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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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130260390520 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Conversion Prediction

Paper improves conversion prediction models for online advertising.

problem Predicting different types of conversions in online advertising.
method Multi-Task Learning with MT-FwFM.
result Improved AUC by 0.74% and 0.84% on two conversion types, and overall AUC by 0.50%.

Study proposes a time-aware model to predict user conversion intent.

problem Weak predictive signals from users not suitable for conversion prediction.
method Time-aware approach to model user activities and capture conversion intent signals.
result Approach outperforms other models on real-world datasets.

Improved conversion rate prediction in online advertising using self-supervised pre-training.

problem Data sparsity and calibration issues in predicting conversions given clicks.
method Self-supervised pre-training on all conversion events to enrich CVR prediction model without compromising calibration.
result Improvements in offline training and online A/B tests, with full deployment to Yahoo native advertising system.

Improved conversion prediction for B2B products using collective online activity trails.

problem Limited information from single user activity trails for B2B ad targeting.
method Introduced relevant users concept and used distributed activity representations to build seed lists.
result Improved conversion prediction AUC by 8.8% using collective activity trails.

Deep learning models outperform MRI-based methods for MCI to AD conversion prediction.

problem Predicting the conversion of mild cognitive impairments to Alzheimer's Disease.
method Applied deep learning and machine learning algorithms on neuroimaging and clinical data.
result XGBoost algorithm trained on clinical and embedding data provided the best results with an accuracy of 0.76 and AUC of 0.86.

A method corrects feedback shift in predicting conversion rates with delayed feedback.

problem Delayed feedback leads to mislabeling of positive instances in training data.
method Uses importance weight approach to correct feedback shift.
result Proposed method outperforms existing methods in offline and online experiments.

The paper extracts structured data from physician-patient conversations, reducing clerical burden.

problem Mining insights from physician-patient conversations for electronic health record documentation.
method Created a dataset of transcripts and summaries, extracted noteworthy utterances, and improved model performance.
result Extracting noteworthy utterances significantly boosts model performance for recognizing diagnoses and RoS abnormalities.

Predicting conversion rates (CVRs) in display advertising (e.g., predicting the proportion of users who purchase an item (i.e., a conversion) after its corresponding ad is clicked) is important when measuring the effects of ads shown to users and to understanding the interests of the users. There is generally a time de…

2018-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates conversion probabilities from click sequences with privacy constraints.

problem Training models in advertising with limited direct click-conversion links.
method Formalizes learning from attribution sets, constructs unbiased estimator, applies Empirical Risk Minimization.
result Empirical Risk Minimization achieves generalization guarantees and robustness against prior errors.

DHEN improves CVR prediction for ads with multitask learning and auxiliary loss.

problem Predicting conversion rates in ad-recommendation systems.
method DHEN integrates multiple feature-crossing modules and uses a multitask learning framework, ablation studies, and self-supervised auxiliary loss.
result DHEN achieves state-of-the-art performance in CVR prediction.

A new model predicts conversion rates by analyzing post-click actions.

problem Challenges in predicting conversion rates due to sample selection bias and data sparsity.
method Post-click behavior decomposition and multi-task learning.
result The model effectively addresses sample selection bias and data sparsity issues.

Improved real-time visualizations of conversation turns using dynamic attention weights.

problem Uniform attention weights in sequential analysis tasks prevent meaningful visualization.
method Developed a method to track changes in turn importance over time.
result More informative real-time visuals confirmed by human reviewers.

DNAMTA model improves media channel attribution accuracy.

problem Measuring the impact of each advertising channel in multi-channel marketing.
method Deep Neural Net with Attention (DNAMTA) model for multi-touch attribution.
result DNAMTA model outperforms existing methods in conversion prediction and media influence evaluation.

Study uses chatbot to understand users' needs for ML model explanations.

problem Lack of understanding of user needs for model explanations.
method Developed a conversational system (dr_ant) to collect user questions about a machine learning model trained on Titanic data.
result Collected a corpus of 1000+ dialogues to identify common user questions.

Hybrid approach combines user feedback and machine learning for predicting user satisfaction.

problem Measuring user satisfaction in large-scale conversational agent systems.
method Fusion of explicit user feedback and predictions from two machine-learned models trained on different data types.
result Hybrid approach significantly improves user satisfaction predictions.

Paper proposes ACVAE-VC for non-parallel voice conversion.

problem Non-parallel many-to-many voice conversion with attribute class label retention.
method Uses ACVAE with fully convolutional networks, information-theoretic regularization, and auxiliary classifier.
result Successfully retains attribute class labels and avoids buzzy speech.

Automated dialogue quality evaluation using user satisfaction estimates across multiple domains.

problem Lack of automated and domain-independent dialogue quality evaluation metrics.
method Created a new Response Quality annotation scheme, introduced five domain-independent feature sets, and experimented with six machine learning models.
result Gradient Boosting Regression model achieved best prediction performance, with a 16% relative improvement in binary satisfaction class prediction accuracy.

Proposes a new method for conversational agents using deep learning.

problem Building coherent and non-monotonous conversational agents with proper discourse and coverage.
method End-to-end multi-stream deep learning architecture leveraging contextual and syntactic information.
result Significantly improved next sentence prediction task.

