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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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326496128 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Chinese A-share market

Novel framework detects lead-lag relationships in Chinese A-share market.

problem Detecting lead-lag relationships in the Chinese A-share market.
method Two-stage framework: long-term coupling via correlation, dynamic time warping, and rank-based metrics; high-frequency data analysis via cross-correlation, Granger causality, and regression models.
result Strongly coupled stock pairs often exhibit lead-lag effects, especially at finer time scales.

Empirical study of CAPM and Fama-French model in Chinese A-share market.

problem Testing and validating CAPM and Fama-French model in Chinese A-share market.
method Used Fama-MacBeth regression and Fama-French three-factor model to analyze Chinese A-share trading data from 2000 to 2019, adjusting for IPO shell value contamination.
result Fama-French model captures most of A-share market returns, with adjusted R-squared > 0.88.

Study shows investor sentiment boosts intraday trading in Chinese markets.

problem Impact of investor sentiment on intraday overtrading in Chinese A-share markets.
method High-frequency sentiment indices from social media analyzed for intraday overtrading in CSI 300 and CSI 500 constituents.
result Investor sentiment significantly increases intraday overtrading, especially among institutional investors.

The study identifies extremal dependence in financial markets using a bootstrap-based testing procedure.

problem Accurately identifying extremal dependence in multivariate heavy-tailed financial data.
method Bootstrap-based testing procedure applied to U.S. and Chinese stock returns.
result The U.S. exhibits more isolated clustering of dependent assets compared to China.

A new model optimizes portfolios by learning stock return distributions conditioned on factors.

problem Optimizing portfolios with high-dimensional asset-specific factors.
method Conditional Diffusion Transformer architecture linking each asset's return to its factor vector.
result The model outperforms benchmarks in mean-variance and mean-CVaR optimization.

Study on weekly momentum strategies in Chinese stocks, comparing various risk metrics.

problem Investigate the performance and predictability of weekly momentum strategies in Chinese stocks.
method Used A-share individual stocks from 1997 to 2017, analyzing raw and idiosyncratic returns, and comparing IMOM portfolios with various risk metrics.
result IVol and IMD-based IMOM portfolios have better explanatory power and higher profitability.

We study the dynamic evolution of cross-correlations in the Chinese stock market mainly based on the random matrix theory (RMT). The correlation matrices constructed from the return series of 367 A-share stocks traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange from January 4, 1999 to December 30, 2011 are calculated over a moving …

2013-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method corrects bias in machine learning for trading by filtering out non-executable prices.

problem Contaminated data from price limits causes misleading performance metrics in trading models.
method Mask-first design with tradability filters, GPU optimization, and penalized losses.
result The system achieves Sharpe ratios of 1.63 on real data, significantly outperforming existing methods.

There is convincing evidence showing that the probability distributions of stock returns in mature markets exhibit power-law tails and both the positive and negative tails conform to the inverse cubic law. It supports the possibility that the tail exponents are universal at least for mature markets in the sense that th…

2010-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

The problem of portfolio optimization is one of the most important issues in asset management. This paper proposes a new dynamic portfolio strategy based on the time-varying structures of MST networks in Chinese stock markets, where the market condition is further considered when using the optimal portfolios for invest…

2016-08-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts Chinese stock market liquidity and customer order behavior.

problem Understanding market liquidity and customer order behavior in the Chinese stock market.
method Dual state-space model using Fourier transform to connect volume-at-price buckets to correlations.
result Customer orders are correlated with market sentiment and stock returns, not with bond returns.

Study optimizes market making in Chinese stock market with stochastic control and scenario analysis.

problem Limited research on market making in Chinese stock market.
method Optimal market making framework with exponential CARA utility function, accounting for market conditions and risks.
result Impact of volatility and stamp duty on market maker's profit and liquidity.

To investigate the universal structure of interactions in financial dynamics, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of price returns of the Chinese stock market, in comparison with those of the American and Indian stock markets. As an important emerging market, the Chinese market exhibits much stronger correlations…

2012-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

China's stock market is the largest emerging market all over the world. It is widely accepted that the Chinese stock market is far from efficiency and it possesses possible linear and nonlinear dependence. We study the predictability of returns in the Chinese stock market by employing the wild bootstrap automatic varia…

2016-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes deep learning model for dynamic stock repurchase forecasting.

problem Complex temporal dependencies in corporate financial conditions.
method Hybrid Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) and Attention-based LSTM.
result Model significantly outperforms static baselines in stock repurchase forecasting.

Paper uses PCA to analyze Chinese sovereign bonds and discusses bond immunization.

problem Analyzing factors affecting Chinese sovereign bond yield changes.
method Applied Principal Component Analysis (PCA) on bond yield data.
result Identified principal factors influencing Chinese sovereign bond yield changes.

Study replicates reference-dependent preferences impact on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.

problem Impact of reference-dependent preferences on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.
method Utilized CGO proxy, econometric techniques (Dependent Double Sorting, Fama-MacBeth regressions), and data from 1995-2024.
result Reference-dependent preferences have a weaker or absent positive risk-return relationship in the Chinese market.

