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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Bayesian weights

Generative approach speeds hyperparameter tuning for machine learning models.

problem Computational infeasibility of cross-validation and difficulty of fully Bayesian hyper-parameter learning.
method Combines optimization-based approximations and amortization techniques.
result Rapid evaluation of hyper-parameters over grids or ranges, supporting predictive tuning and uncertainty quantification.

Bayesian priors for neural networks are improved by incorporating weight correlations and tail behavior.

problem Improving Bayesian priors for neural networks to better reflect true beliefs and performance.
method Analyzed summary statistics of neural network weights in different architectures and incorporated these observations into new priors.
result Improved performance on image classification datasets by using new priors that account for weight correlations and tail behavior.

Study improves Bayesian optimisation with ensemble transfer learning.

problem Improving sample efficiency in Bayesian optimisation of expensive functions.
method Empirical analysis of ensemble-based transfer learning methods and pipeline components.
result Two components (warm start initialisation and positive weight constraint) improve transfer learning Bayesian optimisation performance.

Study on Bayesian transformers finds issues with weight-space inference and prior specification.

problem Challenges in obtaining meaningful uncertainty estimates for transformer models.
method Proposed a novel method based on implicit reparameterization of the Dirichlet distribution for variational inference on attention weights.
result Proposed method performs competitively with baselines in estimating predictive uncertainty.

Bayesian method improves neural net convergence for character recognition.

problem Improving convergence rate of neural network training algorithms.
method Customization of Kalman filter into Bayesian statistics for initialization of weights.
result Improved convergence rate for backpropagation training algorithm.

Herding and kernel herding are deterministic methods of choosing samples which summarise a probability distribution. A related task is choosing samples for estimating integrals using Bayesian quadrature. We show that the criterion minimised when selecting samples in kernel herding is equivalent to the posterior varianc…

2014-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Herding and kernel herding are deterministic methods of choosing samples which summarise a probability distribution. A related task is choosing samples for estimating integrals using Bayesian quadrature. We show that the criterion minimised when selecting samples in kernel herding is equivalent to the posterior varianc…

2012-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

WBCP improves conformal prediction for distribution shifts using weighted Dirichlet posteriors.

problem Handling distribution shifts in conformal prediction.
method Generalizes Bayesian Quadrature Conformal Prediction (BQ-CP) to arbitrary importance-weighted settings.
result WBCP maintains coverage guarantees while providing richer uncertainty information.

Deep Bayesian neural nets can use simpler weight approximations without sacrificing performance.

problem The need for complex weight posterior approximations in deep Bayesian neural networks.
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of mean-field variational inference in deep networks.
result Mean-field variational weight posteriors in deep networks can induce similar function-space distributions as complex approximations in shallower networks.

Bayesian weight priors improve neural network learning of identity relations.

problem Neural networks struggle to learn abstract and systematic relations, especially identity relations.
method Extended RBP approach using Bayesian weight priors as a regularization term.
result Bayesian weight priors lead to perfect generalization for identity relations and do not hinder standard neural network learning.

Bayesian stacking improves model performance with varying model weights.

problem Improving model predictions with heterogeneous input performance.
method Bayesian hierarchical stacking with varying model weights inferred via Bayesian inference.
result Hierarchical stacking yields better predictions than linear averaging.

A novel Bayesian computation method using importance weighting improves numerical stability and performance.

problem Bayesian computation stability and performance issues.
method Nonparametric approach via feature means, importance weighting, and kernel Bayes' rule.
result Importance weighted kernel Bayes' rule yields superior numerical stability and performance.

BayesBlend blends multiple models' predictions for better insurance loss predictions.

problem Improving insurance loss predictions by combining multiple models.
method Pseudo-Bayesian model averaging, stacking, and hierarchical stacking.
result BayesBlend provides a user-friendly way to blend model predictions and estimate weights.

