Bayesian fusion forest combines clinical and real-world data to estimate treatment effects.
problem Estimating treatment effects on survival from mixed data sources with confounding.
method Nonparametric Bayesian fusion forest combining randomised and real-world data, relaxing unconfoundedness assumption.
result Fusion identifies treatment benefits not seen in clinical trials alone.
Bayesian fusion improves radar target recognition for UAVs.
problem Improving radar target recognition for UAVs using multistatic radar configurations.
method Proposes a fully Bayesian RATR framework using Optimal Bayesian Fusion (OBF) to aggregate classification probability vectors from multiple radars.
result Empirical results show that the OBF method significantly enhances classification accuracy compared to other fusion methods and single radar configurations.
Paper proposes a new method for Bayesian linear regression using spike-and-slab priors.
problem Identifying predictors with similar relationships in linear regression models.
method Hierarchical Bayesian models with spike-and-slab priors and a Gibbs sampler.
result The proposed method outperforms previous methods in simulations and real data analysis.
The paper analyzes how shared priors affect Bayesian data fusion performance.
problem Effect of shared priors on Bayesian data fusion performance.
method Theoretical analysis using two divergences common in Bayesian inference.
result Theoretical analysis and experimental validation of performance behavior.
Bayesian model fuses multiple classifiers with explicit correlation modeling.
problem Combining outputs of multiple classifiers with explicit correlation.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model with correlated Dirichlet distribution.
result Fused classifier performance can be Bayes optimal even for highly correlated base classifiers.
This paper develops a mathematical and computational framework for analyzing the expected performance of Bayesian data fusion, or joint statistical inference, within a sensor network. We use variational techniques to obtain the posterior expectation as the optimal fusion rule under a deterministic constraint and a quad…
Bayesian optimization helps learn optimal controls for nuclear fusion reactions.
problem Learning optimal controls for nuclear fusion reactions to prolong plasma stability.
method Theoretical Bayesian optimization algorithm to recommend state-action pairs.
result More efficient use of simulator for learning optimal controls.
Low-cost sensor fusion for organic substance classification.
problem Non-destructive classification and quality control of organic substances.
method Arduino Mega 2560 microcontroller with three sensors, supervised learning models, hyperparameter tuning, PCA/LDA, ensemble voting classifier.
result Test accuracies of 93-94% for identifying organic compounds.
Method learns big Gaussian Bayesian networks by clustering, estimating, and fusing subgraphs.
problem Learning structure of large Bayesian networks with many nodes and few samples.
method Partition-estimation-fusion (PEF) framework: hierarchical clustering, subgraph learning, edge fusion.
result PEF method improves structure learning accuracy by 20% or more, with up to two orders-of-magnitude faster running time.
We describe a methodology for modeling the performance of decision-level data fusion between different sensor configurations, implemented as part of the JIEDDO Analytic Decision Engine (JADE). We first discuss a Bayesian network formulation of classical probabilistic data fusion, which allows elementary fusion structur…
BayesIMP combines multiple causal graphs to estimate average treatment effects with uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty quantification in causal inference from multiple datasets.
method Bayesian Interventional Mean Processes (BayesIMP) integrating probabilistic integration and kernel mean embeddings.
result Improvements in average treatment effect estimation over state-of-the-art methods.
Bayesian learning for forests and trees improves graph detection and structure learning.
problem Learning graph structures in non-decomposable graphs.
method Adapted MCMC and SSS algorithms for forests and trees, using the Chow-Liu algorithm and Matrix Tree Theorem.
result SSS with trees or forests outperforms SSS with decomposable graphs in certain cases.
Develops a sparsity-inducing Bayesian Causal Forest for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using observational data with varying degrees of sparsity.
method Introduces a sparsity-inducing version of Bayesian Causal Forests with additional priors to adjust covariate weights.
result Improves adaptability to sparse data generating processes and uncovering moderating factors driving heterogeneity.
This paper improves cross-domain learning using random forests for manifold alignment.
problem Improving cross-domain learning and feature integration.
method Semi-supervised manifold alignment using random forest proximities.
result Random forest proximities enhance downstream classification accuracy.
Combines multiple asset views with machine learning for better portfolio allocation.
problem Portfolio allocation with multiple uncertain asset views.
method Consistency-based data fusion techniques for combining Black-Litterman model with machine learning predictions.
result Improved portfolio allocation through fusion of multiple view estimates.
