The paper proposes AIS for Bayesian inversion of multioutput signals with covariance estimation.
problem Performing uncertainty analysis of covariance matrices in Bayesian inversion problems for multioutput signals.
method Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS) scheme, split variables, frequentist approach for noise covariance, prior density over covariance matrix.
result Estimation of model parameters and covariance matrix of noise.
Linear and Quadratic Discriminant analysis (LDA/QDA) are common tools for classification problems. For these methods we assume observations are normally distributed within group. We estimate a mean and covariance matrix for each group and classify using Bayes theorem. With LDA, we estimate a single, pooled covariance m…
We introduce a new sparse estimator of the covariance matrix for high-dimensional models in which the variables have a known ordering. Our estimator, which is the solution to a convex optimization problem, is equivalently expressed as an estimator which tapers the sample covariance matrix by a Toeplitz, sparsely-banded…
Sparse Inverse Covariance Estimation (SICE) is useful in many practical data analyses. Recovering the connectivity, non-connectivity graph of covariates is classified amongst the most important data mining and learning problems. In this paper, we introduce a novel SICE approach using adaptive thresholding. Our method i…
PACE-GGM uses Gaussian mechanism for private covariance estimation.
problem Private estimation of covariance matrices in high dimensions.
method Data-adaptive selection of entries, Gaussian mechanism, maximum-entropy reconstruction.
result Consistent improvements in estimation error compared to Gaussian mechanism and baselines.
The paper analyzes how Gaussian kernel parameters affect posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.
problem Understanding the influence of Gaussian kernel parameters on posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.
method Geometric analysis and a posteriori error estimation techniques from adaptive finite element methods.
result The bandwidth parameter and spatial distribution of observations significantly influence posterior covariance and its matrix.
Enhanced Transformer models predict ETF portfolio performance by optimizing covariance and semi-covariance matrices.
problem Static covariance estimates fail to capture dynamic market fluctuations and non-linear correlations.
method Transformer-based models for real-time covariance and semi-covariance predictions.
result Portfolios optimized with semi-covariance matrix outperform those with standard covariance matrix, especially in volatile conditions.
We study the problem of estimating from data, a sparse approximation to the inverse covariance matrix. Estimating a sparsity constrained inverse covariance matrix is a key component in Gaussian graphical model learning, but one that is numerically very challenging. We address this challenge by developing a new adaptive…
Adaptive learning rate algorithms such as RMSProp are widely used for training deep neural networks. RMSProp offers efficient training since it uses first order gradients to approximate Hessian-based preconditioning. However, since the first order gradients include noise caused by stochastic optimization, the approxima…
Contextual policy search (CPS) is a class of multi-task reinforcement learning algorithms that is particularly useful for robotic applications. A recent state-of-the-art method is Contextual Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategies (C-CMA-ES). It is based on the standard black-box optimization algorithm CMA-ES…
Develops a new MCMC-based Wishart prior for Gaussian Process covariance matrix.
problem Difficult inference for multivariate Gaussian Processes with multiple lengthscale parameters.
method Introduces a self-assembled Wishart prior and uses MCMC for Bayesian inference on kernel hyperparameters.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new prior in GP-based learning with empirical results.
Adaptive classifier optimizes high-dimensional data with spiked covariance structure.
problem Classification of high-dimensional data with spiked covariance structure.
method Adaptive classifier that whitens data, screens features, and applies Fisher linear discriminant.
result The classifier is Bayes optimal under certain conditions and performs well on real and synthetic data.
Gradients help find global optima in complex functions.
problem Finding global optima in functions with many local minima.
method A principle for generating search directions from non-local quadratic approximants based on gradients.
result The proposed algorithm and CMA-ES perform better than random reinitialized BFGS.
Improved stability for large-scale Bayesian sampling.
problem Reducing instability in Langevin dynamics for large datasets.
method Introducing a modified CCAdL thermostat with a scaling and squaring method and a truncated Taylor series approximation.
result Significantly improved numerical stability and accuracy over existing methods.
Optimal preconditioning improves Langevin sampling efficiency.
problem Improving sampling efficiency in high-dimensional target distributions.
method Optimal preconditioning using Fisher information, applied to MALA.
result Adaptive MCMC scheme significantly outperforms other methods.
