Study finds cherry-picking load shaping strategies outperforms others in reducing grid CO2 emissions.
problem Lack of detailed counterfactual data makes it hard to assess load shaping strategies' effectiveness.
method Calibrated granular ERCOT simulations for counterfactual analysis of load shaping strategies.
result LMP-based load shaping outperforms other strategies in reducing grid CO2 emissions.
New method uses machine learning to predict CO2 reduction catalysts without expensive ab initio calculations.
problem Predicting catalytic activity for CO2 reduction reactions using computationally expensive ab initio methods.
method Combining muffin-tin orbital theory descriptors with machine learning (ANN and KRR) for large-scale screening.
result Predicted CO adsorption energy with 0.05 eV mean absolute deviation, significantly improved over previous methods.
Deep learning calibrates CO2 storage formations from seismic and well data.
problem Uncertainty in CO2 storage formation properties.
method Two deep learning models for well and seismic data, integrated into MCMC history matching.
result Significant uncertainty reduction in key parameters and accurate CO2 plume predictions.
In this note, we present an existence result of a Nash equilibrium between electricity producers selling their production on an electricity market and buying CO2 emission allowances on an auction carbon market. The producers' strategies integrate the coupling of the two markets via the cost functions of the electricity…
Tall wheatgrass outperforms rye in energy and environmental metrics, marginally improving economic viability.
problem Finding sustainable alternatives for marginal agricultural areas.
method Economic assessment using profit margin and Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) for energy and environmental performance.
result Tall wheatgrass shows better environmental and energy performance with reduced inputs and lower energy consumption.
In this paper, we analyze Nash equilibria between electricity producers selling their production on an electricity market and buying CO2 emission allowances on an auction carbon market. The producers' strategies integrate the coupling of the two markets via the cost functions of the electricity production. We set out a…
Machine learning predicts CO2 emissions in power grids, reducing uncertainty.
problem Forecasting CO2 emission intensities in power grids.
method Developed a machine learning algorithm using LASSO, feature selection, and Softmax weighted average.
result Marginal emissions are independent of DK2 zone conditions, suggesting external generators.
CO2 algorithm creates coresets for generic smooth divergences efficiently.
problem Efficiently creating coresets for generic smooth divergences.
method CO2 algorithm using functional Taylor expansion and maximum mean discrepancy minimization.
result Poly-logarithmically many data points suffice for Sinkhorn divergence approximation.
We introduce two simple models of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with a singular terminal condition and we explain how and why they appear naturally as models for the valuation of CO2 emission allowances. Single phase cap-and-trade schemes lead readily to terminal conditions given by indicator funct…
Machine learning detects geyser eruptions in noisy data.
problem Discerning geyser eruptions from background noise.
method Random Forests (RF) on filtered seismic data.
result RF achieves >90% accuracy in geyser state classification.
Deep neural network predicts multiphase flow in heterogeneous domains.
problem Predicting multiphase flow in complex, heterogeneous systems.
method Deep neural network model for handling permeability heterogeneity and learning interplay of forces.
result Highly accurate predictions of CO2 saturation distribution with computational efficiency.
We present a novel approach to the pricing of financial instruments in emission markets, for example, the EU ETS. The proposed structural model is positioned between existing complex full equilibrium models and pure reduced form models. Using an exogenously specified demand for a polluting good it gives a causal explan…
In this contribution we describe an approach to evolve composite covariance functions for Gaussian processes using genetic programming. A critical aspect of Gaussian processes and similar kernel-based models such as SVM is, that the covariance function should be adapted to the modeled data. Frequently, the squared expo…
Method constructs hedging portfolio for carbon risk but not ESG risk.
problem Hedging carbon risk with ESG risk.
method Triangulated Maximally Filtered Graph and node2vec algorithms.
result Efficient hedging portfolio strategy for carbon risk but not ESG risk.
Defines an implied CO2-price to cover climate change costs, finding it significantly higher than the SCC.
problem The social cost of carbon (SCC) does not fully cover climate change costs.
method Defines an implied CO2-price as a 'polluter pays principle' and calculates its value using a DICE model.
result The cost-implied CO2 price is around 500/tCO2,comparedto50/tCO2 for SCC. New method combines neural networks and data assimilation for indoor air quality prediction.
problem Accurate and fast prediction of indoor air quality using real-time data.
method Combines Data Assimilation and Machine Learning using a Convolutional neural network and Long-Short-Term-Memory.
result Improved accuracy of dynamic system representation by integrating real data.