Study examines volatility-based strategy for Chinese ETF options, improving returns in volatile markets.

problem Lack of effective trading strategies in volatile Chinese equity markets.
method Volatility forecasting using GARCH models to dynamically adjust positions and exposures.
result Dynamic adjustment of positions and exposures enhances returns in volatile markets.

Study finds short-term trading signals can enhance alpha in U.S. S&P 500 portfolios.

problem Traditional factor investing misses real-time market dislocations.
method Double-selection LASSO framework to control for fundamental factors and isolate trading signals.
result 17 distinct trading signals capture significant risk premiums and enhance portfolio diversification.

In this paper, we investigate the cooling-off effect (opposite to the magnet effect) from two aspects. Firstly, from the viewpoint of dynamics, we study the existence of the cooling-off effect by following the dynamical evolution of some financial variables over a period of time before the stock price hits its limit. S…

2018-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.

problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.

Hypothesis of Market Efficiency is an important concept for the investors across the globe holding diversified portfolios. With the world economy getting more integrated day by day, more people are investing in global emerging markets. This means that it is pertinent to understand the efficiency of these markets. This …

2017-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper concentrates on the time series momentum or contrarian effects in the Chinese stock market. We evaluate the performance of the time series momentum strategy applied to major stock indices in mainland China and explore the relation between the performance of time series momentum strategies and some firm-speci…

2017-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The latest global financial tsunami and its follow-up global economic recession has uncovered the crucial impact of housing markets on financial and economic systems. The Chinese stock market experienced a markedly fall during the global financial tsunami and China's economy has also slowed down by about 2\%-3\% when m…

2015-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse portfolio strategy from mutual funds' favorite stocks in China A share market.

problem Building a sparse portfolio from mutual funds' favorite stocks in a market with limited fund information.
method Analyzed mutual fund favorite stocks, used portfolio optimizer with constraints, and compared different methods.
result Sparse portfolios consistently outperform the benchmark index 930950.CSI.

With the random matrix theory, we study the spatial structure of the Chinese stock market, American stock market and global market indices. After taking into account the signs of the components in the eigenvectors of the cross-correlation matrix, we detect the subsector structure of the financial systems. The positive …

2012-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a nested hierarchical Dirichlet process (nHDP) for hierarchical topic modeling. The nHDP is a generalization of the nested Chinese restaurant process (nCRP) that allows each word to follow its own path to a topic node according to a document-specific distribution on a shared tree. This alleviates the rigid, …

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Article proposes a profitable intraday trading strategy for Chinese stocks.

problem Intraday trading opportunities in Chinese stock market.
method Markowitz optimization and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) for stock price prediction.
result Validation of Markowitz portfolio optimization and MLP for intraday stock price prediction.

Market impact has become a subject of increasing concern among academics and industry experts. We put forward a price impact model which considers the heteroscedasticity of price in the time dimension and dependency between permanent impact and temporary impact. We discuss and derive the extremum of the expectation of …

2016-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We document a well-developed log-periodic power-law antibubble in China's stock market, which started in August 2001. We argue that the current stock market antibubble is sustained by a contemporary active unsustainable real-estate bubble in China. The characteristic parameters of the antibubble have exhibited remarkab…

2003-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper finds political networks reduce bond issuance costs in China.

problem The financial value of within-government political networks in China.
method Using municipal leaders' working experience to measure political networks, the study examines the effect on bond issuance yield spreads.
result Political networks reduce bond issuance yield spreads by improving issuer credit ratings, especially in less developed financial markets.

In a stock market, the price fluctuations are interactive, that is, one listed company can influence others. In this paper, we seek to study the influence relationships among listed companies by constructing a directed network on the basis of Chinese stock market. This influence network shows distinct topological prope…

2015-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study compares information flow between Chinese and US stock sectors.

problem Analyzing how information flows between sectors in Chinese and US stock markets.
method Daily sector indices, transfer entropy of daily returns, comparing 2000-2017.
result Most active sectors in information exchange differ between China and US, reflecting market dynamics.

In this study, we perform a novel analysis of the 2015 financial bubble in the Chinese stock market by calibrating the Log Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model to two important Chinese stock indices, SSEC and SZSC, from early 2014 to June 2015. The back tests of the 2015 Chinese stock market bubbles indicates t…

2019-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Hierarchical AI multi-agent framework optimizes equity portfolios in China's A-share market.

problem Optimizing equity portfolios in China's A-share market using AI and multi-agent systems.
method A hierarchical multi-agent design integrating macro, firm-level, and reinforcement learning approaches.
result Consistently outperforms benchmarks and state-of-the-art systems on risk-adjusted returns and drawdown control.

This study examines lead-lag relationships in Chinese futures markets using high-frequency data.

problem Understanding high-frequency trading dynamics and information flow in futures markets.
method High-frequency tick-by-tick data analysis of lead-lag relationships between different maturity futures contracts.
result The near-month futures lead longer-dated contracts by one tick, with a negative feedback effect on the leading asset.

The paper analyzes return distribution of Chinese stock market indices over various time scales.

problem Understanding return distribution properties of Chinese stock markets.
method Systematic analysis of 1-min to 4000-min composite index datasets from 2005-2021.
result Return distribution properties are similar to mature markets, with distinct behavior at different time scales.