The paper introduces methods to analyze community data using diffusion Frechet functions.
problem Analyzing complex ecosystems and their interactions.
method Developed methods for modeling and analyzing the organization of complex data across spatial scales.
result Introduced diffusion Frechet functions and vectors for robustly describing the shapes of probability distributions.
RIF prioritizes predictive biomarkers for precision medicine.
problem Lack of tools to select and prioritize predictive biomarkers.
method Random Interaction Forest (RIF) method.
result RIF outperformed conventional methods in various simulation scenarios and clinical trials.
Study reveals hidden infections and infection dynamics from early data.
problem Understanding early infection dynamics and hidden infections in COVID-19.
method Data-driven machine learning analysis focusing on infection counts over time.
result Significant asymptomatic infections, 10-day lag, and strong infectious force.
New knots arise from infections by n-component string links that can't be achieved by (n-1)-component infections.
problem Understanding the differences in concordance classes of knots through infections.
method Using satellite constructions and infections to study concordance classes of knots.
result Existence of knots that cannot be obtained by infecting along (n-1)-component string links.
A new model characterizes undocumented and asymptomatic infections to quantify COVID-19 uncertainties.
problem Quantifying uncertainties in COVID-19 infections and contagion.
method SUDR model: characterizes undocumented and documented infections, captures probabilistic density, and incorporates Bayesian inference.
result Demonstrates deeper understanding of COVID-19 uncertainties compared to classic models.
Detects malware-infected clients and malicious domains using transfer learning.
problem Detecting malware-infected computers and malicious web domains from encrypted HTTPS traffic.
method Transfer learning with sluice networks to bootstrap each other's detection models.
result Outperforms known reference models and detects previously unknown malware and domains.
This study proposes a method to predict ICU infections from imbalanced data using clustering-based undersampling and ensemble classifiers.
problem Predicting healthcare-associated infections in ICU patients from imbalanced data.
method Clustering-based undersampling strategy combined with ensemble classifiers.
result The proposed method outperforms other resampling techniques in predicting ICU infections.
Bayesian methods improve group testing for identifying infected patients.
problem Identifying infected patients from group testing results with false positives.
method Bayesian inference and belief propagation algorithm, combined with expectation-maximization method.
result True-positive rate improved by considering credible intervals.
CRISP predicts individual-level COVID-19 risk based on contact data.
problem Estimating individual-level infection risk during the pandemic.
method Probabilistic graphical model using SEIR framework with contact data.
result Model accurately predicts infection spread and recovery times.
Modeling infection hotspots to quantify effects of contact tracing and testing.
problem Capturing the role of infection hotspots in disease transmission.
method Temporal point process modeling framework to represent visits and disease transmission.
result Estimation of transmission rates at sites and households using Bayesian optimization.
Algorithm detects surgical site infections from hospital data.
problem Reduces incidence of surgical site infections in hospitals.
method Machine learning algorithms trained on hospital data.
result Identifies all SSIs with minimal false positives.
Deep learning identifies transcriptomic patterns and cell types associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 severity.
problem Understanding how SARS-CoV-2 varies in infecting and causing severe COVID-19.
method Developed a new approach to generating self-supervised edge features, using Graph Attention Networks (GAT) and Set Transformer.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance in predicting disease state of individual cells using single-cell RNA sequencing data.
Paper proposes a new method for more accurate group testing of infected patients.
problem Identifying infected patients efficiently with reduced tests and corrected errors.
method Adaptive design of pools based on Bayesian posterior prediction using belief propagation algorithm.
result The proposed method results in more accurate identification of infected patients.
This research improves infection prediction from symptoms across diverse study designs.
problem Predicting infection from symptom data is challenging due to varied study formats and contexts.
method Assesses transfer learning methods for improving prediction across different study types.
result It is possible to use data from one study to predict infection in another, with performance close to or better than using a single dataset.
Machine learning improves diagnostic test accuracy for bovine tuberculosis.
problem Improving diagnostic test sensitivity for bovine tuberculosis.
method Machine learning to assess risk landscapes and predict infection.
result Test sensitivity improved, detecting 240 more infected herds per year.