Research compares MLP and MLR models for Balkan energy consumption predictions.
problem Predicting energy consumption in the Balkans using demographic and economic parameters.
method Applied multiple linear regression and multilayer perceptron models to data from 1995-2014.
result Multilayer perceptron model predicts energy consumption better than multiple regression model.
EUREKA builds classifiers that use surprising features.
problem Building classifiers that are interesting, not just accurate.
method Uses large language models to rank features by interestingness and builds interpretable classifiers using only selected features.
result EUREKA discovers non-obvious yet predictive features, improving accuracy and offering insights.
Robustly detects and attributes climate change impacts under interventions.
problem Detect and attribute climate change impacts from observations robustly.
method Supervised learning with anchor regression for robust predictions under interventions.
result CO2 forcing can be robustly predicted from temperature patterns under strong solar forcing interventions.
New method estimates Fourier transforms from finite data without periodicity assumptions.
problem Estimating Fourier transforms from discrete data points without periodicity assumptions.
method Gaussian process regression with gradient ascent method to estimate covariance function.
result Sharp and precise estimation of spectral density in noise-free and noisy signals.
Study assesses climate risks on supply chains and financial systems using detailed firm emissions data.
problem Lack of firm-level CO2 emissions data hinders assessment of transition risks from carbon pricing.
method Used detailed Hungarian firm emissions data and a simple economic ABM model to simulate carbon pricing impacts.
result 45% of companies are directly exposed to carbon pricing, leading to significant economic and financial losses.
Physics-informed denoising improves sensor data accuracy without needing clean data.
problem Noise in real-life sensor data affects system performance and reliability.
method Physics-informed denoising model that uses algebraic relationships between sensor measurements governed by physical laws.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance in various real-world applications.
Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to smoothing and interpolation. We introduce simple closed form kernels that can be used with Gaussian processes to discover patterns and enable extrapolation. These kernels are derived by modelling a spectral dens…
European steel industry shifts to electric arc furnaces, reducing scrap imports and increasing competition.
problem Reducing CO2 emissions in the European steel industry through electric arc furnaces.
method Combining trade data with business intelligence to model the impact of EAF capacity on scrap trade.
result Scrap imports decrease as EAF capacity increases, highlighting the need for a new business ecosystem.
Study reveals how people perceive their carbon footprint.
problem Understanding people's perception of their carbon footprint.
method Statistical model and active-learning approach to pairwise comparisons.
result Early results show promising directions for climate communication and mitigation.
Deep learning detects cloud changes due to human aerosols.
problem Uncertainty in the effect of anthropogenic aerosols on cloud properties and Earth's energy balance.
method Deep convolutional neural networks to analyze cloud images.
result Identified and characterized specific cloud perturbations due to human aerosols.
Paper proposes transparent reporting of algorithmic energy usage to promote environmental sustainability.
problem Need for transparent reporting of algorithmic energy usage for environmental sustainability.
method Developed a Python package to make analyses of energy usage accessible to individual researchers, localized to specific power grids, and compared with global benchmarks.
result Demonstrated the use of automatically-generated Energy Usage Reports in model-choice for machine learning.
Locally adaptive interpretable regression improves linear regression's predictability.
problem Linear regression's predictability is limited; it lacks adaptability.
method Locally adaptive interpretable regression (LoAIR) uses neural networks to predict percentile of a Gaussian distribution for regression coefficients.
result LoAIR achieves comparable or better predictive performance than state-of-the-art baselines.
We study the global probability distribution of energy consumption per capita around the world using data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) for 1980-2010. We find that the Lorenz curves have moved up during this time period, and the Gini coefficient G has decreased from 0.66 in 1980 to 0.55 in 2010,…
Study uses open data to improve traffic emissions estimation.
problem Estimating accurate link level traffic emissions.
method Data-driven framework integrating MOVES, GPS, OSM, and satellite imagery.
result Neural network reduces RMSE by over 50% for key pollutants.
Bayesian framework quantifies uncertainty in portfolio temperature alignment.
problem Uncertainty in portfolio temperature alignment models.
method X-Degree Compatibility (XDC) approach with FaIR climate model, adaptive MCMC, deep learning emulator.
result Robust parametric uncertainty quantification for FaIR model.
A new framework detects changepoints in complex data.
problem Detecting structural changes in data with various patterns and trends.
method Iteratively Reweighted Fused Lasso (IRFL) for L0 model selection.
result IRFL achieves accurate changepoint detection across various challenging scenarios.
