameters including mean. However, tight conditions on cumulant function, such as analyticity, strict convexity, and steepne…
The study optimizes bounds for comparing training and population loss.
problem Optimizing bounds for comparing training and population loss.
method Derives generic information-theoretic and PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds using convex comparator functions.
result The tightest possible bound is obtained with the comparator being the convex conjugate of the CGF of the bounding distribution.
The paper tackles non-cumulative objectives in reinforcement learning and proposes modifications to existing algorithms.
problem Optimizing objectives that are not naturally expressed as summations of rewards in various fields.
method The paper modifies the Bellman optimality equation to handle non-cumulative objectives by replacing summation with a generalized operation.
result The modified Bellman updates can converge to the globally optimal solution under certain conditions.
Bayesian approach for inhomogeneous Poisson process intensity estimation.
problem Intractable integral in likelihood of Gaussian Cox process.
method Joint modeling of intensity and cumulative intensity as transformed Gaussian process; exact MCMC sampler.
result Exact posterior inference without approximations.
Inexact acquisition solutions in BO lead to sublinear cumulative regret.
problem Inexact maximization of acquisition functions in Bayesian optimization.
method Define inaccuracy measure, establish cumulative regret bounds for GP-UCB and GP-TS.
result Inexact BO algorithms can achieve sublinear cumulative regret under appropriate inaccuracy conditions.
Develops regression trees for estimating cumulative incidence curves in competing risks.
problem Estimating cumulative incidence functions in competing risks settings.
method Uses augmented estimators of the Brier score risk to build and prune regression trees.
result Demonstrates the utility of the proposed methods through simulation studies and real data.
We introduce the class of affine forward variance (AFV) models of which both the conventional Heston model and the rough Heston model are special cases. We show that AFV models can be characterized by the affine form of their cumulant generating function, which can be obtained as solution of a convolution Riccati equat…
C-Learning estimates reachability over time to solve multi-goal tasks.
problem Multi-goal reaching challenges in reinforcement learning.
method Cumulative accessibility functions and recurrence relations.
result Optimal cumulative accessibility functions are monotonic in horizon.
Paper tackles constrained bandit problems with a new learning framework.
problem Optimizing a black-box reward function subject to a black-box constraint function over a continuous space.
method Rectified Pessimistic-Optimistic Learning (RPOL) framework, incorporating optimistic and pessimistic GP bandit learning.
result RPOL achieves sublinear regret and minimal cumulative constraint violation.
Paper tackles online DR-submodular maximization with stochastic constraints.
problem Maximizing utility while adhering to a cumulative resource constraint in an online setting.
method Proposes OLFW algorithm to solve the problem of online continuous DR-submodular maximization with linear stochastic constraints.
result Obtains sub-linear regret and constraint violation bounds.
Optimistic algorithm reduces regret and constraint violations in online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.
problem Online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.
method Improved algorithm using accurate predictions of loss and constraint functions.
result Improved bounds on regret and cumulative constraint violations.
This work extends reinforcement learning to handle non-cumulative objectives.
problem Optimizing functions of rewards rather than their sum in decision processes.
method Mapping NCMDPs to standard MDPs for reinforcement learning.
result Reinforcement learning techniques can be applied to NCMDPs.
Paper proposes a method to estimate confidence bands for survival random forests.
problem No statistically valid and computationally feasible approach for estimating confidence bands for survival random forests.
method Extending recent developments in infinite-order incomplete U-statistics, the paper proposes an unbiased confidence band estimation.
result The proposed method accurately estimates the confidence band and achieves desired coverage rate.
We provide evidence that cumulative distributions of absolute normalized returns for the 100 American companies with the highest market capitalization, uncover a critical behavior for different time scales Δt. Such cumulative distributions, in accordance with a variety of complex --and financial-- systems, can be m…
Bayesian optimization improved for biased data.
problem Adversarial bias in observations, especially hidden confounders.
method Reduction to dueling bandits, information-directed sampling (IDS).
result First efficient kernelized algorithm with regret guarantees.
Improved BO algorithms reduce prediction error under Gaussian noise.
problem Reducing prediction error in Bayesian optimization with Gaussian noise.
method Established new prediction error bounds for Gaussian process under frequentist setting.
result Proved improved convergence rates of cumulative regret for GP-UCB and GP-TS.
Study quantifies how LLMs capture higher-order statistical structure using cumulant expansion.
problem Understanding how LLMs internalize statistical structure during next-token prediction.
method Cumulant-expansion framework treating softmax entropy as perturbation around center distribution.
result Cumulants reveal distinct signatures for mathematical vs. general text prompts, quantifying feature-learning dynamics.
Develops uniform convergence guarantees for a broad class of risk functionals in supervised learning.
problem Bounding generalization gaps for various risk functionals beyond the expectation.
method Establishes uniform convergence for Hölder risk functionals, providing guarantees for empirical risk minimization.
result First uniform convergence results for estimating the CDF of loss distributions, applicable to various risk functionals.
This paper studies continuum-armed bandits under Besov smoothness conditions and derives minimax rates.
problem Optimizing an unknown function with limited evaluations.
method Studies continuum-armed bandits under Besov smoothness conditions and derives minimax rates.
result Minimax rates over Besov spaces are identical to those over the smallest Hölder space into which Besov spaces embed.
