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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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4080119159 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian shrinkage

The paper extends and applies a new shrinkage prior in Bayesian factor analysis.

problem Estimating the number of factors in sparse Bayesian factor analysis.
method Introduces and extends a generalized cumulative shrinkage process (CUSP) prior.
result Exchangeable spike-and-slab shrinkage priors imply increasing shrinkage as the column index increases.

Unified model combines shrinkage, views, and factor models for better portfolio selection.

problem Limitations of mean-variance analysis, estimation errors, and reliance on historical data.
method Bayesian approach integrating shrinkage estimation and Black-Litterman model with Fama-French factor models.
result The model outperforms simple and sample-based optimal portfolios in US equity market.

GRASP simplifies Bayesian regression with grouped predictors using an adaptive NBP prior.

problem Regression with grouped predictors and adaptive shrinkage.
method Normal Beta Prime (NBP) prior with tunable hyperparameters for flexible sparsity control.
result Empirical validation of robust and versatile GRASP across various sparsity and signal-to-noise ratios.

Proposes a hierarchical model for learning discrete Bayesian networks with shrinkage.

problem Learning discrete Bayesian networks with high-order interactions and cell probabilities.
method Hierarchical Dirichlet shrinkage model with Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm for sampling.
result Efficiently learns graph structure and selects between DAGs from sparse count data.

The paper decouples shrinkage and selection in Bayesian Quantile Regression.

problem Improving prediction accuracy in high-dimensional Bayesian Quantile Regression.
method Two-step procedure: shrinkage through continuous priors, sparsification through SAVS.
result The method reduces bias and provides interpretable variable selection.

Develops a sparsity-inducing Bayesian Causal Forest for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using observational data with varying degrees of sparsity.
method Introduces a sparsity-inducing version of Bayesian Causal Forests with additional priors to adjust covariate weights.
result Improves adaptability to sparse data generating processes and uncovering moderating factors driving heterogeneity.

Improved spatial distribution learning with Bayesian transport maps and parametric shrinkage.

problem Learning non-Gaussian spatial distributions with limited training data.
method Proposed ShrinkTM approach using Bayesian transport maps with parametric shrinkage.
result ShrinkTM outperforms existing BTM, especially with few training samples.

Paper proposes new Bayesian neural network models for efficient learning.

problem Efficient learning and model compression in deep neural networks.
method Proposes Spike-and-Slab Group Lasso (SS-GL) and Spike-and-Slab Group Horseshoe (SS-GHS) priors for structured sparsity in Bayesian neural networks.
result Establishes competitive performance in prediction accuracy, model compression, and inference latency compared to baseline models.

Sparse convex clustering is to cluster observations and conduct variable selection simultaneously in the framework of convex clustering. Although a weighted L1L_1 norm is usually employed for the regularization term in sparse convex clustering, its use increases the dependence on the data and reduces the estimation acc…

2019-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

R2D2-Net improves Bayesian neural networks by preventing over-shrinkage of important weights.

problem Bayesian neural networks struggle with choosing appropriate priors, leading to over-shrinkage or poor predictive performance.
method Proposes R2D2-Net with an R^2-induced Dirichlet Decomposition prior and variational Gibbs inference algorithm.
result R2D2-Net effectively shrinks irrelevant coefficients while preventing key features from over-shrinkage.

Paper tackles infinite-dimensional optimization and Bayesian learning for stochastic differential equations.

problem Learning the drift function of stochastic differential equations with uncertainty quantification.
method Combines infinite-dimensional optimization results with Bayesian hierarchical framework, incorporating shrinkage priors for sparse learning.
result Systematic approach for accurate learning of stochastic differential equations with uncertainty quantification.

Proposes DSM priors for Bayesian neural networks to improve interpretability and robustness.

problem Bayesian neural networks struggle with interpretability, overconfidence, and adversarial attacks.
method Introduces Dirichlet scale mixture (DSM) priors to address these issues.
result DSM priors lead to sparse networks, robustness against adversarial attacks, and competitive predictive performance.

BaGGLS models biological interactions using Bayesian shrinkage for interpretability.

problem Interpreting complex interactions in high-dimensional biological data.
method Bayesian group global-local shrinkage prior with variational approximation.
result BaGGLS outperforms other methods in interaction detection and scalability.

A common strategy for sparse linear regression is to introduce regularization, which eliminates irrelevant features by letting the corresponding weights be zeros. However, regularization often shrinks the estimator for relevant features, which leads to incorrect feature selection. Motivated by the above-mentioned issue…

2015-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian method for dynamic correlation matrices improves accuracy and responsiveness.

problem Challenges in estimating time-varying correlation matrices, including slow adaptation, insufficient regularization, and diffuse uncertainty.
method Low-rank factor representation with dynamic shrinkage prior and multivariate factor stochastic volatility model.
result Improved accuracy and responsiveness compared to competing methods in various challenging scenarios.

A VB method for high-dimensional regression with student-t priors achieves nearly optimal performance and computational efficiency.

problem High-dimensional linear model inferences with heavy-tailed shrinkage priors.
method Variational Bayesian (VB) procedure for high-dimensional linear models with student-t priors.
result The VB method achieves nearly optimal contraction rate and computational efficiency, outperforming MCMC methods.

Bayesian methods improve causal effect estimation, offering shrinkage and sensitivity analysis.

problem Improving causal effect estimation in practical settings.
method Parametric and nonparametric Bayesian approaches.
result Priors induce shrinkage and sparsity in parametric models.

