arXiv research

New method cleans cross-covariance matrices for better financial forecasting.

DAG models with hidden variables present many difficulties that are not present when all nodes are observed. In particular, fully observed DAG models are identified and correspond to well-defined sets ofdistributions, whereas this is not true if nodes are unobserved. Inthis paper we characterize exactly the set of dist…

Bollerslev et al. (2006) study the cross-covariances for squared returns under the Heston (1993) stochastic volatility model. In order to obtain these cross-covariances the authors use an incorrect expression for the distribution of the squared returns. Here we will obtain the correct distribution of the squared return…

NTKs explain GNNs' alignment for graph prediction.

Better signal detection in undersampled data using joint and cross covariances.

Introduces intrinsic Riemannian cross-covariance for manifold-valued random objects.

Sparse covariance estimation in the vertical-split model achieves exponential improvement over dense estimates.

A new model captures multifractal volatility in stock returns.

New kernel models multi-output Gaussian processes accurately.

Paper introduces a new method for Transformers with linear complexity.

Early approaches to multiple-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) relied on linear combinations of independent, latent, single-output Gaussian processes (GPs). This resulted in cross-covariance functions with limited parametric interpretation, thus conflicting with the ability of single-output GPs to understand lengthscal…

Unsupervised method detects earthquakes from raw waveforms, generalizing across datasets.

Study reveals limits of PLS in multi-modal learning with correlated signals.

PLS-SVD struggles with missing data in multimodal datasets, showing a phase transition in performance.

Study shows how mini-batch GD with random reshuffling affects least squares regression dynamics.

To the best of our knowledge, there are no general well-founded robust methods for statistical unsupervised learning. Most of the unsupervised methods explicitly or implicitly depend on the kernel covariance operator (kernel CO) or kernel cross-covariance operator (kernel CCO). They are sensitive to contaminated data, …

Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process is uncorrelated with its complex conjugate. This assumption is a good model of th…

Many unsupervised kernel methods rely on the estimation of the kernel covariance operator (kernel CO) or kernel cross-covariance operator (kernel CCO). Both kernel CO and kernel CCO are sensitive to contaminated data, even when bounded positive definite kernels are used. To the best of our knowledge, there are few well…

A new model captures multifractal volatility in stock returns.

Kernel transfer operators, which can be regarded as approximations of transfer operators such as the Perron-Frobenius or Koopman operator in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, are defined in terms of covariance and cross-covariance operators and have been shown to be closely related to the conditional mean embedding fr…

A new method lifts training of input-convex neural networks to avoid dead weights and plateaued loss.

The random matrix theory method of planar Gaussian diagrammatic expansion is applied to find the mean spectral density of the Hermitian equal-time and non-Hermitian time-lagged cross-covariance estimators, firstly in the form of master equations for the most general multivariate Gaussian system, secondly for seven part…

Whitening, or sphering, is a common preprocessing step in statistical analysis to transform random variables to orthogonality. However, due to rotational freedom there are infinitely many possible whitening procedures. Consequently, there is a diverse range of sphering methods in use, for example based on principal com…

Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) play an important role in many statistics and machine learning applications ranging from support vector machines to Gaussian processes and kernel embeddings of distributions. Operators acting on such spaces are, for instance, required to embed conditional probability distributi…

One major challenge in training Deep Neural Networks is preventing overfitting. Many techniques such as data augmentation and novel regularizers such as Dropout have been proposed to prevent overfitting without requiring a massive amount of training data. In this work, we propose a new regularizer called DeCov which le…

New methods improve cross-correlation analysis of time series data.

Novel approach for SEM in small samples with $p>n$.

Proposes joint LCA for multiview data to identify shared and view-specific components.

Study on estimating distances between covariance operators and Gaussian processes.

Aggregated data is commonplace in areas such as epidemiology and demography. For example, census data for a population is usually given as averages defined over time periods or spatial resolutions (cities, regions or countries). In this paper, we present a novel multi-task learning model based on Gaussian processes for…

Linear independence testing is a fundamental information-theoretic and statistical problem that can be posed as follows: given $n$ points $\{(X_i,Y_i)\}^n_{i=1}$ from a $p+q$ dimensional multivariate distribution where $X_i \in \mathbb{R}^p$ and $Y_i \in\mathbb{R}^q$, determine whether $a^T X$ and $b^T Y$ are uncorrela…

Spectral mixture (SM) kernels comprise a powerful class of generalized kernels for Gaussian processes (GPs) to describe complex patterns. This paper introduces model compression and time- and phase (TP) modulated dependency structures to the original (SM) kernel for improved generalization of GPs. Specifically, by adop…

Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations across the multiple outputs. While model estimation can be performed efficiently for …

Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is a valuable method for interpreting cross-covariance across related datasets of different dimensionality. There are many potential applications of CCA to neuroimaging data analysis. For instance, CCA can be used for finding functional similarities across fMRI datasets collected fr…

Multi-output Gaussian processes (GPs) are a flexible Bayesian nonparametric framework that has proven useful in jointly modeling the physiological states of patients in medical time series data. However, capturing the short-term effects of drugs and therapeutic interventions on patient physiological state remains chall…

Rotates MFVI for better Gaussian approximations.

RKUM is an R package for robust kernel-based unsupervised methods.

Computer simulations often involve both qualitative and numerical inputs. Existing Gaussian process (GP) methods for handling this mainly assume a different response surface for each combination of levels of the qualitative factors and relate them via a multiresponse cross-covariance matrix. We introduce a substantiall…

Speech-related Brain Computer Interfaces (BCI) aim primarily at finding an alternative vocal communication pathway for people with speaking disabilities. As a step towards full decoding of imagined speech from active thoughts, we present a BCI system for subject-independent classification of phonological categories exp…

We study the sample complexity of canonical correlation analysis (CCA), \ie, the number of samples needed to estimate the population canonical correlation and directions up to arbitrarily small error. With mild assumptions on the data distribution, we show that in order to achieve $ε$-suboptimality in a properly define…

Imaging genetic research has essentially focused on discovering unique and co-association effects, but typically ignoring to identify outliers or atypical objects in genetic as well as non-genetics variables. Identifying significant outliers is an essential and challenging issue for imaging genetics and multiple source…

This study approximates distances between Gaussian processes and covariance operators using RKHS.

Introduces FairCOCCO for fair learning with multitype, multivariate sensitive attributes.

The paper introduces a method to model error correlations in multivariate time series forecasting.

In genome-wide interaction studies, to detect gene-gene interactions, most methods are divided into two folds: single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) based and gene-based methods. Basically, the methods based on the gene are more effective than the methods based on a single SNP. Recent years, while the kernel canonical …

This article investigates the causality structure of financial time series. We concentrate on three main approaches to measuring causality: linear Granger causality, kernel generalisations of Granger causality (based on ridge regression and the Hilbert--Schmidt norm of the cross-covariance operator) and transfer entrop…

The paper analyzes PLS-SVD in high-dimensional data integration, revealing its strengths and limitations.

Modeling joint log-volatility dynamics with multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.