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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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75149224298 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Bias Control

Paper tackles overestimation bias in continuous control, improving performance by 25%.

problem Overestimation bias in off-policy learning.
method Truncated Quantile Critics (TQC) combines distributional representation, truncation, and ensembling of critics.
result TQC outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 25% on the Humanoid environment.

Unified framework suppresses model bias in semi-supervised learning with decoupled sampling control.

problem Class imbalance in semi-supervised learning, especially with distributional mismatches.
method Unified framework SC-SSL with decoupled sampling control, explicit expansion capability, and adaptive sampling probabilities.
result Consistent and state-of-the-art performance across various benchmark datasets and distribution settings.

Geometric framework explains and controls implicit bias in machine learning.

problem Understanding and controlling the selection of solutions in overparameterized models.
method Developed a theoretical and constructive framework based on geometric corrections induced by gradient noise and continuous symmetries of the loss.
result Computed the induced bias across various architectures and enabled inverse design to shape the bias.

This paper studies how gradient descent in control systems can perform well on unseen data.

problem The extent of a learned controller's ability to extrapolate to unseen initial states.
method Theoretical study of policy gradient in Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) problems, focusing on the role of exploration.
result The performance of a learned controller on unseen initial states depends on the degree of exploration induced by the system.

Improved 3D generative models for drug design reduce bias and enhance data efficiency.

problem Data sparsity and bias in 3D molecular design models.
method Multi-level contrastive learning protocol for bias control and data efficiency.
result Hierarchical generative models that are topologically unbiased and explainable.

Revisits VIC method to correct intrinsic reward bias in stochastic environments.

problem Intrinsic reward bias in VIC leading to suboptimal solutions.
method Proposes two methods based on transitional probability model and Gaussian mixture model to correct bias.
result Achieves maximal empowerment through corrected intrinsic reward.

New framework minimizes interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.

problem Interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.
method Proposes a principled framework that jointly minimizes interference and selection bias using edge spillover probability and cluster matching.
result Significantly lower error in causal effect estimation compared to existing solutions.

Synthetic control method improves policy evaluation in high-dimensional settings.

problem Evaluating the impact of new policies in large-scale applications.
method Two-phase approach: nearest neighbor matching followed by supervised learning.
result The method successfully improves estimate accuracy in large-scale experiments.

Deep RL algorithms can overfit to early experiences, leading to poor performance.

problem Overfitting to early interactions in deep reinforcement learning.
method Proposed a mechanism to periodically reset part of the agent to mitigate overfitting.
result Periodic resetting improves performance in both discrete and continuous action domains.

Bayesian imputation optimizes bias-variance tradeoff in time-series data.

problem Look-ahead bias in imputation of missing time-series data.
method Wasserstein interpolation for Bayesian posterior consensus distribution.
result Optimal control of look-ahead bias and variance in imputation.

Confounding bias, missing data, and selection bias are three common obstacles to valid causal inference in the data sciences. Covariate adjustment is the most pervasive technique for recovering casual effects from confounding bias. In this paper, we introduce a covariate adjustment formulation for controlling confoundi…

2019-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on NNs for forecasting time series with novel control variable combinations.

problem Forecast future time series with novel combinations of control variables.
method Modular NN architecture with inductive bias for independence of control variables.
result Modular NN architecture improves forecasting of dependent variables up to large horizons.

New method controls bias in unadjusted Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and underdamped Langevin.

problem Bias in unadjusted Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and underdamped Langevin samplers.
method Delocalization of bias technique applied to these samplers.
result Control W2W_2 bias with O(K)O(\sqrt{K}) integration steps for high-dimensional distributions.

We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.

problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.

Algorithm reduces variance in causal effect estimation from multiple datasets.

problem Unidentifiable average treatment effect in observational data due to selection bias.
method Constructs control variates using datasets where ATE is not identifiable to reduce variance.
result Significant reduction in variance of ATE estimate using control variates.

