Study reveals risk transmission channels among Chinese sectors.
arXiv research
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This study analyzes information flow networks in Chinese stock sectors using transfer entropy.
Study compares information flow between Chinese and US stock sectors.
Framework analyzes stock price co-movement with fundamentals using big data.
FinTech negatively impacts Chinese banks' financial sustainability.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
To investigate the universal structure of interactions in financial dynamics, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of price returns of the Chinese stock market, in comparison with those of the American and Indian stock markets. As an important emerging market, the Chinese market exhibits much stronger correlations…
Derivatives impact U.S. banking sector's systemic risk, but loan and leverage ratios are more significant.
Study validates capital structure theories in Indian public sector banks.
Model predicts Mozambique bank failures, aiding risk management.
Study analyzes profitability and efficiency of Chinese banks, finding state-owned banks superior.
The detection of community structure in stock market is of theoretical and practical significance for the study of financial dynamics and portfolio risk estimation. We here study the community structures in Chinese stock markets from the aspects of both price returns and turnover rates, by using a combination of the PM…
Geospatial framework assesses climate risks for California's banking and exposed sectors.
Study uses Hawkes processes to analyze stock market contagion in China.
Study examines European banks' digital transformation strategies.
Study shows how macroprudential policies affect credit growth in Israel, especially in housing and business sectors.
In a stock market, the price fluctuations are interactive, that is, one listed company can influence others. In this paper, we seek to study the influence relationships among listed companies by constructing a directed network on the basis of Chinese stock market. This influence network shows distinct topological prope…
The study examines collective behavior in banking sectors across mature and emerging markets.
Study assesses the impact of Basel III reforms on Bangladeshi banks.
We model a network economy with three sectors: downstream firms, upstream firms, and banks. Agents are linked by productive and credit relationships so that the behavior of one agent influences the behavior of the others through network connections. Credit interlinkages among agents are a source of bankruptcy diffusion…
In this paper we consider a multivariate model-based approach to measure the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among US banks, financial services and insurance sectors. To deeply investigate the risk contribution of insurers we consider separately life and non-life companies. To achieve this goal we apply …
GenAI adoption paradoxically lowers ROE for U.S. banks, with spillovers but systemic risk concerns.
Model predicts Chinese stock market liquidity and customer order behavior.
GARCH models predict stock volatility in Indian sectors.
On June 26th, 2004, Central bank governors and the heads of bank supervisory authorities in the Group of Ten (G10) countries issued a press release and endorsed the publication of "International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: a Revised Framework", the new capital adequacy framework commonly k…
The study predicts stock volatility using LSTM and GARCH models.
We present an analysis of the credit market of Japan. The analysis is performed by investigating the bipartite network of banks and firms which is obtained by setting a link between a bank and a firm when a credit relationship is present in a given time window. In our investigation we focus on a community detection alg…
We introduce the Speculative Influence Network (SIN) to decipher the causal relationships between sectors (and/or firms) during financial bubbles. The SIN is constructed in two steps. First, we develop a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) of regime-switching between a normal market phase represented by a geometric Brownian moti…
Study examines market reactions and spillovers in Japanese bank mergers using multiple methods.
Study finds super-efficiency correlates more strongly with stock market valuation than ROA in Chinese banks.
The process of contagiousness spread modelling is well-known in epidemiology. However, the application of spread modelling to banking market is quite recent. In this work, we present a system of ordinary differential equations, simulating data from the largest European banks. Then, an optimal control problem is formula…
We propose a new methodology based on the Marshall-Olkin (MO) copula to model cross-border systemic risk. The proposed framework estimates the impact of the systematic and idiosyncratic components on systemic risk. Initially, we propose a maximum-likelihood method to estimate the parameter of the MO copula. In order to…
We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of narrow banking in the context of stock-flow consistent models. We begin with an extension of the Goodwin-Keen model incorporating time deposits, government bills, cash, and central bank reserves to the base model with loans and demand deposits and use it to describe a fr…
The Basel II internal ratings-based (IRB) approach to capital adequacy for credit risk implements an asymptotic single risk factor (ASRF) model. Measurements from the ASRF model of the prevailing state of Australia's economy and the level of capitalisation of its banking sector find general agreement with macroeconomic…
Paper proposes an adaptive modeling approach for row-type dependent predictive analysis in banking.
The Basel II internal ratings-based (IRB) approach to capital adequacy for credit risk plays an important role in protecting the Australian banking sector against insolvency. We outline the mathematical foundations of regulatory capital for credit risk, and extend the model specification of the IRB approach to a more g…
The paper models systemic risk in European and U.S. banks using factor copulas.
We present a network-based framework for simulating systemic risk that considers shock propagation in banking systems. In particular, the framework allows the modeller to reflect a top-down framework where a shock to one bank in the system affects the solvency and liquidity position of other banks, through systemic mar…
TDA detects stock market crashes across continents.
Study shows how China's stock market reflects economic demand changes during COVID-19.
We develop the first basic Operational Risk perspective on key risk management issues associated with the development of new forms of electronic currency in the real economy. In particular, we focus on understanding the development of new risks types and the evolution of current risk types as new components of financia…
Study examines financial performance determinants of Kenyan microfinance banks.
The study designs inherently interpretable machine learning models for high-risk sectors.
Geography effect is investigated for the Chinese stock market including the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, based on the daily data of individual stocks. The Shanghai city and the Guangdong province can be identified in the stock geographical sector. By investigating a geographical correlation on a geographical pa…
Paper introduces a specialized text classification system for French Open Banking transactions.
Knowledge distillation boosts simple models in banking without complexity.
This paper reviews bank performance determinants, highlighting future research areas.
Myanmar is languishing at the bottom of key international indexes. United Nations considers the country as a structurally weak and vulnerable economy. Yet, from 2011 when Myanmar ended decades of military rule and isolationism and transited towards democracy, its breakneck development has led to many considering the co…