Undirected graphs can be used to describe matrix variate distributions. In this paper, we develop new methods for estimating the graphical structures and underlying parameters, namely, the row and column covariance and inverse covariance matrices from the matrix variate data. Under sparsity conditions, we show that one…
Vanilla SGD learns SIM from anisotropic data without explicit covariance estimation.
problem Learning SIM from anisotropic Gaussian inputs.
method Vanilla Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) trained on SIM with anisotropic input.
result Vanilla SGD adapts to anisotropic data's covariance structure.
New algorithm reduces semi-bandit regret using covariance estimates.
problem Complexity of semi-bandits due to joint distribution of outcomes.
method Develops a new sub-exponential distribution family and an algorithm using covariance estimates.
result Proves a new lower bound on expected regret and constructs an algorithm with asymptotic analysis.
We focus on the challenge of finding a diverse collection of quality solutions on complex continuous domains. While quality diver-sity (QD) algorithms like Novelty Search with Local Competition (NSLC) and MAP-Elites are designed to generate a diverse range of solutions, these algorithms require a large number of evalua…
Exact risk and learning rate curves derived for adaptive SGD on high-dimensional problems.
problem Analyzing risk and learning rate dynamics in high-dimensional optimization problems.
method Developed a framework to give exact expressions for risk and learning rate curves using ODEs.
result Exact expressions for risk and learning rate curves, with detailed analysis of two adaptive learning rates.
Optimistic covariance-adaptive algorithms improve combinatorial semi-bandits regret.
problem Optimal regret in stochastic combinatorial semi-bandits with adaptive covariance estimation.
method Design of OLS-UCB-C and COS-V algorithms leveraging online covariance estimation.
result Improved gap-free regret with T^1/2 complexity for COS-V.
EigenBayes: A fast, adaptive Bayesian shrinkage approach for high-dimensional matrix factorization
problem Choosing the latent dimension k in factor models method Adaptive spectral shrinkage and empirical Bayes calibration
result Adapts to signal-to-noise ratio and shrinks superfluous components
Bayesian model infers factor dimensionality and sparse loading matrix adaptively.
problem Inference of high-dimensional sparse factor model with varying sparsity and factor dimensions.
method Adaptive Bayesian sparse factor model with posterior concentration.
result Posterior distribution asymptotically concentrates on true factor dimensionality and sparsity.
Novel method for high-dimensional BO using CMA to define local regions.
problem Challenges in applying BO to high-dimensional optimization problems.
method CMA strategy to learn search distribution and define local regions.
result Our method outperforms existing techniques on various benchmarks.
Sketchy reduces memory and compute requirements for adaptive regularization in deep learning.
problem Prohibitive memory and running time for adaptive regularization methods in deep learning.
method Low-rank sketching approach using Frequent Directions (FD) to reduce memory and compute requirements.
result Efficient interpolation between resource requirements and degradation in regret guarantees with rank k. New method efficiently learns positive-definite curvature for neural nets.
problem Efficiently learn positive-definite curvature for neural net training.
method Spectral-factorized positive-definite curvature learning approach.
result Efficiently applies arbitrary matrix roots and generic curvature learning.
Unified error analysis for low-rank approximation improves data assimilation performance.
problem Analyzing the error in low-rank approximation methods for data assimilation.
method Unified stochastic analysis framework for Frobenius norm error bounds on centered and non-standard Gaussian matrices.
result Unified bounds provide clearer interpretations and enable better practical choices for covariance matrices.
A new method for covariate shift adaptation using nearest neighbors.
problem Mitigating distribution shift between source and target datasets.
method Directly work on unlabeled target data, labeled by nearest neighbors in source data.
result Optimal choice of k=1 simplifies hyper-parameter tuning and improves efficiency. In a Gaussian graphical model, the conditional independence between two variables are characterized by the corresponding zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood method using the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalty (Fan and Li, 2001) and the adaptive LASSO penalty (Zou, 2006) hav…
Valid causal inference in observational studies often requires controlling for confounders. However, in practice measurements of confounders may be noisy, and can lead to biased estimates of causal effects. We show that we can reduce the bias caused by measurement noise using a large number of noisy measurements of the…
Classifies SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.
problem Classifying SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.
method Established a complete classification for continuous and SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp(Rn,|x|2dx), eliminating matrix symmetry assumption.
result Unique characterization of such valuations by the moment matrix in n>2, rotation matrix in 2D.
