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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4058101,2141,619 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian machine learning

Bayesian nonparametric machine learning improves instrumental variable inference.

problem Estimating causal effects with nonlinear relationships.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for estimating functions and Dirichlet Process mixtures for error terms.
result Dramatic improvements in inference with nonlinear data, no manual tuning required.

Explosive growth in data and availability of cheap computing resources have sparked increasing interest in Big learning, an emerging subfield that studies scalable machine learning algorithms, systems, and applications with Big Data. Bayesian methods represent one important class of statistic methods for machine learni…

2014-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian optimization outperformed random search in machine learning hyperparameter tuning challenge.

problem Optimizing hyperparameters of machine learning models using derivative-free methods.
method Bayesian optimization vs. random search on real datasets.
result Bayesian optimization significantly outperformed random search in held-out objective functions.

AutoBayes automates Bayesian graph exploration for robust machine learning.

problem Learning representations invariant to nuisance variations in machine learning.
method Automated Bayesian inference framework exploring different graphical models.
result Significant performance improvement with nuisance-invariant machine learning pipelines.

The paper connects three machine learning methods to reduce generalization errors.

problem Reducing generalization errors in machine learning models.
method Distributionally robust optimization, Bayesian methods, and regularization.
result Machine learning models can be characterized using distributional uncertainty and robustness measures.

Bayesian Optimization improves machine learning for detecting network attacks.

problem Detecting network attacks to secure critical information.
method Bayesian Optimization for tuning machine learning algorithms (SVM-RBF, RF, k-NN).
result The proposed framework achieves high accuracy and low false alarms.

FanG-HPO optimizes machine learning models for fairness and low energy consumption.

problem Bias in machine learning models and high energy consumption in hyperparameter optimization.
method Combines multi-objective and multiple information source Bayesian optimization.
result FanG-HPO identifies fair and energy-efficient machine learning models.

Unified Bayesian Optimization framework for model selection balancing effectiveness and training efficiency.

problem Balancing model effectiveness and training efficiency in machine learning model selection.
method Proposes a unified Bayesian Optimization framework to jointly optimize model effectiveness and training efficiency.
result Models selected using the proposed framework significantly improve training efficiency while maintaining strong effectiveness.

Bayesian adversaries can outsmart traditional adversarial attacks.

problem Bayesian adversaries can manipulate machine learning models through small perturbations.
method Developed a continuous-time particle system (Abram) to approximate the gradient flow of the Bayesian adversarial robustness problem.
result Abram approximates the minimizer of the Bayesian adversarial robustness problem under certain assumptions.

Proposes a multi-fidelity machine learning strategy integrating low-fidelity deterministic and high-fidelity Bayesian models.

problem Addressing the accuracy-efficiency trade-off in machine learning with scarce high-fidelity data.
method Integrates a non-probabilistic regression model for low-fidelity with a Bayesian model for high-fidelity, trained in a staggered scheme.
result Achieves comparable performance in mean and uncertainty estimation with reduced training time and effective mitigation of overfitting.

Bayesian uncertainty quantification is flawed, according to new research.

problem Flawed interpretation of Bayesian uncertainty quantification.
method Discussion of Bayesian updating and optimization-based perspective, proposing measures of quality.
result Bayesian uncertainty quantification is not coherent with optimization-based perspective.

Bayesian hybrid models fuse physics-based insights with machine learning constructs to correct for systematic bias. In this paper, we compare Bayesian hybrid models against physics-based glass-box and Gaussian process black-box surrogate models. We consider ballistic firing as an illustrative case study for a Bayesian …

2019-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel Laplace-approximated Bayesian Tensor Network Kernel Machine (LA-TNKM) provides principled uncertainty estimates.

problem How to provide principled uncertainty estimates for tensor network kernel machines.
method Employing a linearized Laplace approximation for Bayesian inference.
result Consistently matches or surpasses Gaussian Processes and BNNs across diverse UCI regression benchmarks.

Solla discusses neural processing using statistical physics and Bayesian methods.

problem Understanding neural information processing through statistical physics.
method Bayesian inference, Gibbs description, Generalized Linear Models, dimensionality reduction.
result Connection between neural processing and statistical physics.

Study optimizes investment strategies in volatile markets using machine learning and Bayesian techniques.

problem Enhancing portfolio management in volatile markets.
method Market segmentation into ten volatility-based states, real-time asset allocation adjustments using Bayesian Markov switching model.
result Dynamic portfolio achieves significantly higher risk-adjusted returns and total returns.

Generative approach speeds hyperparameter tuning for machine learning models.

problem Computational infeasibility of cross-validation and difficulty of fully Bayesian hyper-parameter learning.
method Combines optimization-based approximations and amortization techniques.
result Rapid evaluation of hyper-parameters over grids or ranges, supporting predictive tuning and uncertainty quantification.

Enhanced Bayesian target encoding uses sampling techniques to improve model performance.

problem Improving target encoding for better model performance in machine learning.
method Using sampling techniques in Bayesian target encoding to extract intra-category distribution information.
result Improves generalization and reduces target leakage in machine learning models.

Study uses machine learning to solve photoacoustic tomography's inverse problem.

problem Solving the full inverse problem in photoacoustic tomography.
method Developed an approach using variational autoencoders for Bayesian estimation of the posterior distribution.
result Evaluated the approach with numerical simulations and compared it to a Bayesian solution.

To solve a machine learning problem, one typically needs to perform data preprocessing, modeling, and hyperparameter tuning, which is known as model selection and hyperparameter optimization.The goal of automated machine learning (AutoML) is to design methods that can automatically perform model selection and hyperpara…

2019-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for fine-tuning the hyper-parameters of a wide variety of machine learning models. The success of machine learning has led practitioners in diverse real-world settings to learn classifiers for practical problems. As machine learning becomes commonplace, Bayesian optimization bec…

2015-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework mixes imperfect models for improved predictions.

problem Improving predictions of complex computational models in unknown domains.
method Local Bayesian Dirichlet mixing of imperfect models using the Dirichlet distribution.
result Global and local mixtures of models achieve excellent performance in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

Bayesian parametric matrix models provide uncertainty quantification for spectral learning.

problem Uncertainty quantification in spectral learning for safety-critical applications.
method Bayesian parametric matrix models (B-PMMs) that extend PMMs to provide uncertainty estimates.
result B-PMMs achieve exceptional uncertainty calibration (ECE < 0.05) while maintaining favorable scaling.

Bayesian approach for learning from synthetic data, improving model accuracy.

problem Lack of statistical properties and robust methods for learning from synthetic data.
method Bayesian paradigm to update model parameters considering synthetic data generating process and learning task.
result Novel approach outperforms standard methods in supervised learning and inference problems.

Study proposes learning optimal priors from data for better Bayesian inference.

problem Challenges the use of noninformative uniform priors in Bayesian inference.
method Machine learning approach to learn optimal priors from data using a target function.
result Study models consistently outperformed baseline models in Wikipedia category classification.

Paper proposes a new method to attack Bayesian forecasting models.

problem Lack of research on adversarial attacks against time series forecasting systems.
method Decision analysis based attacking strategy for Bayesian forecasting models.
result Demonstrates the vulnerability of Bayesian forecasting models to adversarial attacks.