Bayesian model improves cure fraction estimation in survival analysis.
problem Estimating cure fraction in survival analysis.
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework for semiparametric mixture cure model.
result Improved accuracy in capturing unobserved heterogeneity.
Proposes a deep neural network for predicting survival times with cure fractions.
problem Predicting survival times with cure fractions in medical studies.
method Flexible survival models integrated into a deep neural network framework.
result Better predictive performance and realistic covariate effects.
A Markov-chain model is developed for the purpose estimation of the cure rate of non-performing loans. The technique is performed collectively, on portfolios and it can be applicable in the process of calculation of credit impairment. It is efficient in terms of data manipulation costs which makes it accessible even to…
New model identifies cell-specific genes for cancer prognosis.
problem No statistical model to integrate multiscale cancer data.
method Bayesian generalized promotion time cure models (GPTCMs).
result Improves cancer prognosis by identifying cell-specific genes.
New method optimizes processes under constraints using bivariate Gaussian models.
problem Optimizing processes with constraints using traditional methods.
method Developed a constrained expected improvement acquisition function using bivariate Gaussian process models.
result Demonstrated improved performance in a manufacturing cure process optimization.
The calibration of a measurement device is crucial for every scientific experiment, where a signal has to be inferred from data. We present CURE, the calibration uncertainty renormalized estimator, to reconstruct a signal and simultaneously the instrument's calibration from the same data without knowing the exact calib…
This paper argues, first, that a major problem in the planning of large infrastructure projects is the high level of misinformation about costs and benefits that decision makers face in deciding whether to build, and the high risks such misinformation generates. Second, it explores the causes of misinformation and risk…
Study builds labeled shill bidding dataset for auction fraud detection.
problem Difficulty in detecting shill bidding in auctions.
method Hierarchical clustering CURE for systematic labeling of fraud data.
result CURE approach effectively labels shill bidding instances with multidimensional features.
To cure the lack of predictive power of general relativity Geroch proposed to complete the theory with an additional postulate that only "hole-free" spacetimes are permitted. I argue that this postulate is too strong -- it prohibits even the Minkowski space.
Study identifies risk factors for subsequent suicide attempts in youth.
problem Uncertainty in suicide attempt identification from medical claims data.
method Integrative Cox cure model with regularization for survival analysis with uncertain events.
result Identifies risk factors for subsequent suicide attempts and distinguishes susceptibility from timing.
CURE extracts relations without supervision by clustering similar entity pairs.
problem Extracting relations unsupervised without considering sentence correlations.
method CURE uses Encoder-Decoder architecture for self-supervised learning and clustering similar relations.
result CURE outperforms state-of-the-art models on NYT and UNPC datasets.
New gauge condition fixes L2 metric divergence in hyperbolic monopole spaces.
problem Divergence of L2 metric on hyperbolic monopole moduli spaces. method Alternative gauge-fixing condition inspired by supersymmetry.
result Resulting geometry is hyperbolic hyperkähler, analogous to Euclidean monopole spaces.
Dan Lovallo and Daniel Kahneman must be commended for their clear identification of causes and cures to the planning fallacy in "Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions" (HBR July 2003). Their look at overoptimism, anchoring, competitor neglect, and the outside view in forecasting is highly …
Paper uses GANs for efficient rare disease detection.
problem Efficient detection of rare diseases with limited labeled data.
method Semi-supervised learning with GANs.
result Best precision-recall scores compared to baseline techniques.
We reconsider the multivariate Kyle model in a risk-neutral setting with a single, perfectly informed rational insider and a rational competitive market maker, setting the price of n correlated securities. We prove the unicity of a symmetric, positive definite solution for the impact matrix and provide insights on its …
This essay suggests that a proper assessment of the presently unfolding financial crisis, and its cure, requires going back at least to the late 1990s, accounting for the cumulative effect of the ITC, real-estate and financial derivative bubbles. We focus on the deep loss of trust, not only in Wall Street, but more imp…
Divide-and-conquer method speeds sparse factorization for large matrices.
problem Sparse factorization of large matrices for statistical learning.
method Statistical problem formulation, divide-and-conquer approach, stagewise learning.
result Efficient algorithm with lower complexity than existing methods.
We introduce a mixture model for censored durations (C-mix), and develop maximum likelihood inference for the joint estimation of the time distributions and latent regression parameters of the model. We consider a high-dimensional setting, with datasets containing a large number of biomedical covariates. We therefore p…
Repository tackles fake health news in cancer research.
problem Spread of fake health news over the internet.
method Developed comprehensive FakeHealth repository with rich features and detailed explanations.
result Repository helps in understanding and validating health fake news datasets.
A new model avoids the PH assumption for right-censored survival data.
problem Inflexibility of Cox model when PH assumption fails.
method Deep partially linear transformation model (DPLTM) for right-censored data.
result The DPLTM avoids the curse of dimensionality and retains interpretability.
Geometric flows help solve the swampland problem by preserving Einstein equations.
problem Addressing the swampland conjecture in string theory.
method Analyzing scalar and metric bubble solutions under Perelman's flow, deriving geometric flow equations, and introducing an additional energy-momentum tensor term.
result A supplementary energy-momentum tensor term precisely reproduces the infinite tower of states with exponentially dropping masses.