A time-dependent SIR model predicts COVID-19 spread and herd immunity.
problem Modeling and predicting COVID-19 spread and herd immunity.
method Time-dependent SIR model with 2 types of infected persons (detectable and undetectable).
result The model accurately predicts the turning point and herd immunity threshold.
New Milnor's invariant condition for topologically slice links.
problem Conditions for topologically slice links involving Milnor's invariant.
method Different Milnor's invariant condition to handle cases not covered by previous theorem.
result New sufficient conditions for topologically slice links.
LSTM models predict low likelihood of another COVID-19 wave in India.
problem Inaccurate and unreliable COVID-19 infection forecasting models due to data limitations and model complexity.
method Application of LSTM, bidirectional LSTM, and encoder-decoder LSTM models for multi-step infection forecasting.
result Predictions indicate low likelihood of another wave in October and November 2021.
Novel method combines neural network features with survival models for ICU infections.
problem Improving predictive models of ICU infections while maintaining interpretability.
method Semi-parametric approach combining low-resolution and high-resolution data.
result Improved predictive power with interpretability maintained.
Budney recently constructed an operad that encodes splicing of knots. He further showed that the space of (long) knots is generated over this operad by the space of torus knots and hyperbolic knots, thus generalizing the satellite decomposition of knots from isotopy classes to the level of the space of knots. Infection…
Algorithm learns graph structure and weights from noisy epidemic cascade data.
problem Learning graph structure and weights from noisy infection times of multiple epidemics.
method Developed algorithms for two noisy settings: limited-noise and extreme-noise, with polynomial time complexity.
result Optimal sample complexity and efficient algorithms for various graph types.
Unsupervised method detects surgical site infections from blood samples.
problem Detecting surgical site infections from blood samples without labeled data.
method Powerful kernels for multivariate time series with missing data handling.
result Framework shows superior performance compared to baselines.
Machine learning detects and diagnoses coughs for respiratory infections.
problem Detecting and diagnosing coughs for respiratory infections.
method Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to detect cough events and diagnose three illnesses.
result Accuracy over 89% for detection and diagnosis.
Study of influenza A virus spread using mathematical equations.
problem Understanding the spread of influenza A virus infection.
method Mathematical model and analysis of dynamical system.
result Surface trajectories and asymptotic behavior of the system.
New group testing method uses Belief Propagation for accurate screening.
problem Efficiently identifying infected samples in large groups with minimal tests.
method Belief Propagation algorithm for inference in group testing schemes.
result Significantly increased accuracy of infection identification with fewer tests.
Paper uses UKS to improve BLE RSSI for proximity inference in mobile phone apps.
problem Improper BLE RSSI for accurate proximity inference during pandemics.
method Single-dimensional Unscented Kalman Smoother (UKS) with Gaussian process observation transforms.
result UKS outperforms traditional methods in predicting infection risk from BLE RSSI.
Bayesian optimization improves classifier selection for acute infection and mortality.
problem Improving accuracy of acute infection and mortality prediction.
method Comparison of hyperparameter optimization methods (grid search, random sampling, Bayesian optimization).
result Bayesian optimization outperforms grid search or random sampling for in-hospital mortality classifiers.
Epidemiological model updates infection rates in China, US, Italy.
problem Evaluate policy interventions for mitigating the 2019-nCov pandemic.
method Custom SITR model with variational data assimilation for real-time updates.
result Model robust to initial conditions, infers infection numbers and parameters.
Study uses machine learning to optimize antibiotic therapy for MRSA skin infections.
problem Optimizing antibiotic choice for MRSA skin infections due to reduced treatment options and side effects.
method Propensity score matching, machine learning models (SVM, RF, LASSO), counterfactual analysis.
result RF model shows stronger treatment heterogeneity and potential for therapy change.
We give an explicit construction of linearly independent families of knots arbitrarily deep in the (n)-solvable filtration of the knot concordance group using the ρ^1-invariant. A difference between previous constructions of infinite rank subgroups in the concordance group and ours is that the deepest infecting knots i…
Study phase transitions in identifying infected individuals using group testing.
problem Identifying a set of k infected individuals from a population using pooled tests.
method Two random assignment designs (constant-column and Bernoulli) and polynomial-time inference procedures.
result Sharp phase transitions in statistical and computational limits for detection and recovery problems.
