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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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92184276368 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian modal regression

This paper studies the nonparametric modal regression problem systematically from a statistical learning view. Originally motivated by pursuing a theoretical understanding of the maximum correntropy criterion based regression (MCCR), our study reveals that MCCR with a tending-to-zero scale parameter is essentially moda…

2017-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a parametric modal regression method using the implicit function theorem.

problem Finding conditional modes for multi-modal conditional distributions.
method Uses the implicit function theorem to develop an objective function for learning a joint function over inputs and targets.
result Empirically demonstrates scalability and effectiveness in learning multi-valued functions and high-dimensional inputs.

Bayesian Decision Trees are known for their probabilistic interpretability. However, their construction can sometimes be costly. In this article we present a general Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm applicable to both regression and classification problems. The algorithm does not apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo and does…

2019-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Modal regression estimates the local modes of the distribution of YY given X=xX=x, instead of the mean, as in the usual regression sense, and can hence reveal important structure missed by usual regression methods. We study a simple nonparametric method for modal regression, based on a kernel density estimate (KDE) of …

2014-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian SSI improves modal parameter uncertainty in operational systems.

problem Uncertainty in modal parameters due to stochastic operational systems and lack of forcing information.
method Proposes a Bayesian stochastic subspace identification (SSI) algorithm with a hierarchical probabilistic model and two inference schemes (Markov Chain Monte Carlo and variational Bayes).
result Posterior distributions over modal properties are obtained, showing lower variance for mean values coinciding with natural frequencies.

Develops multi-modal neural network models for improved prediction and uncertainty quantification.

problem Improving prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification for multi-modal data.
method Multi-modal Bayesian neural network models with conjugate last-layer estimation using SVI.
result Improved prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to uni-modal models.

BART improves predictive performance but slows down with more data.

problem Understanding and improving the computational efficiency of BART with large datasets.
method Asymptotic analysis of a modified BART sampler, focusing on hitting time of high posterior density sets.
result The convergence time of the BART sampler increases with the number of training samples due to multi-modality, but can be mitigated by increasing the number of trees or raising the sampler temperature.

Unified predictive uncertainty disentangled using deep split ensembles.

problem Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in NNs for real-world applications.
method Deep split ensemble approach using multivariate Gaussian mixture model.
result Inherently well-calibrated models with high flexibility to group features.

FBMS R package simplifies Bayesian model selection and averaging.

problem Complex regression settings with multi-modal posterior landscapes.
method Efficient MJMCMC and GMJMCMC algorithms for Bayesian model exploration.
result FBMS effectively handles Bayesian generalized linear and nonlinear models.

This paper analyzes RMR under Markov-dependent samples, improving understanding of its generalization error.

problem Understanding the generalization error of RMR in Markov-dependent settings.
method Established the upper bound for RMR estimator under Markov-dependent samples, providing a learning rate.
result Markov dependence affects the generalization error, reducing it by a multiplicative factor of the spectral gap.

Elliptical slice sampling converges geometrically, providing reliable sampling for Bayesian learning.

problem Sampling from posterior distributions in Bayesian learning.
method Elliptical slice sampling, geometric ergodicity.
result Elliptical slice sampling yields geometric convergence guarantees under weak regularity assumptions.

NQE uses quantile regression for fast SBI with cubic Hermite splines.

problem Efficient Bayesian inference for complex models with limited data.
method Neural Quantile Estimation (NQE) learns quantiles autoregressively and interpolates them using cubic Hermite splines.
result NQE achieves state-of-the-art performance on various benchmark problems.

Unified Bayesian model for multi-modal, small sample size biomedical data classification.

problem Classifying high-dimensional, multi-modal biomedical data with small sample sizes.
method Combines multi-modal data views into a latent space, prunes irrelevant features, and uses dual kernels for small sample size scenarios.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art models and identifies features aligned with existing markers.

Study reveals efficient recovery of multi-modal signals via Bayesian methods and sequential learning.

problem Recovering multiple high-dimensional signals from correlated modalities.
method Bayesian Approximate Message Passing and Sequential Curriculum Learning.
result Sequential learning strategy optimally recovers weak signals in multi-modal settings.

InVA models image outcomes from multiple modalities, outperforming standard VAEs.

problem Understanding relationships across multiple imaging modalities in neuroimaging.
method Integrative Variational Autoencoder (InVA) framework for image-on-image regression.
result InVA accurately predicts PET scans from structural MRI, outperforming conventional models.

Modal regression is aimed at estimating the global mode (i.e., global maximum) of the conditional density function of the output variable given input variables, and has led to regression methods robust against heavy-tailed or skewed noises. The conditional mode is often estimated through maximization of the modal regre…

2019-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proves probabilistic alignment between unseen modalities using contrastive learning.

problem Aligning unseen modalities in unsupervised learning.
method Bayesian approach and direct comparison of contrastive representations.
result Direct comparison of contrastive representations recovers the same likelihood ratio as probabilistic graphical models.

Optimal Biweight kernel and computationally efficient Epanechnikov kernel for modal linear regression.

problem Finding the best kernel for modal linear regression.
method Refined analysis of asymptotic statistical behavior and IRLS algorithm convergence.
result Biweight kernel minimizes asymptotic mean squared error, Epanechnikov kernel guarantees IRLS convergence.

PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.

problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.

This work tackles uncertainty in multi-agent multi-modal trajectory forecasting.

problem Measuring and ranking uncertainty in multi-agent multi-modal trajectory forecasting.
method Proposes collaborative uncertainty (CU) and a CU-aware regression framework.
result The CU-aware regression framework improves SOTA systems' performances.