Team aims to predict particulate matter levels on ISS using Bi-GRU.
problem Early warning system for particulate matter on ISS.
method Bi-GRU algorithm analyzing past 90 minutes of data.
result Bi-GRU predicts particulate matter levels up to 1 minute in advance.
In a highly interdependent economic world, the nature of relationships between financial entities is becoming an increasingly important area of study. Recently, many studies have shown the usefulness of minimal spanning trees (MST) in extracting interactions between financial entities. Here, we propose a modified MST n…
The paper calibrates geophysical predictions using marginal distributions and machine learning.
problem Sensitivity to initial conditions in geophysical systems leads to large deviations in long-term forecasts.
method The method introduces a calibration algorithm based on normalization and Kernelized Stein Discrepancy (KSD) to enhance ML predictions.
result The method improves the fidelity of ML predictions to known physical distributions, ensuring consistency with non-local statistical structures.
ElecSim models long-term electricity planning with agent-based Monte-Carlo simulations.
problem Transitioning to zero-carbon energy systems requires careful policy decisions.
method Agent-based Monte-Carlo model for long-term electricity investment decisions.
result Monte-Carlo simulation improves model performance by 52.5%.
Paper models uncertainty in electricity and gas markets to assess its impact.
problem Addressing uncertainties in coupled electricity and gas markets.
method Integrated and stochastic optimisation approaches for large-scale energy systems.
result Quantifies the value of encoding uncertainty in models.
This paper identifies knot projections with reductivity two.
problem Determining knot projections with a specific reductivity level.
method Examined four types of reductivity (Seifert type splice, non-Seifert type splice, recursively, simultaneously) and their combinations.
result Identified all knot projections with reductivity two for the four definitions.
APQ jointly optimizes neural architecture, pruning, and quantization for efficient inference.
problem Efficient deep learning inference on resource-constrained hardware.
method Joint optimization of neural architecture, pruning, and quantization policy using a quantization-aware accuracy predictor.
result Joint optimization leads to 2.3% higher ImageNet accuracy with reduced latency and energy consumption.
Completes reduction scheme in Lagrange-Poincaré category.
problem Lagrangian reduction by stages in the whole category.
method Analyzes Noether theorem, Hamiltonian reduction, geometric aspects.
result Affirmative answer to open question of Lagrangian reduction.
This paper classifies instantons with closed reductions and provides examples of non-closed reductions.
problem Understanding the geometry of toric Kähler instantons with and without closed reductions.
method Sharp geometric criteria and examples of instantons with different reduction types.
result Established geometric criteria for closed reductions and classified asymptotic geometries.
We consider locally conformal Kaehler geometry as an equivariant (homothetic) Kaehler geometry: a locally conformal Kaehler manifold is, up to equivalence, a pair (K,Γ) where K is a Kaehler manifold and Γa discrete Lie group of biholomorphic homotheties acting freely and properly discontinuously. We define a new invari…
Classifies 7- and 8-dimensional naturally reductive spaces.
problem Classifying naturally reductive spaces in 7 and 8 dimensions.
method Combines structure theory and new construction methods.
result Complete classification of 7- and 8-dimensional naturally reductive spaces.
Deep neural network models for efficient uncertainty quantification in multiphase flow.
problem Uncertainty quantification of dynamic multiphase flow in heterogeneous media due to high dimensionality and discontinuities.
method Convolutional encoder-decoder neural network for image-to-image regression, incorporating time as an input.
result Accurate surrogate model capable of characterizing spatio-temporal pressure and saturation fields with limited training data.
Abstract revisits Kähler reduction using GIT, generalizing results.
problem Generalizing Kähler reduction results to the generalized setting.
method Geometric invariant theory approach to generalized Kähler reduction.
result Many well-known Kähler reduction results can be generalized.
New naturally reductive spaces constructed with group isometries.
problem Creating new naturally reductive spaces.
method Constructing infinitesimal models, specifying transitive groups of isometries, and explicitly defining the naturally reductive structure.
result A large number of new naturally reductive spaces constructed.
In this paper we describe Routhian reduction as a special case of standard symplectic reduction, also called Marsden-Weinstein reduction. We use this correspondence to present a generalization of Routhian reduction for quasi-invariant Lagrangians, i.e. Lagrangians that are invariant up to a total time derivative. We sh…
Two reduction schemes for symplectic manifolds are shown equivalent.
problem Reduction of Hamiltonian systems on exact symplectic manifolds.
method Modified Marsden-Meyer-Weinstein reduction theorem for exact symplectic manifolds and contact manifolds.
result Reduction schemes are equivalent for exact symplectic manifolds and energy hypersurfaces.