Study how contingent payments affect financial network stability.
problem Impact of contingent payments on systemic risk in financial networks.
method Developed static and dynamic models of financial contagion to analyze the effects of contingent payments on wealth distribution and network stability.
result Dynamic framework provides a solution to problems not defined in the static framework.
Model prices sovereign contingent convertible bonds during crises.
problem Pricing Sovereign Contingent Convertible bonds (S-CoCo) during crises.
method Model CDS spread regime switching as a hidden Markov process, coupled with a mean-reverting stochastic process. Use Longstaff-Schwartz American option pricing framework for simulation.
result Computed future state contingent S-CoCo prices for risk management.
Modeling CoCos pricing with noisy accounting data.
problem Pricing CoCos with market and accounting noise.
method Incorporates noisy accounting reports and contingent coupon payments.
result Shows how CoCo prices are influenced by design parameters and accounting noise.
Study optimizes investment and claim valuation with transaction costs and disutility.
problem Optimizing contingent claim valuation with transaction costs and disutility.
method Dual representation and dynamic procedure for solving disutility minimization problem, leading to efficient numerical procedures.
result Efficient and convergent numerical procedures for indifference pricing, optimal trading strategies, and shadow prices.
The paper develops a valuation framework for GLWB-LTC contracts with Levy dynamics and stochastic interest rates.
problem Valuation of GLWB-LTC contracts with financial guarantees, longevity protection, and health-contingent LTC payments.
method Coupling a recombining Hull-White trinomial tree with an IMEX finite difference scheme, incorporating a seven-state health model.
result Hybrid tree-IMEX method delivers stable long-maturity prices consistent with simulation benchmarks.
This paper develops a theoretical model for SPPC prices and improves accounting standards.
problem Lack of theoretical price for SPPC and issues in current accounting standards.
method Developed a theoretical SPPC price model with a marginal utility-based approach, explicitly indicated stochastic processes, and proposed a convenient model.
result Improved theoretical price model and addressed problems in current accounting standards.
The paper assesses fairness in AI for financial services, using statistical methods.
problem Unintentional bias and insufficient model validation in AI applications.
method Statistical methods for imbalanced data treatment and bias mitigation.
result Fairness evaluation metrics applied to a credit card default payment example.
Paper introduces balanced payment systems to improve liquidity and risk management.
problem Managing liquidity in payment systems and economy is a persistent challenge.
method Introduces interbank balancing method to private payment systems and others.
result Demonstrates effects of balancing on a small example and constructs a balanced subsystem.
A new method streamlines digital payment programming using smart contracts.
problem High costs and security challenges in programming smart contracts for digital payments.
method Transforming digital currencies into token streams and using configurable templates to generate specialized smart contracts.
result Reduces payment programming costs and enhances security, self-enforcement, adaptability, and controllability.
Game theory applied to financial networks, focusing on debt repayment strategies.
problem Understanding financial stability in interconnected systems.
method Modeling financial systems as networks, analyzing utility-maximizing strategies under priority-proportional payments.
result Existence and uniqueness of payment profiles are not guaranteed, even under fixed strategies.
Paper proposes a new method for valuing long-term annuities using real-world probability measure.
problem Valuation of long-term annuities using classical no-arbitrage methods.
method Real-world probability measure valuation, employing numéraire portfolio.
result Real-world valuation leads to lower values than classical approaches.
Probabilistic analysis reveals substantial losses for reverse convertible note holders.
problem Substantial losses to reverse convertible note holders due to complex pricing.
method Probabilistic analysis using Law of Total Expectation.
result Note-holders likely suffered substantial losses under various market scenarios.
Stablecoins offer efficient settlement but externalize costs and risks.
problem Comparing stablecoins to card networks in retail payments.
method Unified analytical framework (CLEAR) across five dimensions.
result Stablecoins are advantageous in closed-loop and high-friction contexts but structurally disadvantaged as open-loop instruments.
This paper considers the optimal dividend payment problem in piecewise-deterministic compound Poisson risk models. The objective is to maximize the expected discounted dividend payout up to the time of ruin. We provide a comparative study in this general framework of both restricted and unrestricted payment schemes, wh…
Research examines motivations and factors influencing retailers' payment method choices.
problem Understanding motivations and factors affecting retailers' payment method choices.
method Qualitative and quantitative analysis of various factors including regulatory constraints, merchant service providers, and demographic variables.
result Lower interchange fees and regulatory constraints make card payment adoption financially feasible for merchants.