We propose a generalized double Pareto prior for Bayesian shrinkage estimation and inferences in linear models. The prior can be obtained via a scale mixture of Laplace or normal distributions, forming a bridge between the Laplace and Normal-Jeffreys' priors. While it has a spike at zero like the Laplace density, it al…

2011-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new method to control FDR using frequentist-assisted horseshoe for high-dimensional testing.

problem Designing tests with frequentist false discovery rate control using horseshoe prior.
method Frequentist-assisted horseshoe procedure for high-dimensional normal means testing.
result Consistently achieves robust finite-sample FDR control in various sparse cases.

We construct geometric shrinkage priors for Kählerian signal filters. Based on the characteristics of Kähler manifolds, an efficient and robust algorithm for finding superharmonic priors which outperform the Jeffreys prior is introduced. Several ansätze for the Bayesian predictive priors are also suggested. In particul…

2014-08-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a Bayesian framework for estimating a high-dimensional sparse precision matrix, in which adaptive shrinkage and sparsity are induced by a mixture of Laplace priors. Besides discussing our formulation from the Bayesian standpoint, we investigate the MAP (maximum a posteriori) estimator from a penalized likel…

2018-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds economic data may not be as sparse as previously thought.

problem Modeling economic relations with many variables and prior sensitivity issues.
method Bayesian approach with Spike-and-Slab prior to evaluate variable selection and shrinkage.
result Prior distribution affects detection of sparsity patterns in economic data.

The edge partition model (EPM) is a fundamental Bayesian nonparametric model for extracting an overlapping structure from binary matrix. The EPM adopts a gamma process (ΓΓP) prior to automatically shrink the number of active atoms. However, we empirically found that the model shrinkage of the EPM does not typically wo…

2017-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural networks improve macroeconomic forecasting and model nonlinearities.

problem Handling small T, big K macroeconomic datasets with temporal dependence.
method Developed Bayesian neural networks with mixture activation functions, shrinkage priors, and stochastic volatility.
result BNNs produce precise density forecasts, often better than other methods.

Dropout regularization of deep neural networks has been a mysterious yet effective tool to prevent overfitting. Explanations for its success range from the prevention of "co-adapted" weights to it being a form of cheap Bayesian inference. We propose a novel framework for understanding multiplicative noise in neural net…

2018-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new shrinkage-based construction is developed for a compressible vector xRn\boldsymbol{x}\in\mathbb{R}^n, for cases in which the components of $\xv$ are naturally associated with a tree structure. Important examples are when $\xv$ corresponds to the coefficients of a wavelet or block-DCT representation of data. The me…

2014-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian GAMs improve predictive performance for high-dimensional data.

problem Sparse regularization in GAMs leads to excess shrinkage and difficulty in selecting nonlinear effects.
method Developed a novel spike-and-slab LASSO prior and scalable EM-Coordinate Descent algorithm.
result Improved predictive and computational performance compared to existing models.

In literature there are several studies on the performance of Bayesian network structure learning algorithms. The focus of these studies is almost always the heuristics the learning algorithms are based on, i.e. the maximisation algorithms (in score-based algorithms) or the techniques for learning the dependencies of e…

2011-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian methods reduce variance in subspace identification for small data sets.

problem High variance in traditional subspace identification methods for large models or small sample sizes.
method Investigation of Bayesian estimation solutions (regularized and shrinkage estimators) for subspace identification.
result Bayesian estimators reduce estimation risk by up to 40% compared to traditional methods.

In this article, we propose a new class of priors for Bayesian inference with multiple Gaussian graphical models. We introduce fully Bayesian treatments of two popular procedures, the group graphical lasso and the fused graphical lasso, and extend them to a continuous spike-and-slab framework to allow self-adaptive shr…

2018-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian approach improves sparse PCE for high-dimensional problems.

problem Sparse PCE struggles with high-dimensional uncertainty and underdetermined situations.
method Joint shrinkage priors and MCMC for sparse PCE with uncertainty estimation.
result Bayesian PCE achieves sparse representations with higher polynomial degrees.

A new matrix factorization method for high-dimensional data.

problem Exploiting sparse structures in complex data for better interpretability.
method Bayesian shrinkage priors and flexible sparse patterns modeled through row and column dependencies.
result Demonstrated practical advantages through simulation and soccer heatmap analysis.

Bayesian approach learns linear networks from high-dimensional data.

problem Learning high-dimensional linear Bayesian networks.
method Iterative estimation of topological ordering and parents using inverse partial covariance matrix with Bayesian regularization.
result The method successfully recovers network structure under certain conditions.

A novel Bayesian method for dynamic sparsity in Gaussian dynamic linear regression.

problem Variable selection and shrinkage in time-varying regression models.
method Time-varying sparsity via Markov switching priors for coefficients' variances, extending spike-and-slab priors.
result Induces smoothness or shrinkage towards zero at each time point, leading to improved model performance.

Unified Bayesian-AI framework improves epidemiological risk prediction and uncertainty quantification.

problem Lack of calibrated uncertainty in machine learning models for epidemiology.
method Combines Bayesian prediction with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization using logistic regression and Gaussian-process Bayesian optimization.
result Unified Bayesian-AI framework provides reliable coverage and improved calibration, enhancing epidemiological decision making.