PG-EVIKAL refines molecular property predictions using neighbor fusion and evidential neural networks.
problem Improving molecular property predictions using test-time neighbor fusion.
method Adapting evidential neural networks to refine predictions by re-ranking structurally similar neighbors.
result PG-EVIKAL reduces RMSE on 14 out of 16 molecular datasets, improving calibration and sequential refinement.
The paper compares Bayesian trees, Cox models, and random forests for breast cancer survival data.
problem Modeling survival data with nonlinear and additive effects.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees, Cox proportional hazards, and Random Survival Forests.
result Bayesian trees outperform other models in terms of bias and prediction accuracy.
Bayesian and POD methods fuse noisy wind tunnel and simulated aerodynamic data.
problem Fusing data from wind tunnel measurements and numerical simulations for accurate aerodynamic modeling.
method Bayesian and Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) methods to infer true aerodynamic fields.
result Bayesian method is more robust with scarce data and accounts for uncertainties.
A lot of attention has been devoted to multimedia indexing over the past few years. In the literature, we often consider two kinds of fusion schemes: The early fusion and the late fusion. In this paper we focus on late classifier fusion, where one combines the scores of each modality at the decision level. To tackle th…
Bayesian optimization improves forest inventory sampling using remote sensing data.
problem Optimizing forest inventory sampling in large areas with limited data.
method Bayesian optimization applied to RS data for improved sampling design.
result The proposed method outperforms baseline methods in terms of MSE values.
New BNN method reduces training time and model size.
problem Overconfident predictions in deep learning models.
method Designing STF-BNN for efficient scaling of BNNs.
result Significantly reduces training time and model size compared to vanilla BNNs.
The BSP-Forest extends 2D BSP-Tree to dD for regression tasks.
problem Extending BSP-Tree to higher dimensions for regression.
method Generate cutting hyperplanes parallel to d-2 dimensions, sample two free dimensions.
result BSP-Forest achieves similar performance with fewer cuts and outperforms other regression forests.
The paper parallelizes MCMC using random forests for big data Bayesian computation.
problem Efficiently computing Bayesian models in large datasets.
method Embed random forests into divide-and-conquer MCMC framework, using scaled subposteriors as proposal distributions.
result The approach works well across various model types, including misspecified models.
Sparse matrix decomposition identifies key design variables for ICF experiments.
problem Improving predictive capability of ICF simulation codes through better understanding of design inputs and outcomes.
method Sparse Principal Component Analysis (SPCA) and Random Forest (RF) surrogate model.
result Identified clusters of design variables related to physical processes, revealing important variables not previously considered.
Forest tree species mapped with high accuracy using satellite data.
problem Classifying dominant tree species in Swedish forests.
method Extreme gradient boosting model with Bayesian optimization, combining Sentinel-1/2 satellite data and field observations.
result Overall accuracy of 85%, F1 score of 0.82, Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.81.
In the past few years, a lot of attention has been devoted to multimedia indexing by fusing multimodal informations. Two kinds of fusion schemes are generally considered: The early fusion and the late fusion. We focus on late classifier fusion, where one combines the scores of each modality at the decision level. To ta…
Dealing with uncertainty in Bayesian Network structures using maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation or Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) is often intractable due to the superexponential number of possible directed, acyclic graphs. When the prior is decomposable, two classes of graphs where efficient learning can take plac…
A new Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm for regression and classification.
problem Costly construction of Bayesian Decision Trees.
method General Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm without Markov Chain Monte Carlo or pruning.
result Greedy-modal tree explains most of the information in numerical examples.
Paper proposes a method to aggregate Bayesian networks from multiple datasets.
problem Aggregating Bayesian networks from separate data sets.
method Gaussian Bayesian network fusion method.
result Method obtains good results and surpasses individual learning.
New framework optimizes random forest parameters for stability and cost.
problem Optimizing random forest parameters for industrial applications.
method Bayesian optimization framework considering error, stability, and cost.
result Parameter settings that balance error, stability, and cost.
A new method for efficient BNC parameter estimation outperforms HDP smoothing.
problem Efficiently estimating parameters for Bayesian network classifiers to match or exceed random forest performance.
method Uses log-linear regression to approximate hierarchical Dirichlet process (HDP) smoothing, making the approach simpler and faster.
result Our method outperforms HDP smoothing while being orders of magnitude faster and competitive with random forests.
New PAC-Bayesian bounds improve random forest generalization error estimates.
problem Improving rigorous upper bounds on random forest generalization error.
method PAC-Bayesian approaches to derive bounds, exploiting out-of-bag samples, and analyzing dependencies between ensemble members.
result PAC-Bayesian bounds can be superior and often reasonably tight, but performance varies with correlation levels and validation set usage.