The paper examines clearing payments in financial networks to prevent cascaded defaults.
problem Cascaded defaults in financial networks under the proportionality rule.
method Analysis of clearing model under pro-rated payments, derivation of necessary and sufficient conditions for clearing payments, convex optimization problems for computation.
result Clearing payments can be computed by solving convex optimization problems, reducing overall system loss by lifting the proportionality rule.
Model for discrete dividend payments in continuous time models.
problem Modeling infrequent dividend payments in continuous models.
method Optimal control problem with periodic conditions, numerical algorithm.
result Loss from infrequent dividend payments varies from 1% to 24%.
Analyzes compound interest with constant payments and interest rate.
problem Examines the properties of compound interest balance and payment functions.
method Analyzes the outstanding balance and payment functions for constant payments and interest rate.
result The outstanding balance function is not generally concave in the interest rate.
Paper introduces PHI to identify structurally distinct payment patterns in UK municipal procurement.
problem Vulnerability of public procurement to error, fraud, and corruption in high-volume transactions.
method Introduces Payment Heterogeneity Index (PHI) using Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and non-parametric statistics.
result Identifies a significant cohort with structurally distinct payment patterns, improving procurement oversight.
A new model calculates optimal clearing payments in dynamic financial networks.
problem Determining fair clearing payments in networks with potential defaults.
method Extends Eisenberg-Noe model to multiple time periods, solving linear programs for optimal payments.
result Proves the model satisfies the priority of debt claims requirement and finds unique optimal payments.
Payments data and machine learning improve nowcasting accuracy for macroeconomic indicators.
problem Lagged indicators in linear models are insufficient during crisis periods.
method Non-traditional payments data, nonlinear machine learning, and tailored cross-validation.
result Improved macroeconomic nowcasting accuracy up to 40% during crises.
Robot learns sensorimotor relationships through exploration.
problem Autonomous acquisition of sensorimotor contingencies by robots.
method Developmental framework encoding predictive models of sensorimotor experience.
result Robot discovers the environment, objects, and visual field through internal encoding of sensorimotor contingencies.
Blockchain helps secure payments between AI agents.
problem Ensuring secure payments between untrusted AI agents.
method Systematized four-stage lifecycle for A2A payments on blockchain.
result Challenges remain in weak intent binding, misuse, and limited accountability.
Optimal student loan repayment strategies vary based on loan size.
problem Finding the most cost-effective repayment strategy for federal student loans.
method Analyzing the impact of different repayment strategies on total cost for varying loan sizes.
result Optimal repayment strategies depend on the loan balance, with different approaches for small, large, and intermediate balances.
The study refines contingency matrices for complex stratification and braid group cohomology.
problem Combinatorics of contingency matrices and their applications.
method Refinement of complex stratification and study of braid group cohomology.
result Totally positive meta-matrix formed by contingency matrix sizes.
Paper introduces EEMs for pricing contingent claim returns.
problem Computing expected future prices of contingent claims.
method Dynamic change of measure approach to construct EEMs.
result EEMs provide physical and pricing expectations of contingent claim prices.
Contingency Training improves classifier accuracy and robustness against irrelevant variables.
problem Feature selection leaves irrelevant variables in high-dimensional datasets, reducing classifier performance.
method Subsampling and creating constraints to find proper feature importance weights.
result Contingency Training outperforms traditional training methods, especially with irrelevant variables.
Blockchain tech explored for data malls, provenance, and keyless payments.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on technology applications.
method Discussion of blockchain applications in data malls, provenance, and keyless payments.
result Exploration of blockchain's potential in non-cryptocurrency areas.
The paper revisits and applies FTAP to life insurance and annuities pricing.
problem Non-arbitrage pricing of life contingent assets in dynamic markets.
method Revisit FTAP, use martingale theory, apply FTAP to life insurance and annuities, clarify assumptions.
result Valuation formula for life contingent assets including life insurance policies and annuities.
Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.
problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.
Study risk-minimizing insurance investments with taxes and expenses.
problem Determining optimal insurance investments in the presence of taxes and expenses.
method Introduced tax- and expense-modified risk-minimization, derived strategies, linked to decompositions, and established equivalence to artificial market approach.
result Equivalence to artificial market approach and consistency with classic risk-minimization.
Study stability of contingent claim solutions under probabilistic perturbations.
problem Stability of solutions to discrete-time contingent-claim problems under uncertainty.
method Use Rockafellian perturbations to analyze stability of solutions.
result Establishes convergence of dual problems and shadow prices.
