arXiv research

New high-order approximations for CIR process using random grids.

In this we paper we recast the Cox--Ingersoll--Ross model of interest rates into the chaotic representation recently introduced by Hughston and Rafailidis. Beginning with the ``squared Gaussian representation'' of the CIR model, we find a simple expression for the fundamental random variable X. By use of techniques fro…

Proposes a new model to handle negative interest rates using CIR framework.

Empirical evidence suggests that fixed income markets exhibit unspanned stochastic volatility (USV), that is, that one cannot fully hedge volatility risk solely using a portfolio of bonds. While [1] showed that no two-factor Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model can exhibit USV, it has been unknown to date whether CIR models …

We analyze exponential integrability properties of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process and its Euler discretizations with various types of truncation and reflection at 0. These properties play a key role in establishing the finiteness of moments and the strong convergence of numerical approximations for a class of sto…

New financial price model using earning yield derived from CIR process.

Study applies financial models to predict COVID-19 pandemic.

The paper improves parameter estimation for interest rate models using the CIR and CKLS frameworks.

It is well known that the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) stochastic model to study the term structure of interest rates, as introduced in 1985, is inadequate for modelling the current market environment with negative short interest rates. Moreover, the diffusion term in the rate dynamics goes to zero when short rates are sma…

Extended CIR process with jumps at fixed dates for modeling overnight rates.

Proposes a new model for negative interest rates that fits market data closely.

Two methods improve simulation of European call options under Heston model.

In this paper we are interested in term structure models for pricing zero coupon bonds under rapidly oscillating stochastic volatility. We analyze solutions to the generalized Cox-Ingersoll-Ross two factors model describing clustering of interest rate volatilities. The main goal is to derive an asymptotic expansion of …

Improved MLMC method for barrier options with non-Lipschitz coefficients.

This paper analyzes the problem of starting and stopping a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process with fixed costs. In addition, we also study a related optimal switching problem that involves an infinite sequence of starts and stops. We establish the conditions under which the starting-stopping and switching problems admit …

The paper calculates option prices for assets with stochastic volatility using FFT.

We consider a jump-type Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process driven by a standard Wiener process and a subordinator, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, critical and supercritical. In the subcritical case we prove weak …

We consider an economic agent (a household or an insurance company) modelling its surplus process by a deterministic process or by a Brownian motion with drift. The goal is to maximise the expected discounted spendings/dividend payments, given that the discounting factor is given by an exponential CIR process. In the d…

We develop a one-dimensional notion of affine processes under parameter uncertainty, which we call non-linear affine processes. This is done as follows: given a set of parameters for the process, we construct a corresponding non-linear expectation on the path space of continuous processes. By a general dynamic programm…

Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) pricing models need to be both flexible and tractable. The survival probability has to be known in closed form (for calibration purposes), the model should be able to fit any valid Credit Default Swap (CDS) curve, should lead to large volatilities (in line with CDS options) and finally…

Quantum algorithms speed up derivative pricing beyond Black-Scholes models.

This work extends Tweedie's formulae to non-Gaussian processes for better diffusion model generation.

In this paper, the valuation of European and path-dependent options in foreign exchange (FX) markets is considered when the currency exchange rate evolves according to the Heston model combined with the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics for the stochastic domestic and foreign short interest rates. The mixed Monte Carlo/PDE m…

We consider the approximation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with non-Lipschitz drift or diffusion coefficients. We present a modified explicit Euler-Maruyama discretisation scheme that allows us to prove strong convergence, with a rate. Under some regularity and integrability conditions, we obtain the opt…

We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable Lévy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate based on continuous time observations. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, c…

This paper examines the problem of pricing spread options under some models with jumps driven by Compound Poisson Processes and stochastic volatilities in the form of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross(CIR) processes. We derive the characteristic function for two market models featuring joint normally distributed jumps, stochastic vol…

Optimal buying and selling times for homes in fluctuating interest rates.

Develops high-order approximations for financial models, proving convergence and regularity.

Directly simulates squared Bessel processes efficiently.

This paper extends subordinated models to include stochastic time changes, improving financial modeling.

This paper considers the case of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps under the class of equity-interest rate hybridization. Our modeling framework consists of the equity which follows the dynamics of the Heston stochastic volatility model, and the stochastic interest rate is driven by the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR)…

We investigate the asymptotic behavior as time goes to infinity of Hawkes processes whose regression kernel has $L^1$ norm close to one and power law tail of the form $x^{-(1+α)}$, with $α\in(0,1)$. We in particular prove that when $α\in(1/2,1)$, after suitable rescaling, their law converges to that of a kind of integr…

This paper studies the problem of trading futures with transaction costs when the underlying spot price is mean-reverting. Specifically, we model the spot dynamics by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU), Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR), or exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (XOU) model. The futures term structure is derived and its conne…

The transition probability of a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process can be represented by a non-central chi-square density. First we prove a new representation for the central chi-square density based on sums of powers of generalized Gaussian random variables. Second we prove Marsaglia's polar method extends to this distributio…

We study the optimal timing strategies for trading a mean-reverting price process with afinite deadline to enter and a separate finite deadline to exit the market. The price process is modeled by a diffusion with an affine drift that encapsulates a number of well-known models,including the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model…

This paper analyzes the robust growth rate of leveraged ETFs under uncertain parameters.

The paper analyzes sensitivities of cash flows using PDEs and Hansen-Scheinkman decomposition.

Defines a new process for financial modeling.

We introduce MosAIc, an interactive web app that allows users to find pairs of semantically related artworks that span different cultures, media, and millennia. To create this application, we introduce Conditional Image Retrieval (CIR) which combines visual similarity search with user supplied filters or "conditions". …

We study convergence properties of the full truncation Euler scheme for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process in the regime where the boundary point zero is inaccessible. Under some conditions on the model parameters (precisely, when the Feller ratio is greater than three), we establish the strong order 1/2 convergence in $L^…

ACI identifies cause-effect relationships and causal influence ranges in dynamical systems.

A new adaptive splitting method improves accuracy for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model.

Stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE's) have been used for financial modeling. In this article, we study a SDDE obtained by the equation of a CIR process, with an additional fixed delay term in drift; in particular, we prove that there exists a unique strong solution (positive and integrable) which we call fix…

Study on Volterra Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process, proving asymptotic independence and ergodicity.

CIR method constructs efficient prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage.

We introduce a class of interest rate models, called the $α$-CIR model, which gives a natural extension of the standard CIR model by adopting the $α$-stable L{é}vy process and preserving the branching property. This model allows to describe in a unified and parsimonious way several recent observations on the sovereign …

Adaptive method improves numerical solution of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model.

I present the technique which can analyse some interest rate models: Constantinides-Ingersoll, CIR-model, geometric CIR and Geometric Brownian Motion. All these models have the unified structure of Whittaker function. The main focus of this text is closed-form solutions of the zero-coupon bond value in these models. In…