This report examines the Pinned AUC metric introduced and highlights some of its limitations. Pinned AUC provides a threshold-agnostic measure of unintended bias in a classification model, inspired by the ROC-AUC metric. However, as we highlight in this report, there are ways that the metric can obscure different kinds…

2019-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We use tools from geometric statistics to analyze the usual estimation procedure of a template shape. This applies to shapes from landmarks, curves, surfaces, images etc. We demonstrate the asymptotic bias of the template shape estimation using the stratified geometry of the shape space. We give a Taylor expansion of t…

2016-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles data-efficient nonlinear control in Hamiltonian systems using symplectic geometry.

problem Data-efficient nonlinear control in Hamiltonian systems.
method Combines symplectic geometry, recurrence on energy level sets, and chain policies to solve target reachability problems.
result Data requirements depend on geometric and recurrence properties of the Hamiltonian, not the state dimension.

Financial event studies often misestimate causal effects due to misspecified factor models.

problem Misspecification of factor models in financial event studies leads to inconsistent estimates of causal effects.
method Proposed synthetic control methods to construct replicating portfolios from control securities.
result Synthetic control methods provide more accurate estimates of causal effects in event studies.

A new reinforcement learning method reduces action complexity for robust control.

problem Deep reinforcement learning's susceptibility to spurious correlations.
method Minimizing trajectory entropy to encourage simple, predictable actions.
result Trajectory Entropy Reinforcement Learning achieves superior performance and robustness.

The paper tackles Neyman-Pearson classification control issues.

problem Neyman-Pearson classification's control constraint is hard to satisfy in finite samples.
method Developed refined learning procedures under two accuracy control strategies.
result Proposed methods achieve desired control levels in finite samples.

Paper analyzes how present-bias affects carbon emissions and proposes a method to mitigate it.

problem Present-bias impacts carbon emission patterns towards a net zero target.
method Stochastic control techniques adapted from insurance risk theory.
result Higher present-bias leads to excess emissions, and carbon taxes can reduce emissions but beyond a certain point have diminishing returns.

New method reduces bias in incomplete data using deliberate missingness.

problem Systematic gradient biases in incomplete data for stochastic learning.
method Richardson-SGD debiasing procedure with deliberate missingness.
result Reduces gradient bias from O(p)O(\|p\|) to O(p2)O(\|p\|^2).

Proposes tests to control confounding bias in predictive models.

problem Lack of non-parametric tests for confounding bias in predictive modeling.
method Partial and full confounder tests for probing null hypotheses of unconfounded and fully confounded models.
result Reveals previously unreported or hard-to-correct confounders in machine learning models.

The study examines when to trust confidence thresholding in pseudo-labelling regression.

problem Calibrated probabilities from classifiers used for pseudo-labelling need careful handling to avoid bias in downstream regression.
method Developed a diagnostic apparatus to predict and bound the bias induced by confidence thresholding, derived a closed-form expression for the attenuation bias.
result The bias can be predicted from the residual score variance VV^{*}, motivating a structural separation between classifier features and downstream controls.

The study reveals a persistent bias in the distribution of holonomy on compact hyperbolic 3-manifolds.

problem The distribution of holonomy on compact hyperbolic 3-manifolds is not uniformly distributed.
method An asymptotic count of closed geodesics by their length and holonomy, and analysis of spectral parameters.
result A normalized, smoothed bias count of holonomy is distributed according to a probability distribution, controlled by the number of zero spectral parameters.

New method corrects bias in estimating entropic risk for better decision-making.

problem Underestimation of entropic risk when data are limited.
method Parametric bootstrap procedure to overestimate entropic risk.
result Corrected method provides better risk estimates, leading to improved decision-making.

FinReflectKG - EvalBench benchmarks financial KG extraction from SEC 10-K filings.

problem Lack of universal benchmark and evaluation framework for financial KG construction.
method Agentic and holistic evaluation principles, deterministic commit-then-justify judging protocol, binary and ordinal evaluations.
result Reflection-based extraction outperforms single-pass extraction in comprehensiveness, precision, and relevance.

The paper analyzes the bias-variance tradeoff for Bregman divergences.

problem Understanding the bias-variance tradeoff for Bregman divergences.
method Analyzes the bias-variance tradeoff through operations in dual space.
result Derives several results including a generalized law of total variance and ensembling operations.

New method controls bias in training data for fair outcomes.

problem Ensuring equal treatment between different groups in machine learning.
method Contrastive information estimation to control mutual information between representations and protected attributes.
result Our method provides strong theoretical guarantees on the parity of any downstream algorithm.