FACTM combines FA with correlated topic modeling for structured data integration.

problem Integrating structured data modalities like text and single cell sequencing.
method Bayesian FACTM model combining FA and correlated topic modeling with variational inference.
result FACTM outperforms other methods in identifying clusters in structured data and integrating them with simple modalities.

This paper introduces NPR, a technique to improve Bayesian inference for multi-modal, high-dimensional simulations.

problem Challenges in Bayesian inference for multi-modal, high-dimensional simulations.
method Introduces Neural Posterior Regularization (NPR) to enforce exploration of input parameter space.
result Empirically validated that NPR significantly improves performance on various simulation tasks.

Bayesian approach reduces FL communication cost by one-shot.

problem High communication cost in optimization-based FL for high-dimensional models.
method Bayesian pseudocoresets and function-space inference for one-shot FL.
result Achieves prediction performance competitive to state-of-the-art with up to 2 orders of magnitude reduction in communication cost.

Integrates neural encoders into GLMMs for multimodal data analysis.

problem Scalable Bayesian inference for GLMMs assumes low-dimensional tabular predictors and does not handle high-dimensional modalities.
method Jointly learns modality-specific neural encoders with GLMM objective, performs variance-corrected stochastic-gradient MCMC.
result Preserves interpretable fixed and random effects while scaling to large longitudinal datasets.

Proposes MVGPR for spatiotemporal data modal analysis.

problem Sparse and irregularly sampled data in complex flows.
method Multivariate Gaussian process regression (MVGPR) with kernel design.
result MVGPR outperforms DMD and SPOD in modal analysis of sparse and irregular data.

Optimal kernel improves estimation accuracy in modal statistical methods.

problem Estimation accuracy of kernel-based modal statistical methods depends on the kernel used.
method The study theoretically shows an optimal kernel that minimizes asymptotic error criterion.
result An optimal kernel minimizes the error criterion when using an optimal bandwidth.

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a latent variable that is used to modulate the covariance function over the training …

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Method for initializing Gaussian mixtures for variational inference with multi-modal distributions.

problem Challenges in variational inference with Gaussian mixtures due to multimodality and nonconvex loss functions.
method Optimization to find local maxima, local Gaussian approximations, and constrained least squares regression.
result Robust initialization improves variational inference performance and scalability.

Bayesian neural networks can be partially stochastic without losing predictive power.

problem The necessity of fully stochastic parameters in Bayesian neural networks.
method Theoretical and empirical investigation of partially stochastic networks compared to fully stochastic ones.
result Expressive predictive distributions require only small amounts of stochasticity, and partially stochastic networks can match or outperform fully stochastic networks.

A new algorithm flattens multi-modal distributions for better deep learning.

problem Bayesian learning in big data with multi-modal distributions.
method Contour Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (CSGLD) algorithm.
result The CSGLD algorithm avoids local traps in deep neural networks.

Recently, a number of statistical problems have found an unexpected solution by inspecting them through a "modal point of view". These include classical tasks such as clustering or regression. This has led to a renewed interest in estimation and inference for the mode. This paper offers an extensive survey of the tradi…

2018-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

TAP transfers knowledge from unlabeled data to improve cross-modal learning.

problem Improving supervised learning performance using unlabeled data from a different modality.
method Probabilistic approach for missing information estimation, kernel regression, cross-attention module, TAP neural network.
result TAP significantly improves generalization across different domains and neural network architectures.

This paper addresses the problem of learning dictionaries for multimodal datasets, i.e. datasets collected from multiple data sources. We present an algorithm called multimodal sparse Bayesian dictionary learning (MSBDL). MSBDL leverages information from all available data modalities through a joint sparsity constraint…

2018-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

AF improves sampling from high-dimensional, multi-modal distributions.

problem Sampling from high-dimensional, multi-modal distributions is challenging.
method Annealing Flow (AF) using Continuous Normalizing Flow (CNF) with dynamic Optimal Transport (OT) objective and annealing procedures.
result AF significantly improves training efficiency and stability, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

In emotion recognition, it is difficult to recognize human's emotional states using just a single modality. Besides, the annotation of physiological emotional data is particularly expensive. These two aspects make the building of effective emotion recognition model challenging. In this paper, we first build a multi-vie…

2017-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework corrects model form errors in structural dynamics predictions.

problem Model form errors in parametric models of structural dynamics.
method Gaussian Process Latent Force Model (GPLFM) for non-parametric discrepancy representation, linear Bayesian filtering for state and discrepancy estimation, modal reduction for computational tractability.
result Significant reduction of displacement and rotation prediction errors under unseen excitations.

New methods for Bayesian inference using mean shift particle systems.

problem Approximating expectations with unnormalized densities in Bayesian inference.
method Mean shift interacting particle systems that minimize maximum mean discrepancy (MMD).
result Mean shift interacting particle systems converge quickly and capture complex distributions.

GFA model uncovers brain-behavior associations in incomplete data sets.

problem Incomplete data sets and lack of robust statistical inferences.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model that handles missing data and models modality-specific associations.
result GFA identified four relevant shared factors and predicted non-imaging measures from brain connectivity.

This paper improves ensemble learning for vision tasks by encouraging diversity in predictions.

problem Generating effective ensembles of neural networks for multi-modal data.
method Explicitly optimize a diversity inducing adversarial loss for learning stochastic latent variables.
result Significant improvements in classification accuracy and out-of-distribution detection compared to baselines.

Current high-throughput data acquisition technologies probe dynamical systems with different imaging modalities, generating massive data sets at different spatial and temporal resolutions posing challenging problems in multimodal data fusion. A case in point is the attempt to parse out the brain structures and networks…

2015-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