The paper calculates bounds for risk metrics and entropies under partial information constraints.
problem Analyzing risk metrics and entropies for unimodal, symmetric distributions with limited information.
method Develops lower and upper bounds for worst-case distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for unimodal, symmetric distributions with known mean and variance.
result Sharp upper bounds for distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for symmetric distributions.
Motivated by the need for parametric families of rich and yet tractable distributions in financial mathematics, both in pricing and risk management settings, but also considering wider statistical applications, we investigate a novel technique for introducing skewness or kurtosis into a symmetric or other distribution.…
New algorithms minimize simple and cumulative regret in contextual bandits.
problem Minimizing simple and cumulative regret in contextual bandit settings.
method Proposed new algorithms using conformal arm sets (CASs).
result Near-optimal minimax guarantees for simple regret and state-of-the-art guarantees for cumulative regret.
Study how neural networks learn from non-Gaussian data models.
problem Understanding neural network learning dynamics with non-Gaussian data.
method Developed a two-layer neural network with Hermite polynomial activations to control high-order cumulants.
result Neural networks progressively learn high-order cumulants after capturing low-order statistics.
The paper evaluates functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema efficiently.
problem Efficiently evaluating functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema.
method Integral representations, conformal acceleration technique, simplified trapezoid rule.
result Efficient numerical procedures for cumulative probability distribution functions (cpdfs) are developed.
We propose a novel algebraic framework for treating probability distributions represented by their cumulants such as the mean and covariance matrix. As an example, we consider the unsupervised learning problem of finding the subspace on which several probability distributions agree. Instead of minimizing an objective f…
New method estimates SW distance using CDFs for scalable data parallelism.
problem Estimating SW distance efficiently for large datasets.
method Estimators based on CDFs of projected measures, avoiding sorting.
result Efficient estimation for large datasets and federated learning.
The paper proposes a new method for clustering survival data using smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
problem Clustering survival data based on instantaneous risk dynamics.
method Functional Principal Component Analysis applied to B-spline smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
result The proposed method provides an interpretable representation of relative temporal risk dynamics.
Adaptive model selection for RL with unknown function classes.
problem Model selection for RL with unknown function classes.
method Proposed adaptive algorithms that adapt to the smallest function class containing the true model.
result Cumulative regret matches that of an oracle with known function classes.
New RL formulation for maximizing maximum reward in molecule generation.
problem Traditional RL frameworks do not fit real-world applications like drug discovery.
method Formulated a new objective function to maximize maximum reward, derived Bellman equation, introduced operators, and proved convergence.
result Achieved state-of-the-art results in molecule generation.
We investigate the problem of optimal dividend distribution for a company in the presence of regime shifts. We consider a company whose cumulative net revenues evolve as a Brownian motion with positive drift that is modulated by a finite state Markov chain, and model the discount rate as a deterministic function of the…
We study the volume distribution of nodal domains of random band-limited functions on generic manifolds, and find that in the high energy limit a typical instance obeys a deterministic universal law, independent of the manifold. Some of the basic qualitative properties of this law, such as its support, monotonicity and…
New method for neural networks to predict histogram data.
problem Lack of principled approach for histogram regression.
method Pinball loss applied to cumulative histogram.
result Accuracy similar to EMD with less computational cost.
Kernelized cumulants improve statistical analysis in high-dimensional spaces.
problem Statistical analysis in high-dimensional spaces with low variance estimators.
method Extending cumulants to RKHS using tensor algebra and kernel trick.
result Kernelized cumulants provide new all-purpose statistics with computational tractability.
In this paper, we study reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms to solve real-world decision problems with the objective of maximizing the long-term reward as well as satisfying cumulative constraints. We propose a novel first-order policy optimization method, Interior-point Policy Optimization (IPO), which augments the…
Optimizes portfolios using CPT utility via convex optimization.
problem Maximizing CPT utility in portfolio selection.
method Minorization-maximization (MM) algorithm and convex-concave (CC) procedure.
result Problems can be solved globally and efficiently.
A new model uses neural networks to efficiently learn multivariate temporal point processes.
problem Efficiently modeling multivariate temporal point processes with low parameter complexity.
method Modeling the cumulative hazard function with neural networks for each variate.
result The proposed model achieves state-of-the-art performance on data fitting and event prediction tasks.
This paper extends stock trading results to include stop-loss orders.
problem Generalizing stock trading results with stop-loss orders.
method Geometric Brownian motion model, affine feedback controller, closed-form expression for cumulative distribution function.
result Affine feedback controller with stop-loss order generalizes results without stop-loss orders.
Boost-R uses gradient boosted trees for analyzing recurrence data.
problem Analyzing recurrence data with static and dynamic features.
method Gradient boosted additive trees with time-dependent functions.
result Estimates the cumulative intensity function of recurrent event processes.
New approach to Generalized Beta family using SDEs.
problem Understanding the Generalized Beta family of distributions.
method Using a mean-reverting SDE for a power of the variable, leading to a modified GB distribution.
result Provides alternative forms and cumulative distribution functions for GB distributions.