Paper presents a new framework for covariance matrix estimation with geometric insights.
problem Challenges in covariance matrix estimation, especially in finding suitable models and efficient estimation methods.
method General framework for linear restrictions on different transformations of the covariance matrix, including matrix logarithm and its inverse.
result Yields an M-estimator with M-estimation allowing for straightforward asymptotic and finite sample analysis. New method cleans cross-covariance matrices for better financial forecasting.
problem Asymptotically optimal cross-covariance cleaners fail in real-world, time-varying markets.
method Physics-informed neural network that learns from empirical singular values.
result Trained model outperforms analytical cleaners in out-of-sample cross-covariance prediction.
New methods estimate covariance for matrix data without assuming fixed size or specific distributions.
problem Estimating covariance for high-dimensional matrix data without distributional assumptions.
method Unified framework for bandable covariance estimation with rank one approximation, robust to heavy-tailed data.
result Proposed estimators are rate-optimal and perform well in simulations and real applications.
STVNN models spatiotemporal data using covariance matrices.
problem Challenges in modeling spatiotemporal interactions in multivariate time series.
method Introduces SpatioTemporal coVariance Neural Network (STVNN) that operates on sample covariance matrix and uses joint spatiotemporal convolutions.
result STVNN is stable to online estimation uncertainties and outperforms temporal PCA.
LinUCB algorithm handles adaptive sampling biases for linear bandits.
problem Adaptive sampling introduces biases in statistical inference.
method LinUCB algorithm with stability property for linear bandits.
result LinUCB achieves asymptotic normality with Wald-type confidence sets.
SVDD and Deep SVDD improve radar target detection in clutter.
problem Clutter and thermal noise degrade classical radar detection methods.
method Support Vector Data Description (SVDD) and Deep SVDD for one-class learning.
result SVDD and Deep SVDD outperform traditional methods on simulated radar data.
Factor analysis, a classical multivariate statistical technique is popularly used as a fundamental tool for dimensionality reduction in statistics, econometrics and data science. Estimation is often carried out via the Maximum Likelihood (ML) principle, which seeks to maximize the likelihood under the assumption that t…
This paper introduces a new data-driven methodology for estimating sparse covariance matrices of the random coefficients in logit mixture models. Researchers typically specify covariance matrices in logit mixture models under one of two extreme assumptions: either an unrestricted full covariance matrix (allowing correl…
Networked sensing, where the goal is to perform complex inference using a large number of inexpensive and decentralized sensors, has become an increasingly attractive research topic due to its applications in wireless sensor networks and internet-of-things. To reduce the communication, sensing and storage complexity, t…
This tutorial introduces the CMA Evolution Strategy (ES), where CMA stands for Covariance Matrix Adaptation. The CMA-ES is a stochastic, or randomized, method for real-parameter (continuous domain) optimization of non-linear, non-convex functions. We try to motivate and derive the algorithm from intuitive concepts and …
Machine learning and geostatistics are powerful mathematical frameworks for modeling spatial data. Both approaches, however, suffer from poor scaling of the required computational resources for large data applications. We present the Stochastic Local Interaction (SLI) model, which employs a local representation to impr…
We simplify matrix computations for block matrices, especially useful for covariance and correlation matrices.
problem Complex computations for block matrices, especially for covariance and correlation matrices.
method Obtained a canonical representation for block matrices, facilitating computation of various matrix operations.
result Simplified computation of matrix operations for block matrices, particularly useful for covariance and correlation matrices.
Estimation of low-rank matrices is of significant interest in a range of contemporary applications. In this paper, we introduce a rank-one projection model for low-rank matrix recovery and propose a constrained nuclear norm minimization method for stable recovery of low-rank matrices in the noisy case. The procedure is…
Iterative method 'Concent' corrects spectrum bias in covariance matrices.
problem Consistent bias in the spectrum of covariance matrices.
method 'Concent' iterative algorithm.
result Corrects spectrum bias for small and moderate dimensions.
Denise learns a function to quickly decompose covariance matrices robustly.
problem Robustly decomposing covariance matrices for feature extraction.
method Deep learning for symmetric positive semidefinite matrices.
result Denise achieves state-of-the-art performance in decomposition quality and speed.
Classification of SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
problem Classifying continuous SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
method Complete classification without symmetric assumptions, focusing on moment matrix and a new functional in dimension two.
result The moment matrix is the only SL(n) covariant valuation for n≥3, and a new functional appears in dimension two.
CovRegRF estimates covariance matrix from covariates using random forests.
problem Estimating conditional covariances or correlations among multivariate responses.
method Random forest trees with a custom splitting rule to maximize covariance difference.
result Accurate covariance matrix estimates and controlled Type-1 error.