A new model captures diffusion dynamics in networks using hidden states.
problem Capturing temporal relationships and hidden content trajectories in network diffusion.
method A topological recurrent neural model that embeds diffusion history as hidden states.
result Good experimental performances for diffusion modeling and prediction.
New control strategy minimizes infected individuals in SIS epidemics.
problem Developing effective control strategies for SIS epidemics.
method Stochastic optimal control of SDEs with jumps, using treatment intensities.
result Control strategy consistently outperforms alternatives in synthetic data.
Backdoor attacks are found to be effective against robust machine learning models trained with PGD.
problem Injecting and defending against backdoor attacks in robust machine learning models.
method Study and detection of backdoor attacks on PGD-trained robust models using feature clustering.
result AEGIS effectively detects PGD-trained robust DNNs infected with backdoors with 91.6% accuracy.
Information diffusion and virus propagation are fundamental processes taking place in networks. While it is often possible to directly observe when nodes become infected with a virus or adopt the information, observing individual transmissions (i.e., who infects whom, or who influences whom) is typically very difficult…
Researchers use clustering to differentiate COVID-19 lung scans.
problem Identifying infected individuals with COVID-19.
method Applied unsupervised clustering techniques using PCA, K-Means++, and RCC.
result KM++ and RCC algorithms improved in clustering COVID-19 lung scans.
Paper predicts user interests from browsing history and event sequences.
problem Capturing subtle user interests and inter-personal influence.
method Deep prediction method based on two RNNs modeling temporal point process and attention mechanism.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in fine-grained user interest prediction.
Paper derives policy rules from observational data for hepatitis C treatment.
problem Improving treatment guidelines for HIV/HCV co-infected patients.
method Weighted K-means algorithm for estimating CATEs, decision tree implementation.
result Identifies a subgroup with high spontaneous HCV clearance rate.
The present paper provides a multi-period contagion model in the credit risk field. Our model is an extension of Davis and Lo's infectious default model. We consider an economy of n firms which may default directly or may be infected by other defaulting firms (a domino effect being also possible). The spontaneous defau…
New model predicts banana disease risk from climate data.
problem Managing Black Sigatoka disease under climate change.
method Latent Neural ODEs to model infection dynamics.
result Superior generalization performance up to one month ahead.
Various obstructions to knot concordance have been found using Casson-Gordon invariants, higher-order Alexander polynomials, as well as von-Neumann rho-invariants. Examples have been produced using (iterated) doubling operations K=R(c,J), and considering these as parametrized by invariants of the base knot J and doubli…
The question of how to stabilize financial systems has attracted considerable attention since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. Recently, Beale et al. ("Individual versus systemic risk and the regulator's dilemma", Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 108: 12647-12652, 2011) demonstrated that higher portfolio diversity among…
Develops a method to analyze SARS-CoV-2 viral load vs. age, finding a significant increase.
problem Determining if SARS-CoV-2 viral load depends on patient age.
method Flexible, non-parametric, hierarchical, Bayesian, causal model.
result Statistically significant increase in viral load with age, but only for one dataset.
Estimates latent topic structure from information diffusion events.
problem Estimating latent structure of social networks from cascade data.
method Proposes a node-topic model with influence and receptivity vectors.
result Consistent estimator of latent topic structure from cascades.
AI4COVID-19 app diagnoses COVID-19 from cough samples.
problem Scalable screening tool for COVID-19 testing.
method Transfer learning and multi-pronged AI architecture.
result AI4COVID-19 can distinguish COVID-19 coughs from others.
DBN improves sepsis mortality risk prediction in ICU patients.
problem Early sepsis detection in ICU patients with infection.
method Data-driven, semantically enhanced dynamic Bayesian network.
result DBN AUROC 0.91, outperforming other scoring tools.
We study the problem of identifying the source of a diffusion spreading over a regular tree. When the degree of each node is at least three, we show that it is possible to construct confidence sets for the diffusion source with size independent of the number of infected nodes. Our estimators are motivated by analogous …
Study tackles causal effects of close contact on MRSA infections from entangled treatment data.
problem Estimating causal effects of close contact on MRSA infections from observational data with entangled treatments.
method NEAT method that models treatment assignment mechanism and mitigates confounding biases.
result NEAT method effectively estimates causal effects from entangled treatment data.