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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for COVID-19 vaccines

UK's rapid vaccine rollout linked to reduced COVID-19 mortality.

problem Assessing the impact of accelerated vaccine rollout on public health outcomes.
method Flexible probabilistic models combining interrupted time series analysis and synthetic control methods with multi-output Gaussian processes.
result Substantial reduction in COVID-19 mortality with little effect on transmission rates.

A new method improves estimation of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness.

problem Estimating vaccine effectiveness under the test-negative design.
method A doubly robust estimator (TNDDR) using cross-fitting and machine learning.
result The TNDDR estimator is n\sqrt{n}-consistent, asymptotically normal, and doubly robust.

Study examines how COVID-19 vaccine companies' popularity affects their stock prices.

problem Impact of COVID-19 vaccine development and rollout on stock prices and company popularity.
method Used Python and various libraries to analyze Google Trends data and stock prices of five vaccine companies.
result Significant correlation between Google Trend data and stock prices, with post-rollout periods showing a slight negative correlation.

Estimates vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates in TND studies with missing data.

problem Confounding and missing data in TND studies of vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates.
method Targeted maximum likelihood estimation using a semiparametric logistic regression model.
result Valid causal inference of vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates in TND studies with missing exposure data.

Estimates the effect of time-varying treatments using machine learning.

problem Estimating the impact of time-varying treatments over multiple periods.
method Difference-in-Differences framework with double/debiased machine learning.
result Higher vaccination rates reduce COVID-19 mortality after several weeks.

Deep neural networks predict B-cell epitopes for SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2.

problem Accurate prediction of B-cell epitopes for vaccine design.
method Deep neural network model with regularization techniques and key features analysis.
result Overall accuracy of 82% in predicting COVID-19 cases.

The study uses neural networks to classify and predict coronavirus data.

problem Classifying and predicting coronavirus data from input variables.
method Artificial neural networks with logcosh loss function to classify branches of set-valued mappings.
result Successfully classified and predicted coronavirus data for each German district.

Statistical models outperform mechanistic models in short-term COVID-19 incidence forecasts.

problem Comparing accuracy of mechanistic vs statistical models for short-term COVID-19 incidence forecasts.
method Empirical comparison of forecasts from mechanistic and statistical models using daily incidence data from six US states.
result Statistical models are at least as accurate as mechanistic models and better capture volatility.

Analyzes COVID-19 data to predict mortality, forecast spread, and optimize resource allocation.

problem Challenges in patient triage, treatment, and care management during the pandemic.
method Integrated four-step approach combining descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics.
result Optimized resource allocation and informed policy decisions.

Italy's vaccine coverage fell, leading to political debates and online social media discussions.

problem Low vaccine coverage and political debates on immunization in Italy.
method Sentiment analysis of tweets in Italian during 2018 to assess public opinion on vaccines.
result There was disorientation among the public due to political announcements, as evidenced by Twitter data.

Paper proposes Adaptive Pareto Exploration for identifying Pareto optimal arms in multi-objective scenarios.

problem Identifying Pareto optimal arms in multi-objective scenarios with relaxed constraints.
method Adaptive Pareto Exploration strategy for different relaxations of Pareto Set Identification.
result Reduction in sample complexity when identifying at most k Pareto optimal arms.

Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.

problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.

SCIENCE improves prediction intervals for individual causal effects.

problem Wide prediction intervals limit practical utility of causal inference.
method Surrogate-assisted conformal inference for efficient individual causal effects.
result SCIENCE produces more efficient prediction intervals for individual causal effects.

Developed a neural topic model for classifying COVID-19 disinformation.

problem Tackles the challenge of disinformation during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Classification-aware neural topic model (CANTM) for COVID-19 disinformation.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of CANTM in classifying COVID-19 disinformation.

Study analyzes market co-movements in critical mineral investments using change point detection and cross-sectional analysis.

problem Market dynamics in critical mineral investments during significant global events.
method Combines change-point detection (PELT algorithm) with cross-sectional analysis on ESG-ranked ETFs.
result Investors herded during market downturns and shifted to anti-herding after positive news and geopolitical shocks.

Study shows tweets about COVID-19 can predict stock market performance.

problem Understanding the impact of COVID-19 on stock markets.
method Text sentiment analysis of Twitter data to correlate tweets about COVID-19 with stock market performance.
result Strong relationship between COVID-19 sentiment and stock market performance can be predicted.

Paper examines global Covid-19 data complexity and finds low intrinsic dimensions.

problem Understanding the complexity of Covid-19 data across countries.
method Used a Bayesian mixture model (Hidalgo) to estimate intrinsic dimensionality.
result Covid-19 data projects onto two low-dimensional manifolds without significant loss of information.

A new model characterizes undocumented and asymptomatic infections to quantify COVID-19 uncertainties.

problem Quantifying uncertainties in COVID-19 infections and contagion.
method SUDR model: characterizes undocumented and documented infections, captures probabilistic density, and incorporates Bayesian inference.
result Demonstrates deeper understanding of COVID-19 uncertainties compared to classic models.

Study relaxes identification assumptions for natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.

problem Identifying causal direct effects under unmeasured confounding.
method Developed relaxed conditions for identifying natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.
result Identified natural direct effect under unmeasured confounding conditions.

Study examines short-term stress of COVID-19 on major global stock indices.

problem Short-term impact of COVID-19 on global stock markets.
method Secondary data from 41 stock exchanges in 32 countries, focusing on first reported cases.
result Volatility in stock markets increases with the rise of COVID-19 cases, and there is a significant negative correlation.

Personalized cancer vaccines are envisioned as the next generation rational cancer immunotherapy. The key step in developing personalized therapeutic cancer vaccines is to identify tumor-specific neoantigens that are on the surface of tumor cells. A promising method for this is through de novo peptide sequencing from m…

2019-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning model diagnoses COVID-19 from routine blood tests.

problem Difficulty in diagnosing COVID-19 due to inconsistent blood parameter changes.
method Constructed a machine learning model using 5,333 patients with various infections and 160 COVID-19-positive patients.
result Cross-validated AUC of 0.97, sensitivity of 81.9%, specificity of 97.9%.

Study uses machine learning to analyze Twitter sentiments about COVID-19.

problem Examining public concerns and sentiments about COVID-19 from Twitter.
method Machine learning (Latent Dirichlet Allocation) to identify topics and sentiments.
result Identified 13 topics and categorized into five themes, revealing dominant fears and mixed feelings.

DeepRC uses Hopfield networks and attention to classify immune repertoires.

problem Classifying the vast number of immunosequences of an individual.
method Integrates transformer-like attention into deep learning architectures.
result DeepRC outperforms other methods in predictive performance.

Study develops a dynamic risk model for COVID-19 mortality using UK Biobank data.

problem Developing tools to monitor high-risk patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Data-driven random forest classification model using baseline characteristics and symptoms.
result Model predicts COVID-19 mortality with excellent performance (AUC: 0.91), identifying novel predictors.

Research uses SWT and BDLSTM to forecast stock and oil prices amid COVID-19.

problem Impact of COVID-19 on stock and oil prices forecasting.
method Integrates Stationary Wavelet Transform and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory networks.
result BDLSTM+WT-ADA achieved satisfactory results in Crude Oil price forecasting.