A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study examines dependence properties of Bayesian neural network units in finite-width networks.
Study on hidden units in finite Bayesian neural networks and their tail properties.
Bayesian units improve speech recognition with minimal parameters.
We investigate deep Bayesian neural networks with Gaussian weight priors and a class of ReLU-like nonlinearities. Bayesian neural networks with Gaussian priors are well known to induce an L2, "weight decay", regularization. Our results characterize a more intricate regularization effect at the level of the unit activat…
Bayesian SHMM models speech units from unannotated speech.
Bayesian neural networks ignore data in infinite units limit.
This work tackles the problem of learning a set of language specific acoustic units from unlabeled speech recordings given a set of labeled recordings from other languages. Our approach may be described by the following two steps procedure: first the model learns the notion of acoustic units from the labelled data and …
New deep learning model robust to adversarial attacks using stochastic LWTA units.
The aim of this work is to enable inference of deep networks that retain high accuracy for the least possible model complexity, with the latter deduced from the data during inference. To this end, we revisit deep networks that comprise competing linear units, as opposed to nonlinear units that do not entail any form of…
Existing Bayesian treatments of neural networks are typically characterized by weak prior and approximate posterior distributions according to which all the weights are drawn independently. Here, we consider a richer prior distribution in which units in the network are represented by latent variables, and the weights b…
Bayesian inference for deep neural networks using trace-class priors and MLMC.
We begin by reiterating that common neural network activation functions have simple Bayesian origins. In this spirit, we go on to show that Bayes's theorem also implies a simple recurrence relation; this leads to a Bayesian recurrent unit with a prescribed feedback formulation. We show that introduction of a context in…
A Bayesian factor graph reduced to normal form consists in the interconnection of diverter units (or equal constraint units) and Single-Input/Single-Output (SISO) blocks. In this framework localized adaptation rules are explicitly derived from a constrained maximum likelihood (ML) formulation and from a minimum KL-dive…
PHP connects to ReLU neural networks for scalable Bayesian inference.
The advance of modern sensor technologies enables collection of multi-stream longitudinal data where multiple signals from different units are collected in real-time. In this article, we present a non-parametric approach to predict the evolution of multi-stream longitudinal data for an in-service unit through borrowing…
This article proposes Multinomial Probit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (MPBART) as a multinomial probit extension of BART - Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (Chipman et al (2010)). MPBART is flexible to allow inclusion of predictors that describe the observed units as well as the available choice alternatives. T…
Bayesian approach improves speech recognition with limited speaker data.
We highlight a pitfall when applying stochastic variational inference to general Bayesian networks. For global random variables approximated by an exponential family distribution, natural gradient steps, commonly starting from a unit length step size, are averaged to convergence. This useful insight into the scaling of…
Bayesian MS-VAR model for pricing equity-linked life insurance products.
Bayesian model forecasts hospital resource use during pandemic.
Bayesian neural networks improve uncertainty calibration without sacrificing accuracy.
We develop a scalable method for Bayesian neural networks with stochastic differential equations.
Bayesian model detects internal bleeding in ICU patients.
We present a max-margin nonparametric latent feature model, which unites the ideas of max-margin learning and Bayesian nonparametrics to discover discriminative latent features for link prediction and automatically infer the unknown latent social dimension. By minimizing a hinge-loss using the linear expectation operat…
We describe Bayesian Layers, a module designed for fast experimentation with neural network uncertainty. It extends neural network libraries with drop-in replacements for common layers. This enables composition via a unified abstraction over deterministic and stochastic functions and allows for scalability via the unde…
Sophisticated gated recurrent neural network architectures like LSTMs and GRUs have been shown to be highly effective in a myriad of applications. We develop an un-gated unit, the statistical recurrent unit (SRU), that is able to learn long term dependencies in data by only keeping moving averages of statistics. The SR…
Hierarchical causal models help understand cause and effect in nested data.
Many natural systems, such as neurons firing in the brain or basketball teams traversing a court, give rise to time series data with complex, nonlinear dynamics. We can gain insight into these systems by decomposing the data into segments that are each explained by simpler dynamic units. Building on switching linear dy…
Deep neural networks (DNNs) often require good regularizers to generalize well. Currently, state-of-the-art DNN regularization techniques consist in randomly dropping units and/or connections on each iteration of the training algorithm. Dropout and DropConnect are characteristic examples of such regularizers, that are …
Paper uses RL to optimize ICU load during COVID-19.
Bayesian method estimates dynamics from near-optimal trajectories.
Neural networks speed up statistical inference.
Discovering causal genetic variants from large genetic association studies poses many difficult challenges. Assessing which genetic markers are involved in determining trait status is a computationally demanding task, especially in the presence of gene-gene interactions. A non-parametric Bayesian approach in the form o…
Researchers derive exact priors for finite Bayesian neural networks.
Bayesian models forecast COVID-19 hospitalizations at single sites.
Bayesian methods have been successfully applied to sparsify weights of neural networks and to remove structure units from the networks, e. g. neurons. We apply and further develop this approach for gated recurrent architectures. Specifically, in addition to sparsification of individual weights and neurons, we propose t…
Life-expectancy is a complex outcome driven by genetic, socio-demographic, environmental and geographic factors. Increasing socio-economic and health disparities in the United States are propagating the longevity-gap, making it a cause for concern. Earlier studies have probed individual factors but an integrated pictur…
Bayesian framework for sphere regression using Gaussian fields.
Automates phased release strategy to balance risk and speed.
Bayesian modeling predicts hydroxide ion conductivity in polymer membranes.
Combining Bayesian nonparametrics and a forward model selection strategy, we construct parsimonious Bayesian deep networks (PBDNs) that infer capacity-regularized network architectures from the data and require neither cross-validation nor fine-tuning when training the model. One of the two essential components of a PB…
Deep learning models predict mutual funds' performance better than traditional methods.
Bayesian Beta regression for proportions in high dimensions with theoretical guarantees.
Bayesian algorithms improve online learning with adversaries over infinite action spaces.
Link prediction is a fundamental task in statistical network analysis. Recent advances have been made on learning flexible nonparametric Bayesian latent feature models for link prediction. In this paper, we present a max-margin learning method for such nonparametric latent feature relational models. Our approach attemp…
New model maps malaria prevalence across Kenya's changing administrative boundaries.
New bounds for shallow neural networks with deterministic parameters.
Bayesian model predicts circular data with fast Gibbs sampling.