Paper proposes a method to estimate project cost contingency reserves considering various types of uncertainty.
problem Inaccurate estimation of project cost contingency reserves due to ignoring different types of uncertainty.
method Quantitative determination of project cost contingency reserves using Monte Carlo Simulation considering aleatoric, stochastic, and epistemic uncertainties.
result The proposed method provides more accurate contingency reserves that align with actual project risks.
The paper analyzes multivariate payments in multi-state life insurance using Markovian state processes.
problem Analyzing joint effects of life annuities and death benefits in a multi-state framework.
method Introduces multivariate present value of future payments, derives differential equations and moment generating functions, and focuses on pair-wise covariances.
result Derives Hattendorff type results for pair-wise covariances in a disability model.
Closed-form pricing method for multi-asset options.
problem Pricing multi-asset contingent claims in an incomplete market.
method Proving extremal martingale measures and constructing algorithms for bounds and hedging.
result Closed-form formulas for no-arbitrage price intervals and hedging strategies.
AI task delegation faces incentive collapse with unbounded payments as AI accuracy rises.
problem Incentive collapse in AI-assisted task delegation schemes.
method General impossibility result and sentinel-auditing payment mechanism.
result Sentinel-auditing mechanism enforces positive human effort at finite cost, independent of AI accuracy.
The study reveals fundamental limits of fraud detection in card payment networks.
problem Fraud detection in card payment networks is challenging due to structural information impairments.
method Formalized card authorization as a sequential decision problem with delayed feedback, derived minimax regret lower bound.
result Improving issuer reporting quality or reducing censorship can yield larger reductions in the regret floor than increasing model complexity.
Mobile payment incentives optimized using merchant transaction networks.
problem Optimizing marketing campaigns with limited budgets.
method Graph representation learning on transaction networks.
result Effective modeling of merchant sensitivity to incentives.
We price a contingent claim liability using the utility indifference argument. We consider an agent with exponential utility, who invests in a stock and a money market account with the goal of maximizing the utility of his investment at the final time T in the presence of positive proportional transaction cost in two c…
The paper explores how contingency-awareness improves exploration in reinforcement learning.
problem Improving exploration in reinforcement learning environments with sparse rewards.
method Developed an attentive dynamics model (ADM) to discover controllable elements of observations and used it for state representation in exploration.
result Combining actor-critic algorithms with count-based exploration using the ADM representation achieved impressive results on Atari games.
The paper defines and implements risk-indifference pricing for American-style contingent claims.
problem Pricing American-style contingent claims under uncertainty.
method Indifference pricing using convex risk measures and stochastic volatility models, with numerical solutions via deep learning.
result Characterization of indifference prices via Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs).
In this paper, we study the pricing of contingent claims under G-expectation. In order to accomodate volatility uncertainty, the price of the risky security is supposed to governed by a general linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by G-Brownian motion. Utilizing the recently developed results of Backwar…
This paper concerns an optimal dividend distribution problem for an insurance company with surplus-dependent premium. In the absence of dividend payments, such a risk process is a particular case of so-called piecewise deterministic Markov processes. The control mechanism chooses the size of dividend payments. The obje…
We propose a new definition for tameness within the model of security prices as Itô processes that is risk-aware. We give a new definition for arbitrage and characterize it. We then prove a theorem that can be seen as an extension of the second fundamental theorem of asset pricing, and a theorem for valuation of contin…
Researchers develop a pricing method for contingent claims under partial information and short selling constraints.
problem Pricing contingent claims with partial information and short selling restrictions.
method Derive a dual problem using conjugate duality theory and conditions for strong duality.
result Characterization of contingent claim prices involving martingale and super-martingale conditions.
Formula calculates bond prices between payments.
problem No new bond pricing formula available.
method Closed-form formula derivation.
result Formula accurately calculates bond prices.
Solves game contingent claims using Nash equilibria in incomplete markets.
problem Analyzing game contingent claims in incomplete markets with utility-based hedging.
method Solves the stochastic game corresponding to GCCs with both stopping and trading, constructing Nash equilibria.
result Constructs Nash equilibria for GCCs with utility-based hedging, extending existing literature.
Improved method for encoding contingency tables reduces mutual information bias.
problem Mutual information bias in measuring label similarity.
method Improved method for encoding contingency tables to reduce information cost.
result Better bound on reduced mutual information in typical use cases.