New algorithm improves efficiency of Bayesian Causal Forest for subgroup analysis.
problem Estimating heterogeneous effects in subgroup analysis.
method Developed a novel algorithm for fitting Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) model, more efficient than Gibbs sampler.
result New algorithm improves posterior exploration and coverage of interval estimates.
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods provide an elaborate approach to Bayesian inference on complex models, including model choice. Both theoretical arguments and simulation experiments indicate, however, that model posterior probabilities may be poorly evaluated by standard ABC techniques. We propose a novel…
Fusion framework improves time series classification across different datasets.
problem Kernel-based methods like Rocket perform inconsistently across datasets.
method Fusion-3 framework that adaptively fuses three representations (Rocket, SAX, SFA) based on dataset properties.
result Fusion-3 framework yields small but consistent average improvements over Rocket on 113 UCR datasets.
Bayesian framework integrates prior and data knowledge for nonlinear dynamical systems.
problem Fusing diverse prior knowledge with data for accurate model learning.
method General-purpose Bayesian inference and learning framework combining explicit and implicit prior knowledge.
result Efficient parameter marginalization and closed-form densities for online and offline inference.
Bayesian Causal Forests model assesses part-time work's impact on student growth.
problem Estimating causal effects of part-time work on student growth in mathematics achievement.
method Longitudinal Bayesian Causal Forests model combining non-parametric and difference-in-differences methods.
result Negative impact of part-time work for most students, potential benefits for those with low school belonging, widening achievement gap identified.
Many real-world regression problems demand a measure of the uncertainty associated with each prediction. Standard decision forests deliver efficient state-of-the-art predictive performance, but high-quality uncertainty estimates are lacking. Gaussian processes (GPs) deliver uncertainty estimates, but scaling GPs to lar…
BCF models estimate causal effects on multiple outcomes in TIMSS data.
problem Estimating causal effects on multiple outcomes in educational data.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for multivariate causal inference.
result Positive and negative effects of home study conditions and school absence on student achievement.
CoCoAFusE fuses expert predictions to model complex patterns with interpretability and uncertainty.
problem Modeling complex patterns with interpretability and uncertainty quantification.
method Competitive/Collaborative Fusion of Experts (CoCoAFusE) that fuses expert distributions in addition to mixing.
result CoCoAFusE avoids multimodality artifacts and provides tighter credible bounds on the response variable.
Bayesian calibration speeds up ABM for pandemic modeling.
problem Calibrating stochastic ABMs for accurate pandemic predictions is computationally intensive.
method Random forest surrogate modeling for accelerated ABM evaluation.
result Improved predictive performance with random forest calibration compared to previous methods.
A method for inferring ground-truth signals from degraded sensor data.
problem Inferring ground-truth signals from multiple degraded sensor signals.
method Iterative correction of degraded signals using a Bayesian multi-sensor data fusion method.
result The method effectively infers ground-truth signals from noisy and degraded sensor data.
Fuses posterior distributions from different datasets using KL divergence.
problem Combining information from multiple datasets with uncertainty.
method Mean field assumption, KL divergence, assign-and-average approach.
result Efficient non-parametric algorithm for fused model computation.
Indoor localization based on SIngle Of Fingerprint (SIOF) is rather susceptible to the changing environment, multipath, and non-line-of-sight (NLOS) propagation. Building SIOF is also a very time-consuming process. Recently, we first proposed a GrOup Of Fingerprints (GOOF) to improve the localization accuracy and reduc…
There is a widely-accepted need to revise current forms of health-care provision, with particular interest in sensing systems in the home. Given a multiple-modality sensor platform with heterogeneous network connectivity, as is under development in the Sensor Platform for HEalthcare in Residential Environment (SPHERE) …
Method quantifies forest cover changes due to human activities using satellite data.
problem Quantify forest cover changes due to human activities.
method Computer vision, machine learning/deep learning, Bayesian structural causal model.
result Causal inference of forest cover changes due to human activities.
mGPfusion predicts protein stability changes using a novel Gaussian process method.
problem Limited experimental data for predicting protein stability changes.
method Bayesian data fusion model combining experimental and molecular simulation data.
result mGPfusion outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting protein stability.
Bayesian Causal Forest models estimate treatment effects with noncompliance.
problem Estimating treatment effects with noncompliance and varying compliance rates.
method Bayesian Causal Forest model for binary response variables.
result Flexibly estimate heterogeneous treatment effects among compliers.