Bayesian neural networks use temperature adjustments to improve predictive performance.

problem Lack of theoretical generalization guarantees for Bayesian neural networks.
method Temperature adjustments to balance likelihood and prior regularization.
result Improved predictive performance through temperature adjustments.

Bayesian sparsification reduces deep neural network complexity.

problem Complexity of deep neural networks limits their performance.
method Combines Bayesian shrinkage priors with stochastic variational inference.
result Bayesian model reduction (BMR) is a more efficient alternative for pruning model weights.

A Bayesian nonparametric approach for continual learning using neural networks.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in neural networks during sequential task settings.
method Indian Buffet Process (IBP) prior for dynamic model expansion and factorization of weight matrices.
result The method promotes positive knowledge transfer between tasks and allows for dynamic model complexity.

Hybrid Bayesian neural networks use function uncertainty for probabilistic inference.

problem Uncertainty in neural network weights is hard to specify and interpret.
method Integrates probabilistic layers with standard deterministic layers for function uncertainty.
result Improves probabilistic inference by encoding function uncertainty.

This work explores how overparametrization and priors affect Bayesian neural network posteriors.

problem Symmetries, non-identifiabilities, and weight-space priors fragment and inflate BNN posteriors.
method We study the interplay between overparametrization and priors in BNN posteriors, deriving key phenomena and validating through experiments.
result Overparametrization induces structured, prior-aligned weight posterior distributions.

Bayesian framework improves minority class performance in class-imbalanced data.

problem Class imbalance in predictive toxicology models.
method Weighted likelihood approach modifying likelihood function weights inversely proportional to class proportions.
result Improves balanced accuracy and sensitivity for minority class (toxic compounds).

Bayesian deep learning with heavy-tailed weights achieves near-optimal performance.

problem Deep neural networks with heavy-tailed weights achieve near-optimal performance in various contexts.
method Introduced a Bayesian deep learning prior based on heavy-tailed weights and ReLU activation, showing near-optimal minimax contraction rates.
result Posterior distribution achieves near-optimal minimax contraction rates, adaptive to smoothness and intrinsic dimension.

Unified framework for analyzing pessimism in off-policy learning with regularized importance sampling.

problem High variance in importance weighting for off-policy learning.
method Unified PAC-Bayesian study of pessimism with regularized importance sampling.
result Derivation of a tractable PAC-Bayesian generalization bound for common importance weight regularizations.

WE constructs GP kernels for mixed inputs using weighted EDMs.

problem Limitation of standard GP models in handling categorical variables.
method WEGP constructs kernel function using weighted EDMs for categorical inputs.
result WEGP improves GP model accuracy in both synthetic and real-world optimization problems.

Bayesian Perceptron offers fully Bayesian neural networks without complex computations.

problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in neural networks.
method Bayesian inference framework for perceptron training and predictions in closed-form.
result Analytical expressions for perceptron's output and weight learning provided.

Bayesian neural networks are compressed using feature and weight pruning based on posterior inclusion probabilities.

problem Efficiently compressing Bayesian neural networks to reduce computation cost and improve generalizability.
method Bayesian model selection principles are applied to obtain posterior inclusion probabilities for pruning and feature selection.
result Pruned models show better generalizability on simulated and real-world data.

Bayesian Quadrature improves ensembling for neural networks with dispersed likelihood peaks.

problem Ensembling neural networks struggles with dispersed, narrow peaks in likelihood surfaces.
method Uses Bayesian Quadrature to construct weighted ensembles of architectures.
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in test likelihood, accuracy, and expected calibration error.

GACTGAN synthesizes tabular data better with less computational overhead.

problem Synthesizing mixed tabular data while balancing risk and utility.
method Integrates Bayesian posterior approximation with Stochastic Weight Averaging-Gaussian (SWAG) in CTGAN.
result GACTGAN produces better synthetic data with reduced privacy risk.