Barren plateaus are not an average-case phenomenon, but a highly non-unique problem.
problem Avoiding barren plateaus in neural network training
method First-moment framework for initialization strategies
result Many families of inequivalent initialization strategies can avoid concentration
Framework creates fast, interpretable surrogates for stochastic simulators with unbounded randomness.
problem Creating accurate and fast approximations for stochastic simulators with unbounded randomness.
method Probabilistic surrogate networks that retain structure of reference simulators and enable amortized inference.
result Surrogates accurately model stochastic programs with unbounded random variables and significantly speed up inference.
Activity2vec learns representations from wearable activity data.
problem Proactive screening and monitoring of chronic conditions.
method Adversarial unsupervised representation learning with three components.
result Activity2vec outperforms many baselines in disorder prediction tasks.
Paper tackles distribution shifts in prediction models with unobserved confounding.
problem Distribution shifts in prediction models with unobserved confounding.
method Linear structural causal model, invariant covariate representations, data-driven representation learning method.
result Optimizes for a lower-dimensional linear subspace and a prediction model confined to that subspace, achieving nearly ideal gap between target and source risk.
Deep learning identifies cervical spondylosis from sEMG signals.
problem Early identification of cervical spondylosis for improved cure rate and reduced costs.
method Convolutional neural network-based multi-channel algorithm.
result Significant improvement in CS identification compared to previous methods.
This paper examines three independent explanatory variables and their relation with cost overrun in order to decide whether this is different for Dutch infrastructure projects compared to worldwide findings. The three independent variables are project type (road, rail, and fixed link projects), project size (measured i…
Optimizes loan recovery timing across various portfolios.
problem Comparing and evaluating bank's loan recovery decision rules.
method Simulation-based expert system considering time value of money and costs.
result Threshold optima exist across different risk scenarios and portfolio compositions.
Novel MCA-based rule mining speeds up psychiatric disorder screening.
problem High dimensionality and heterogeneity in clinical data.
method Developed a novel categorical rule mining method based on MCA.
result 100x faster than state-of-the-art methods for large datasets.
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of traffic forecasts in transportation infrastructure projects. The sample used is the largest of its kind, covering 210 projects in 14 nations worth US$59 billion. The study shows with very high statistical significance that forecasters gener…
Deep learning classifies keratoconus patients with high accuracy.
problem Accurately identifying keratoconus patients for early intervention.
method Unsupervised and semi-supervised machine learning models using corneal topography and clinical data.
result Unsupervised method with 29 variables shows better classification accuracy.
GGFPS improves model performance by sampling molecules more efficiently.
problem Improving model performance and reducing data costs in chemistry problems.
method Gradient-Guided Furthest Point Sampling (GGFPS) that leverages molecular force norms.
result GGFPS leads to superior data efficiency and model robustness compared to other sampling methods.
Project predicts Alzheimer's progression using neural networks and novel data processing.
problem Difficulty in early identification of Alzheimer's patients.
method Used machine learning, specifically neural networks, and a novel pre-processing technique.
result Neural network model accurately predicts AD progression with high accuracy.
EEG measures brain activity to diagnose ASD more efficiently.
problem Lack of objective measures for early ASD diagnosis.
method Use EEG to classify ASD using machine learning.
result EEG can be a biomarker for ASD.
Flexible co-data learning improves clinical prediction models.
problem High-dimensional clinical data challenges prediction accuracy.
method Combining domain knowledge and external studies to estimate adaptive multi-group ridge penalties.
result Improves prediction performance and variable selection stability.
We address feature interpretation and reproducibility issues in dense nets, proposing a modified loss function.
problem Feature interpretation and reproducibility issues in dense nets.
method Proposed a modified loss function to circumvent basis collapse.
result Substantially concise nets with 100x fewer parameters and lower MSE loss.
The ability to compare two degenerate probability distributions (i.e. two probability distributions supported on two distinct low-dimensional manifolds living in a much higher-dimensional space) is a crucial problem arising in the estimation of generative models for high-dimensional observations such as those arising i…
Paper proposes machine learning model for early Alzheimer's diagnosis.
problem Early and accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease.
method Machine learning models, demographic, biomarker, and cognitive test data.
result 90% accuracy and 87% accuracy in predicting Alzheimer's development.
Background: Choosing the most performing method in terms of outcome prediction or variables selection is a recurring problem in prognosis studies, leading to many publications on methods comparison. But some aspects have received little attention. First, most comparison studies treat prediction performance and variable…
Deep neural network classifies DaTscan SPECT images for Parkinson's Disease.
problem Early diagnosis of Parkinson's Disease through objective analysis of SPECT images.
method InceptionV3 architecture with custom binary classifier, 10-fold cross validation.
result Deep neural network achieves high accuracy in classifying DaTscan SPECT images.
A new model combines deep learning and Gaussian Processes with hyperdata learning.
problem Combining deep learning and Gaussian Processes for expressive and robust learning.
method Conditional Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) with hyperdata learning and approximate inference.
result Conditional DGP offers better expressiveness and robustness compared to existing methods.
Improved KAN model explains brain dynamics through edge learning and synaptic strength.
problem Explaining brain dynamics and frequencies in different brain regions.
method ELKAN (Edge Learning KNN) model with edge learning and trimming, inspired by brain science.
result ELKAN model outperforms KAN in explaining brain frequencies and dynamics.