Group discussions are essential for organizing every aspect of modern life, from faculty meetings to senate debates, from grant review panels to papal conclaves. While costly in terms of time and organization effort, group discussions are commonly seen as a way of reaching better decisions compared to solutions that do…

2016-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses time series analysis to predict player churn and conversion in games.

problem Predicting player churn and conversion in free-to-play games.
method State Space time series approach with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Unobserved Components models.
result Unobserved Components approach fails to detect marketing campaigns and predicts abandonment poorly.

Neural Assistant integrates knowledge reasoning and dialogue generation in a single model.

problem Challenges in task-oriented dialog systems, including multi-turn language understanding and generation, knowledge retrieval and reasoning, and action prediction.
method Develops a single neural network model that jointly predicts text responses and actions from conversation history and external knowledge.
result The model learns to reason on external knowledge with weak supervision, improving factual accuracy and language generation performance.

Joint training model for TTS and VC tasks using Tacotron and WaveNet.

problem Training a shared model for text-to-speech and voice conversion.
method Extended Tacotron model with dual attention mechanism for shared tasks, WaveNet for waveform generation.
result Joint training of a shared model achieves both TTS and VC tasks efficiently.

The DeepSurv model predicts purchase timing better than other survival models.

problem Predicting the exact purchase timing of consumers.
method Survival models (Kernel SVM, DeepSurv, Survival Random Forest, MTLR) were compared using various consumer attributes.
result DeepSurv model outperformed other models in predicting purchase completion.

Study proposes a multi-agent framework to mitigate bias in sentiment analysis.

problem Bias in sentiment analysis models.
method Integrates multiple LLMs, incorporates dialogue sessions, and uses probabilistic prediction.
result KCS+IBC reduces entropy and increases variance, suggesting improved balance between aggregation and diversity.

Predicting which players will convert to paying users in video games.

problem Retaining premium players in free-to-play games.
method Survival analysis techniques, Cox regression, random survival forest, conditional inference survival ensembles.
result Conditional inference survival ensembles method corrects bias in RSF models and predicts conversion.

Study examines cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms, finding negative relationships with profitability and size.

problem Understanding cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms and its impact on profitability and size.
method Empirical study of 30 manufacturing firms in Dhaka Stock Exchanges, categorizing them into six industries, analyzing industry averages and relationships with size and profitability.
result Negative relationship between cash conversion cycle and profitability, especially ROE; negative relationship with firm size in terms of net sales.

Framework converts singer identity and vocal technique from non-parallel corpora.

problem Converts singer identity and vocal technique from non-parallel corpora.
method Uses variational autoencoders with separate encoders for singer identity and vocal technique.
result Successfully disentangles and converts singer identity and vocal technique.

Conversational UCB accelerates bandit learning with user feedback.

problem Slow learning speed in traditional contextual bandit algorithms.
method Generalized contextual bandit to conversational contextual bandit, leveraging both behavioral and conversational feedbacks.
result ConUCB achieves a smaller regret upper bound, indicating faster learning speed.

A new TTS method uses diffusion and VAE for better speech synthesis.

problem Improving text-to-speech synthesis for better speech quality and robustness.
method Combines diffusion probabilistic model and variational autoencoder for latent variable conversion.
result The method is robust to poor orthography and alignment errors.

Automated system extracts medication regimens from medical conversations.

problem Extract relevant medication information from medical conversations.
method QA task approach, combined QA and Information Extraction, data augmentation, public embeddings, pretraining.
result Improved accuracy in extracting dosage and frequency from 54.28 and 37.13 to 89.57 and 45.94.

Increases in global food prices have led to widespread hunger and social unrest---and an imperative to understand their causes. In a previous paper published in September 2011, we constructed for the first time a dynamic model that quantitatively agreed with food prices. Specifically, the model fit the FAO Food Price I…

2012-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

FedConPE improves conversational recommender systems efficiency and privacy.

problem Efficiently eliciting user preferences in interactive systems with heterogeneous clients.
method Phase elimination-based federated conversational bandit algorithm with adaptive key term construction.
result Minimizes uncertainty across all dimensions in feature space and offers improved efficiency and privacy.

Solution for voice conversion with limited data using hierarchical seq2seq and attention models.

problem Voice conversion between speakers with limited parallel audio pairs.
method Hierarchical sequence to sequence model with attention-based decoder, trained on single speaker dataset.
result Improved voice conversion quality using mel spectrograms and wavenet vocoder.

Improved SAR in asynchronous conversations using neural models and unlabeled data.

problem Lack of labeled data for SAR in asynchronous conversations.
method Hierarchical LSTM-CRF model, semi-supervised learning with word embeddings, adversarial training.
result Adversarial training improves SAR performance by leveraging labeled data from synchronous domains.

The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The focus of this paper is the development of a computationally efficient, accurate, a…

2017-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

CycleGAN-VC3 improves CycleGAN-VCs for mel-spectrogram conversion.

problem Ambiguity in CycleGAN-VC/VC2 effectiveness for mel-spectrogram conversion.
method Proposes CycleGAN-VC3 with time-frequency adaptive normalization (TFAN).
result CycleGAN-VC3 outperforms or matches CycleGAN-VC2 for mel-spectrogram conversion.

ConvS2S-VC converts voice characteristics and pitch contour using a fully convolutional seq2seq model.

problem Voice conversion with preservation of pitch contour and duration.
method Fully convolutional seq2seq architecture with conditional batch normalization.
result ConvS2S-VC outperforms baseline methods in sound quality and speaker similarity.