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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,878 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Context Tree Weighting

Bayesian framework uses context trees for efficient time series modeling.

problem Building flexible and interpretable mixture models for real-valued time series.
method Hierarchical Bayesian modelling with context trees and autoregressive models.
result The methods outperform state-of-the-art techniques on simulated and real-world experiments.

WildWood improves Random Forest predictions using bootstrap out-of-bag samples.

problem Improving Random Forest predictions for supervised learning.
method Uses bootstrap out-of-bag samples to compute improved predictions by aggregating all possible subtrees with exponential weights.
result WildWood produces faster and more competitive predictions compared to other ensemble methods.

This paper introduces the Partition Tree Weighting technique, an efficient meta-algorithm for piecewise stationary sources. The technique works by performing Bayesian model averaging over a large class of possible partitions of the data into locally stationary segments. It uses a prior, closely related to the Context T…

2012-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Tree-based algorithm for functional data analysis reduces generalization error.

problem Classification and regression problems with functional data.
method Constrained convex optimization for weighted functional L2L^{2} space, multiple splitting rules, and weighted integral features.
result Reduces generalization error while maintaining interpretability.

The paper introduces a tensor-based approach to improve neural models' aggregation of structural context.

problem Sub-optimal use of simple aggregation functions in neural models for structured data.
method Tensor-based formulation and Tucker tensor decomposition to control parameter space size.
result Effective regulation of trade-off between expressivity, computational complexity, and generalisation.

Proposes BehavDT model for context-aware user behavior prediction.

problem Building a context-aware predictive model based on diverse user behavioral activities.
method Introduces BehavDT, a behavioral decision tree that considers user behavior-oriented generalization.
result BehavDT model outperforms traditional machine learning approaches in predicting user diverse behaviors considering multi-dimensional contexts.

We prove several results about chordal graphs and weighted chordal graphs by focusing on exposed edges. These are edges that are properly contained in a single maximal complete subgraph. This leads to a characterization of chordal graphs via deletions of a sequence of exposed edges from a complete graph. Most interesti…

2017-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Counting HCMU sphere components using weighted trees.

problem Counting components of moduli space of HCMU spheres.
method Using weighted plane trees to characterize HCMU spheres with a single integral conical angle, and an explicit counting formula is derived.
result An explicit counting formula for the components of the moduli space of HCMU spheres.

Bayesian context trees capture complex dependencies in categorical sequences.

problem Complex, long-range dependencies in categorical sequences are not well captured by simple models.
method Parsimonious Bayesian context trees with model-based agglomerative clustering for efficient inference.
result The proposed framework outperforms existing models on real-world data.

New method embeds phylogenetic trees for clustering, recovering evolutionary relationships.

problem Lack of a meaningful way to embed phylogenetic trees into a vector space.
method Split-weight embedding to fit clustering algorithms to phylogenetic trees.
result Split-weight embedding recovers meaningful evolutionary relationships in simulated and real data.

The paper proposes a method to improve random forest classification accuracy by weighting trees based on their decision path reliability.

problem Random forests' uniform voting fails to correct errors in regions where incorrect tree representations outnumber correct ones.
method The paper introduces using the structural pattern of each tree's decision path as an instance-adaptive reliability signal to identify and weight more reliable trees.
result Using the proposed method yields a statistically significant accuracy improvement over RF on 36 binary classification benchmarks.

Paper proposes an algorithm to reconstruct optimal model structure from graph adjacency matrix.

problem Optimal model structure reconstruction from weighted colored graph adjacency matrix.
method Uses prize-collecting Steiner tree algorithm to reconstruct minimum spanning tree.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the prize-collecting Steiner tree algorithm for model structure reconstruction.

This work presents an approach to automatically induction for non-greedy decision trees constructed from neural network architecture. This construction can be used to transfer weights when growing or pruning a decision tree, allowing non-greedy decision tree algorithms to automatically learn and adapt to the ideal arch…

2018-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The profusion of online news articles makes it difficult to find interesting articles, a problem that can be assuaged by using a recommender system to bring the most relevant news stories to readers. However, news recommendation is challenging because the most relevant articles are often new content seen by few users. …

2013-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves feature selection in tree-based models.

problem Previous feature selection methods in tree-based models lack sufficient regularization and sub-optimal performance.
method Developed a new gain penalization approach for tree-based models that allows for flexible feature-specific importance weights.
result The new method improves out-of-sample performance, especially with correlated features.