R2D2-Net improves Bayesian neural networks by preventing over-shrinkage of important weights.

problem Bayesian neural networks struggle with choosing appropriate priors, leading to over-shrinkage or poor predictive performance.
method Proposes R2D2-Net with an R^2-induced Dirichlet Decomposition prior and variational Gibbs inference algorithm.
result R2D2-Net effectively shrinks irrelevant coefficients while preventing key features from over-shrinkage.

Variational Laplace improves Bayesian neural network performance without sampling.

problem Improving Bayesian neural network performance and calibration.
method Develops a new variational Laplace method for BNNs, exploiting curvature of likelihood.
result Variational Laplace outperforms standard VI methods in test performance and calibration.

We develop a scalable method for Bayesian neural networks with stochastic differential equations.

problem Uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
method Gradient-based stochastic variational inference in continuous-depth Bayesian neural networks.
result Gradient estimator with zero variance as the approximation improves.

Global inducing points improve Bayesian neural network performance.

problem Improving Bayesian neural network performance.
method Adapting correlated approximate posterior to all layers in a Bayesian neural network and deep Gaussian processes using learned global inducing points.
result State-of-the-art performance on CIFAR-10 (86.7%) without data augmentation or tempering.

Novel analysis improves weighted majority vote in multiclass classification.

problem Improving the performance of weighted majority vote in multiclass classification.
method Analyzes expected risk of weighted majority vote, considering prediction correlations and provides a bound for efficient minimization.
result Minimization of the new bound typically does not degrade the test error of the ensemble.

Bayesian optimization improves by focusing on outputs with the likelihood ratio method.

problem Improving Bayesian optimization by accurately estimating output importance.
method Importance-sampling theory and likelihood ratio for guiding search towards low objective function values.
result Likelihood-weighted acquisition functions outperform unweighted ones in various applications.

Bayesian model averaging improves causal effect estimation by averaging over multiple models.

problem Estimating causal effects under linear Structural Causal Models (SCMs).
method Bayesian model averaging using Gaussian scale mixture distributions for computational efficiency.
result Bayesian model averaging is optimal for causal effect estimation.

Unified framework for Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks.

problem Incorporating prior distributions in function space into Bayesian PINN-based inversion.
method Functional-prior-based approaches (fpBPINN) to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). Two complementary approaches: FPI-BPINN and fParVI-PINN.
result Accurate estimation of posterior distributions in seismic traveltime tomography and Darcy-flow permeability inversion.

We compress large neural networks for quick adaptation to specific contexts.

problem How to quickly adapt a pretrained large neural network to specific contexts.
method Propose a Bayesian hypernetwork framework to compress the network and encourage sparsity.
result Generated compressed networks are significantly smaller than baseline methods.

We investigate deep Bayesian neural networks with Gaussian weight priors and a class of ReLU-like nonlinearities. Bayesian neural networks with Gaussian priors are well known to induce an L2, "weight decay", regularization. Our results characterize a more intricate regularization effect at the level of the unit activat…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

DAMVI algorithm improves imbalanced binary classification by adjusting weights of examples and classifiers.

problem Imbalanced binary classification tasks where minority class is underrepresented.
method DAMVI algorithm increases positive example weights and optimizes classifier weights using PAC-Bayesian C-Bound.
result DAMVI outperforms state-of-the-art models on various imbalanced datasets.

Sharp bounds for Dirichlet sums lead to improved Bayesian algorithm analysis.

problem Improving Bayesian algorithm performance through precise deviation bounds.
method Novel integral representation of Dirichlet sum density, Gaussian approximation, complex analysis.
result Significantly sharpened regret bounds for Multinomial Thompson Sampling.

TFB simplifies Bayesian LLM uncertainty estimation without extra training.

problem Estimating uncertainty in LLM responses remains challenging.
method Training-Free Bayesianization (TFB) that transforms low-rank adapters into Bayesian ones without additional training.
result TFB achieves superior uncertainty estimation and generalization compared to existing methods.