The paper uses tensor decompositions to improve neural network models for tree data.

problem Encoding structural knowledge from tree-structured data efficiently.
method Introduces new aggregation functions using Canonical and Tensor-Train decompositions.
result Proposed models outperform traditional methods on tree classification tasks.

We investigate the problem of sequentially predicting the binary labels on the nodes of an arbitrary weighted graph. We show that, under a suitable parametrization of the problem, the optimal number of prediction mistakes can be characterized (up to logarithmic factors) by the cutsize of a random spanning tree of the g…

2012-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a VB method for TS-SBP mixture models with reduced computational cost.

problem Efficiently learning tree-structured stick-breaking process mixture models.
method Utilizes Bayes coding algorithm for context tree models to calculate sums over all possible trees.
result Proposes a learning algorithm with less computational cost for TS-SBP mixture of Gaussians.

G-FIGS uses instance weights to create interpretable models from diverse data.

problem Generalizing to diverse data distributions while maintaining interpretability.
method Estimates group membership probabilities, uses as instance weights in FIGS to grow decision trees.
result Achieves state-of-the-art prediction performance and maintains interpretability.

The purpose of this paper is twofold. On one hand, we introduce a modification of the dual canonical basis for invariant tensors of the 3-dimensional irreducible representation of Uq(sl2)U_q(sl_2), given in terms of Jacobi diagrams, a central tool in quantum topology. On the other hand, we use this modified basis to study t…

2015-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Symmetric TSP is structurally equivalent to a constrained Group Steiner Tree Problem.

problem Finding the shortest tour in a symmetric TSP.
method Structural equivalence between symmetric TSP and constrained Group Steiner Tree Problem.
result Maximizing net weight in the cGSTP is equivalent to minimizing the TSP tour length.

We introduce a new class of lower bounds on the log partition function of a Markov random field which makes use of a reversed Jensen's inequality. In particular, our method approximates the intractable distribution using a linear combination of spanning trees with negative weights. This technique is a lower-bound count…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced Random Forests outperform XGBoost across binary classification datasets.

problem Improving performance of Random Forests in binary classification.
method Adaptive sample and model weighting, iterative algorithm for sample weights, personalized tree weighting schemes.
result Significantly outperforms XGBoost across 15 binary classification datasets.

Bayesian Context Trees improve change-point detection in discrete data.

problem Detecting and segmenting change-points in discrete time series data.
method Bayesian Context Trees framework, Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling.
result Effective sampling from posterior distribution of change-points.

Sparse oblique decision tree improves security rules for renewable power systems.

problem Identifying secure operating conditions in power systems with high renewable energy.
method Sparse weighted oblique decision tree to learn and embed linear security rules.
result The method significantly increases secure states and reduces solution time.

TREX explains tree ensembles by identifying key training examples.

problem Identifying which training examples most influence tree ensemble predictions.
method TREX builds a surrogate model using a kernel that captures tree ensemble structure, approximating the original model.
result TREX provides accurate and effective explanations for tree ensembles.

We introduce a method for creating a special type of tree, called a tree position, from a weighted graph. Leaves of the tree correspond to vertices of the original graph, and the tree edges contain information which can be used to partition these vertices. By repeatedly applying reducing operations to the tree position…

2014-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Decision Trees are known for their probabilistic interpretability. However, their construction can sometimes be costly. In this article we present a general Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm applicable to both regression and classification problems. The algorithm does not apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo and does…

2019-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The study analyzes when Bayesian averaging over decision trees is reliable.

problem When do Bayesian model averaging weights over decision trees provide reliable information?
method Closed-form solution for Bayesian decision trees with Catalan-exponential priors.
result Established a complete non-asymptotic theory of rational commitment thresholds.

This paper describes experiments, on two domains, to investigate the effect of averaging over predictions of multiple decision trees, instead of using a single tree. Other authors have pointed out theoretical and commonsense reasons for preferring the multiple tree approach. Ideally, we would like to consider predictio…

2013-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes an online tree-based Bayesian approach for reinforcement learning. For inference, we employ a generalised context tree model. This defines a distribution on multivariate Gaussian piecewise-linear models, which can be updated in closed form. The tree structure itself is constructed using the cover tr…

2013-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